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UK Residential Care For The Elderly Market Research Report

"Residential care is being provided in an environment where public opinion of the quality of provision is fragile and while social care in the UK is undergoing significant changes. In recent years, the industry has faced a number of challenges, including fee increases (whilst local authority contributions have declined, due to budgetary restrictions) and the tightening of eligibility criteria to receive LA-commissioned care (only those deemed with 'substantial' care needs or higher are entitled to receive care). These potential barriers to the sector's development have occurred while the number of elderly people has increased, which has forced many to choose other forms of care, such as domiciliary care."

- Lewis Cone, Research Analyst

This report looks at the following questions:

  • What are the key determinants driving the residential care industry?
  • Was the market affected by the financial crisis and how has it recovered since? Has there been any structural changes as a consequence?
  • How has the government influenced and shaped the development of care homes?
  • What are the key issues the industry needs to address to be able to fully benefit from any favourable market conditions and future trends?
  • Has the industry reacted to the care home scandals?
  • What does the future hold for the UK's residential care industry?

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Market Size
  • Market Trends
  • Regional Analysis
  • Market Factors
  • Demographic trends will provide constant demand for residential care services
  • -The Care Act has provided the first overhaul of social care statute in England in more than 60 years
  • -Local authority budget cuts will continue to place a burden on improving the quality of care
  • -The current housing market and rising social care fees favour the residential care sector
  • Companies
  • Forecast
  • -Demand for sheltered housing expected to exceed residential care over the next five years
  • What We Think

INTRODUCTION

  • Definitions
  • Methodology
  • Market Positioning
  • What We Think
  • INTRODUCTION
  • Definitions
  • Methodology
  • Market Positioning

UK ECONOMY

  • Key points
  • Overview
  • Inflation
  • Interest rates
  • House prices

MARKET FACTORS

  • Key points
  • Public Sector Expenditure Restrictions
  • Demographic and Social Trends
  • Recent Economic Climate
  • Legislative and Regulatory Environment
  • Employment Trends
  • Supported Housing

MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS

  • Key points
  • Market Size
  • Market Segmentation
  • -Overview
  • Local Authority Commissioned Care
  • -Older people (65+)
  • -Adults aged 18-64
  • NHS Care
  • Private Care Purchasers
  • Sheltered Housing
  • Market Trends
  • Regional Analysis

SUPPLIER OPPORTUNITIES

  • Key points
  • Opportunities

THE CONSUMER - RESIDENTIAL CARE ATTITUDES AND FACTORS

  • Key points
  • Cloud of negativity surrounds residential care homes
  • Staff speciality and costs affect care home choice

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

  • Key points
  • Industry development

COMPANY PROFILES

  • ABBEYFIELD SOCIETY
  • ANCHOR TRUST
  • BUPA
  • BUPA CARE HOMES (ANS)
  • BUPA CARE HOMES (CFG)
  • CARE UK
  • FOUR SEASONS HEALTH CARE
  • METHODIST HOMES
  • HC-ONE
  • PRIORY GROUP

FORECAST

  • Key points
  • The market
  • Difficulties in expanding care home workforce

FURTHER SOURCES AND CONTACTS

  • Trade associations & organisations
  • Trade magazines
  • Trade exhibitions

List of Tables

  • Figure 1: UK Residential Care Market, by Value, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 2: UK Residential Care Market, by number of registered care homes and number of care home places, 2010-2014, (Homes in units and Places in 000)
  • Figure 3: Number of Local Authority-funded adults in care homes, by type of provider, 2010-2014, (Number of residents)
  • Figure 4: Private Expenditure on residential and nursing care, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 5: Local authority supported adults in residential and nursing care, by region, 2009/10 and 2013/14, (Number of People)
  • Figure 6: Forecast UK Residential and Nursing Care, by Number of Homes and Number of Places, 2015-2019, (Number of Homes in units and Number of Places in 000)
  • Figure 7: Forecast UK Sheltered Housing Units, 2015-2019, (000)
  • Figure 8: Elderly Population in the UK, by Country, 1973, 1983, 1993, 2003 and 2013, (000 People)
  • Figure 9: Elderly Population in the UK, by Country, 1973, 1983, 1993, 2003, 2013, (000 People)
  • Figure 10: The UK Residential Care Market, by Value, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 11: UK Residential Care Market, by Value, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 12: The UK Residential Care Market, by Number of Registered Care Homes, 2010-14, (Units)
  • Figure 13: UK Residential Care Market, by number of registered care homes, 2010-2014, (Units)
  • Figure 14: The UK Residential Care Market, by Number of Registered Places, 2010-14, (000)
  • Figure 15: Average number of places, revenue per care home, and revenue per place, UK, 201014, (Average Number of Places, £000)
  • Figure 16: Revenue per Care Home and per Place, UK, 2010-2014, (Revenue per Place in £ and per Care Home in £000)
  • Figure 17: Segmentation of the UK Residential Care Market, by Type of Accommodation, 2010-14, (Number of Homes, Sheltered Housing in 000 units)
  • Figure 18: Segmentation of the UK Residential Care Market, by Type of Purchaser, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 19: Segmentation of the UK Residential Care Market, by Type of Purchaser, 2010 and 2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 20: Segmentation of the UK Residential Care Market, by Type of Provider, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 21: Segmentation of the UK Residential Care Market, by Type of Provider, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 22: Number of Local Authority funded adults in care homes, by type of provider, 2010-14, (Number of Residents)
  • Figure 23: Number of Local Authority-funded adults in care homes, by type of provider, 2010-2014, (Number of residents)
  • Figure 24: Segmentation of local authority commissioned residential and nursing care, by provider and client type, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 25: Segmentation of local authority commissioned residential and nursing care, by provider and client type, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 26: Segmentation of local authority expenditure on residential care services for older people (65+), by service type, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 27: Segmentation of local authority expenditure on residential care services for older people (65+), by service type, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 28: Segmentation of local authority expenditure on residential care services for adults aged 18-64, by service type, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 29: Segmentation of local authority expenditure on residential care services for adults aged 18-64, by care need type, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 30: Segmentation of NHS expenditure on residential and nursing care, by provider type, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 31: Segmentation of NHS expenditure on residential and nursing care, by provider type, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 32: Private expenditure on residential and nursing care, 2010-14, (£ Million and % market share)
  • Figure 33: Private Expenditure on residential and nursing care, 2010-2014, (£ Million)
  • Figure 34: The Development of Sheltered Housing in the UK, 2010-14, (000 Units and % change)
  • Figure 35: Development of Sheltered Housing in the UK, 2010-2014, (000 Units)
  • Figure 36: Segmentation of Sheltered Housing in the UK, by Sector and Region, 2013, (000 Units)
  • Figure 37: Local authority supported adults in residential and nursing care, by region, 2009/10-2013/14, (Number of people)
  • Figure 38: Local authority supported adults in residential and nursing care, by region, 2009/10 and 2013/14, (Number of People)
  • Figure 39: Local authority supported adults in independent sector residential care, by region, 2009/10-2013/14, (Number of people)
  • Figure 40: Local authority supported adults in independent sector residential care, by region, 2009/10 and 2013/14, (Number of People)
  • Figure 41: Local authority supported adults in local authority staffed residential care, by region, 2009/10-2013/14, (Number of people)
  • Figure 42: Local authority supported adults in local authority staffed residential care, by region, 2009/10 and 2013/14, (Number of People)
  • Figure 43: Local authority supported adults in nursing care, by region, 2009/10-2013/14, (Number of people)
  • Figure 44: Local authority supported adults in nursing care, by region, 2009/10 and 2013/14, (Number of People)
  • Figure 45: Attitudes to residential care, July 2014
  • Figure 46: Attitudes to Residential Care, by gender, (% of respondents)
  • Figure 47: Important factors when choosing a residential care home, July 2014
  • Figure 48: Important factors when choosing a residential care home, Top Five, (% of respondents)
  • Figure 49: Financial Analysis of Abbeyfield Society, 2010-14, (£000)
  • Figure 50: Financial Analysis of Anchor Trust, 2009-13 (£ Million)
  • Figure 51: Financial Analysis of Bupa, 2009-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 52: Divisional Analysis of Bupa, 2011-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 53: Financial Analysis of Bupa Care Homes (ANS), 2009-13 (£ Million)
  • Figure 54: Financial Analysis of Bupa Care Homes (CFG), 2009-13 (£ Million)
  • Figure 55: Financial Analysis of Care UK, 2009-13 (£ Million)
  • Figure 56: Revenue breakdown of Care UK, by division, 2012-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 57: Financial Analysis of Four Seasons Health Care, 2009-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 58: Financial Analysis of Avante Partnership, 2009-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 59: Financial Analysis of Methodist Homes, 2010-14, (£ Million)
  • Figure 60: Financial Analysis of HC-One, 2012-13, (£ Million)
  • Figure 61: Financial Analysis of the Priory Group, 2009-2013, (£ Million)
  • Figure 62: Profiled Companies' Turnover, 2009-2013, (£ Million)
  • Figure 63: Forecast UK residential and nursing care, by number of places, 2015-19, (000 places)
  • Figure 64: Forecast UK residential and nursing care, by number of places, 2015-2019, (000 Places)
  • Figure 65: Forecast UK residential and nursing care, by number of homes, 2015-19, (Number of Homes)
  • Figure 66: Forecast UK residential and nursing care, by number of homes, 2015-2019, (Number of Homes)
  • Figure 67: Forecast UK Sheltered Housing Units, 2015-2019, (000)
  • Figure 68: Forecast UK Sheltered Housing Units, 2015-2019, (000)
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