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Market Research Report

RENEWABLE ENERGY - GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS Market - UK 2010-2020

Published by AMA Research
Published July, 2010 Product code 128531
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US $ 1150 PDF by E-mail ( Single User License)


RENEWABLE ENERGY - GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS Market - UK 2010-2020 published by AMA Research in July, 2010. This report price starts from US $ 1150.

Introduction

Abstract

INTRODUCTION and OVERVIEW

AMA Research is publishing brand new reports covering different aspects of the rapidly growing microgeneration sector.

In the UK, the market for Heat Pumps is currently underdeveloped, but the government' s target of 15% of energy to be derived from renewables by 2020 assumes significant growth of ground and air source heat pumps in order to meet this commitment.

The report contains:

  • MARKET OVERVIEW - market size, review of key market influences and analysis of current developments.
  • PRODUCT REVIEW - types of product, mix of GSHP/ASHP, residential/non-residential
  • REVIEW OF THE SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE
  • FORECASTS FOR MARKET DEVELOPMENTS UP TO 2020 - volumes/product and sector mix

Heat pumps are used to heat buildings and water in the commercial, industrial and residential sectors in the UK. In many European countries, heat pumps have been an accepted system and technology for over 20 years but volume production is still relatively low. Most leading players are parts of major groups involved in the heating industry, with international operations. In the medium term, capacity will need to increase - not only in terms of production, but also in terms of installation capability.

Ares of particular interest include:

  • UK market development compared with activity in key European markets.
  • Government incentives to stimulate developments in the renewable energy sector.
  • Review of different types of pumps and their applications.
  • New build versus retro-fit - comparison of issues involved.
  • Market forecasts up to 2020 - volumes, barriers to growth.

Key areas of coverage in the report include:

KEY MARKET INFLUENCES

  • Housing market structure, UK dwelling stock, housing stock mix by age (2007/2050).
  • Growth in proportion of owner-occupied housing.
  • Government Incentives - Low Carbon Buildings Programme (LCBP). Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) scheme, Feed-In-Tariffs (FIT' s), The Code for Sustainable Homes.
  • Provision of financial support - impact of change in government.

CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES

  • Strategies to combat climate change: the EU Renewable Energy Directive, the UK Renewable Energy Strategy, Code for Sustainable Homes, Warmer Homes Standard.
  • Establishment of Renewable Energy Deployment programme.
  • Overview of Renewable Energy market in UK - alternative options.

HEAT PUMP MARKET

  • UK Heat pumps market overview - product definitions, market values 2007-10, mix by material and installation cost.
  • Types of heat pump - ground to water, ground to air, air to water etc. key elements in the system, how systems operate, efficiency meausures (CoP values) etc.
  • European market overview - market size by volume, trends, share by major country, established markets provide measure for current UK developments. European and UK growth rates.
  • UK market overview - background to recent growth in demand - market size by unit sales and value, drivers of growth.
  • Product mix - comparison of ground source and air source heat pumps. Share mix by value 2009.
  • Analyis by sector - residential, industrial, commercial - share by sector 2010 and 2020, trends, mix of GSHP and ASHP in each sector.
  • Barriers to growth - electricity supply requirements, payback periods, installation, new build/replacement, performance, consumer awareness, space availability etc.
  • Forecasts up to 2020 - alternative views, volumes from 2007-20, mix by GSHP/ASHP, key influencing factors. Forecasts of growth rates in residential, commercial and industrial sectors up to 2020.

SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE

  • Key players - designers, suppliers, manufactures, installers.
  • UK distribution structure - key routes to market.

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 BACKGROUND
  • 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION

2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS

  • 2.1 SUMMARY
  • 2.2 FUTURE PROSPECTS

3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

  • 3.1 GDP
  • 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES
  • 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
  • 3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION
  • 3.6 STERLING
  • 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE
  • 3.8 CONCLUSIONS

4. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES

  • 4.1 HOUSING MARKET STRUCTURE
    • 4.1.1 All Dwellings
    • 4.1.2 Housing Stock - Current and Forecasts up to 2050

5. CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES

  • 5.1 BACKGROUND & CURRENT ENERGY SUPPLIES IN THE UK
    • 5.1.1 Renewable Sources of Energy
    • 5.1.2 Renewable Energy Strategy

6. GROUND & AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS - SECTOR OVERVIEW

  • 6.1 HEAT PUMPS MARKET OVERVIEW
  • 6.2 TYPES OF HEAT PUMP
    • 6.2.1 Ground Source Heat Pumps
    • 6.2.2 Air Source Heat Pumps

7. HEAT PUMP MARKET

  • 7.1 EUROPE
  • 7.2 UK
    • 7.2.1 Market Size
  • 7.3 PRODUCT MIX
  • 7.4 APPLICATION SECTORS
    • 7.4.1 Residential Sector
    • 7.4.2 Industrial / Commercial / Public Sectors
  • 7.5 GOVERNMENT INCENTIVES
  • 7.6 BARRIERS TO GROWTH
  • 7.7 MARKET FORECASTS
    • 7.7.1 By Product
    • 7.7.2 By Sector

8. SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE

  • 8.1 KEY MANUFACTURERS
  • 8.2 KEY DESIGNERS / SUPPLIERS / INSTALLERS / DISTRIBUTORS

TABLES AND CHARTS

  • CHART 1: UK GROUND / AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS MARKET 2007-2010 - BY VALUE (MIX BY MATERIAL AND INSTALLATION COST)
  • CHART 2: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1992-2014
  • CHART 3: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1992-2014
  • TABLE 4: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2004-2010 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES
  • CHART 5: AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION MID-2008 (‘00)
  • TABLE 6: UK DWELLING STOCK BY TENURE (‘00S) 2004-2009
  • CHART 7: HOUSING STOCK BY COUNTRY AND TENURE 2009 (%)
  • CHART 8: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION STARTS & COMPLETIONS AND FORECASTS 2004 TO 2014 BY VOLUME
  • CHART 9: UK SOCIAL HOUSING COMPLETIONS 1981-2009
  • CHART 10: MIX OF STOCK OF DWELLINGS BY AGE 2007 - ENGLAND
  • TABLE 11: UK HOUSING STOCK PROFILE - COMPARISONS BY AGE PROFILE 2007 AND 2050 - VOLUME OF DWELLINGS (MILLIONS)
  • CHART 12: FUEL INPUT FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY MILLION TONNES OF OIL EQUIVALENT (TOE) 1989-2009
  • CHART 13: POSSIBLE FUTURE ELECTRICITY GENERATION MIX BY FUEL TYPE 2020 (GAS, NUCLEAR, RENEWABLES, COAL, OTHERS)
  • CHART 14: ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES (%) (WIND, BIOFUELS, HYDRO, PHOTOVOLTAICS ETC)
  • CHART 15: ILLUSTRATIVE RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY BREAKDOWN TO REACH 2020 TARGET (DBERR CONSULTATION)
  • TABLE 16: CODE LEVELS 1-6 BUILD COST PREMIUMS BY BUILDING TYPE AND LEVEL
  • CHART 17: UK GROUND / AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS MARKET 2007-2010 - BY VALUE (MIX BY MATERIAL AND INSTALLATION COST)
  • CHART 18: ESTIMATED SALES OF HEAT PUMPS IN WESTERN EUROPE - 2009
  • CHART 19: % GROWTH IN HEAT PUMPS IN KEY EUROPEAN MARKETS 2007/08
  • TABLE 20: UK HEAT PUMP MARKET 2007-2010 (BY VOLUME AND VALUE)
  • CHART 21: HEAT PUMP MARKET - PRODUCT MIX BY VALUE 2009
  • CHART 22: UK MARKET FOR GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS - 2010 SHARE BY VALUE AND APPLICATION - RESIDENTIAL, INDUSTRIAL, COMMERCIAL / PUBLIC SECTOR
  • CHART 23: ESTIMATED SALES OF GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS IN THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR BY VOLUME - 2010
  • CHART 24: NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS ON AND OFF THE MAINS GAS NETWORK
  • CHART 25: AVERAGE GAS CONSUMPTION FOR DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS, 2008
  • CHART 26: SELF-BUILD MARKET - COMPLETIONS BY VOLUME 2005-2013
  • CHART 27: ESTIMATED MIX OF GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS IN THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR - 2010 BY VOLUME
  • CHART 28: ESTIMATED MIX OF GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS IN THE COMMERCIAL SECTOR - 2010 BY VOLUME
  • TABLE 29: FEED-IN-TARIFFS - PROPOSED TARIFF LEVELS - GSHP / ASHP
  • CHART 30: HEAT PUMP MARKET - RANGE OF FORECASTS 2010-2020
  • CHART 31: FORECAST SALES OF GROUND SOURCE AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS BY VOLUME 2007 - 2020
  • CHART 32: GSHP AND ASHP MARKET FORECASTS - 2010-20120 BY VOLUME
  • CHART 33: INTERNATIONAL GROWTH RATE COMPARISONS - 2007-08
  • TABLE 34: FORECAST SALES OF GROUND AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS BY SECTOR (RESIDENTIAL, INDUSTRIAL, COMMERCIAL / PUBLIC) AND NUMBER OF INSTALLATIONS - UK 2010-2020
  • CHART 35: HEAT PUMP INSTALLATIONS IN THE UK 2010 - 2020
  • CHART 36: DISTRIBUTION OF HEAT PUMPS IN THE UK MARKET

APPENDIX 1: DECC REVIEW - ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO 2020

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