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M2M Device Connections and Revenue: Worldwide Forecast 2013-2023

Abstract

We believe that device connections will increase more slowly than previously anticipated, particularly in the energy and utility sectors.

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Machine-to-machine (M2M) represents a strong growth market across various industry segments. At the end of 2013, there will be 0.2 billion M2M device connections worldwide. This will increase to 2.2 billion by 2023. Utilities is the fastest-growing sector, which will account for 67% of overall M2M device connections by 2023. This report presents the annual update to our forecast for M2M connections.


The report provides:

  • a detailed 10-year forecast, worldwide and for eight regions, of:
    • M2M device connections
    • M2M connectivity-related average revenue per connection (ARPC)
    • M2M connectivity-related revenue.
  • analysis of key forecast data for connections, revenue and ARPC
  • a comparison of the trends in developed and emerging markets, and for fixed and mobile M2M solutions
  • a comparison of the latest forecast with our previous forecast
  • recommendations for operators and vendors.

Data coverage

Forecast data for connections, ARPC and connectivity-related revenue is broken down by:

  • market type (developed and emerging)
  • network type (mobile and fixed)
  • enterprise size (SMEs and large enterprises/public sector).

Forecast data covers the following eight industry sectors and 24 M2M solutions within those sectors:

  • automotive and transport
  • security
  • healthcare
  • government
  • utilities
  • retail
  • financial services
  • industrial.

Geographical coverage

Data is provided for the following eight regions:

  • Western Europe
  • Central and Eastern Europe
  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Developed Asia-Pacific
  • Emerging Asia-Pacific
  • Middle East and North Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa.

Table of Contents

  • 5.About this report
  • 6.Executive summary
  • 7.Executive summary: M2M connections worldwide will grow by a CAGR of 29% through 2023
  • 8.Executive summary: growth in M2M connections will be strongest for the utilities sector, in emerging markets, and on mobile networks
  • 9.Executive summary: worldwide M2M connectivity will generate USD88 billion in revenue by 2023, despite ARPC decline
  • 10.Recommendations
  • 11.Recommendations
  • 12.M2M device connections
  • 13.M2M device connections: worldwide [1]
  • 14.M2M device connections: worldwide [2]
  • 15.M2M device connections: developed versus emerging markets
  • 16.M2M device connections: fixed versus mobile networks
  • 17.M2M device connections: small and medium-sized enterprises
  • 18.M2M device connections: North America
  • 19.M2M device connections: Western Europe
  • 20.M2M device connections: Central and Eastern Europe
  • 21.M2M device connections: Developed Asia-Pacific
  • 22.M2M device connections: Emerging Asia-Pacific
  • 23.M2M device connections: Latin America
  • 24.M2M device connections: Middle East and North Africa
  • 25.M2M device connections: Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 26.M2M connectivity-related revenue
  • 27.M2M connectivity-related revenue and ARPC
  • 28.M2M connectivity-related revenue
  • 29.M2M connectivity-related revenue: developed versus emerging markets
  • 30.M2M connectivity-related revenue: Small and medium-sized enterprises
  • 31.M2M connectivity-related ARPC
  • 32.M2M connectivity-related ARPC: a sample of applications
  • 33.M2M connectivity-related ARPC: developed markets
  • 34.M2M connectivity-related ARPC: emerging markets
  • 35.Market definition and comparison with previous (2011-2021) forecast
  • 36.Market definition [1]
  • 37.Market definition [2]
  • 38.Definition of geographical regions
  • 39.M2M device connection forecast: percentage change
  • 40.Modifications to our updated forecast: 2011-2021 versus 2013-2023 [1]
  • 41.Modifications to our updated forecast: 2011-2021 versus 2013-2023 [2]
  • 42.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 43.About the authors
  • 44.About Analysys Mason
  • 45.Research from Analysys Mason
  • 46.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Breakdown of data included in this report
  • Figure 2: M2M device connections, worldwide, 2013-2021, comparison of 2012 and 2013 forecasts
  • Figure 3: M2M device connections, developed markets' share of connections and fixed networks' share of connections, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 4: M2M connectivity-related revenue and average revenue per connection (ARPC), worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 5: M2M device connections by sector, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 6: M2M device connections by sector, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 7: M2M device connections by market type, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 8: M2M device connections by network type, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 9: M2M device connections by size of enterprise, 2013-2023
  • Figure 10: M2M device connections by size of enterprise, excluding utilities sector, 2013-2023
  • Figure 11: M2M device connections by sector, North America, 2013-2023
  • Figure 12: M2M device connections by sector, Western Europe, 2013-2023
  • Figure 13: M2M device connections by sector, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013-2023
  • Figure 14: M2M device connections by sector, Developed Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
  • Figure 15: M2M device connections by sector, Emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013-2023
  • Figure 16: M2M device connections by sector, Latin America, 2013-2023
  • Figure 17: M2M device connections by sector, the Middle East and North Africa, 2013-2023
  • Figure 18: M2M device connections, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2013-2023
  • Figure 19: M2M connectivity-related revenue by sector, and ARPC, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 20: M2M connectivity-related revenue by sector (USD million), worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 21: M2M connectivity-related revenue, developed and emerging regions, 2013-2023
  • Figure 22: M2M connectivity-related revenue by size of enterprise, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 23: SME commercial fleet tracking M2M connectivity-related revenue and ARPC, worldwide, 2013-2023
  • Figure 24: Examples of M2M connectivity-related ARPC rates, by network and market type, 2013
  • Figure 25: M2M connectivity-related ARPC rates, developed markets, 2013-2023
  • Figure 26: M2M connectivity-related ARPC rates, emerging markets, 2013-2023
  • Figure 27: Summary of industry sectors and M2M solutions included in our forecast
  • Figure 28: Regional breakdown used in this report
  • Figure 29: Percentage change between 2012 and 2013 M2M device connection forecast, by sector (excluding financial), worldwide, 2013-2021
  • Figure 30: Percentage change between 2012 and 2013 M2M device connection forecast, financial services sector, worldwide, 2013-2021
  • Figure 31: M2M connections, 2012 and 2013 forecasts, worldwide, 2013-2021
  • Figure 32a: Revisions to our M2M forecast, by industry sector
  • Figure 32b: Revisions to our M2M forecast, by industry sector
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