An overview of the global market for lightweight materials in transportation
equipment, including motor vehicles, aircraft, trains, and ships
Analyses of global market trends, with data from 2011, estimates for 2012, and
projections of compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) through 2017
Identification of lightweight materials that are in commercial use or under
development for transportation applications
Discussion of trends by type of material and application
Factors that will influence the long-term development of the market
Comprehensive company profiles of major players in the industry.
REPORT SCOPE
INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND
Reducing structural weight is one of the most important ways of reducing fuel
consumption and improving the performance of motor vehicles and other types of
transportation equipment. For example, an estimated 75% of the average motor
vehicle's fuel consumption is directly related to factors associated with
vehicle weight.
Less weight, consistent with other performance and safety requirements, means
more useful work can be extracted from a unit of fuel or other energy source.
In addition, weight-reducing technologies are critical to the success of new,
highly efficient energy technologies such as hybrid vehicles.
Downsizing is one approach to reducing structural weight. However, practical
considerations, safety standards and consumer preferences combine to limit the
potential for reducing the weight of most transportation systems further
through downsizing.
The alternative to downsizing is the development of materials that combine
relatively low mass (weight) with the requisite strength, flexibility and
other performance criteria. The aircraft industry was the first to introduce
lightweight materials (e.g., aluminum alloys) on a widespread scale beginning
in the 1920s. This continues today with the adoption of lightweight composite
materials.
Other industries, particularly the automotive industry, did not embrace
lightweight materials as rapidly as the aircraft industry. However, in the
1990s automakers doubled their use of aluminum in an effort to reduce vehicle
weight to meet federal fuel economy standards. While the Aluminum Association
projects that automotive demand for aluminum should slow in the early 21st
century, automakers are now incorporating increasing amounts of composites in
their products.
STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
This report is an update of a BCC Research report published in early 2011.
The overall goal of this report is to provide an up-to-date assessment of the
business opportunities for providers of lightweight materials that will arise
over the next five years as these materials increase their penetration into
various transportation markets. In support of this goal, specific objectives
of the report include:
Identifying the lightweight materials with the greatest commercial
potential in transportation applications over the next five years (2012 to
2017).
Estimating the potential global markets for these technologies.
Analyzing the technical, commercial and other prerequisites of success in
these markets.
INTENDED AUDIENCE
The report is intended especially for manufacturers and users of lightweight
materials in the transportation equipment industry. Although the report is
structured around specific technologies, it is largely nontechnical in nature
and concerned primarily with markets, pricing, competition and other
marketing-related issues.
As such, the report's intended audience is mainly marketing executives,
entrepreneurs, investors, venture capitalists and other readers with a need to
know where the transportation market for lightweight materials is headed in
the next five years. The report is not written specifically for scientists
and technologists, although its findings regarding the market for their work,
including the availability of government and corporate research funding for
different technologies and applications, should interest them as well.
Others who should find the report informative include government agencies,
environmental and public policy interest groups focusing on transportation,
energy conservation, the environment and sustainable development in general.
SCOPE OF REPORT
The report is global in scope, focusing on the worldwide market for
lightweight materials in transportation equipment, including motor vehicles,
aircraft, trains and ships. Lightweight materials are defined broadly as
materials that are used in the fabrication of equipment primarily in order to
minimize weight.
As the term is used in this report, transportation equipment includes all
motorized vehicles or craft used to convey people, animals or cargo between
two points, except for vehicles/craft used exclusively for sports or
recreation applications (e.g., glider aircraft and sailboats). Sports and
recreation vehicles and craft are excluded in part because they are the
subject of another BCC report, AVM053A Materials and Devices for
High-Performance Sports Products. In this report, dual-purpose transportation
equipment, such as small airplanes, is analyzed along with vehicles and craft
whose purpose is primarily commercial.
The report also does not cover motor vehicles, ships and aircraft built for
and used by the armed forces of the United States and other nations.
The report includes the following major elements:
Executive summary.
Definitions.
Lightweight materials that are in commercial use or under development for
transportation applications.
Lightweight materials and applications with the greatest commercial
potential through 2017.
Global market trends by type of material and application, 2011 to 2017.
Factors that will influence the long-term development of the market.
INFORMATION SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY
The information sources and methodologies used to develop the market
projections in this report are discussed at length in the section "Global
Market for Lightweight Materials in Transportation Applications, 2011 through
2017/Detailed Market Estimates and Projections." In general, BCC used the
following approach:
Identified commercial as well as promising developmental materials and
their target markets through a literature review and interviews with industry
experts.
Estimated baseline (2011) market penetration ratio for each material and
target market.
Developed forecasts of growth trends in each target market.
Analyzed technical, economic and other factors that will influence the
ability of different materials to compete for a share of their respective
market(s) and estimated future consumption of each material on this basis.
The report estimates the market for each technology in unit as well as cost
terms. Average cost data were obtained from a variety of sources, including
industry publications, manufacturers' price lists and contacts with industry
sources. Where possible, BCC has projected 2017 prices based on factors such
as historical price trends, supply-demand relationships and overall levels of
production.
The report carefully documents data sources and assumptions. In this way,
readers can see how the market estimates were developed and, if they so
desire, they can test the impact on the final numbers of changing assumptions
such as price.
ANALYST CREDENTIALS
Andrew McWilliams, the author of this report, is a partner in the Boston-based
international technology and marketing consulting firm, 43rd Parallel LLC. He
is the author of numerous other BCC Research business opportunity analyses,
including the previous edition of this report, as well as analyses of related
markets such as EGY051A Petroleum Fuel Optimization Technologies; AVM038D
Advanced Structural Carbon Products: Fibers, Foams and Composites; AVM053A
Materials and Devices for High-Performance Sports Products; and NAN021E
Nanocomposites, Nanoparticles, Nanoclays and Nanotubes.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Chapter- 1: INTRODUCTION - Complimentary
BACKGROUND
STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
INTENDED AUDIENCE
SCOPE OF REPORT
INFORMATION SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY
ANALYST CREDENTIALS
RELATED BCC PUBLICATIONS
BCC ONLINE SERVICES
DISCLAIMER
Chapter- 2: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Table Summary : GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN TRANSPORTATION,
THROUGH 2017
Figure Summary : TRENDS IN GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT, 2011-2017
Chapter- 3: OVERVIEW
DEFINITIONS
IMPORTANCE OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS
END-USER SEGMENTS
Chapter- 4: LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS FOR TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
OVERVIEW
Chapter- 5: PATENT ANALYSIS
OVERVIEW
PATENTS BY TYPE OF MATERIAL
PATENTS BY TYPE OF TRANSPORT APPLICATION
Chapter- 6: PUBLIC POLICY DIMENSIONS OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS
BACKGROUND
UNITED STATES
EUROPEAN UNION
JAPAN
OTHER COUNTRIES
Chapter- 7: GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT
SUMMARY
DETAILED MARKET ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS
Chapter- 8: COMPANY PROFILES
3M CO.
ADVANCED MAGNESIUM ALLOYS CORP.
AEROSPACE METAL COMPOSITES
AKZO NOBEL NV
ALCOA INC.
AZDEL INC.
BASF SE
BAYER MATERIAL SCIENCE AG
CYTEC INDUSTRIES INC.
DOW CHEMICAL CO.
E.I. DU PONT DE NEMOURS AND CO.
DWA ALUMINUM COMPOSITES
EXATEC LLC
FMW COMPOSITE SYSTEMS INC.
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA
HEXCEL CORP.
HOLLAND CO.
LANXESS AG
LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES
MAGNESIUM ELEKTRON
MARTIN MARIETTA COMPOSITES
MERITOR INC.
MESSIER-BUGATTI-DOWTY
METAL MATRIX CAST COMPOSITES LLC
MX COMPOSITES AB
POLYONE CORP.
RAYMOR INDUSTRIES INC.
RENTON COIL SPRING CO.
RHODIA SA
SABIC INNOVATIVE PLASTICS
SIEMENS AG
SOLVAY SA
TICONA ENGINEERING POLYMERS
TITANIUM METALS CORP.
UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
U.S. STEEL CORP.
VERKHNAYA SALDA METALLURGICAL PRODUCTION ASSOC.
VICTREX PLC
List of Tables
Summary Table : GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN TRANSPORTATION,
THROUGH 2017
Table 1 : TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT MATERIALS CONSUMPTION, THROUGH 2017
Table 2 : PROJECTED MOTOR VEHICLE PRODUCTION BY TYPE, THROUGH 2017
Table 3 : GLOBAL SHIPMENTS OF RAILWAY LOCOMOTIVES AND ROLLING STOCK, 2011
Table 4 : PROJECTED SHIPMENTS OF RAILWAY LOCOMOTIVES AND ROLLING STOCK,
THROUGH 2017
Table 5 : AVERAGE WEIGHT OF RAILWAY LOCOMOTIVES AND ROLLING STOCK, 2011
Table 6 : WORLD SHIP DELIVERIES, THROUGH 2011
Table 7 : WORLD SHIP DELIVERIES, THROUGH 2017
Table 8 : GLOBAL DELIVERIES OF CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, 2011 THROUGH 2017
Table 9 : CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT AVERAGE UNLOADED WEIGHT BY TYPE OF AIRCRAFT,
2011
Table 10 : MAJOR END USES AND APPLICATIONS OF HIGH-STRENGTH STEEL
Table 11 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF LIGHTWEIGHT STEEL FOR TRANSPORTATION
APPLICATIONS
Table 12 : ALUMINUM ALLOY DESIGNATIONS
Table 13 : AVERAGE LIGHT VEHICLE ALUMINUM CONTENT BY REGION OF MANUFACTURE
AND YEAR, 2002 THROUGH 2012
Table 14 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF ALUMINUM FOR TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 15 : TITANIUM ALLOYS COMMONLY USED IN AEROSPACE APPLICATIONS
Table 16 : TITANIUM APPLICATIONS IN MOTOR VEHICLES
Table 17 : MAJOR SUPPLIERS OF TITANIUM AND TITANIUM PRODUCTS FOR
TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 18 : MAJOR SUPPLIERS OF MAGNESIUM AND MAGNESIUM PRODUCTS FOR
TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 19 : COMMONLY USED PLASTICS IN TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 20 : TYPICAL PLASTICS APPLICATIONS IN MOTOR VEHICLES
Table 21 : TYPICAL PLASTICS APPLICATIONS IN AIRCRAFT
Table 22 : PRICES OF PLASTICS USED IN TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 23 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF PLASTICS FOR TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 24 : TYPICAL SMC/BMC FORMULATION
Table 25 : TYPICAL COMPOSITE APPLICATIONS IN MOTOR VEHICLES
Table 26 : AUTOMOTIVE APPLICATIONS OF NANOCOMPOSITE MATERIALS
Table 27 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF POLYMER COMPOSITES FOR TRANSPORTATION
APPLICATIONS
Table 28 : POTENTIAL AUTOMOTIVE APPLICATIONS OF MMCS
Table 29 : POTENTIAL COMMERCIAL/GENERAL AVIATION APPLICATIONS OF MMCS
Table 30 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF METAL MATRIX COMPOSITES FOR
TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS
Table 31 : MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF HYBRID MATERIALS FOR TRANSPORTATION
APPLICATIONS
Table 32 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN TRANSPORTATION
EQUIPMENT, 2011 THROUGH 2017
Table 33 : GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN TRANSPORTATION
EQUIPMENT BY END-USER SEGMENT, 2011 THROUGH 2017
Table 34 : GLOBAL LIGHTWEIGHT TRANSPORTATION MATERIALS MARKET SHARES BY
END-USER SEGMENT, THROUGH 2017
Table 35 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN MOTOR
VEHICLES, THROUGH 2017
Table 36 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS CONSUMED IN PRODUCTION OF PASSENGER CARS
AND LIGHT TRUCKS, 2011
Table 37 : PROJECTED GLOBAL SHIPMENTS OF PASSENGER CARS AND OTHER LIGHT
VEHICLES, THROUGH 2017
Table 38 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN PASSENGER
CARS AND LIGHT TRUCKS THROUGH 2017*
Table 39 : PROJECTED WEIGHT OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIAL USED IN HEAVY TRUCKS,
2011-2017
Table 40 : PROJECTED AVERAGE PRICE OF ALUMINUM ALLOYS USED IN HEAVY
TRUCKS, THROUGH 2017
Table 41 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN HEAVY TRUCKS
THROUGH 2017
Table 42 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN THE FABRICATION OF BUSES, 2011
Table 43 : MARKET PENETRATION RATIOS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
BUSES, 2011-2017
Table 44 : PRICES OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN THE FABRICATION OF
BUSES, 2011
Table 45 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN BUSES
THROUGH 2017*
Table 46 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN FABRICATION OF RAILWAY EQUIPMENT,
2011
Table 47 : MARKET PENETRATION RATIOS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
RAILWAY EQUIPMENT, 2011-2017
Table 48 : PRICES OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN FABRICATION OF RAILWAY
EQUIPMENT, THROUGH 2017
Table 49 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN RAILWAY
LOCOMOTIVES AND CARS, THROUGH 2017
Table 50 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN FABRICATION OF COMMERCIAL SHIPS,
2011
Table 51 : PROJECTED WEIGHT OF MATERIAL USED IN COMMERCIAL SHIPBUILDING,
2011-2017
Table 52 : MARKET PENETRATION RATIOS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
COMMERCIAL SHIPBUILDING, 2011-2017
Table 53 : PRICE TRENDS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN COMMERCIAL
SHIPBUILDING, 2011-2017
Table 54 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN SHIPBUILDING,
THROUGH 2017
Table 55 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN FABRICATION OF COMMERCIAL AND
CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, 2011
Table 56 : PROJECTED WEIGHT OF MATERIAL USED IN COMMERCIAL AND CIVILIAN
AIRCRAFT, 2011-2017
Table 57 : MARKET PENETRATION RATIOS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
COMMERCIAL AND CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, 2011-2017
Table 58 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN COMMERCIAL AND CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT,
2011-2017
Table 59 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN COMMERCIAL
AND CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, THROUGH 2017
List of Figures
Summary Figure : TRENDS IN GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT, 2011-2017
Figure 1 : TRANSPORTATION SECTOR SHARE OF GLOBAL LIQUID FUELS CONSUMPTION,
2008 AND 2035
Figure 2 : GLOBAL FUEL CONSUMPTION BY TRANSPORT MODE, 2011
Figure 3 : GLOBAL TRANSPORT SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
Figure 4 : COMPARATIVE COST/STRENGTH OF STEEL VERSUS LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS
FOR VEHICLE PRIMARY STRUCTURES, 2011
Figure 5 : TRENDS IN TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT MATERIALS CONSUMPTION,
2011-2017
Figure 6 : MAJOR END-USER SHARES OF TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT MATERIALS
CONSUMPTION, 2011 VERSUS 2017
Figure 7 : GLOBAL PRODUCTION OF MOTOR VEHICLES BY TYPE, 2011
Figure 8 : FUTURE TRENDS IN PRODUCTION OF MOTOR VEHICLES BY TYPE, 2011 2017
Figure 9 : AVERAGE VEHICLE WEIGHTS BY CLASS, 2011
Figure 10 : TOTAL MOTOR VEHICLE MATERIAL USAGE, 2011-2017
Figure 11 : TOTAL RAILWAY LOCOMOTIVE AND ROLLING STOCK MATERIAL USAGE,
2011 THROUGH 2017
Figure 12 : TRENDS IN WORLD SHIP DELIVERIES, 2004-2011
Figure 13 : PROJECTED SHIP DELIVERIES, 2011-2017
Figure 14 : STEELWEIGHT OF PROJECTED SHIP DELIVERIES, 2011-2017
Figure 15 : GLOBAL CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES, 2011
Figure 16 : TRENDS IN GLOBAL DELIVERIES OF CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, 2011-2017
Figure 17 : TOTAL CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT MATERIALS USAGE, 2011-2017
Figure 18 : TRENDS IN GLOBAL CARBON STEEL PRICES, 1995-2012
Figure 19 : TRENDS IN AVERAGE LIGHT VEHICLE ALUMINUM CONTENT BY REGION OF
MANUFACTURE AND YEAR, 2002-2012
Figure 20 : MAIN ALUMINUM APPLICATIONS IN PASSENGER CARS AND LIGHT TRUCKS,
2012
Figure 21 : ALUMINUM ALLOY PRICE TRENDS, 1995 THROUGH 2012
Figure 22 : TRENDS IN AVERAGE MAGNESIUM PRICES, 2011-2017
Figure 23 : U.S. PATENTS ISSUED THROUGH OCT. 2012 RELATING TO LIGHTWEIGHT
MATERIALS FOR TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS, BY TYPE OF MATERIAL
Figure 24 : U.S. PATENTS ISSUED THROUGH OCT. 2012 AND PATENT APPLICATIONS
RELATING TO LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS FOR TRANSPORTATION APPLICATIONS, BY TYPE OF
APPLICATION
Figure 25 : TRENDS IN GLOBAL MARKET FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT, 2011 THROUGH 2017
Figure 26 : GLOBAL LIGHTWEIGHT TRANSPORTATION MATERIALS MARKET SHARES BY
TYPE OF MATERIAL, 2011-2017
Figure 27 : GLOBAL LIGHTWEIGHT TRANSPORTATION MATERIALS MARKET DOLLAR
SHARES BY TYPE OF MATERIAL, 2011-2017
Figure 28 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS TONNAGE SHARES OF MOTOR VEHICLE MARKET,
2011-2017
Figure 29 : LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS DOLLAR SHARES OF MOTOR VEHICLE MARKET,
2011-2017
Figure 30 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN AUTOS AND
LIGHT TRUCKS, 2011
Figure 31 : AUTOMOBILE AND LIGHT TRUCK CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT
MATERIALS, TONNAGE AND VALUE, 2011
Figure 32 : TRENDS IN WORLDWIDE SHIPMENTS OF PASSENGER CARS AND OTHER
LIGHT VEHICLES, 2011-2017
Figure 33 : MARKET PENETRATION RATIOS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN
AUTOS AND LIGHT TRUCKS, 2011-2017
Figure 34 : PRICE TRENDS FOR LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN AUTOS AND LIGHT
TRUCKS, 2011-2017
Figure 35 : AUTOMOBILE AND LIGHT TRUCK CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT
MATERIALS, 2017
Figure 36 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN HEAVY
TRUCKS, 2011
Figure 37 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN BUSES, 2011
Figure 38 : CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN THE FABRICATION OF
BUSES, TONS AND VALUE, 2011
Figure 39 : TRENDS IN WORLDWIDE SHIPMENTS OF BUSES AND RELATED MATERIALS
CONSUMPTION, 2011-2017
Figure 40 : CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN THE FABRICATION OF
BUSES, TONS AND VALUE, 2017
Figure 41 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN RAILWAY
EQUIPMENT, 2011
Figure 42 : CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN THE FABRICATION OF
RAILWAY EQUIPMENT, TONS AND VALUE, 2011
Figure 43 : TRENDS IN WORLDWIDE SHIPMENTS RAILWAY CARS, 2011-2017
Figure 44 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN THE
FABRICATION OF RAILWAY EQUIPMENT, TONS AND VALUE, 2017
Figure 45 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN COMMERCIAL
SHIPBUILDING, 2011
Figure 46 : ONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN COMMERCIAL
SHIPBUILDING, TONS AND VALUE, 2011
Figure 47 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN COMMERCIAL
SHIPBUILDING, TONS AND VALUE, 2017
Figure 48 : GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS USED IN COMMERCIAL
AND CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, 2011
Figure 49 : CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN COMMERCIAL AND
CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, TONS AND VALUE, 2011
Figure 50 : PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS IN COMMERCIAL
AND CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT, TONS AND VALUE, 2017
Lightweight Materials in Transportation published by BCC Research in January 1, 2013. This report consists of 153 Pages and the price starts from US $ 5450.
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