The Global Wireless M2M Market - 4th Edition

Introduction

Abstract

The global wireless M2M market was strong in 2011, displaying growth in all major world regions and vertical segments. Berg Insight estimates that shipments of cellular M2M devices increased by 35.3 percent to a new record level of 50.8 million units. Adjusted for churn, this resulted in net additions of 29.3 million M2M connections in 2011, taking the worldwide number of cellular M2M subscribers to an estimated 108.0 million. Until 2016, Berg Insight forecasts that shipments of cellular M2M devices are forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.6 percent to reach 152.2 million units. Due to the wide adoption of wireless M2M technology across many industries, a substantial share of M2M device shipments is now generated from replacement sales. As a result the net increase of M2M subscribers will be substantially lower than M2M device shipments. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cellular M2M connections will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.2 percent between 2011 and 2016 to reach 359.3 million at the end of the period.

The most significant market development in 2011 was a major breakthrough for cellular M2M communication in Asia-Pacific. The number of M2M subscribers in the region increased by 64 percent to reach approximately 34.5 million at the year-end, fuelled by massive growth in China that almost doubled its cellular M2M subscriber base to approximately 21 million. North America and Europe recorded annual growth rates of around 26 percent each. At the end of 2011, the number of M2M subscribers in the EU and the US was around 30 million and 27 million respectively. Other world regions accounted for around 20 percent of the global cellular M2M subscriber base in 2011. Latin America had an estimated 6.6 million M2M subscribers, with Brazil being the most advanced country. South Asia and Southeast Asia were in a very early phase of adoption with few M2M subscribers in major countries such as India and Indonesia. The Middle East & Africa market was dominated by South Africa and Turkey, which had in excess of 1 million M2M subscribers each.

A sweeping change has transformed the wireless modules industry in the past years. The familiar brand names Siemens, Wavecom, Motorola and Enfora have disappeared and new players such as Sierra Wireless and Gemalto are now in charge of developments. Chinese vendors have taken over the domestic market and some of them are starting on international expansion. Despite a consolidation among Western vendors, average selling prices for wireless modules continue to decline and as a result industry revenues have been declining in the past years. Well executed transformational strategies will be the key to success for wireless module vendors in the years to come. Extended value propositions, product innovation and more mergers and acquisitions are some of the things to expect. Meanwhile software and system solutions has emerged as the fastest growing segment in the M2M industry. Increasingly advanced large-scale M2M applications require advanced service enablement platforms that integrate remote devices, mobile networks and enterprise applications. A wide range of players are attracted by the market opportunities in the space, most of them having backgrounds in embedded solutions, telecom OSS/BSS systems or enterprise application platforms.

Mobile operators all over the world have announced initiatives for driving growth in the wireless M2M market over the past years. The first results are now visible through rapidly increasing numbers of M2M subscribers and higher revenues. Berg Insight estimates that the world's ten largest telecom operators by revenues had 68.2 million M2M subscribers at the end of 2011, an increase of around 38 percent year-on-year. Around 3.4 percent of their aggregated base of 2.0 billion mobile subscribers was M2M devices. China Mobile is believed to have emerged as the world's largest provider of M2M connectivity during 2011, with an estimated 14 million subscribers at the year-end. AT&T established a clear leadership in the US with 13.1 million M2M subscribers, up 40 percent year-on-year. Meanwhile Verizon Wireless' M2M subscriber base increased modestly to around 8.6 million. Vodafone held the number three spot with approximately 9 million M2M connections, ahead of T-Mobile and Telefonica, which ended the year with around 6 - 8 million M2M connections each. China Telecom entered the top ten with around 4.5 million M2M subscribers, racing ahead of Telenor, Sprint and Orange at 2.5 - 3.5 million connections each.

• How will the global wireless M2M market evolve over the next five years?
• What are the main drivers behind growth in Europe and North America?
• What is the status of M2M in emerging markets?
• Which vertical market segments will be most important for driving future growth?
• What are the leading global mobile operators' strategies for the M2M market?
• How are SIM technology vendors positioning themselves in M2M?
• How will the emergence of wirelessly enabled consumer electronics change the market?
• Which are the leading providers of M2M service delivery and application platforms?

Million connections

Cellular M2M network connections (World 2010 -2016)

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Figures

Executive summary

1. Introduction to wireless M2M

• 1.1. Introduction
• 1.2. Devices
  • 1.2.1. Chipsets, modules and terminals
  • 1.2.2. Device design and machine integration
  • 1.2.3. Value chain
• 1.3. Networks
  • 1.3.1. GSM/HSPA networks
  • 1.3.2. CDMA networks
  • 1.3.3. LTE networks
  • 1.3.4. Other wireless networks
  • 1.3.5. Wireless M2M connectivity solutions
• 1.4. Applications
  • 1.4.1. Car telematics
  • 1.4.2. Fleet management
  • 1.4.3. Smart grids and intelligent metering
  • 1.4.4. Fixed wireless communication
  • 1.4.5. Remote control and monitoring
  • 1.4.6. Consumer electronics
• 1.5 Solution providers and integrators
  • 1.5.1. Device manufacturers
  • 1.5.2. System integrators
  • 1.5.3. Vertical ASPs
  • 1.5.4. B2B/B2C service providers
  • 1.5.5. OEMs

2. M2M technology providers

• 2.1. Wireless M2M module vendors
  • 2.1.1. Sierra Wireless
  • 2.1.2. Cinterion
  • 2.1.3. Telit
  • 2.1.4. Novatel Wireless
  • 2.1.5. u-blox
  • 2.1.6. Sagemcom
  • 2.1.7. AnyDATA
  • 2.1.8. Option
  • 2.1.9. SIMCom
  • 2.1.10. Huawei
  • 2.1.11. ZTE
  • 2.1.12. Second tier Asian embedded module vendors
• 2.2. Mobile security and SIM solution vendors
  • 2.2.1. Gemalto
  • 2.2.2. Giesecke & Devrient
  • 2.2.3. Oberthur Technologies
  • 2.2.4. Safran Morpho
• 2.3. M2M platform and software providers
  • 2.3.1. Amdocs
  • 2.3.2. Axeda
  • 2.3.3. Comarch
  • 2.3.4. Ericsson
  • 2.3.5. ILS Technology
  • 2.3.6. Jasper Wireless
  • 2.3.7. Logica
  • 2.3.8. Macheen
  • 2.3.9. Red Bend Software
  • 2.3.10. Wipro
• 2.4. Industry analysis
  • 2.4.1. A changing landscape for wireless module vendors
  • 2.4.2. Big opportunities in M2M software and OSS/BSS systems

3. M2M communication providers

• 3.1 Europe and International
  • 3.1.1. Vodafone
  • 3.1.2. Deutsche Telekom
  • 3.1.3. Telefonica
  • 3.1.4. Orange
  • 3.1.5. Telenor
  • 3.1.6. Everything Everywhere
  • 3.1.7. KPN
  • 3.1.8. SFR
  • 3.1.9. Swisscom
  • 3.1.10. Telecom Italia
  • 3.1.11. Telekom Austria
  • 3.1.12. TeliaSonera
  • 3.1.13. Turkcell
  • 3.1.14. M2M communication aggregators
  • 3.1.15. CDMA450 and alternative wireless network operators
• 3.2. The Americas
  • 3.2.1. AT&T
  • 3.2.2. Verizon Communications
  • 3.2.3. Sprint
  • 3.2.4. T-Mobile USA
  • 3.2.5. America Movil
  • 3.2.6. M2M communication aggregators
  • 3.2.7. Satellite network operators
• 3.3. Asia-Pacific
  • 3.3.1. China Mobile
  • 3.3.2. China Telecom
  • 3.3.3. China Unicom
  • 3.3.4. NTT DoCoMo
  • 3.3.5. KDDI
  • 3.3.6. Softbank
  • 3.3.7. SingTel
• 3.4. Industry analysis
  • 3.4.1. Global M2M trends in the mobile operator community
  • 3.4.2. Creating value-added M2M propositions
  • 3.4.3. Providing international coverage
  • 3.4.4. Enabling consumer M2M applications
  • 3.4.5. Migrating to 3G/4G networks
  • 3.4.6. Strategic options for mobile operators in M2M

4. Key vertical markets

• 4.1 OEM automotive
  • 4.1.1. Automotive industry trends
  • 4.1.2. OEM telematics offerings
  • 4.1.3. Regional market trends
• 4.2. Aftermarket automotive
  • 4.2.1. Key industry players
  • 4.2.2. Enterprise solutions - fleet management
  • 4.2.3. Consumer solutions - SVT and financial services
  • 4.2.4. Government solutions - vehicle tax collection
• 4.3. Smart grids and intelligent metering
  • 4.3.1. Energy meters
  • 4.3.2. Smart metering initiatives
  • 4.3.3. C&I and grid meters
  • 4.3.4. Mobile communication technologies and smart grid and metering networks
• 4.4. Fixed wireless communication
  • 4.4.1. POS-terminals
  • 4.4.2. Security alarms
• 4.5. Consumer electronics
  • 4.5.1. Media
  • 4.5.2. Automotive
  • 4.5.3. Healthcare

5. Market analysis and forecasts

• 5.1 Global market
  • 5.1.1. Devices
  • 5.1.2. Network connectivity
  • 5.1.3. Vertical markets
  • 5.1.4. Technology standards
• 5.2. Europe
• 5.3. North America
• 5.4. Latin America
• 5.5. Asia-Pacific
• 5.6. Middle East & Africa

Glossary

• Figure 1.1: Core elements of wireless M2M solutions
• Figure 1.2: Cost versus time diagram for wireless technology integration
• Figure 1.3: Examples of wireless M2M modules
• Figure 1.4: Examples of wireless M2M terminals
• Figure 1.5: System architecture for an end-to-end M2M solution
• Figure 1.6: M2M device value chain overview
• Figure 1.7: Top global GSM/HSPA operators by subscriber base (H1-2011)
• Figure 1.8: Top global CDMA operators by subscriber base (H1-2011)
• Figure 1.9: Examples of mobile operators committed to LTE by region
• Figure 1.10: Comparison of SIM form factors
• Figure 2.1: Top wireless module vendors, by M2M sales and shipments (World 2011)
• Figure 2.2: Sierra Wireless embedded modules and terminals (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.3: Cinterion embedded modules and terminals (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.4: Telit embedded modules and terminals (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.5: Novatel Wireless embedded modules and integrated devices (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.6: u-blox embedded wireless modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.7: Sagemcom wireless M2M modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.8: AnyDATA embedded modules and terminals (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.9: Option embedded modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.10: SIMCom embedded wireless modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.11: Huawei embedded modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.12: ZTE embedded modules (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.13: M2M platform selection by mobile operators (Q1-2012)
• Figure 2.14: Financial data for key embedded wireless module vendors (FY 2011)
• Figure 2.15: Financial KPIs for leading wireless M2M module vendors (2011)
• Figure 3.1: Mobile operators by M2M subscription base (World Q4-2011)
• Figure 3.2: Top five M2M communication providers in Europe (Q4-2011)
• Figure 3.3: Top five M2M communication providers in the Americas (Q4-2011)
• Figure 3.4: Examples of manufacturers of M2M devices certified by AT&T
• Figure 3.5: Examples of manufacturers of M2M devices certified by Verizon
• Figure 3.6: Sprint M2M Partners
• Figure 3.7: Top five M2M communication providers in Asia-Pacific (Q4-2011)
• Figure 3.8: M2M subscriber data for the top ten global telecom operators (Q4-2011)
• Figure 4.1: Motor vehicle production, by region and country (World 2011)
• Figure 4.2: Top automobile manufacturers by vehicle output (2010)
• Figure 4.3: Estimated motor vehicle sales in major markets (2010/2011)
• Figure 4.4: Top OEM telematics services by estimated subscriber base (2011)
• Figure 4.5: OnStar FMV rearview mirror telematics device
• Figure 4.6: Renault R-Link screenshot
• Figure 4.7: OEM truck telematics systems in Europe and the Americas
• Figure 4.8: Estimated vehicle population in major countries (2009/2010)
• Figure 4.9: Financial data for key players in aftermarket telematics (FY2010/2011)
• Figure 4.10: Major providers of fleet management solutions by installed base (2011)
• Figure 4.11: Major providers of private vehicle tracking by installed base (2011)
• Figure 4.12: Energy meter population, by region (World 2010)
• Figure 4.13: Energy meter shipments, by region (World 2010)
• Figure 4.14: Major power utilities deploying smart meters in Europe and North America
• Figure 4.15: POS-terminal installed base in major markets (World 2010)
• Figure 4.16: Top providers of monitored security alarms (World 2011)
• Figure 4.17: Examples of consumer devices with wireless connectivity (2011)
• Figure 4.18: Kindle Touch e-reader and Vizit photo frame
• Figure 5.1: M2M subscribers as share of regional population
• Figure 5.2: Cellular M2M device shipments forecast, by region (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.3: Cellular M2M device revenues forecast, by region (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.4: Cellular M2M subscriber forecast, by region (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.5: Cellular M2M network revenue forecast, by region (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.6: Cellular M2M communication market forecast, by vertical (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.7: Cellular M2M revenue forecast, by vertical (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.8: Cellular M2M market forecast, by network technology (World 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.9: Cellular M2M subscriber estimates for European countries (2010/2011)
• Figure 5.10: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Europe 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.11: Cellular M2M communication revenue forecast (Europe 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.12: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (North America 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.13: Cellular M2M communication revenue forecast (North America 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.14: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Latin America 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.15: Cellular M2M communication revenue forecast (Latin America 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.16: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Asia-Pacific 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.17: Cellular M2M communication revenue forecast (Asia-Pacific 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.18: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (MEA 2010 - 2016)
• Figure 5.19: Cellular M2M communication revenue forecast (MEA 2010 - 2016)

The Global Wireless M2M Market - 4th Edition published by Berg Insight AB in April 11, 2012. This report price starts from US $ 2250.

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Press Release

Cellular M2M Connections to Reach 359.3 Million by 2016