Market Research Report

Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading - 2nd Edition

cover Published by Berg Insight AB
Published Product code 244369
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Introduction

Abstract

This report will allow you to:

  • Understand the opportunities and challenges for small cell base stations.
  • Comprehend how femtocell technologies affect mobile networks.
  • Identify key players on the global small cell market.
  • Predict future business models for femtocell services.
  • Anticipate the timing of mass-deployments of small cell devices and services.
  • Realize the importance of integrated Wi-Fi offloading solutions.
  • Profit from valuable insights from the most successful offerings on the market.

Executive summary

Mobile operators are experiencing fast growth in mobile data and signalling traffic as customers increasingly use mobile computing devices. Adoption of smartphones is rising and more subscribers use multiple connected devices such as PCs and tablets. Total mobile data traffic in cellular networks have more than doubled every year since 2007 and is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 60 percent from 2011 until 2016. Subscribers are also becoming more reliant on mobile phones as their primary or only device for voice communication and therefore expect ubiquitous network coverage.

In order to meet the rising demand, operators need to use a combination of approaches. These include improving the mobile macro layer by using more spectrum and increasingly advanced radio air interfaces with higher spectral efficiency, making the macro layer denser by installing more base stations in traffic hotspots, as well as introducing heterogeneous networks (HetNets). HetNets are composed of multiple radio access technologies, architectures, backhaul solutions and base stations of varying transmission power. Examples of low power nodes include Remote Radio Units (RRU) and Distributed Antenna Systems (DAS), as well as small autonomous base stations including microcells, picocells and femtocells. Making use of Wi-Fi access points in unlicensed spectrum is also an increasingly attractive solution as new standardisation and interoperability efforts aim to make the network selection and user identification process seamless. HetNets will become increasingly important in the future as spectrum is a scarce resource and densification of the macro network gets more costly as site acquisition in metropolitan areas becomes more difficult. Several operators have already deployed microcells, picocells, femtocells and integrated carrier Wi-Fi network solutions. The first commercial integrated HetNets will be deployed starting in 2013.

A microcell is a small cellular base station that covers a limited area such as a shopping mall or a train station. Microcells are often deployed to add network coverage and capacity in areas with dense phone usage, or temporarily during various events when the need for capacity is known in advance. Output power is usually a few watts and the radius of the coverage area ranges between 100 metres and 300 metres. Similar to microcells, picocells add coverage and capacity to limited geographical areas such as offices or public venues.

These cells are often found inside buildings where coverage is poor or where there is a dense population of users. There is no clear distinction between microcells and picocells, though picocells are usually smaller, have lower output power and may support fewer simultaneous users. Picocells and microcells are deployed by the operator and are part of the RAN. Femtocells are low power cellular access points with about 20 - 100 mW output power, intended to extend coverage and offload the macro network in home and small office environments, supporting four to eight simultaneous users. Femtocells have been developed to work with a range of different cellular standards including CDMA, GSM, HSPA and LTE. Femtocells are self-installing plug-and-play devices deployed by users, similar to Wi-Fi access points. Femtocells use IP broadband connections for backhaul of voice and data. However, in contrast to Wi-Fi access points, femtocells are mobile infrastructure components that operate in licensed spectrum. Mobile operators usually install femtocell gateways that act as concentrators for integrating a large number of femtocells with the core network. About 40 mobile operators in 24 countries now offer femtocells to consumer and enterprise customers. However, the deployments have mainly been driven by large operator groups while smaller operators have struggled to justify the high costs of building and integrating a femtocell core network.

Berg Insight estimates that mobile operators globally had deployed 2.2 million small cell cellular base stations at the end of 2011, including more than 2 million femtocells. Mobile operators in North America, Japan and South Korea are now stepping up deployments of small cell cellular base stations to increase mobile network data capacity. Operators in other countries will gradually follow as data demand increases in hotspot areas. Berg Insight forecasts that the installed base of small cell cellular base stations will increase to 14 million units in 2016, driven by femtocells that will reach 10 million units in the same year.

Installed base of small cell base stations, million units (World 2010 - 2016)

This report answers the following questions:

  • What is the current status of the femtocell market?
  • How will femtocell services evolve in the future?
  • What are the femtocell strategies of the leading mobile operators?
  • Which companies are active in the small cell market?
  • Which operators have introduced Wi-Fi offloading solutions?
  • How will small cell base station and Wi-Fi technologies evolve in the future?
  • How will North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific compare in terms of small cell deployments?

About the Author

André Malm is a Senior Analyst with a Masters degree from Chalmers University of Technology. He joined Berg Insight in 2006 and his areas of expertise include locationbased services, handset technologies and personal navigation services.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Figures

Executive summary

1. Introduction to small cells and Wi-Fi offloading

  • 1.1. Introduction
    • 1.1.1. Continued growth in mobile subscriptions and handset sales
    • 1.1.2. Broadband services drive fixed-line connection growth
    • 1.1.3. Fixed-mobile convergence and fixed-mobile substitution market trends
    • 1.1.4. Global mobile data traffic grows along with increasing smartphone adoption
  • 1.2. Communication network technology evolution
    • 1.2.1. Wireless technologies
    • 1.2.2. Fixed-line broadband technologies
  • 1.3. Mobile network capacity improvement strategies
    • 1.3.1. Macro layer improvements
    • 1.3.2. Macro layer densification
    • 1.3.3. Heterogeneous networks (HetNets)
    • 1.3.4. Femtocells
    • 1.3.5. Wi-Fi network integration and mobile data offloading

2. Small cell and Wi-Fi technology

  • 2.1. Mobile network standards and architectures
    • 2.1.1. GSM/GPRS/EDGE networks
    • 2.1.2. UMTS/HSPA networks
    • 2.1.3. LTE networks
    • 2.1.4. Heterogeneous networks
    • 2.1.5. Microcells
    • 2.1.6. Picocells
    • 2.1.7. Femtocells
  • 2.2. Femtocell architectures in 3GPP and 3GPP2 networks
    • 2.2.1. 3GPP UMTS femtocell specifications and interfaces
    • 2.2.2. IMS based femtocell architecture
    • 2.2.3. 3GPP LTE femtocell architectures
  • 2.3. Wi-Fi and cellular network integration
    • 2.3.1. UMA/GAN
    • 2.3.2. 3GPP Wireless LAN Interworking (I-WLAN)
    • 2.3.3. Hotspot 2.0 and Next Generation Hotspot

3. Small cell deployments

  • 3.1. Small cells and femtocells from an operator perspective
    • 3.1.1. The femtocell business case for mobile operators
    • 3.1.2. Operator strategies
  • 3.2. Small cell trials and commercial offerings
    • 3.2.1. AT&T
    • 3.2.2. China Unicom
    • 3.2.3. Cosmote
    • 3.2.4. Everything Everywhere
    • 3.2.5. Hutchison 3G
    • 3.2.6. KDDI au
    • 3.2.7. MegaFon
    • 3.2.8. Mobile TeleSystems
    • 3.2.9. Network Norway
    • 3.2.10. NTT DoCoMo
    • 3.2.11. Optimus
    • 3.2.12. Orange Group
    • 3.2.13. SFR
    • 3.2.14. SingTel Group
    • 3.2.15. SK Telecom
    • 3.2.16. SoftBank
    • 3.2.17. Sprint Nextel
    • 3.2.18. StarHub
    • 3.2.19. Telefonica
    • 3.2.20. Telenor
    • 3.2.21. Verizon Wireless
    • 3.2.22. Vodafone

4. Wi-Fi network deployments

  • 4.1. Wi-Fi network operators, aggregators and brokers
    • 4.1.1. Boingo Wireless
    • 4.1.2. The Cloud
    • 4.1.3. Comfone
    • 4.1.4. Fon
    • 4.1.5. iPass
    • 4.1.6. Trustive
  • 4.2. Carrier Wi-Fi network deployments and services
    • 4.2.1. AT&T
    • 4.2.2. China Mobile
    • 4.2.3. Deutsche Telekom
    • 4.2.4. Eircom
    • 4.2.5. Free Mobile
    • 4.2.6. KDDI au
    • 4.2.7. KPN
    • 4.2.8. KT Corporation
    • 4.2.9. Swisscom
    • 4.2.10. Telefonica O2 UK
    • 4.2.11. TeliaSonera

5. Vendor profiles and strategies

  • 5.1. The small cell value chain
  • 5.2. End-to-end small cell system vendors and integrators
    • 5.2.1. Alcatel-Lucent
    • 5.2.2. Cisco Systems
    • 5.2.3. Contela
    • 5.2.4. Ericsson
    • 5.2.5. Fujitsu
    • 5.2.6. Hitachi
    • 5.2.7. Huawei
    • 5.2.8. NEC
    • 5.2.9. Nokia Siemens Networks
    • 5.2.10. Samsung Electronics
  • 5.3. Small cell and residential gateway vendors
    • 5.3.1. Airspan
    • 5.3.2. Airvana
    • 5.3.3. HSL
    • 5.3.4. Ip.access
    • 5.3.5. Minieum Networks
    • 5.3.6. SpiderCloud Wireless
    • 5.3.7. TEKTELIC Communications
    • 5.3.8. UbeeAirWalk
    • 5.3.9. Ubiquisys
    • 5.3.10. ADB Group
    • 5.3.11. Alpha Networks
    • 5.3.12. Gemtek
    • 5.3.13. Netgear
    • 5.3.14. Sagemcom
    • 5.3.15. SerComm
    • 5.3.16. Tecom
  • 5.4. Small cell chipset vendors
    • 5.4.1. Broadcom
    • 5.4.2. Freescale Semiconductor
    • 5.4.3. Mindspeed Technologies
    • 5.4.4. Qualcomm
    • 5.4.5. Texas Instruments
  • 5.5. Small cell software and network gateway vendors
    • 5.5.1. Acme Packet
    • 5.5.2. Aricent Group
    • 5.5.3. mimoOn
    • 5.5.4. Node-H
    • 5.5.5. Genband
    • 5.5.6. Radisys
    • 5.5.7. Taqua
  • 5.6. Wi-Fi data offloading solution vendors
    • 5.6.1. Aptilo Networks
    • 5.6.2. Birdstep
    • 5.6.3. Greenpacket
    • 5.6.4. Kineto Wireless
    • 5.6.5. Notava
    • 5.6.6. Smith Micro Software
    • 5.6.7. Stoke
    • 5.6.8. Syniverse
    • 5.6.9. WeFi
  • 5.7. Wi-Fi equipment vendors
    • 5.7.1. Alvarion
    • 5.7.2. Edgewater Wireless
    • 5.7.3. GoNet Systems
    • 5.7.4. Ruckus Wireless
    • 5.7.5. Strix Systems
    • 5.7.6. Ubiquiti Networks
    • 5.7.7. Vivato Technologies

6. Market trends and forecasts

  • 6.1. Small cell market trends
    • 6.1.1. Moving from femtocell trials to small cell deployments
    • 6.1.2. HetNet and small cell adoption may lead to industry transformation
    • 6.1.3. Wi-Fi offloading is gaining acceptance among mobile operators
  • 6.2. Small cell market forecasts
    • 6.2.1. Small cell deployments in Asia Pacific
    • 6.2.2. Small cell deployments in Europe
    • 6.2.3. Small cell deployments in North America
    • 6.2.4. Small cell shipments worldwide

Glossary

List of Figures

  • Figure 1.1: Mobile subscriptions and handset sales by region (World Q4-2011)
  • Figure 1.2: Fixed-line broadband connections by region (World Q4-2011)
  • Figure 1.3: Voice traffic (World 2000 - 2008)
  • Figure 1.4: Mobile voice and data traffic (World 2007 - 2011)
  • Figure 1.5: Monthly data usage by subscription type (Scandinavia 2009 - 2011)
  • Figure 1.6: Mobile subscriptions and handset sales by standard (World Q4-2011)
  • Figure 1.7: Theoretical peak data rates by wireless technology
  • Figure 1.8: Theoretical peak data rates by fixed-line technology
  • Figure 2.1: UMTS network architecture
  • Figure 2.2: LTE network architecture
  • Figure 2.3: Heterogeneous network
  • Figure 2.4: Comparison of cellular network cell types
  • Figure 2.5: Iuh based femtocell architecture in UMTS networks
  • Figure 2.6: IMS based architecture
  • Figure 2.7: LTE femtocell architectures and interfaces
  • Figure 2.8: UMA/GAN architecture and interfaces
  • Figure 2.9: 3GPP I-WLAN architecture
  • Figure 3.1: Examples of commercial femtocell offerings (May 2012)
  • Figure 4.1: Examples of Wi-Fi network operators and aggregators (May 2012)
  • Figure 5.1: Main small cell solutions by vendor (May 2012)
  • Figure 5.2: Overview of femtocell access point vendors (May 2012)
  • Figure 5.3: Acquisitions in the small cell ecosystem (2010 - 2012)
  • Figure 5.4: Examples of Wi-Fi equipment vendors (May 2012)
  • Figure 6.1: Comparison of main telecom indicators by region (World Q4-2011)
  • Figure 6.2: Handset shipments and user forecast (World 2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.3: Cellular data traffic usage forecast (World 2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.4: Small cell installed base (World 2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.5: Main telecom indicators in Asia-Pacific (2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.6: Main telecom indicators in EU27+2 (2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.7: Main telecom indicators in North America (2011 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.8: Small cell shipments by device type (World 2010 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.9: Small cell shipments by region (World 2010 - 2016)
  • Figure 6.10: Small cell shipments by air interface (World 2010 - 2016)

Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading - 2nd Edition published by Berg Insight AB in June 12, 2012. This report price starts from US $ 1500.

Press Release

The installed base of small cell cellular base stations will reach 14 million units in 2016

June 13th, 2012

Global Information Inc. would like to present a new market research report, "Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading - 2nd Edition" by Berg Insight AB.

According to a new research report by Berg Insight, the installed base of small cell cellular base stations increased to about 2.2 million units in 2011. Growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.8 percent, the installed base is forecasted to reach 14 million units in 2016. Small cells encompass a range of low power cellular base stations including femtocells, picocells and microcells with gradually higher output power and capacity in terms of simultaneous users. Small cells are designed to complement the base stations forming the cellular macro network by providing enhancements in coverage and capacity in locations such as homes, offices and public venues. Mobile operators are experiencing fast growth in mobile data and signalling traffic as customers increasingly use mobile computing devices. Adoption of smartphones is rising and more subscribers use multiple connected devices such as PCs and tablets. "Total mobile data traffic in cellular networks have more than doubled every year since 2007 and is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 60 percent from 2011 until 2016", says Andre Malm, Senior Analyst, Berg Insight. He adds that mobile operators need to use a combination of approaches to meet the rising demand for data traffic, including acquiring more spectrum, using increasingly advanced radio air interfaces, making the macro layer denser by installing more base stations in traffic hotspots, as well as introducing heterogeneous networks (HetNets). HetNets are composed of multiple radio access technologies, architectures, backhaul solutions and base stations of varying transmission power. Using Wi-Fi technology that relies on unlicensed spectrum is an increasingly attractive option for mobile operators. Virtually all new smartphones now have Wi-Fi connectivity as standard and a majority of smartphone owners use Wi-Fi at home. However, using Wi-Fi in smartphones to access public hotspots can often be difficult. Mobile operators can facilitate Wi-Fi offloading by introducing connectivity management software that identifies Wi-Fi hotspots and authenticates the user automatically. "The user experience will soon improve as new standardisation and interoperability efforts aim to make the network selection and user identification process seamless" concluded Mr Malm.

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