• Japanese
  • Korean
  • Chinese
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The Connector Industry Roadmap: 2011-2021

The latest Bishop & Associates report, “The Connector Technology Roadmap 2011-2021,” examines the electronics industry and connectors over the past decade, and forecasts the decade to come. This seven-chapter, 209-page report provides electronics industry insiders with valuable insights and information.

The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence the design, development and use of connectors.

As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.

The study looks at the connector industry's markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, and semiconductors, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.

Also included is a discussion of semiconductor technology, electronics packaging, and printed circuit board technology, and the potential for slowing of Moore's Law - a critical driver for connector technology and demand.

Reflecting upon the deep 2008-2009 recession, the report discusses how the industry will move forward, forecasts key markets, and gives long-range projections on both connector and equipment markets. Many forecasters think the recovery will continue to be slow and painful, or backslide into another recession. Others see the potential for renewed growth as governments grapple, perhaps successfully, with tax, energy, sovereign debt, and environmental policies.

The industry did see a substantial rebound in 2010 - up +25% in some markets, amplified by inventory replenishment, and a bit more in 2011. But 2012 may be slower. Current factors include the European debt crisis and its potentially inadequate short-term fix, and slower growth in China. Uncertainty remains due to the unprecedented political, economic and social conditions we have faced and the timing of future recessions, which historically have occurred every 4-6 years. Thus, the connector industry forecast for 2011-2021 is conservative, in single digits, accounting for future downturns, maturing markets such as telecom and computer, higher levels of circuit integration fueled by SiP and SoC, and the potential for continued slower consumer spending.

Key elements of this report include:

  • Detailed historical perspective
  • Current situation
  • Detailed statistics on U.S. industry shipments by 30 equipment market segments
  • Analysis of connector market by company size and by Top 10, 50, and 100 suppliers
  • In-depth analysis of regional factors
  • Connector technology trends, enabling technologies, and manufacturing
  • Over 20 connector product technology roadmaps
  • Analysis of regional design and corporate leadership in an attempt to re-analyze geographic boundaries

The purpose of this report is to provide massive data, and at times controversial positions, to give interested parties a forecasting tool and impetus to undertake advanced planning, rather than submit to a short-term, “fire drill” mentality. Some say that long-range forecasts are difficult and inaccurate. Others believe they enable company planning, and inspire dialog on important, uncertain issues. At Bishop & Associates we gather and present the data assisting you in mapping your company's future.

Table of Contents

Chapter - 1

  • Introduction
  • Connector Industry
  • Economic History
  • Recent History
  • Major Electronics Industry Changes 2010
  • Future of Electronic Manufacturing in Advanced World Economies
    • United States
    • Europe
    • Japan
    • Taiwan
    • China
  • Summary: North America
  • Summary: EU
  • Summary: Japan
  • Summary: Taiwan
  • Summary: All
    • Chart 1.1. US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
    • Table 1.2. Numerical Table US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2011
  • Innovation in the Electronics Industry
  • Industrial Age Innovation
  • Evolution, Not Revolution
  • Software and ‘Apps’ vs. Hardware
  • Is Innovation Slowing?
  • Inhibitors to Hardware Innovation
  • Recent Past: Consolidation, Globalization, Innovation via Digital Convergence
  • Recent Top 10 Products
    • Table 1.2. New Product/Technology Candidates for Past Decade
    • Table 1.3. Candidates for Next Decade

Chapter - 2

  • Electronic Manufacturing in the U.S.
  • Electronic Manufacturing in US
    • Table 2.1. Important NAICS Numbers (Census Product Codes)
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics - Electronic Manufacturing
    • Table 2.2. Projected Employment in NAICS 334 2008-2018
    • Table 2.3. US Shipments of Electronic Products 2008
    • Table 2.4. US Durable Goods Shipments 1992-2011
    • Table 2.5. Value of Shipments - Top 50 EOEM Manufacturers in US
    • Table 2.6. International Trade 2010 - Computers & Electronic Products
    • Table 2.7. Trade Statistics 2010 - by US Trading Partner
    • Table 2.8. US Connector Imports 2010 $
    • Table 2.9. US Connector Exports 2010 $
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics Outlook Electronic Manufacturing in US
    • Table 2.10. % Change in Employment 2008-18
    • Table 2.11. Electronic Manufacturing State by State 2007
  • US - China Differing Paths to Electronic Manufacturing
    • Table 2.12. North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
    • Table 2.13. US Durable Goods Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.14. US Shipments Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.15. US Shipments Industrial Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.16. US Shipments HVAC Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.17. US Shipments Turbines, Generators Power Trans. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Detail
    • Table 2.18. US Shipments Computers & Electronics Products Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.19. US Shipments Storage Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.20. US Shipments Peripheral Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021+ Data Detail
    • Table 2.21. US Shipments Non-Defense Communications Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.22. US Shipments Audio-Video Equipment Trend Line + Data Detail
    • Table 2.23. US Shipments Semiconductors Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.24. US Shipments Electronic Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.25. US Shipments Electro-Medical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.26. US Shipments Non-Def. Navigation Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.27. US Shipments Non-Def. Search Rescue, Navigation Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
    • Table 2.28. US Shipments Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
    • Table 2.29. US Shipments Lighting Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.30. US Shipments Household Appliances Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.31. US Shipments Electrical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.32. US Shipments Battery Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.33. US Shipments Transportation Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.34. US Shipments Passenger Cars Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.35. US Shipments Light Trucks Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.36. US Shipments Heavy Duty Trucks Buses Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.37. US Shipments Auto Bodies, Trailers, Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.38. US Shipments Commercial Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.39. US Shipments Military Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.40. US Shipments Defense Search & Nav. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.41. US Shipments Defense Comm. Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
    • Table 2.42. US Shipments Ships and Boats Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
  • Bottom Line for NA
  • Electronic Manufacturing in EU
    • Table 2.43. EU Countries GDP
  • Manufacturing in NA for EU Suppliers
  • EU Leads in Automotive, Alternative Energy
  • EU Roadmap Issues
    • Table 2.44. Manufacturing Movement in EU
  • Top Tier
  • EU Key Markets for 2011-1
  • Top 10 Connector Manufacturers Serving EU
    • Table 2.45. EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
  • Bottom Line for EU
  • Electronic Manufacturing in Japan
  • Areas on JP Leadership
  • Areas of Concern
  • Key Connector Suppliers in JP Market
  • Asia Pacific & China
    • Table 2.46. Taiwan Production Value 2006-2011
    • Table 2.47. AP and China Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
  • Top Connector Suppliers in AP + CN
  • Bottom Line for AP + CN
    • Table 2.48. Connector Industry Regional Performance Projection 1990-2030
    • Table 2.49. Regional Performance 1990-2030

Chapter - 3

  • Electronic Packaging
  • Packaging Roadblock to the Future?
  • IC Packaging Trends
    • Table 3.1. IC Packaging Trends 2009-2019
  • D Stacked Packaging
  • Types of Packaging
  • Level of Packaging
  • Level 0
  • Level 1
  • Level 2
  • Level 3
  • Level 3 2011-2016
  • Mid-Plane Designs
  • Level 4
  • Level 5
  • Level 6
  • Level 6 Future
  • Google Chrome Cube Computer
    • Table 3.2. Trends in Level 6 Packaging 2011-2021
  • Levels
  • 2011-2016
  • 2016-2021

Chapter - 4

  • Printed Circuits
  • Background
  • PCB Market
  • PCB Suppliers
  • Interconnects w/ Custom-Designed Flex and Rigid PCBs
  • Rigid-Flex
    • Table 4.1. Top 50 PCB Manufacturers 200
    • Table 4.2. PCB Markets
    • Table 4.3. Interconnect Lines by Application
    • Table 4.4. Density Gap: PCB vs. Si
    • Table 4.5. Pad Pitch-Line Spaces
    • Table 4.6. Rigid Board Roadmap 2011-1
  • Copper Pillar Technology
    • Table 4.7. Major Markets by PCB Company
  • Leading Factors in NA Decline in PCB Manufacturing
  • Future of PCB Business
  • Emerging Printed Electronics
    • Table 4.8. World Electronics Industries and PCB Market 2009-21
    • Table 4.9. World PCB Markets 2008-2021
  • PCB Market Conclusions from a Connector Perspective
  • PCB Applications

Chapter - 5

  • Connector Technology Trends
  • Introduction
  • Typical Connector Components
  • Connector Designs
  • Worldwide Market
  • Areas of Expertise by Region
  • Technology Roadblocks
  • Linkages to Other Technologies
  • General Trends 2011-2021
    • Table 5.1. Connector Industry Use by Market Segment 2011
  • Market Issues Affecting Growth 2011-2021
  • Restrictions on Carbon, Hazardous Materials
  • China
  • Future Direction of Si Technology
  • Connector Manufacturing Equipment & Processes
  • Electronic Materials
  • Environmental Technology
  • Ongoing Environmental Questions
  • EU REACH
  • Key Connector Parameters
    • Table 5.2. Key Connector Design Directions
    • Table 5.3. Connector Type Summary
  • Major Change before Great Recession
  • Developing World Manufacturing
  • Companies in Connector Industry
    • Table 5.4. Top 10 Connector Manufacturers 2009-2010
    • Table 5.5. Top 10 Projected Sales 2000-2020
    • Table 5.6. Top 10 Projected Sales by Region 2010-2020
    • Table 5.7. Top 10 Projected Sales by Market 2010-2020
    • Table 5.8. Top 10 Projected Sales by Product 2010-2020
    • Table 5.9. Top 10, 2nd 40, 2nd 50, Rest 2010-2020
    • Table 5.10. Connector Industry Performance 1990-2030
  • Important Possibility
  • Regional Equipment & Connector Manufacturing
  • North America
  • Recent Studies
    • Table 5.11. iPhone Cost
  • Is the Trade Deficit About to Change?
  • Issues to be Dealt with if US is to Rise Again
  • What You Can Do
  • Evertiq.com Survey
    • Table 5.12. North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
  • Taiwan-China
    • Table 5.13. Taiwan Manufacturing Value
    • Table 5.14. Asia Pacific and China Connector Manufacturing Roadmap - 1990-2021
    • Table 5.15. AP & China Roadmap Detail 1990-2021
  • European Connector Manufacturing Roadmap: Differentiation
    • Table 5.16. EU Country Status in General Competitiveness Factors
    • Table 5.17. EU Countries' GDP Comparison 2010
  • EU Market Focus
  • EU Comments
    • Table 5.18. EU Manufacturing Movement
  • EMS Providers in EU
    • Table 5.19. EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
  • EU Opportunities 2011-2016
  • Sovereign Debt Issue
  • Impact of Globalization on All Regions
  • Impact on Engineering
  • Impact on Connector Design
  • Industry Manufacturing Trends
  • Keys for Connector Makers
    • Table 5.20. Regional Movement of Connector Manufacturing 2003-2021
  • Key Manufacturing Parameters
  • Global Manufacturing Issues
  • Fiber Optics Technology Illustrations
  • Connector Manufacturing Technologies
  • Base Metals
  • Contacts
  • Key Points in Connector Manufacturing
  • Plating Technology
  • Precious Metal Plating
  • Lubricants
  • Mold Compounds
  • Parts Manufacturing
  • Connector Assembly
  • Overall Manufacturing Trends
  • Automation
    • Table 5.21. Levels of Automation
  • Overall Connector Migration - 2021
  • Connector Parameter Developments
  • Future Barriers to Conventional Connector Technologies
  • Technology Gaps
  • Subminiaturization
  • Material Cost Inflation
  • Wireless Interconnect
  • Board Assembly
  • Product Cost
  • Potential Supply Disruptions

Chapter - 6

  • Product Technology Trends
  • Solar Energy System Interconnect
  • Solar Technology
  • Other Solar Applications
    • Table 6.1. Solar Modules Installed 2008-2021 by Region
    • Table 6.2. Solar Connectors Installed 2008-2021 by Region
  • PV Connector Types/Technology
  • Technology Development and R&D
  • Market Facilitation & Transformation
  • Issues
    • Table 6.3. PV Connector Projection 2009-21
  • LED Lighting Connectors
  • OEMs
  • R&D
  • Power Infrastructure
  • TAM
    • Table 6.4. LED Lighting Initial Roadmap 2000-2030
    • Table 6.4a. LED Lighting Roadmap 2000-2030
    • Table 6.5. LED Lighting Forecast 2009-2021
  • Current Examples of LED Lighting Interconnect
  • Battery Connectors
    • Table 6.6. Passenger Cars Percent ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
    • Table 6.7. Passenger Car Units ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
  • Cost Issue
  • DOE Development Awards
  • Plug In Hybrid
  • Honda Engine
  • Prius V
  • Plug In Electric Vehicles
  • Battery Connectors
    • Table 6.7. Battery Applications - Connector Projections 2000-2021
  • IC Sockets
    • Table 6.8. IC Sockets for Production 2000-2021
  • Intel LGA136, DDR3 Sockets
    • Table 6.9. Sales Trends Total IC Sockets 2000-2020
  • World Sockets - Possible Negative Factors2010-2020
    • Table 6.10. DIMM Sockets 2000-2021
  • Universal Serial Bus
  • Superspeed USB
  • Wireless USB
  • Fiber Optic USB
    • Table 6.11. USB Connectors 2000-2021
  • USB History
  • Thunderbolt Question
  • Rectangular IO Connectors
    • Table 6.12. Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2015
  • Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2010-2020 Bar Charts
  • Memory Card Connectors
    • Table 6.13. Memory Card Receptacles 2000-2021
  • Printed Circuit Connectors
    • Table 6.14. PCB Connectors 2000-2021 (PCIe example)
    • Table 6.15. Generic PCB Connectors 2000-2021
  • World PCB Connectors 2000-2020 & By Region
  • Wire-to-Board Connectors
    • Table 6.16. WTB Example Miniature FPC/FEC 2000-2021
    • Table 6.17. Min. PCB Stacking Connectors 2000-2021
  • 2mm Backplane Connectors
    • Table 6.18. 2mm BP Connectors 2000-2021
  • High Performance Backplane Connectors
    • Table 6.19. High Performance Backplane Connectors 2000-2021
  • Fiber Optic Connector Roadmap
    • Table 6.20. Fiber Optic Deployment 2011-1
  • Cu remains Preferred Technology
  • Elements of a Photonic System
  • Future Breakthroughs
    • Table 6.21. FO Connector Technology Trends 2000-2021
  • FO 2011-2021
  • FO Value-Added Connector Technology Trends
    • Table 6.22. FO Connector vs. Total Connector $s 2000-2015
    • Table 6.23. World Connectors vs. FO Connector $ 2000-2021
  • Thunderbolt/Lightpeak Connectors
    • Table 6.24. Thunderbolt/Lightpeak/Display Port 2011-2021
  • Video Interface Connectors
    • Table 6.25. HDMI Video Interface Connectors 2009-2021
  • Cable Assemblies
  • Connector Linkage
  • Types of Cable
    • Table 6.26. TIA Part 568 Cat 5-7 Cable 2000-2021
    • Table 6.27. Ethernet Cable 2011-2021
    • Table 6.28. Plenum/Riser Cable 2009-2021
  • Burn-In and Test Sockets
  • Issues going forward for BI and Test Sockets
  • Test Socket Technology Trends
  • Key Technologies
  • Key Points
  • Burn-In Sockets
  • Major Roadblocks
  • Burn-In
  • Reduction-Elimination of Burn-In
  • No Roadblock but Costly Solutions
    • Table 6.29. Burn-In & Test Sockets 2003-2021
  • Test In Tray Technology
    • Table 6.30. Test-In-Tray Automation 2009-2021
  • Summary Future Concerns in Test & BI 2011]-2021
    • Table 6.31. Total IC Sockets & Test/BI 2000-2020
    • Table 6.32. 20 Year Projection World IC Sockets
  • Connector Industry R&D Needs
  • Mid-Term Needs 2011-2015
  • Long Term Needs 2015-2021

Chapter - 7

  • World Market Projections - Production Value
  • Globalization of the Numbers
    • Chart 7.1. World Market Est. Production Value - Electrical Equipment 1992-2021
    • Table 7.1a. World Market Est. Production Value - Electrical Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.2. World Market Est. Production Value
  • Industrial Machinery 1992-2021
    • Table 7.2a. World Market Est. Production Value - Industrial Machinery Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.3. World Market Est. Production Value - HVAC Equip 1992-2021
    • Table 7.3a. World Market Est. Production Value - HVAC
  • Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.4. World Market Est. Production Value - Turbines, Generators, Power Equip 1992-2021
    • Table 7.4a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Turbines, Generators, Power Equip Numbers -1992-2011
    • Chart 7.5. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Transportation Equip. 1992-2021
    • Table 7.5a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Transportation Equip. Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.6. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Passenger Cars 1992-2021
    • Table 7.6a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Passenger Cars Numbers 1992-2011
  • Chart7.7. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Household Appliances 1992-2021
    • Table 7.7a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Household Appliance Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.8. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
    • Table 7.8a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Computers & Electronic Products Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.9. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Storage Equipment 1992-2021
    • Table 7.9a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Storage Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.10. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Semiconductors 1992-2021
    • Table 7.10a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Semiconductors Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.11. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Electronic Components 1992-2021
    • Table 7.11a. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Electronic Components Numbers 1992-2011
    • Chart 7.12. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Connector Industry 2000-2021
    • Chart 7.12b. World Market Est. Prod. Value - Connector Industry Percentages--2011
    • Chart 7.13. World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2021
    • Table 7.13. World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2011
    • Chart 7.13b. Connector Revenues by Region 2011 - Where Installed
  • Contributors/Sources
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