The latest Bishop & Associates report, “The Connector Technology Roadmap 2011-2021,” examines the electronics industry and connectors over the past decade, and forecasts the decade to come. This seven-chapter, 209-page report provides electronics industry insiders with valuable insights and information.
The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence the design, development and use of connectors.
As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.
The study looks at the connector industry's markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, and semiconductors, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.
Also included is a discussion of semiconductor technology, electronics packaging, and printed circuit board technology, and the potential for slowing of Moore's Law - a critical driver for connector technology and demand.
Reflecting upon the deep 2008-2009 recession, the report discusses how the industry will move forward, forecasts key markets, and gives long-range projections on both connector and equipment markets. Many forecasters think the recovery will continue to be slow and painful, or backslide into another recession. Others see the potential for renewed growth as governments grapple, perhaps successfully, with tax, energy, sovereign debt, and environmental policies.
The industry did see a substantial rebound in 2010 - up +25% in some markets, amplified by inventory replenishment, and a bit more in 2011. But 2012 may be slower. Current factors include the European debt crisis and its potentially inadequate short-term fix, and slower growth in China. Uncertainty remains due to the unprecedented political, economic and social conditions we have faced and the timing of future recessions, which historically have occurred every 4-6 years. Thus, the connector industry forecast for 2011-2021 is conservative, in single digits, accounting for future downturns, maturing markets such as telecom and computer, higher levels of circuit integration fueled by SiP and SoC, and the potential for continued slower consumer spending.
Key elements of this report include:
The purpose of this report is to provide massive data, and at times controversial positions, to give interested parties a forecasting tool and impetus to undertake advanced planning, rather than submit to a short-term, “fire drill” mentality. Some say that long-range forecasts are difficult and inaccurate. Others believe they enable company planning, and inspire dialog on important, uncertain issues. At Bishop & Associates we gather and present the data assisting you in mapping your company's future.
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