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The Future of Retailing in the Americas to 2017

  • Published:
  • 133 Pages
  • Canadean

Product Synopsis

  • Future forecasts and historic market data can improve market and strategic planning.
  • Understand which channels and products will be the major winners and losers in the coming years.
  • Know the share of sales between different products in your key channels and how this will develop.
  • Assess the impact of economic recession and recovery on market growth.

Introduction and Landscape

Why was the report written?

"The Future of Retailing in the Americas to 2017" is based upon an extensive, cross-country, industry research program which brings together Canadean's research, modelling, and analysis expertise in order to develop uniquely detailed market data. It provides detailed quantitative analysis of past and future trends, crucially providing retail sales data not just by channel and by product, but showing product sales through different channels. This allows marketers interested in retailing to determine how to account for the development of the retail trade overall and to know which channels are showing growth for which products in the coming years. It aims to capture the shift to new channels depending on the country, the effects of recession, and shifting consumer behaviour thereby providing timely, highly comparable analysis of the retail markets. Data sets are provided for 2007 through to 2017, with actuals being provided for 2012. All initial market sizing and analysis is conducted in local currency in order to ensure that local trends are reflected in the data before conversion into other currencies.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?

Consumers have been reacting to the effects of the global recession including the following recovery period on their discretionary spending and retail markets have been no exception. While the country by country market changes have varied, nowhere has been left totally untouched. This report quantitatively examines the components of change in the market by looking at historic and future growth patterns including how changes in consumers' behaviour have affected the retail sector for different product categories and channels.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?

This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in the Americas. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data.

Key Features and Benefits

Category coverage is provided to cover 25 products, across eight product groups that include: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods, Books, News and Stationery, Electricals and Electronics, Food and Grocery, Furniture and Floor Coverings, Home and Garden Products, Music, Video and Entertainment Software, and Sports and Leisure Equipment.

Channel coverage is provided to cover 17 channels, across four channel groups that include: General Retailers, Specialist Retailers, Value Retailers, and Online Retailers.

Forecasts allow marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and therefore quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.

Key Highlights

The share of North American countries (US and Canada), in the total American retail sales, is expected to decline from 73% in 2007 to 69% by 2017. Retail sales in the US have expanded just 1.45% annually since 2007 until end of 2012.

The combined share of Brazil and Mexico, in the total American retail sales, is expected to increase from 17% in 2007 to over 20% by 2017.

The US, Canada, and Chile occupy the top three ranks, respectively, in terms of per-capita retail spend in the region in 2012.

About Canadean

Canadean has a long-held reputation for providing valuable and in-depth market research initially built up in beverages, and now operates across the FMCG market and related industries, including packaging, ingredients, soft drinks, beer, retail, foodservice, wines & spirits, health & beauty and food.

Building on our 40 years of experience as the leading market research and analysis provider to the beverage industry, we have continually enhanced and refined our specialist research skills and market intelligence tools.

Today, our research covers the entire spectrum of the consumer value chain, from suppliers, manufacturers, distribution channels through to consumer insights and trends.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
    • 1.2.1. This report provides 2012 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2013 - 2017
    • 1.2.2. Product and Channel Definitions
    • 1.2.3. Country Coverage
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
    • 1.3.1. Overview
    • 1.3.2. The triangulated market sizing method
    • 1.3.3. Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data
    • 1.3.4. Quality control and standardized processes

2. The Americas: Retail Sales Overview

  • 2.1. Retail Channels Overview
  • 2.2. Retail Categories Overview
  • 2.3. The Americas: Country Overview
    • 2.3.1. Channel Share by Country
    • 2.3.2. Retail Sales by Country
    • 2.3.3. Per-Capita spend

3. The Americas: Channel Analysis

  • 3.1. General Retailers Group Overall
    • 3.1.1. Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales by Country
    • 3.1.2. Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.1.3. Convenience stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations by product sales
    • 3.1.4. Department stores Sales by Country
    • 3.1.5. Department stores by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.1.6. Department stores by product sales
    • 3.1.7. Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales by Country
    • 3.1.8. Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.1.9. Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters by product sales
    • 3.1.10. Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.1.11. Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.1.12. Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by product sales
    • 3.1.13. Vending machines Sales by Country
    • 3.1.14. Vending machines by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.1.15. Vending machines by product sales
  • 3.2. Specialist Retailers Group Overall
    • 3.2.1. Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales by Country
    • 3.2.2. Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.3. Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by product sales
    • 3.2.4. Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales by Country
    • 3.2.5. Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.6. Drug stores and health and beauty stores by product sales
    • 3.2.7. Duty-free retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.2.8. Duty-free retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.9. Duty free retailers by product sales
    • 3.2.10. Electrical and electronics specialists Sales by Country
    • 3.2.11. Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.12. Electricals and electronics specialists by product sales
    • 3.2.13. Food and drinks specialists Sales by Country
    • 3.2.14. Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.15. Food and drinks specialists by product sales
    • 3.2.16. Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.2.17. Home furniture and homewares retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.18. Home furniture and homewares Retailers by product sales
    • 3.2.19. Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.2.20. Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.21. Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by product sales
    • 3.2.22.. Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales by Country
    • 3.2.23. Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.24. Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists by product sales
    • 3.2.25. Other specialist retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.2.26. Other specialist retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.2.27. Other specialist retailers by product sales
  • 3.3. Online retailing overall
    • 3.3.1. Online retailing Sales by Country
    • 3.3.2. Online retailing by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.3.3. Online retailing by product sales
  • 3.4. Value Retailers Group Overall
    • 3.4.1. Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales by Country
    • 3.4.2. Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.4.3. Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by product sales
    • 3.4.4. Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales by Country
    • 3.4.5v Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend by Country
    • 3.4.6. Value, variety stores, and general merchandise retailers by product sales

4. Appendix

  • 4.1. About Canadean
  • 4.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Exchange Rate (Annual Average) 2007-2012
  • Table 2: Exchange Rate (Annual Average), 2013-2017 (Forecasts)
  • Table 3: Canadean Retail Channel Definitions
  • Table 4: Canadean Retail Category Definitions
  • Table 5: Canadean Retail Country Coverage
  • Table 6: The Americas: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2007-2012
  • Table 7: The Americas: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2012-2017
  • Table 8: The Americas: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
  • Table 9: The Americas: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2007-2012
  • Table 10: The Americas: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2012-2017
  • Table 11: The Americas: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category Group, 2007-2017
  • Table 12: The Americas: Channel Share (%), By Country (1 of 2), 2012
  • Table 13: The Americas: Channel Share (%), By Country (2 of 2), 2012
  • Table 14: : The Americas: Retail Sales (US$ billion), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 15: : The Americas: Retail Sales (US$ billion), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 16: The Americas: Retail Sales (% Share), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 17: The Americas: Retail Sales (% Share), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 18: : The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 19: The Americas: Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 20: The Americas: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 21: The Americas: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 22: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 23: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 24: The Americas: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 25: The Americas: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2012
  • Table 26: The Americas: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 27: The Americas: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 28: The Americas: Retail Sales through Convenience stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 29: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Convenience stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
  • Table 30: The Americas: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2017
  • Table 31: The Americas: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 32: The Americas: Department stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2017
  • Table 33: The Americas: Department stores by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 34: The Americas: Retail Sales through Department Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2017
  • Table 35: : The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Department Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
  • Table 36: The Americas: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 37: The Americas: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 38: The Americas: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per Capita spend (US$), By 2007-2017
  • Table 39: The Americas: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 40: The Americas: Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2017
  • Table 41: : The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
  • Table 42: : : The Americas: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, By 2007-2017
  • Table 43: The Americas: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 44: The Americas: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 45: The Americas: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 46: : The Americas: Retail Sales through Other general and non-specialist direct retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 47: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Other general and non-specialist direct retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2017
  • Table 48: The Americas: Vending machines Sales (US$ million),, By Country, 2007-2017
  • Table 49: The Americas: Vending machines Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 50: The Americas: Vending machines by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 51: The Americas: Vending machines by per capita spend (US$), By Country,2012-2017
  • Table 52: : The Americas: Retail Sales through Vending Machines (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 53: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Vending Machines (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
  • Table 54: : The Americas: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 55: The Americas: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 56: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 57: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 58: : The Americas: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 59: The Americas: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 60: : The Americas: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 61: The Americas: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 62: : The Americas: Retail Sales through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 63: : The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 64: The Americas: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 65: The Americas: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 66: The Americas: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 67: The Americas: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 68: The Americas: Retail Sales through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ million),, by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 69: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
  • Table 70: : The Americas: Duty-free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 71: The Americas: Duty-free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 72: : The Americas: Duty-free retailers by per Capita spend (US$ million),By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 73: The Americas: Duty-free retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 74: : The Americas: Retail Sales through Duty Free Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 75: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Duty Free Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 76: : The Americas: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 77: : The Americas: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 78: : The Americas: Electrical and electronics specialists by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 79: : The Americas: Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 80: The Americas: Retail Sales through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 81: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ million), by Category 2012-2017
  • Table 82: The Americas: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 83: : The Americas: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), 2012-2017
  • Table 84: The Americas: Food and drinks specialists by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 85: : The Americas: Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 86: The Americas: Retail Sales through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ million), by Category,, 2007-2012
  • Table 87: : : The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 88: The Americas: Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales (US$ million),, By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 89: The Americas: Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 90: The Americas: Home furniture and homewares retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country,, By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 91: The Americas: Home furniture and homewares retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 92: The Americas: Retail Sales through Home furniture and homewares Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 93: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Home furniture and homewares Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 94: The Americas: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 95: The Americas: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 96: The Americas: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country,, 2007-2012
  • Table 97: The Americas: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 98: The Americas: Retail Sales through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 99: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ million), by Category 2012-2017
  • Table 100: The Americas: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 101: The Americas: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country,2012-2017
  • Table 102: The Americas: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Country,, 2007-2012
  • Table 103: The Americas: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 104: The Americas: Retail Sales through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 105: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 106: The Americas: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 107: The Americas: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 108: The Americas: Other specialist retailers by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 109: The Americas: Other specialist retailers by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 110: The Americas: Retail Sales through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 111: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 112: The Americas: Online retailing Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 113: The Americas: Online retailing Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 114: The Americas: Online retailing by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 115: The Americas: Online retailing by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 116: The Americas: Retail Sales through Online retailing (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 117: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Online retailing (US$ million), by Category,, 2012-2017
  • Table 118: The Americas: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 119: The Americas: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 120: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group (US$), by Country 2007-2012
  • Table 121: The Americas: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country 2012-2017
  • Table 122: The Americas: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 123: The Americas: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Country 2012-2017
  • Table 124: The Americas: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 125: The Americas: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend (US$), By Country 2012-2017
  • Table 126: The Americas: Retail Sales through Cash and carries and warehouse clubs (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 127: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Cash and carries and warehouse clubs (US$ Million), by Category 2012-2017
  • Table 128: The Americas: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 129: The Americas: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 130: The Americas: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
  • Table 131: The Americas: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
  • Table 132: The Americas: Retail Sales through Value, variety stores, and general merchandise retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
  • Table 133: The Americas: Retail Sales Forecast through Value, variety stores, and general merchandise retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
  • Figure 2: The America: Overall Retail Sales and Forecast (US$ Bn), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
  • Figure 3: The America: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2007-2017
  • Figure 4: The Americas: Overall Retail Sales (US$ Bn), by Category Group, 2007-2017
  • Figure 5: The Americas: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Category Group, 2007-2017
  • Figure 6: The Americas: General Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
  • Figure 7: The Americas: General Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
  • Figure 8: : The Americas: Specialist Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
  • Figure 9: The Americas: Specialist Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
  • Figure 10: The Americas: Value Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
  • Figure 11: The Americas: Value Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
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