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Market Research Report

Indian Construction Industry, October 2008

Published by CARE Ratings
Published October, 2008 Product code 75607
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This publication has been discontinued on September 28, 2011.

Below is the updated product.

Published: June, 2010
Product code: 215069

Introduction

Abstract

Construction industry expected to witness effective investment over Rs. 10,000 bn during the 11th five year plan.......

Construction is the second largest economic activity in the country next to agriculture. With its backward and forward linkages, Construction industry has generated employment for 33 mn people in the country. In FY 08, Construction sector contributed about 8.5% to the country' s GDP. Over past 3 years, construction as a percentage of GDP has increased from 8.0% in FY 06 to 8.5% in FY 08. The multiplier factor between growth rates of construction and GDP has been about 1.5X-1.6X.

Construction industry in India is highly fragmented. There are number of unorganised players in the industry which work on the subcontracting basis. Construction activity being labour intensive, construction companies have been focusing on mechanisation over past few years. Consequently, growth in quantum of labourers required has declined from 1.6% in FY 04 to 0.9% in FY 08. Mostly all projects in Construction industry are working capital intensive.

Construction project can be materialised through number of small contracts which mainly depend upon size of the project and diversified nature of activities to be carried out in the project. As a result, subcontracting is a common phenomenon in the construction industry. Some complex infrastructure and industrial projects call for specific expertise which a single contractor may be inept to execute. As a result, industry is witnessing rising joint ventures which help contractors to share professional and technological expertise.

Cost structure of the construction industry is dominated by raw material cost and subcontracting cost. Raw material cost which is the major cost accounts for 30-50% of the total cost and subcontracting cost accounts for about 20-40%. Cost structure of a particular construction company also depends on its order mix. This is because construction projects from different sectors require varied level of raw materials and subcontracting work. Major raw materials consumed by construction industry mainly include cement and steel. Almost all domestic cement consumption is attributed to the construction industry.

Steel requirements of the construction industry prominently includes long products like reinforcement bars/rods, structurals and galvasnized steel. Consumption of steel by construction industry has grown at a CAGR of 16.1% over past 5 years whereas cement consumption has registered a CAGR of 9.6%. Unprecedented rise in prices of these two raw materials has a direct impact on the cost of the project and in turn margins of construction companies. Profitability also depends upon the diversity of the projects a company can execute. Companies having strong presence in segments like power and industrial segment which are complex to execute, tend to enjoy higher margins.

Construction industry to a great extent is dependent on the investments in infrastructure, industrial and real estate sector. Planning Commission has envisaged an outlay of about US$ 500 bn during 11th five year plan for infrastructure development in the country. These investments in different sub segments of infrastructure would be achieved through a combination of Public, Public-Private-Partnerships. This total investment would ultimately translate into an effective construction investment of about Rs. 10,000 bn in next 4-5 years. Similarly, during the same period, construction industry could also witness order inflow above Rs. 1,500 bn on the back of investments planned by various manufacturing sectors. Real Estate segment also, throws opportunity of effective construction investment above Rs. 1,000 bn over next five years. Reflection of the same can be seen in bulging order book position of construction companies.

Strong multiple of order book to sales projects a decent revenue growth for construction companies. But the actual growth would be dependent on government infrastructure spending, scheduling of proposed expansion projects by manufacturing sectors and macroeconomic factors which govern investments in real estate sector. Going forward, construction companies will also have to tackle key challenge of input cost pressure.

With rise in input cost for Cement and Steel industries, prices of these commodities are expected to remain firm in the year FY 09. Alongwith this, delay in awarding of projects by government can also hamper the revenue growth and margins of construction companies.

For in-depth analysis and CARE' s view on the future of this sector, please refer to the exhaustive Report on Indian Construction Industry, October 2008 by CARE Research.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

1. Overview & Introduction

  • 1.1 Construction component
  • 1.2 Overview of broad sectors

2. Industry Characteristics

  • 2.1 Linkages with economy
  • 2.2 Fragmentation
  • 2.3 Labour intensive
  • 2.4 Highly customised projects
  • 2.5 Varied profitability
  • 2.6 Varied gestation periods of construction projects
  • 2.7 Rising joint ventures (JVs)
  • 2.8 Working-capital intensive
  • 2.9 Rising net worth

3. Introduction to Contracts

  • 3.1 Different entities in a Contract
  • 3.2 Process of a Contract
  • 3.3 Types of contracts
  • 3.4 Private participation
  • 3.5 Risks in construction industry

4. Demand Drivers

  • 4.1 Infrastructure sector
  • 4.2 Industrial sector

5. Cost Structure

  • 5.1 Raw material cost
  • 5.2 Subcontracting cost
  • 5.3 Aggregate income & operating profit margin

6. Outlook & Challenges

  • 6.1 Influence of Infrastructure sector
  • 6.2 Influence of Real Estate sector
  • 6.3 Influence of Industrial sector
  • 6.4 Challenges for Construction industry

7. SWOT Analysis

8. Players

  • 8.1 Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. (HCC)
  • 8.2 Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (L & T)
  • 8.3 Punj Lloyd Ltd. (Punj Lloyd)
  • 8.4 Nagarjuna Construction Company Ltd. (NCC)
  • 8.5 Gammon India Ltd. (Gammon)
  • 8.6 IVRCL Infrastructure & Projects Ltd. (IVRCL)

FIGURES:

  • Fig. 1.1 Broad classification of construction sector
  • Fig. 1.2 Construction Component
  • Fig. 1.3 Investment in Infrastructure Sector
  • Fig. 1.4 Trend of Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
  • Fig. 2.1 Growth rates - Construction Vs GDP
  • Fig. 2.2 Trend of labourers employed
  • Fig. 2.3 Trend of net working capital requirement
  • Fig. 3.1 Flowchart of Process of Contract
  • Fig. 3.2 Comparison of different types of contracts
  • Fig. 4.1 Trend of Investment in Industrial Sector
  • Fig. 5.1 Overall Cost structure
  • Fig. 5.2 Raw material cost of different players in FY 07
  • Fig. 5.3 Trend of domestic consumption of cement
  • Fig. 5.4 Average price trend of cement per bag
  • Fig. 5.5 Trend of steel consumption by construction sector
  • Fig. 5.6 Price trend of long and galvanized steel products
  • Fig. 5.7 Subcontracting Cost of different companies
  • Fig. 5.8 Total income & operating profit margin
  • Fig. 5.9 Trend of WPI and Raw Materials prices in FY 08
  • Fig. 6.1 Infrastructure Outlay - 11th Five Year Plan
  • Fig. 6.2 Operating rates of some major industries
  • Fig. 6.3 Bifurcation of investments planned in industrial sector
  • Fig. 6.4 Order book position of Construction companies
  • Fig. 8.1 HCC - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.2 HCC -Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.3 HCC - Order Book position as on March 31, 2008
  • Fig. 8.4 L&T - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.5 L&T - Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.6 L&T - Order Book position as on March 31, 2008
  • Fig. 8.7 Punj Lloyd - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.8 Punj Lloyd - Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.9 Punj Lloyd - Order Book position as on March 31, 2008
  • Fig. 8.10 NCC - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.11 NCC - Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.12 NCC - Order Book position as on March 31, 2008
  • Fig. 8.13 Gammon - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.14 Gammon - Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.15 Gammon - Order Book position as on March, 2007
  • Fig. 8.16 IVRCL - Share Price Trend
  • Fig. 8.17 IVRCL - Cost Structure
  • Fig. 8.18 IVRCL - Order Book position as on March 31, 2008

TABLES:

  • Table 2.1 GDP and construction at factor cost (at current prices)
  • Table 2.2 Herfindahl Index of Concentration
  • Table 2.3 Profit margins of construction projects
  • Table 2.4 Joint Ventures
  • Table 2.5 Net working capital requirement
  • Table 2.6 Trend of networth (NW)
  • Table 2.7 Funds raised by construction companies
  • Table 3.1 Discription of different entities in a Contract
  • Table 4.1 Different Phases of NHDP
  • Table 4.2 Countryswise comparison of air passengers density
  • Table 4.3 Bifurcation of power generation capacity
  • Table 5.1 Break-up of different costs
  • Table 5.2 Overall cement demand-supply position
  • Table 5.3 Total production of long steel products
  • Table 5.4 Total consumption of long steel products
  • Table 5.5 Production and consumption of galvanised steel products
  • Table 6.1 Effective construction investment from Infrastructure sector
  • Table 6.2 Opportunities for Construction industry from some
  • infrastructure sub-sectors
  • Table 6.3 Effective construction investments from Real Estate sector
  • Table 6.4 Effective construction investments from from Industrial sector
  • Table 6.5 Order book to sales multiple
  • Table 6.6 Estimates of resource requirement for the construction industry
  • Table 7.1 SWOT Analysis
  • Table 8.1 HCC - Financials
  • Table 8.2 HCC - Key Projects Under Execution
  • Table 8.3 L & T - Financials
  • Table 8.4 L & T - Key Projects Under Execution
  • Table 8.5 Punj Lloyd - Financials
  • Table 8.6 Punj Lloyd - Key Projects Under Execution
  • Table 8.7 NCC - Financials
  • Table 8.8 NCC - Key Projects Under Execution
  • Table 8.9 Gammon - Financials
  • Table 8.10 Gammon - Key Projects Under Execution
  • Table 8.11 IVRCL - Financials
  • Table 8.12 IVRCL - Key Projects Under Execution

Press Release

Construction industry expected to witness effective investment of over Rs.10,000 bn during the Eleventh Five Year Plan.

January 8th, 2009

In India, Construction is the second-largest economic activity (next to agriculture), which contributed 8.5% to the countrys Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in FY 08. In the past, the multiplier factor between growth rates of construction industry and GDP has been about 1.5x-1.6x. Essentially, construction activity is labour intensive but over the past few years the construction companies have been focusing on mechanisation. This is evident from the dip in YoY growth in the quantum of labourers employed by the construction industry from 1.6% in FY 04 to 0.9% in FY 08.

The cost structure of the construction industry is dominated by raw material cost which accounts for about 30-50% of the total cost followed by subcontracting cost which account for 20-40%. Since raw material cost accounts for chunk of total cost, unprecedented rise in prices of key raw materials like steel and cement has a direct impact on the margins of construction companies. Price escalation clauses also turn futile if increase in prices of raw materials is higher than rise in Wholesale Price Index (WPI). "In FY 08, rise in prices of raw materials, especially steel, had been more than rise in WPI" said Ms. Revati Kasture, Head - CARE Research. Construction, being working-capital intensive, increased cost of borrowings in the current year is also an issue. Going forward, construction companies have to tackle this key challenge of input cost to sustain margins.

Construction industry to a great extent is dependent on the investments in infrastructure, industrial and real estate sectors. Increased spending by the government in infrastructure and buoyancy in industrial sector since the past couple of years has resulted in bulging order book position of construction companies. Planning Commission has envisaged an outlay of about US$500 bn during the Eleventh Five Year Plan for infrastructure development in the country.

Based on investments planned by the key driving sectors, CARE Research has estimated an effective investment in the construction industry of above Rs.10,000 bn in next 4-5 years. But with the expected slowdown in the economic growth, awarding of infrastructure projects by the government may be delayed. Also, deferment of expansion projects by manufacturing sector and lull in real estate can subside these investments and in turn, the order inflow to construction companies. "Eventhough, the strong multiple of order book to sales of 2x to 4.5x at the end of FY 08 projects a decent growth for construction companies, the slowdown in the order inflow can hamper the revenue growth in future" said Mr. D.R. Dogra, Deputy Managing Director, CARE.

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