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Market Research Report

Communications Networking and Infrastructure Service --- Enterprise (Q2 - 2004)

Published by Communications Industry Researchers
Published June, 2004 Product code 20844
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This publication has been discontinued on July 19, 2011.

Introduction

For a brief period in 1999 and 2000, telcos bought more network equipment than enterprises. Reacting to this one-time event, networking companies anxiously positioned themselves as "carrier-class", thinking the road to prosperity was paved with large service provider contracts. In reality, however, CLECs accounts were mostly buying vendor financed equipment, RBOCs and major IXCs weren't buying if they didn't see a familiar logo on the hardware. And, furthermore, in chasing elusive carrier sales, many suppliers neglected to address the needs of enterprise customers, many of which possessed significant capital budgets and had demonstrated a real need for high bandwidth and optical equipment. Today, Fibre Channel, Ethernet, and WDM vendors have carved out niches unmet by Cisco, while the carrier market is still a handful of major buyers dealing with the same vendors they used before, during, and after the boom.

For today's networking vendor, the enterprise is clearly the place to be.

The press attention on carrier networking has obscured some technologies' true enterprise applications. Nowhere has this distortion been more twisted than the WDM market. WDM suppliers have invested significant R&D in addressing telco requirements, but in fact, sales to enterprises over the past three years have exceeded sales to service providers. Back in 2001 and 2002, when carriers abruptly halted DWDM implementations in their long-haul networks, the market's attention shifted to the story about a supposed rapidly growing metro market for DWDM. However, while very few major LECs and PTTs were cutting large purchase orders for WDM products, large enterprises were embracing both Dense and Coarse WDM for "metro" applications. In fact, much of the service provider interest in WDM has been to build private MANs for large enterprise clients, and not for the inter-office core.

Fibre Channel is another promising enterprise technology. While SANs are often associated with disaster recovery and backup, rapid data retrieval for financial trading is sustaining much of the market's growth (as well as that of WDM). Connecting PCs and servers to LANs, MANs and WANs was the catalyst for networking growth in the 90's. In this decade, those PCs and servers are now generating a greater number of transactions and overwhelming networks with inadequate storage capacity. Fibre Channel has proven to be the protocol best suited for SANs.

GigE and 10GigE have been, and will continue to be corporate technologies, contrary to persistent wishful thinking that carriers will move their networks to Ethernet. Where telcos are using Ethernet, it is to support enterprise customers who use it for LAN extension, and not for metro core applications where SONET/SDH dominates. Furthermore, long reach equipment sales will remain slow due to the higher optics costs associated with the 1550nm and 1310nm port types. Short reach and clustered environments dominate current 10Gig shipments, a trend that will benefit the new 10Gig over Copper standard.

About the report:

What makes this report unique is in its discussion of key issues that most analyses have ignored in favor of market hype and conventional wisdom. We examine market drivers, user applications, cost considerations, financial metrics and real estate data. We also consider how and why a networking start-up can succeed in the market and what factors will separate a successful company from ones that have failed. We look at real enterprise deployments and leave the carrier metro core as a separate subject so as to not distort the true market potential. The report focuses on campus, in-building and network storage and edge equipment and provides detailed market forecasts of technology broken out by systems, ports, revenues and shipments.

The technologies covered include:

  • Ethernet
  • SONET/SDH
  • WDM
  • ATM
  • Fibre Channel
  • Free Space Optics
  • Routers
  • Switches
  • Multiplexers

Forecasts break outs through 2008 include:

  • Network Elements
  • Port Types
  • Interface Speeds
  • Market Segment
  • Shipments
  • System Pricing
  • 2003 Actuals Included

Table of Contents

  • 1.1 Objective and Methodology of this Report
  • 2.1 Metro vs. Access vs. Enterprise
  • 3.1 Why does Everyone Claim 5 Percent of Buildings Have Access to Fiber?
  • 4.1 How Juniper is using the Government to Challenge Cisco
  • 5.1 Fibre Channel Will Continue to Dominate the SAN
  • 6.1 WDM - An Enterprise Technology
  • 7.1 ATM Switches and Routers in the Enterprise
  • 8.1 Whatever Happened to Ethernet-over-Copper?
  • Exhibit 2-1 Enterprise--Total Revenue
  • Exhibit 3-1 Optical Locations and Tenants - Total U.S.
  • Exhibit 3-2 Fiber at Colleges and Universities
  • Exhibit 3-3 Optical Buildings and Hospitals, by Metro Area
  • Exhibit 3-4 Free Space Optics Revenue-Enterprise
  • Exhibit 5-1 Fibre Channel Revenue - Enterprise
  • Exhibit 6-1 WDM Revenue-Enterprise
  • Exhibit 7-1 ATM Switch Revenue-Enterprise
  • Exhibit 7-2 Router Revenue- Enterprise
  • Exhibit 7-3 ADM MSPP Revenue -Enterprise
  • Exhibit 8-1 Ethernet Revenue - Enterprise
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