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Epidemiology: COPD in China

Abstract

Introduction

Datamonitor' s research shows that out to 2020, COPD will continue to be a major threat to Chinese adults. The number of prevalent cases of COPD will increase substantially between 2010 and 2020, increasing from approximately 42 million to nearly 56 million. This increase will be driven by demographic changes over the forecast period, including increased survival and a larger aged population.

Features and benefits

• Gain insight to market potential, including a robust 10-year epidemiology forecast of COPD prevalent cases in China.
• Understand the key epidemiologic risk factors associated with COPD in China.

Highlights

The strong association between age and COPD means that the prevalence of COPD in the future will be especially sensitive to the increased survival that will result as access to healthcare increases; even though the disease is irreversible, its progress can be significantly slowed by quitting smoking and seeking medical care.
Fewer than half of the estimated 42.1 million prevalent cases in 2010 were in the population between the ages of 40 and 60 years (14.6 million), which indicates that COPD is a disease of the aged in China. The number of men with COPD in 2010 (about 29.3 million) was more than twice the number of women with COPD in 2010 (about 12.8 million).
Urbanization will play a major role in the increase in the number of prevalent cases in between 2010 and 2020. The average annual growth rate in urban settings will be four times that of the rural population (5.6% versus 1.4%). Over the forecast period, the number of prevalent cases in the urban population will grow from about 18.6 to 29 million.

Your key questions answered

• What are the most robust epidemiological studies for COPD prevalence in China?
• How will the patient population change over the next decade in the China?
• How do changes in population structure or risk factors affect the number of COPD cases in China in the forecast period?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
   Epidemiologic results summary
OVERVIEW
   Catalyst
   Summary
DISEASE DEFINITION AND DIAGNOSOTIC CRITERIA
   Spirometry is the gold standard for defining COPD
   Classification of COPD
TRENDS IN COPD EPIDEMIOLOGY IN CHINA
   Under-diagnosis is common
   The burden of COPD is increasing
      Models of COPD burden
      Trends in COPD over the forecast period
DRIVERS OF COPD EPIDEMIOLOGY IN CHINA
   Age
   Smoking
   Biomass fuels
   Pollution
   Industry-related exposures
EPIDEMIOLOGIC FORECASTING OF COPD IN CHINA
   Sources of epidemiologic data
      Source used
      Unused sources
EPIDEMIOLOGIC RESULTS
   Segmentation by age
   Segmentation by gender
   Segmentation by urban-rural split
   Segmentation by stage
DISCUSSION
   Strengths of our epidemiologic projections
BIBLIOGRAPHY
   Journal papers
   Datamonitor reports
APPENDIX
   Module methodology

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