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LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Market Forecast and Analysis (2011-2021)

This study report, by ElectroniCast Consultants, provides a worldwide market forecast of the consumption of packaged Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs), which are used in solid-state lighting (SSL) stationary (non-vehicle) general illumination applications.

General Lighting Stationary Applications

General Lighting provides the main illumination of an area. In this study, we provide our market forecast (2011-2021) and analysis of the LED component used for general lighting stationary applications, including interior and exterior decorative and functional lighting for residential, commercial and government areas (lighting for vehicles is not included).

For the purposes of this study, ElectroniCast includes Directional Lighting, Supplementary Lighting and Architectural Lighting in the General Lighting category; however, “architainment” lighting, such as large display module/panel units are not considered in the General Lighting segment. LEDs used in signage, displays, signals, decorative Christmas/holiday lighting are not included in the market forecast data for this study.

The market data covers packaged component-level LEDs packaged used in SSL - General Lighting systems (illumination lamps, devices and fixtures). The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:

  • America (North America, Central and South America)
  • EMEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa)
  • APAC (Asia Pacific)

Market data for the following color and luminous efficacy are also segmented:

  • White: Conventional LEDs
  • White: High-Brightness (HB-LEDs)
  • RGB/Other: Conventional LEDs
  • RGB/Other: High-Brightness (HB-LEDs)

LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study

Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) of LEDs. For the purposes of THIS ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2”

Level 1 - The chip or die

• Level 2 - The packaged LED (component-level bulb)

Level 2 - The packaged LED (component-level bulb)

Level 3 - LED array; may include optics, heat sink (consumer-level lamp/bulb)

Level 4 - LED luminaire (light fixture/light fitting)

This report provides the market data by the following functions:

  • Consumption Value (US$, million)
  • Quantity (number/units)
  • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each)

This study is based on analysis of information (primary and secondary) obtained continually over the past eight years, but updated through the end of June 2012. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and lighting industry, plus instrumentation/ laboratory - R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of LEDs and lighting illumination products. The interviews were conducted principally with:

  • Architectural lighting Designers/Installers concerns, Engineers, research, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED lighting and related equipment, as well as other lighting technologies.
  • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and lighting
  • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, government and investments.

High-brightness LEDs (HB-LEDs) are being widely adopted into luminaries for the general lighting market, with numerous possible applications: commercial/retail down lighting, industrial, architectural, directional/spot, interior/exterior and other related general lighting applications.

ElectroniCast's market opportunity analysis (MOA) takes a very close look at the competing technologies, cost and price-points, sales/distribution channels and other pertinent market/technology dynamics. Important performance characteristics of white light LEDs for general illumination, with particular emphasis on energy efficiency and lighting quality is vital to achieve a sustainable market share of LED-based stationary (non-vehicle) General Lighting products, providing an ubiquitous product environment.

LED-Based SSL General Lighting: Interior vs. Exterior

ElectroniCast forecasts that the global consumption (use) value of component-level (packaged) LEDs in solid-state lighting (SSL) general lighting applications will increase at 37.1 percent per year (2011-2016). We are forecasting faster overall growth in the second-half of the forecast period (2016-2021), with an overall annual average growth rate of 50.7 percent.

The use of packaged LEDs in residential, commercial and government exterior general lighting lamps (street, parking-lot, roadway-tunnels, bridges, landscaping, pool/fountain, buildings, architectural and other general lighting) applications, in 2011, represented nearly 90 percent share of worldwide consumption. In 2021, the relative market share of component-level light emitting diodes (LEDs) use in exterior lamps is forecast to decrease significantly to 61 percent; however, increase in substantially in value.

Note: Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

LEDs Used in Solid-State Light (SSL) General Lighting
Global Market Forecast (Value Basis, $Million)

(1) All values and prices in this report are at end-user levels, and are in current dollars, which include the effect of a forecasted 5 percent annual inflation rate over the forecast period.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting
  • 1.2. LED Chips Used in General Solid-State Lighting (SSL)
  • 1.3. LED Lamps & Light Fixtures Used in General Lighting

2. LEDs - Technology Overview

3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Market Forecast

  • 3.1. Overview
  • 3.2. Regional Market Forecasts
    • 3.2.1. America
    • 3.2.2. EMEA
    • 3.2.3. APAC

4. Profile Briefs of LED and Related Companies - (Over 290 Company Profiles)

5. Lighting Standards and Protocols

6. Market Research Methodology

7. Definitions

8. Market Forecast Data Base

  • 8.1. Overview
  • 8.2. Tutorial

Addendum

  • Excel Data Base Spreadsheets (Global Market Forecast)
  • Detailed Data: Average Selling Price ($, each); Quantity (Million); Value ($, Million) for all Regions
  • Power Point Market Data Figures (Global Market Forecast)

List of Tables

  • 1.1.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, By Color/Luminous Efficacy ($Million)
  • 1.1.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, By Color/Luminous Efficacy (Quantity/Units)
  • 1.1.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, By Color/Luminous Efficacy (ASP, $ Each)
  • 2.1. LED Color Variety - Selected Examples
  • 2.1. LED Color Chart
  • 3.1.1. Calculation of the Cost of Manufacturing Facility Downtime
  • 3.1.2. Comparison of Lighting Technologies
  • 3.1.3. PAR Lamp Designation and Nominal Diameter
  • 3.2.1.1. Latin American Demographic Trends

List of Figures

  • 1.1.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast ($Million)
  • 1.1.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, By Region ($Million)
  • 1.1.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Interior versus Exterior ($Million)
  • 1.1.4. Single-die LED: 1000 lm at 100 lm/W at 3A
  • 1.1.5. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
  • 1.1.6. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
  • 1.1.7. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb Surface Mount Variations
  • 1.1.8. LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
  • 1.1.9. High Brightness LED Packaged Chip/Bulb
  • 1.2.1. Diagram of a typical LED chip
  • 1.2.2. Diagram of a typical LED chip
  • 1.2.3. LED Chip Cross-Sectional Structure
  • 1.2.4. ESD Protection Diodes
  • 1.3.1. A19 Bulbs (Consumer-Level Bulb/LED Lamp)
  • 1.3.2. Obstruction Bulbs (Lamps) - Flashing - 138 red or amber LEDs
  • 1.3.3. LED Lamp - Down-light Retrofit Module
  • 1.3.4. Miscellaneous LED Lamps
  • 1.3.5. LED Light Bulb (Cool White)
  • 1.3.6. Complete Fixture and Replacement Bulb - Streetlight (Lamp)
  • 1.3.7. Samples of Lighting Fixture Types
  • 2.1. LED Chromatic Chart
  • 2.2. Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle
  • 2.3. LED Chip: Metal Layer (Thin Film Technology)
  • 2.4. Vertical LED Chip
  • 2.5. AC LED Technology on a Wafer
  • 2.6. Ultra High Bright LED Chip
  • 2.7. Ultra-Thin LED
  • 2.8. Solid-State Lighting LED
  • 2.9. LED Module with High Light Quality
  • 2.10. Transparent and flexible inorganic, organic hybrid n-type: Thin Film Transistors (TFTs)
  • 2.11. Lumiramic Phosphor Technology: Thin Film Flip Chip (TFFC) technology
  • 2.12. Wire-to-Board LED Connector
  • 2.13. Next-Generation Light Emitting Diode Module
  • 2.14 Leaded RGB LED
  • 2.15. Vertically Conducting Advanced LED Structure
  • 2.16. AlGaInP LED Efficacy
  • 3.1.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Market Forecast, (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.1.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Market Forecast, (Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
  • 3.1.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Interior vs. Exterior (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.1.4. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Color & Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.1.5. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Color & Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.1.6. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Color & Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.1.7. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting Global Forecast, Color & Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.1.8. LED-Based Operating Theater Lighting
  • 3.1.9. LED-Based Operating Theater Lighting
  • 3.1.10. LED-Based Operating Theater Lighting
  • 3.1.11. LED-Based Airfield Runway Edge Lighting (Solar Powered)
  • 3.1.12. LED-Based Airfield Runway Edge Lighting (Solar Powered)
  • 3.1.13. LED-Based Lighting Displaying Food
  • 3.1.14. LED Technology for Stage Lighting
  • 3.1.15. Entertainment & Architectural Lighting: Multiple Color LED in a Surface-Mount (SMT) Package
  • 3.1.16. Color Mixer Reflector for LED Technology Lighting
  • 3.1.17. LED Technology for Under-Cabinet Lighting
  • 3.1.18. Production-Lighting: Small Rectangle LED Light Fixture
  • 3.1.19. Production Lighting: 8.3-inch LED Circular Spot
  • 3.1.20. Production Lighting: 14x14-inch LED Light Panel
  • 3.1.21. Production Lighting: LED Circular Fresnel Spot Fixtures
  • 3.1.22. 48-inch Fluorescent Replacement Style LED Light Fixture
  • 3.1.23. DIP T8 - Linear Tube Lamps With Plastic End-Caps
  • 3.1.24. SMD T8 and T5 - LED Linear Tube Lamps With Plastic End-Caps
  • 3.1.25. DIP-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Plastic End-Caps
  • 3.1.26. DIP-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Metal End-Caps
  • 3.1.27. SMD-Type LED Linear Tube Lamps with Metal End-Caps
  • 3.1.28. SMD-Type High-Output LED Linear Tube Lamps with Plastic End-Caps
  • 3.1.29. Solar-Powered LED Street Lighting
  • 3.1.30. LED Lighting (Exterior): Commercial Plaza
  • 3.1.31. LED Lamps installed in Parking Lot
  • 3.1.32. LED Streetlights
  • 3.1.33. A19 Bulbs (Consumer-Level Bulb/LED LAMP)
  • 3.1.34. LED-Based PAR 30 Lamp
  • 3.1.35. LED-Based PAR 30 Lamp
  • 3.1.36. General Service LED-based Lamp
  • 3.1.37. 9W MR16 LED Replacement Lamp
  • 3.2.1.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting America Forecast, (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.1.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting America Forecast, (Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
  • 3.2.1.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting America Forecast, Interior vs. Exterior (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.1.4. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting America Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.1.5. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting America Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.1.6. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting America Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.1.7. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting America Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.1.8. LED-Based Street Lights for Use in Central America
  • 3.2.2.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.2.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, (Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
  • 3.2.2.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, Interior vs. Exterior (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.2.4. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.2.5. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.2.6. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.2.7. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting EMEA Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.3.1. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.3.2. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, (Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
  • 3.2.3.3. LEDs Used in SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, Interior vs. Exterior (Value Basis, $Million)
  • 3.2.3.4. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.3.5. LEDs: Exterior SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.3.6. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range ($Million)
  • 3.2.3.7. LEDs: Interior SSL General Lighting APAC Forecast, Color/Luminous Efficacy Range (Quantity)
  • 3.2.3.8. Architectural Monument Lighting using LEDs
  • 4.1. PCB Assembly
  • 4.2. LED Backlit Display
  • 4.3. Rugged Touch Screen with NVIS Capability
  • 4.4. LED Down light with 102 Lumens per Watt Fixture
  • 4.5. LED Lighting Military Solutions
  • 4.6. LED Lighting in Railway Station
  • 4.7. LED Technology Safelight Design
  • 4.8. LED Lighting (water flow stream)
  • 4.9. NVIS/LED Control Panel
  • 4.10. Integrated Weapons Delivery System
  • 4.11. Cockpit Modular Display/Panel
  • 4.12. Cockpit Large Area Display
  • 4.13. Traffic Lamp LED
  • 4.14. High Power LED Lamp
  • 4.15. Surface Mount Type LED
  • 4.16. Surface Mount Type LED
  • 4.17. Exterior Aircraft LED Lighting
  • 4.18. LED/CCD Barcode Readers
  • 4.19. Surface-Mount Multi-layer Ceramic Packages
  • 4.20. LED Linear Optical Array
  • 4.21. Solid-State NVIS Lamps
  • 4.22. LED Escalator Light
  • 4.23. Nanostructures Designed for Different Color Emission
  • 4.24. LED Array Lighting - Lamp
  • 4.25. Light-Measurement Device
  • 4.26. SSL LED: Replacement for Halogen Lamp in Spotlights
  • 4.27. LED-Based Digital Billboard (Signage/Display)
  • 4.28. Diagram of Backlight LED Drivers
  • 4.29. Diagram of Multifunction Backlight LED Drivers
  • 4.30. Diagram of White Backlight LED Drivers
  • 4.31. Diagram White Backlight LED Drivers
  • 4.32. Rotary Wing Aircraft Cockpit Display
  • 4.33. Ultra-Thin LED
  • 4.34. Quality Management System in LED Manufacturing
  • 4.35. Military and Harsh-Environment LEDs
  • 4.36. LED-Based Marine Biology Lighting Device
  • 6.1. ElectroniCast Market Research & Forecasting Methodology
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