Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency
Emerging Countries Require Massive Investment to Meet Future Power Demand.
The growing economies and population of emerging nations mean that huge investment is needed for these power markets to meet demand, according to a new report by energy sector analysts GBI Research.
The report* states that countries across South East Asia, Africa and the Middle East have been amending regulatory frameworks and embarking on privatization, as many of them are in serious need of external funding to ensure that their respective electricity industries are capable of dealing with the inevitable surge in demand.
The cumulative installed power capacity for these regions, according to 2012 estimates, will be 212 Gigawatts (GW). However, GBI Research expects this figure to shoot up to 349 GW by 2020, climbing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.4%.
The power market in South East Asia, Africa and the Middle East is currently dominated by thermal power, which accounted for almost 85% of total installed capacity in 2011. Renewable energy is expected to have a greater share of the power market in the future, with solar and wind power sectors in particular expected to expand, but the demands of these growing economies make a substantial reliance on renewables impractical.
The high capacity of thermal power compared to more sustainable forms makes it a more profitable and pragmatic solution. Consequently, the share of thermal power is only expected to decrease to 79.5% by 2020.
Rising industrialization, ever-increasing population figures and growing economies all point to an electrical future that most infrastructure systems are presently incapable of handling. Therefore, to achieve greater industry efficiency and encourage competition, governments across this region are opening up their electricity markets and increasing private sector participation. The region has to invest heavily in order to increase its installed capacity and improve its existing infrastructure.
Transmission networks in many of these countries are already under tremendous pressure to supply power without interruption, and many new transmission projects are already underway or in the pipeline.
Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency
This report gives an in-depth analysis of power markets in seven of South-East Asia, Middle East and African countries, with forecasts through 2020.
This report was built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research, and in-house analysis conducted by GBI Research's team of industry experts.
Abstract
Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency
Summary
GBI Research, a leading business intelligence provider, has released its latest research, "Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency". The report gives an in-depth analysis of power markets in seven of South-East Asia, Middle East and African countries, with forecasts through 2020. The research analyzes the regulatory framework and infrastructure of the countries' respective power sector and provides a detailed forecast of power installed capacity and generation by all types of resources in each market to 2020.
The report also offers a macro economic scenario and market force analysis, and has been built using data and information sourced through primary and secondary research and in-house analysis by GBI Research's team of industry experts.
Scope
Details on the power markets in the seven South-East Asia, Middle East and African countries of Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Morocco.
Historical information and forecasts of cumulative installed capacity and generation from 2005 to 2020.
Historical information and forecasts of annual power consumption from 2005 to 2020.
Major policies and regulations impacting the power market in all the countries covered.
Porter's Five Forces analysis of the emerging power markets.
The macro economic scenarios in these emerging markets.
Major active and upcoming power projects in all the countries covered.
Reasons to buy
Evaluate potential of emerging markets to quantify return on investments.
Identify key markets and investment opportunities for foreign investors in the power industry.
Facilitate decision-making based on strong historical and forecast data and detailed growth opportunities analysis.
Develop business strategies by understanding the trends driving the power market.
Position yourself to take maximum advantage of the market's growth potential.
The upcoming projects will help to analyze strategic locations for business expansion. The information will help in prospect identification.
Identify the challenges associated with the market to take up necessary actions to transform them into opportunities for future growth.
Keywords
Power market, Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Morocco, Installed Capacity, Generation, Porter's Forces Model, Regulatory Framework, Macroeconomic Scenario, Geographical features, Consumption, Projects
Table of Contents
TOC
1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 5
1.1 List of Tables 8
1.2 List of Figures 12
2 Introduction 15
2.1 Methodology Adopted for Ranking the South East Asia, Middle East and African Countries 15
2.2 Country-level Parameters 15
2.3 Industry-specific Parameters 16
2.4 Weight Assigned to the Parameters 17
2.5 Country Selection Methodology 18
2.6 Power Markets in South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Overview 18
2.7 Power Market, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, 2011 19
2.8 Emerging Power Markets in South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 21
2.9 Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant, %, 2011-2020 23
2.10 Top Emerging Power Markets in South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Countries, %, 2011 24
2.11 Emerging Power Markets in South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Changing Trends in Generation and Consumption 25
3 Power Market in Saudi Arabia to 2020 27
3.1 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Overview 27
3.2 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Demand and Consumption Scenario, 2011 30
3.3 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Annual Power Consumption, 2005-2020 31
3.4 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 33
3.5 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 40
3.6 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Active and Upcoming Plants 44
3.7 Power market, Saudi Arabia, Infrastructure 46
3.8 Saudi Arabia, Power Market, Regulatory Structure 48
4 Power Market in the UAE to 2020 50
4.1 Power Market, UAE, Overview 50
4.2 Power Market, UAE, Macro-economic Scenario 51
4.3 The UAE, Power Market, Demand and Consumption Scenario 53
4.4 The UAE, Power Market, Annual Power Consumption, 2000-2020 54
4.5 The UAE, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2020 56
4.6 The UAE, Power Market, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 66
4.7 The UAE, Power Market, Leading Active and Upcoming Projects 72
4.8 The UAE, Power Market, Transmission Network 76
4.9 The UAE, Power Market, Regulatory Structure 78
4.10 Emerging Power Market, The UAE, Market Share of Major Power Companies 80
5 Power Market in Morocco to 2020 81
5.1 Power Market, Morocco, Overview 81
5.2 Power Market, Morocco, Macro-economic Scenario 82
5.3 Power Market, Morocco, Demand and Consumption Scenario, 2011 83
5.4 Power Market, Morocco, Import and Export Scenario 84
5.5 Power Market, Morocco, Annual Power Consumption, 2005-2020 85
5.6 Power Market, Morocco, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 87
5.7 Power Market, Morocco, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 100
5.8 Power Market, Morocco, Top Active and Upcoming Projects 108
5.9 Power Market, Morocco, Regulatory Structure 110
5.10 Power Market, Morocco, Infrastructure 113
5.11 Power Market, Morocco, Market Share of Government Utility 115
6 Power Market in Indonesia to 2020 116
6.1 Power Market, Indonesia, Macro-economic Scenario 116
6.2 Power Market, Indonesia, Demand and Consumption Scenario 118
6.3 Power Market, Indonesia, Import and Export Scenario 118
6.4 Power Market, Indonesia, Annual Power Consumption, 2005-2020 119
6.5 Power Market, Indonesia, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 121
6.6 Power Market, Indonesia, Total Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 134
6.7 Power Market, Indonesia, Top Active and Upcoming Projects 142
6.8 Power Market, Indonesia, Regulatory Structure 147
6.9 Power Market, Indonesia, Infrastructure 149
6.10 Emerging Power Market, Indonesia, Market Share of Major Power Companies, 2011 151
7 Power Market in Philippines to 2020 152
7.1 Power Market, Philippines, Overview 152
7.2 Power Market, Philippines, Macro-Economic Scenario 152
7.3 Power Market, Philippines, Demand and Consumption Scenario 154
7.4 Power Market, Philippines, Annual Power Consumption, 2005-2020 155
7.5 Power Market, Philippines, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 157
7.6 Power Market, Philippines, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 170
7.7 Power Market, Philippines, Top Active and Upcoming Projects 178
7.8 Power Market, Philippines, Regulatory Structure 182
7.9 Power Market, Philippines, Infrastructure 183
7.10 Emerging Power Market, Philippines, Market Share of Major Power Generating Companies 184
8 Power Market in Thailand to 2020 185
8.1 Power Market, Thailand, Overview 185
8.2 Power Market, Thailand, Macro-Economic Scenario, 2011 185
8.3 Power Market, Thailand, Import and Export Scenario, 2005-2010 187
8.4 Power Market, Thailand, Demand and Consumption Scenario, 2011 188
8.5 Power Market, Thailand, Annual Power Consumption, GWh, 2005-2020 189
8.6 Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 191
8.7 Power Market, Thailand, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 204
8.8 Power Market, Thailand, Annual Renewable Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 210
8.9 Power Market, Thailand, Active and Upcoming Power Plants 212
8.10 Power Market, Thailand, Regulatory Structure 215
8.11 Power Market, Thailand, Infrastructure 234
8.12 Emerging Power Market, Thailand, Market Share of Major Power Generating Company by Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011 236
9 Power Market in Vietnam to 2020 237
9.1 Power Market, Vietnam, Overview 237
9.2 Power Market, Vietnam, Macro-Economic Scenario, 2011 238
9.3 Power Market, Vietnam, Import and Export Scenario, 2005-2009 239
9.4 Power Market, Vietnam, Demand and Consumption Scenario, 2011 240
9.5 Power Market, Vietnam, Annual Power Consumption, GWh, 2005-2020 241
9.6 Power Market, Vietnam, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2005-2020 243
9.7 Power Market, Vietnam, Annual Power Generation, 2005-2020 252
9.8 Power Market, Vietnam, Active and Upcoming Power Plants 258
9.9 Power Market, Vietnam, Regulatory Structure 262
9.10 Power Market, Vietnam, Infrastructure 265
9.11 Power Market, Vietnam, Market Share of Major Power Generating Company by Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011 268
10 Appendix 269
10.1 Market Definitions 269
10.2 Abbreviations 270
10.3 Bibliography 271
10.4 GBI Research's Methodology 271
10.5 Contact Us 272
10.6 Disclaimer 273
List of Tables
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Ease of Doing Business - Categories and Sub-categories 18
Table 2: Risk Categories for Business 19
Table 3: Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Relative Scores 21
Table 4: Emerging Power Markets, South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 25
Table 5: Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant, %, 2011-2020 26
Table 6: Emerging Power Markets, South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Countries, %, 2011 27
Table 7: Emerging Power Markets in South - East Asia, Middle East and Africa, Total Annual Power Generation and Consumption, GWh, 2005-2020 29
Table 8: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Geographic Features 31
Table 9: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Macro-economic Scenario in the Short Term, 2005-2016 32
Table 10: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, By Sector (%), 2011 33
Table 11: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2005-2020 35
Table 12: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2005-2020 37
Table 13: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 38
Table 14: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2005-2020 40
Table 15: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Thermal Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, 2005-2020 42
Table 16: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Total Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2005-2020 44
Table 17: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Total Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2005-2020 46
Table 18: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Leading Active Thermal Power Projects (MW), 2011 47
Table 19: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Projects (MW), 2012-2020 48
Table 20: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Length of Transmission Network by Voltage (Ckm), 2005-2020 49
Table 21: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Length of Distribution Network by Voltage (Ckm), 2005-2020 50
Table 22: Power Market, Saudi Arabia, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Generating Companies (%), 2011 52
Table 23: Power Market, UAE, Geographic Features 54
Table 24: Power Market, UAE, Macro-economic Scenario in the Short Term, 2005-2016 55
Table 25: Power Market, the UAE, Estimated Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, By Sector (%), 2011 56
Table 26: Power Market, The UAE, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2020 58
Table 27: Power Market, UAE, Cumulative Total Installed Capacity (MW), 2005-2020 60
Table 28: Power Market, The UAE, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 61
Table 121: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant, %, 2011 196
Table 122: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Thermal Power Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 198
Table 123: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, Share by Fuel Type, MW, 2005-2020 200
Table 124: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Hydro Power Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 202
Table 125: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Renewable Power Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 204
Table 126: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, Share by Fuel Type, MW, 2005-2020 206
Table 127: Power Market, Thailand, Total Annual Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 208
Table 128: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Thermal Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 210
Table 129: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Hydro Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 212
Table 130: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Renewable Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 214
Table 131: Power Market, Thailand, Active Thermal Power Plants 215
Table 132: Power Market, Thailand, Active Hydro Power Plants 216
Table 133: Power Market, Thailand, Active Renewable Power Plants 216
Table 134: Power Market, Thailand, Upcoming Thermal Power Plants 217
Table 135: Power Market, Thailand, Upcoming Renewable Power Plants 218
Table 136: Power Market, Thailand, Expected Capacity addition between 2010 and 2020 (MW) 219
Table 137: Power Market, Thailand, Expected Capacity Addition Between 2021 and 2030 (MW) 219
Table 138: Power Market, Thailand, Energy Saving Target From Fluorescent Lamp Replacement Program 220
Table 139: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Interim Targets by Phase, 2008-2022 223
Table 140: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution of Renewable Energy and Natural Gas Vehicles to Total Consumption, ktoe, 2011-2022 224
Table 141: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution of Renewable Energy and Natural Gas Vehicles (NGV) to Total Consumption, ktoe, 2011-2022 225
Table 142: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Energy by Source Type, ktoe, 2011-2022 226
Table 143: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Heat by Source Type, ktoe, 2011-2022 227
Table 144: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Power by Source Type, MW, 2011-2022 228
Table 145: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Biofuels, ml/day, 2011-2022 229
Table 146: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution by Alternative Sources to the Total Target, %, 2022 230
Table 147: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Promotion Measures by Phase, 2008-2022 232
Table 148: Adder Feed-in Premiums, Thailand, Premium for Renewable Energy Technologies, THB/kWh, 2011 234
Table 149: Power Market, Thailand, Transmission Network, ckm, 2005-2020 237
Table 150: Power Market, Thailand, Distribution Network, ckm, 2005-2020 238
Table 151: Power Market, Thailand, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Generating Companies, %, 2011 239
Table 152: Power Market, Vietnam, Geographic Features 241
Table 153: Power Market, Vietnam, Macro-Economic Scenario in the Short-term, 2005-2016 241
Figure 84: Power Market, Thailand, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity, Share by Fuel Type, MW, 2005-2020 205
Figure 85: Power Market, Thailand, Total Annual Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 207
Figure 86: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Thermal Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 209
Figure 87: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Hydro Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 211
Figure 88: Power Market, Thailand, Annual Renewable Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 213
Figure 89: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution of Alternative Energy Sources to Total Consumption, ktoe, 2011-2022 224
Figure 90: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution of Renewable Energy and Natural Gas Vehicles (NGV) to Total Consumption, ktoe, 2011-2022 225
Figure 91: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Energy by Source Type, ktoe, 2011-2022 226
Figure 92: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Heat by Source Type, ktoe, 2011-2022 227
Figure 93: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Renewable Power by Source Type, MW, 2011-2022 228
Figure 94: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Target for Biofuels, ml / day, 2011-2022 229
Figure 95: Renewable Energy Development Plan, Thailand, Contribution by Alternative Sources to the Total Target, %, 2022 230
Figure 96: Power Market, Thailand, Installed Capacity Share of Major Power Generating Companies, %, 2011 239
Figure 97: Power Market, Vietnam, Electricity Consumption, By Sector, %, 2011 243
Figure 98: Power Market, Vietnam, Annual Power Consumption, GWh, 2005-2020 244
Figure 102: Power Market, Vietnam, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, Share by Fuel Type, MW, 2005-2020 251
Figure 103: Power Market, Vietnam, Cumulative Hydro Power Installed Capacity, MW, 2005-2020 253
Figure 104: Power Market, Vietnam, Total Annual Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 255
Figure 105: Power Market, Vietnam, Annual Thermal Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 257
Figure 106: Power Market, Vietnam, Annual Hydro Power Generation, GWh, 2005-2020 259
Figure 107: Power Market, Vietnam, Market Share of Major Power Generating Companies by Cumulative Installed Capacity (%), 2011 271
Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency published by GBI Research in July 10, 2012. This report consists of Pages: 276 and the price starts from US $ 3500.
Press Release
Emerging Countries Require Massive Investment to Meet Future Power Demand
July 25th, 2012
Global Information Inc. would like to present a new market research report, "Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Government's Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency" by GBI Research.
The growing economies and population of emerging nations mean that huge investment is needed for these power markets to meet demand, according to a new report by energy sector analysts GBI Research.
The report, "Emerging Power Markets in South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa to 2020 - Governments Restructuring Reforms Encouraging Private Participation will Enhance Price Competition and Efficiency" states that countries across South East Asia, Africa and the Middle East have been amending regulatory frameworks and embarking on privatization, as many of them are in serious need of external funding to ensure that their respective electricity industries are capable of dealing with the inevitable surge in demand.
The cumulative installed power capacity for these regions, according to 2012 estimates, will be 212 Gigawatts (GW). However, GBI Research expects this figure to shoot up to 349 GW by 2020, climbing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.4%. The power market in South East Asia, Africa and the Middle East is currently dominated by thermal power, which accounted for almost 85% of total installed capacity in 2011. Renewable energy is expected to have a greater share of the power market in the future, with solar and wind power sectors in particular expected to expand, but the demands of these growing economies make a substantial reliance on renewables impractical.
The high capacity of thermal power compared to more sustainable forms makes it a more profitable and pragmatic solution. Consequently, the share of thermal power is only expected to decrease to 79.5% by 2020.
Rising industrialization, ever-increasing population figures and growing economies all point to an electrical future that most infrastructure systems are presently incapable of handling. Therefore, to achieve greater industry efficiency and encourage competition, governments across this region are opening up their electricity markets and increasing private sector participation. The region has to invest heavily in order to increase its installed capacity and improve its existing infrastructure.
