Next Generation Carrier's Network: Planning for Business Transformation published by IGI Consulting, Inc. in June, 2009. This report price starts from US $ 3995.
Abstract
Overview
This report is devoted to exploring the planning process devoted to
telecommunications business transformation. The report will also forecast the
likely results of those processes, taken collectively, in the development of a
Next Generation Network. In general, business transformation planning has many
outputs, and influences many (maybe all) processes in a business, but in
telecommunications, business transformation planning must also involve, as one
of its outputs, the development of a Next Generation Network, since the nature
of the future network must reflect the new business plan.
The history of the networking business is largely based on network evolution
steps that were determined by the geniuses at Bell Labs. Another group of
geniuses at the same institution determined end-user (station apparatus)
capabilities. It has been said that there have been three network designs: the
telegraph network, the telephone network, and the Internet network. Each had
its particular end-user apparatus: the telegraph, the telephone, and the
computer. As we have changed from each of these paradigms to the next, we have
seen massive business transformations by the major players. Some made the
transformation; they survived and prospered. Some did not and died. This
report is about how to make those transformations and what network will be
coming next - the Next Generation Network!
Unlike in the past, the development of these future networks is based on
customers' needs and business vision, as opposed to technological
possibilities and cost efficiencies. Now there are competitive networks to the
business and the residence, and there are hundreds, maybe thousands, of
companies devoted to the development of station apparatus to meet customers'
needs as they see them. Most of this station apparatus is not even called
that; rather, it is called computers, DVRs, Wii, routers, over-the-top video,
etc. Network evolution, now, is driven by the competitive desire of the
multiple network providers to have networks that are capable of interfacing
with this station apparatus. For telcos and all companies involved in the
telecommunications business, this drastically changed environment requires
that they change their businesses if they are to survive and prosper.
These two ingredients (customers' needs and business vision), along with an
understanding of competitors' positions, are the basis of planning for future
networks today. The idea that “Customer Is King” will run
throughout this report. It is also strongly reflected in the interviews.
Report Features
We will review the techniques for transformation planning and some of the
drivers in today' s market for that planning activity, as well as the resulting
Next Generation Network and our forecast for the NGN.
This includes:
- The description of the planning environment - A framework that
outlines the steps in the planning process.
- The general forecast for the U.S. economy and particularly the
U.S. telcos.
- The competitive market in the U.S. facing today' s
telecommunications company, including discussions of major factors in the
changing market such as advanced access architectures, supercompetitors, and
overbuild.
- A detailed approach to Business Transformation Planning - a
“how to.”
- A survey of what major players are doing in business transformation
planning.
- Interviews with some of the top thinkers in the telecommunications
business today.
- The changing face of the network - why it is changing and how.
- Our characterization of the NGN - Access, Speed, and Flexibility.
- Our forecast for the Next Generation Network architecture -
Access, Transport, and Control.
- A description of the major technology groups in the NGN - with forecasts
for their deployment.
- A listing of major vendors of NGN hardware and software.
- A major Appendix will describe the process of “Vision
Planning” - a technique for transformation planning.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Table of Figures
The Lightwave Network Series of Reports
The Lightwave Network
The Lightwave Series of Reports
- General Reports on the Network
- General Market Reports
- Specific Systems Reports
Introduction
The Impact of Competitive Networks
Transformation Planning
Why Do We Change Networks?
Customer is King!
This Report
The Business Transformation Planning Environment
Planning Environment
Market Intelligence
Business Vision
Marketstructure
Implementation
- Market Intelligence Feedback
General US Economic Forecast
General Economic Background
Telecom Economic Background
Possible Positives for Telecom in 2009
Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
The Face of Network Competition
This Chapter
The Face of Network Competition - Market Structure Today
- RBOCs' Multidimensional Competitive Struggle
Post-merger Competition
RBOC Purchase of IXCs
RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
Advanced Access Architecture Plans
RBOCs Are Becoming Wireless Access Companies
- RBOC Loss of Main Lines
- It' s a Wireless Access Industry!
- The Wireless Access Landscape
- Forecast for Wireline to Wireless
The Super Competitors
- Google Attacks - Google Voice
- Forecast for Google Voice
Overbuild
- Overbuild - How?
- Overbuild - Significance
- A New Type of Competition
- Summary of Overbuild Forecasts
Summary of Forecasts - Face of the Market
- General Economic Forecasts
- Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
- Advanced Access Architectures
- Wireline to Wireless
- Google Voice/Google Forecast
- Overbuilding
Survey of Business Transformation Activities by Major Players
AT&T
BT (British Telecom) - “21CN'
Comcast
NTT (Japan)
Orange/FT (French Telecom)
Telstra (Australian)
Verizon
Qwest
Ciena
NeoPhotonics
Changing Face of the Network
Why Change Networks?
- Cheaper Operation:
- Cheaper to Grow
- Need for More Capacity:
- End-User Demand.
How the Network Is Changing
- Historical Network
- Recent Network
- Future Network
- “Watson, Come Here - I Need your Cell Number!”
The Next Generation Network
NGN - Characterization
NGN - Architecture
- NGN - Access
- NGN - Transport
- Local
- Soft switches
- MSPP
- Metro DWDM
- R-OADMs
- IXC
- R-OADMs
- OC-768 and SONET Advances
- IP
- “Big Iron”
- NGN - Control
- New Competitors vs. Super Competitors View of Control
- Control Forecast - A Compromise
- 1. Direct Control
- 2. Common Control and the Intelligent Network
- 3. NGN Control
Summary of NGN Forecast
The Technologies of the Next Generation Network
Advanced Access Architectures
- Verizon
- AT&T
- Bell South
- Qwest
NGPONs - Advanced Options - 10-GPON and WDM-PON
- 10-GPON
- WDM-PONs
- Vendors of WDM-PON
- Vendors of WDM - Listing and Summary of Status
ROADMs
- Achieving SONET-like Control in Optical Networks
- A New ROADM
- Evolution to the Edge
NGN Standards Activities
ITU
IEFT
Comparison of ITU and IEFT NGN Views
Forecast for NGN Technologies
Advanced Access Architectures Forecast
Forecasts for Deployment
AAA Forecast Summary
- AT&T
- Verizon
- BellSouth
- Qwest
Forecast Size of Deployments
- Forecast of Homes Passed
- Penetration Rates
- Growth of AAA and Reduction in xDSL
ROADM Forecast
- Model for Forecast Core and Metro ROADMs
- Model for Forecast - Edge ROADMs
- Systems - Forecast
US Edge ROADMs
US Market Forecast
Vendors for the NGN
Advanced Access Architecture Vendors
- Acterna (acquired by JDSU)
- ADC
- Adtran
- Advanced Fibre Communications Inc. (AFCI) (Now Tellabs)
- Alcatel-Lucent
- Alloptic Inc
- Amino Technologies plc
- Avanex Corporation (now Oclaro)
- Broadlight
- Calix
- Cisco
- Conexant
- Corrigent (now Orckit)
- Entrisphere Inc. (Acquired by Ericsson)
- Ericsson
- Fiberxon (Now Source Photonics combined with Luminent)
- Finisar Corporation
- FlexLight Networks (Defunct)
- Fujitsu
- Genone3 Technologies Inc.
- Hitachi Communication Technologies Ltd.
- Humax USA Inc.
- JDS Uniphase
- Kreatel Communications AB (Acquired by Motorola)
- LG Electronics
- LightComm Technology
- Marconi
- Microsoft
- Motorola
- NeoPhotonics
- Nortel
- Novera Optics (owned by Nortel / LG JV)
- OFS
- O-Net Communications Ltd
- Oplink Communications, Inc.
- Optiviva Inc.
- Optical Solutions (Acquired by Calix)
- Osaki Electric Co. Ltd.
- Paceon (Mitsubishi)
- Passave (Acquired by PMC-Sierra)
- PMC-Sierra
- Quantum Bridge Communications (Acquired by Motorola)
- Salira Optical Network Systems
- Scientific-Atlanta (Cisco)
- Siemens
- Source Photonics (Combined with Fiberxon and Luminent)
- Tandberg Ltd. (Ericsson)
- Tellabs
- Terawave (Acquired by Occam Networks)
- Tut Systems (Acquired by Motorola)
- Vinci Systems, Inc. (Acquired by Tellabs)
- Wave7 Optics
- Worldwide Packets, Inc. (Acquired by Ciena)
- Zhone Technologies
ROADM System Vendors
System Vendor Listing
- Adva Optical Networking
- Alcatel-Lucent
- Ciena
- Cisco
- ECI
- Ericsson
- Fujitsu
- Infinera
- Huawei Technologies
- Mahi Networks (formerly Photuris) - Meriton (now Xtera)
- Marconi Corporation plc (Ericsson)
- Meriton Networks (now Xtera)
- Movaz Networks (ADVA)
- NEC America Inc.
- Nistica
- Nokia Siemens (NSN)
- Nortel
- OpVista Inc.
- Tellabs
- Tropic Networks (Alcatel-Lucent)
Appendix I - Vision Planning Primer
What Is Vision Planning?
Development of a Vision
Vision Planning - Examples
- IBM Example
- Lincoln Example from the Civil War
The Vision Planning Pyramid
The Vision Planning Process
- Step 1. Vision statement
- Step 2. Develop a view of the future environment and test.
- Step 3. Restatement
- Step 4. Backwards deployment (Implementation Plan)
Service Implementation Plan Example
Summary of Vision Planning
Table of Figures
- Figure 1, Lightwave Network
- Figure 2, Planning Environment
- Figure 3, Marketstructure
- Figure 4, Telecommunications Economic Forecasts
- Figure 5: Summary of Competitive Position
- Figure 6: Revised Competitive Structure Due to IXC Purchases
- Figure 7: RBOCs Subsume IXCs and CLECs
- Figure 8: RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
- Figure 9, Telcos vs. Cable Companies - 2009
- Figure 13, Verizon Wireline vs. Data Revenues
- Figure 14, Verizon Loss of Main Lines vs. Data Revenue
- Figure 15, Wireless Competition
- Figure 16, Forecast for Wireline to Wireless Migration
- Figure 17, The Super Competitors
- Figure 18, Google as a Serious Threat
- Figure 19, Forecast for Google Voice
- Figure 20, Verizon' s NOOF Arrangement
- Figure 21, Forecasted Overbuild Strategic Outcome
- Figure 22, Historical Network
- Figure 23, Recent Network
- Figure 24, Near Future Network
- Figure 25, NGN - Characterization
- Figure 26, Next Generation Network
- Figure 27, Transformation from Opaque to Transparent
- Figure 28, Control Migration to Network Edge
- Figure 29, Identified Technologies of the NGN
- Figure 30, ROADMs to the Network Edge
- Figure 31, Differences between ITU and IEFT NGN Views
- Figure 32: Forecast Homes Passed Cumulative - All Technologies
- Figure 33: Forecast Homes Passed Annually - By Company - All Technologies
- Figure 34: FTTX vs. High-speed Accesses vs. US Households
- Figure 35, AAA Growth vs. Legacy XDSL
- Figure 36: ROADM System Unit Forecast - US
- Figure 37: US Market - Change in Predominant Type of ROADM over Time
- Figure 38: US Edge ROADMs Systems
- Figure 39: ROADMs Market Forecast - US
- Figure 40: OADM vs. ROADM Market - US
- Figure 41, IBM' s Gerstner' s Corollaries
- Figure 42, Vision Planning Pyramid
- Figure 43, Vision Planning Approach
- Figure 44, Traditional Planning Approach
- Figure 45, Tom Peter' s List of Good Vision Attributes
- Figure 46, Davenports' Visioning Process
- Figure 47, Service Vision Statement Example
- Figure 48, Vision Statement Examples
- Figure 49, Example of Vision Statement and Implementation Plan for Service
- Figure 50, Summary of Points about Vision
