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Middle East and North Africa Solar Market Outlook, 2013-2017

Abstract

The MENA region possesses the greatest technical potential for renewable energy in the world with much of this potential attributed to solar energy. This potential is now starting to be more seriously considered, driven by rapidly increasing energy usage, high insolation rates, a young and empowered workforce, and an increasing awareness of the costs of burning natural resources.

The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Turkey, and Morocco, have ambitious solar power generation goals as well as evolving policies and regulatory frameworks to support these goals. Demonstration projects are being deployed in some countries, while large scale projects are being deployed in others. However, in a region undergoing dramatic political and social change, questions remain as to the long term outlook for solar energy. In this report, we discuss the drivers for adoption, the major players and stakeholders, the overall market structure, and the long term outlook of each solar market in the MENA region.

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This 103-page report examines energy scenarios driving solar growth in the MENA region and examines the current and projected solar policies for each country analyzed. The report also provides strategic analysis and a competitive outlook on the companies active in each market. In addition, the report offers solar (PV and CSP) project details for each market along with country-specific demand forecasts to 2017.

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

2. REGIONAL TRENDS

  • 2.1 Oil Importers and Exporters
  • 2.2 Rising Electricity Demand
  • 2.3 Energy Subsidies

3. THE KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA

  • 3.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 3.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 3.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 3.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 3.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 3.6 Market Outlook and Sizing

4. ABU DHABI

  • 4.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 4.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 4.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 4.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 4.6 Market Outlook and Sizing

5. DUBAI

  • 5.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 5.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 5.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 5.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 5.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 5.6 Market Outlook and Sizing

6. TURKEY

  • 6.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 6.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 6.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 6.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 6.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 6.6 Market Outlook and Sizing

7. JORDAN

  • 7.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 7.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 7.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 7.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 7.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 7.6 Market Outlook and Sizing

8. QATAR

  • 8.1 Electricity Market Profile
  • 8.2 Catalysts and Drivers for Solar Adoption
  • 8.3 Existing Solar Capacity
  • 8.4 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 8.5 Market Dynamics and Players
  • 8.6 Market Outlook

9. MOROCCO

  • 9.1 Policy and Solar Market Structure
  • 9.2 Market Outlook

10. ALGERIA

  • 10.1 Policy and Solar Market Structure

11. KUWAIT

12. BAHRAIN

13. OMAN

14. EGYPT

15. THE WATER-ENERGY NEXUS

16. COMPARATIVE MARKET ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS

COMPANIES ANALYZED INCLUDE

  • Abengoa
  • ACWA Power
  • Al Arrah Contracting
  • Al-Jomaih Group
  • ALSA
  • AnelEnerji
  • Aqua Power
  • AREVA
  • ATSCO Solar Belectric
  • Bisam Solar
  • Brightsource
  • China Sunergy
  • Conergy
  • Consolidated Contractors Company
  • DongFang Electric EDF
  • Electricity and Cogeneration Regulatory Authority
  • Emirates Nuclear Power Corporation
  • Enviromena
  • Envitech Fichtner Solar
  • First Solar
  • FormSolar
  • Gaziouglu Solar Enerji
  • GDF Suez
  • Gerlicher Merk
  • Girasolar
  • Green Gulf Halk Enerji Hyundai Heavy Industries
  • IBC Solar
  • IDEA Polysilicon Company
  • iRES Enerji
  • Isofoton
  • Istanbul Energy KEPCO
  • KES Energy
  • Lahmeyer International
  • Masdar
  • Mavi Solar
  • MENA Infrastructure Fund
  • Microsol International M.R. Khathlan Contracting
  • Naizak Global
  • Nashwan
  • National Grid Company SA
  • National Solar Systems
  • Nurol Technologies Phoenix Solar
  • Polysilicon Technology Company
  • Power-One
  • PTL Solar
  • Q-Cells
  • Saudi Electricity Company
  • Samsung C&T Saudi Aramco
  • Saint Gobain Avancis
  • Saudi Binladin Group
  • Saudi Oger
  • SEPCO3
  • Showa Shell
  • SMA
  • Sojitz
  • Solar Bazaar Solar Frontier
  • The State Group
  • Sun & Life
  • SunEdison
  • Sunpower
  • Suntech Power
  • TAQA
  • Technip E&C
  • TERA Solar Total
  • Trakya Cam
  • Trina Solar

LIST OF FIGURES

2. REGIONAL TRENDS

  • Oil Importing and Exporting Countries in the MENA Region
  • Real GDP Growth in the MENA Region
  • Fiscal Balance in the MENA Region
  • Electricity Demand Growth in the Middle Eas
  • Trends in Fossil Fuel Subsidies

3. THE KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA

  • Electricity Demand Growth in Saudi Arabia
  • IPP Projects Bid on a BOO Basis by the SEC
  • Saudi Arabia Electricity Tariffs
  • Saudi Arabia's Hydrocarbon Dependence
  • Trends in Saudi Arabian Oil Production and Consumption
  • 2010 Saudi Arabian Fuel Prices Vs. US Fuel Prices
  • Saudi Aramco Solar Projects
  • Expected Timeline for Introductory Round Procurement
  • Expected Timeline for First Procurement Round
  • First and Second Procurement Round Capacity Goals
  • Saudi Arabian Energy Sector Players
  • Major Manufacturing Ventures in Saudi Arabia
  • Saudi Arabia Base Case Demand Forecast

4. ABU DHABI

  • Abu Dhabi Electricity Sector Organization
  • Abu Dhabi Electricity Tariffs
  • UAE Natural Gas Production and Consumption Trends
  • Existing Solar Projects in Abu Dhabi
  • Selected Data for Masdar City 10 MW Project
  • Structure of Shams 1 Project
  • Masdar and Its Subsidiaries
  • Selected Abu Dhabi Based Solar EPC Firms
  • Abu Dhabi Base Case Demand Forecast

5. DUBAI

  • DEWA Electricity Rates
  • Dubai Integrated Energy Strategy Proposed Energy Mix
  • Dubai Base Case Demand Forecast

6. TURKEY

  • Total Capacity and Wind Capacity Growth in Turkey
  • Turkish Electricity Generation by Fuel Type (2011)
  • Electricity Rates by Market Segment
  • Feed in Tariff Levels and Local Content Premiums
  • Solar Project FIT Flow Chart
  • Solar Industry Incentives
  • Potential Project Returns Versus System Costs
  • Regional Substation Connections and Capacity Allotments
  • Turkish Solar Integrators
  • Major Turkish Solar Product Distributors
  • Turkey Low Growth Case
  • Turkey Base Case Growth
  • Turkey High Growth Case

7. JORDAN

  • Jordanian Electricity System Structure
  • Jordan's Fuel Mix: With Egyptian Gas Vs. Without Egyptian Gas
  • Generating Units in Jordan
  • Qualified Expressions of Interest Under Jordan's Renewable Energy Law
  • Potential PV Sales Channels
  • Jordan Base Case Growth

8. QATAR

  • Qatar Electricity Tariff Categories and Rates

9. MOROCCO

  • Planned Moroccan Projects
  • Applications for Prequalification for Ouarzazate 1
  • Prequalified Bidders for Ouarzazate 1

10. ALGERIA

  • Proposed Algerian Renewable Energy Plan

11. KUWAIT

  • Electricity Demand Growth in Kuwait

13. OMAN

  • Demand Projections and Contracted Generating Capacity
  • RAECO Shortlisted Solar PV Projects

15. THE WATER-ENERGY NEXUS

  • Water Supply in the MENA Region

16. COMPARATIVE MARKET ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS

  • Base Case MENA Demand Forecast
  • Base Case Potential Tender Timeline
  • Regional Market Attractiveness Comparative Matrix
  • Major Module and Inverter Manufacturer MENA Offices
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