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Western Europe Next-Generation Access 2012-2016 Forecast and Analysis

  • Published:
  • 34 Pages
  • IDC

This study defines the current market situation and likely future development of next-generation access services, with a focus on 3 different technologies: very-high-speed digital subscriber line (VDSL), DOCSIS 3.0, cable services and fiber to the premises (FttP). The scope of this study is limited to next-generation access as it is used to provide direct Internet access to end-user sites. As such, all data on connections and spending is limited to Internet access, and it excludes connections that are only used to access other services, such as VoIP or IP VPNs. It also excludes spending on services that may be provided bundled with Internet access, including VoIP and TV. This study presents the status and outlook of deployment across Western Europe and analyzes the factors that impact the development. Finally, the study provides five-year connection and spending forecasts by technology, end-user segment, and country.

"Operators will accelerate the deployment of next-generation access networks. This will be driven by competitive pressure, growing bandwidth requirements among end users, and a need to differentiate multiplay propositions," said Jan Hein Bakkers, research manager, IDC European Telecommunications and Networking.

Table of Contents


IDC Opinion


In This Study


  • Methodology

Situation Overview

  • Bandwidth Requirements Are Accelerating

  • Competitive Pressure Is Growing

  • Countries Are at Very Different Stages of Development

Future Outlook

  • Forecast and Assumptions

  • Availability Grows Substantially

  • Next-Generation Access Enables Further Growth in Average Bandwidth

  • Next-Generation Access Becomes Mainstream

  • Providers of Current-Generation Access Face a "Performance Squeeze"

  • VDSL and DOCSIS 3.0 Compete for Market Leadership

  • Countries Continue to Develop at Different Speeds

    • Forecast Tables

  • Market Context

Essential Guidance

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  • Related Research

  • Exchange Rates

  • Synopsis

Table: Top 3 Assumptions for the Western European Next-Generation Access Services Market, 2012-2016

Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the European Next-Generation Access Services Market, 2012-2016


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Connections by Technology, 2007-2016 (000)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Spending by Technology, 2007-2014 ($M)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Connections by End-user Segment, 2007-2016 (000)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Spending by End-User Segment, 2007-2016 ($M)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Connections by Country, 2007-2016 (000)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Spending by Country, 2007-2016 ($M)


Table: Western Europe Next-Generation Access, 2007-2016: Current and Previous Forecast Comparison


Table: Exchange Rates, 2011


Figure: Western Europe Nominal Downstream Bandwidth per Consumer Broadband Connection, 2007-2011


Figure: Western Europe Broadband Net Additions, 2007-2011


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Market Snapshot, 2011


Figure: Western Europe Availability of Next-Generation Access Services, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access and other Broadband Consumer Nominal Downstream Speeds, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access and Other Broadband Average Consumer Spending, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Household Broadband Penetration by Type, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Spending on Next-Generation Access and other Broadband, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Connections by Technology, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Spending by Technology, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Connections by End-User Segment, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Spending by End-User Segment, 2007-2016


Figure: Western Europe Next-Generation Access Market Snapshot, 2016


Figure: Western Europe Next Generation Access Connections, 2007-2016: Current vs. Previous Forecast Comparison


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