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Worldwide Smartphone 2014-2018 Forecast and Analysis

  • Published:
  • 38 Pages
  • IDC

This IDC study examines the worldwide smartphone market for 2013-2018. IDC believes the smartphone market, having reached 1.0 billion units shipped in 2013, will increase 19.3% and reach a total of 1.2 billion units shipped in 2014. From there, total smartphone shipments will reach 1.7 billion units in 2018, resulting in a CAGR of 11.5%.

"The worldwide smartphone market is heading for certain growth, although we are starting to see that growth beginning to slow down in the latter years of our forecast," says Ramon Llamas, research manager with IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Underpinning the market is a constantly shifting operating system landscape, and although we anticipate that Android will maintain leadership throughout our forecast period, iOS' market share will flatten out but remain the clear number 2 behind Android. Windows Phone will continue to make strides but will not achieve greater than 10% market share. Finally, we have taken a conservative approach on BlackBerry as the company retrenches itself and focuses on key markets and market segments."

Table of Contents

IDC Opinion

In This Study

  • Methodology
    • Primary Data Sources
    • Secondary Sources
    • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Situation Overview

  • 4Q13 Overview
  • 2013 Overview

Future Outlook

  • Forecast and Assumptions
    • Assumptions
    • Forecast by Operating System
      • Android
      • BlackBerry OS
      • Firefox
      • iOS
      • Linux
      • Symbian
      • Tizen
      • Windows Phone
    • Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
    • Forecast by Region
  • Market Context

Essential Guidance

  • Low-Cost Smartphones to Drive the Market Going Forward
  • Experience Is King
  • As Innovation on the Smartphone Slows, Look Outside the Smartphone
  • Mobile Applications

Learn More

  • Related Research
  • Synopsis

List of Tables

  • Table: Top 3 Assumptions for the Worldwide Smartphone Market, 2014-2018
  • Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide Smartphone Market, 2014-2018
  • Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Operating System, 2013-2018 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipments, 2013-2018 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2013-2018 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2009-2018: Comparison of December 2013 and March 2014 Forecasts (M)

List of Figures

  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Top 5 Vendors, 4Q12 and 4Q13
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Operating System, 4Q12 and 4Q13
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Top 5 Vendors, 2012 and 2013
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Operating System, 2012 and 2013
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Operating System, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Operating System, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipments, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment Share, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments by Region, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Region, 2013-2018
  • Figure: Worldwide Smartphone Shipments, 2009-2018: Comparison of December 2013 and March 2014 Forecasts
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