This IDC study analyzes the worldwide smartphone market for 2013-2017. IDC believes that smartphone vendors will ship a total of 918.6 million smartphones in 2013, up 27.2% from the 722.4 million units shipped in 2012. From there, shipment volumes will grow at a CAGR of 16.0% before reaching a total of 1.5 billion units shipped in 2017, the final year of our forecast.
"Demand for smartphones is expected to be strong throughout our forecast period, and increased selection from vendors and platforms will provide an array of choices and decisions for all in the ecosystem," says Ramon Llamas, research manager with IDC's Mobile Phones practice. "We expect Android and Apple iOS to stay out front at number 1 and number 2, respectively. The race for number 3 between BlackBerry and Windows Phone will bear close observation as BB10 launches and Windows Phone gains greater salience in the market. Finally, Linux will get more attention than ever this year as multiple variations get set to launch."
Primary Data Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Top 5 Smartphone Vendors, 2012
Worldwide Smartphone Shipment Share by Top 5 Vendors, 2011 and 2012
Smartphones by Region, 2012
Forecast and Assumptions
Forecast by Operating System
Forecast by Region
Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
HTML5 Not Ready for Prime Time
Smartphones Getting Smarter
Revisiting the Smartphone Camera
Subsidies: A Thing of the Past?
Rise of the Dual-Persona Experience