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Market Research Report

Worldwide Hard Disk Drive 2009-2013 Forecast and Analysis: A Postcrisis Fundamental Shift

Published by IDC
Published May, 2009 Product code 94784
Content info Pages: 48
Price
Not Available

This publication has been discontinued on June 28, 2011.

Introduction

Abstract

This IDC study details hard disk drive industry shipments and revenue over the forecast period of 2009–2013. Trends in end markets affecting HDD demand are assessed while HDD technology advancements are factored into expected average HDD capacities and unit prices.

"The economic crisis is having a profound impact on HDD demand and revenue. Near term, contracting IT spending budgets are causing storage system customers to pursue more efficient storage solutions that optimize storage utilization rates and reduce energy costs. At the same time, end-device manufacturers are seeking to lower the cost of manufacturing PCs and CE (consumer electronics) devices to reach lower price points. These are fundamental shifts that are unlikely to be reversed," says John Rydning, IDC' s research director for hard disk drives. "Meanwhile, the volume of digital information keeps growing, and end users continue to demand higher-capacity HDDs. Caught between these forces is an HDD industry under pressure to develop next-generation HDD technology while trying to find a path to profitability — all within the context of a lower to flat revenue outlook."

Table of Contents

  • IDC Opinion
  • In This Study
    • Methodology
      • Historical Market Values and Exchange Rates
  • Situation Overview
    • Hard Disk Drive Industry Dynamics
      • The Cost of HDD Storage: Continuously Cheaper on a Price-per-Gigabyte Basis
        • A Smaller HDD Industry
        • 2008 in Review
  • Future Outlook
    • Forecast and Assumptions
      • Assumptions
      • Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast
      • Risks to Forecast
        • HDD Capacity Satiation
        • Multiterabyte HDDs Poised to "Tear-a-Bite" Out of HDD Unit Demand
        • Hard Disk Drive ASP Erosion
        • Competing Storage Technologies to Hard Disk Drives
      • HDD Market Overview
        • Enterprise Applications: The Migration to Capacity-Optimized Storage
        • PC Market: A Changing Landscape for PCs and PC Storage
        • Personal Storage Remains a Solid Opportunity for HDD Vendors
        • Consumer Electronics: Video Remains a Key Growth Driver for HDDs
      • HDD Form Factor Outlook
    • Market Context
  • Essential Guidance
  • Learn More
    • Related Research
    • Definitions
      • Areal Density
      • Average Sales Price or Average Unit Price
      • Hard Disk Drives
      • Disks/Platters
      • Hard Disk Drive Gigabytes and Terabytes
      • Performance-Optimized HDDs
      • Capacity-Optimized HDDs
      • Server Blades
      • Solid State Disk Drives
      • Unit Shipments
      • Value of Shipments
    • IDC System Classifications
      • Traditional Computing Applications
        • Enterprise Storage Systems
        • Portable PCs
        • Desktop PCs
        • Personal Storage Devices
        • Traditional Workstations
        • Industrial/Commercial Applications
      • Consumer Electronics
        • Digital Video Applications
        • Automotive Applications
        • Digital Camcorders
        • Portable Media Players
    • Synopsis
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Vendor, 2007 and 2008: All HDD Form Factors
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Vendor, 2007 and 2008: All HDD Form Factors
  • Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Market, 2009–2013
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Major Application, 2005–2013 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Major Application, 2005–2013 ($M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Enterprise Applications Shipments by Form Factor, 2008–2013
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue for PC Applications, 2008–2013
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Portable PCs by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Desktop PCs by Form Factor, 2008–2013
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Personal Storage Devices by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments of Consumer Electronics Applications by Form Factor, 2008–2013 (M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2008–2013 (000)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Revenue by Form Factor and Consumption Category, 2008–2013 ($M)
  • Table: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004–2013: Comparison of December 2008 and May 2009 Forecasts
  • Figure: Worldwide Average Price per Gigabyte of HDD Storage, 2008–2013
  • Figure: Worldwide HDD Form Factors ASPs, 2008–2013
  • Figure: Worldwide Mininotebook PC Shipments Share by Segment, 1Q08–4Q08
  • Figure: Worldwide Mininotebook PC Shipments Share by Segment, 2008–2013
  • Figure: Worldwide HDD Shipments and Revenue, 2004–2013: Comparison of December 2008 and May 2009 Forecasts
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