Market Research Report

The 2013 Telecommunications Industry Review: An Anthology of Market Facts and Forecasts

cover Published by The Insight Research Corporation
Published Product code 228330
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Introduction

Abstract

The 2013 Telecom Industry Review summarizes current conditions across the global telecommunications industry, providing analysis of multiple infrastructure and service segments. From fundamental background issues to detailed five-year forecasts accompanied by practical strategic advice, this study provides a comprehensive examination of the global telecom services and equipment marketplace. With Europe in economic turmoil, the path to sustained growth will be bumpy for the next few years. Despite such harsh economic times, telecommunications remains a crucial means of helping countries weather hard times by boosting growth and improving productivity.

This report looks at the global telecommunications services and equipment market in each region: North America; Europe-Middle East-Africa; Asia and the Pacific Rim countries; and Latin America. The Review provides up-to-date information in such key areas as wireless demand, optical networking, VoIP, residential and business communications trends, IPTV and cloud services.

Telecommunications Industry Economic Conditions

The telecommunications industry continues to be impacted by economic factors, most notably, the weak global economy continuing through 2012 and 2013, along with the financial uncertainty in Europe. Over the long term, employment and telecommunications spending will show a modest recovery, and businesses will look to service providers to manage the complexity of expanding branch offices, foreign manufacturing sites, mobile employees, and new access technologies. In developed countries, when job growth does return, we expect that most of the new jobs will be in professional and service occupations, which are major drivers of telecommunications spending.

In the US, unemployment and low consumer confidence continued to drag on the economy. In Europe, the financial stability of the EU remains in doubt and unemployment remains high. The unemployment rate in the US will likely remain above seven percent through 2014, well above the average rate over the past 30 years. With a stagnant US and global economy and businesses not hiring, IT departments must find a way to keep pace with demands for more network applications and greater bandwidth.

Consumer demand for the latest wireless devices and greater access bandwidth remains a key driver of telecommunications services growth. In addition, a large percentage of business activity now depends on the Internet for everything from electronic commerce to intranet applications to customer service.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Chapter - I

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • 1.1. Telecommunications Industry Economic Conditions
  • 1.2. Report Structure

Chapter - II

BACKGROUND: TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY MARKETS

  • 2.1. Global Markets
    • 2.1.1. Regional Economies
    • 2.1.2. Global Telecommunications Spending
    • 2.1.3. North American Telecommunications Spending
    • 2.1.4. European, Middle East, and Africa Telecommunications Spending
    • 2.1.5. Asia-Pacific Telecommunications Spending
    • 2.1.6. Latin America-Caribbean Telecommunications Spending
  • 2.2. Wireline Market Trends
    • 2.2.1. Wireline Revenues
    • 2.2.2. Wireline Demand
  • 2.3. Wireless Market Trends
    • 2.3.1. Wireless Revenues
    • 2.3.2. Wireless Demand
    • 2.3.3. Wireless Technology

Chapter - III

THE NEXT-GENERATION COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK: IMPROVEMENTS TO THE INFRASTRUCTURE

  • 3.1. Overview of Network Topology
    • 3.1.1. End-Users
    • 3.1.2. Access Networks
    • 3.1.3. Metro Networks
    • 3.1.4. Core Networks
  • 3.2. Transmission Improvements
  • 3.3. Circuit Switching vs. Packet Switching Overview
  • 3.4. The Public Switched Telephone Network
    • 3.4.1. Evolution of the PSTN
    • 3.4.2. Central Offices
  • 3.5. Data Networks and VoIP
    • 3.5.1. Broadband Switches
    • 3.5.2. Data Core Networks
    • 3.5.3. Data Metro Networks
    • 3.5.4. Data Access Networks
    • 3.5.5. Signaling and Support Structures for Data Networks
    • 3.5.6. Voice over Internet Protocol
    • 3.5.7. VoIP as Transport
    • 3.5.8. VoIP Operational Advantage
    • 3.5.9. VoIP as Value-Added Stage
  • 3.6. Carri.zer Ethernet Networks
    • 3.6.1. E-line
    • 3.6.2. E-LAN
    • 3.6.3. Other Typologies: Dedicated vs. Switched
    • 3.6.4. Carrier Ethernet Market Forecast
  • 3.7. The Next Generation Network
    • 3.7.1. Gateways
    • 3.7.2. Softswitches
    • 3.7.3. Service Delivery Platforms
    • 3.7.4. IP Multimedia Subsystems
  • 3.8. Optical Networking
    • 3.8.1. Baseline Optical Transport Technologies
    • 3.8.2. Optical Transport Technology Overview
    • 3.8.3. Current Gaps in Baseline Transport Technologies
    • 3.8.4. The Hybrid Approach to Optical Transport Technologies
  • 3.9. Capital Expenditures Forecast

Chapter - IV

THE ACCESS NETWORK: NARROWBAND AND BROADBAND

  • 4.1. Narrowband: The Decline of US Landlines
  • 4.2. Broadband Access Networks
    • 4.2.1. Broadband Access Forecasts
  • 4.3. Access Network Technology Options
    • 4.3.1. DSL
    • 4.3.2. Cable
    • 4.3.3. Bonded Copper
    • 4.3.4. Fiber
    • 4.3.5. Wireless
    • 4.3.6. Fixed Mobile Convergence
    • 4.3.7. WiFi
    • 4.3.8. WiMAX

Chapter - V

SUPPORTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE: OSSES, BSSES, AND OUTSOURCING

  • 5.1. Operations Support Systems Overview
  • 5.2. Operations Support Applications
  • 5.3. Business Operations Support
    • 5.3.1. Billing
    • 5.3.2. Customer Care
    • 5.3.3. Business Management
  • 5.4. Network Operations Support
    • 5.4.1. Engineering and Planning
    • 5.4.2. Provisioning
    • 5.4.3. Trouble Repair
    • 5.4.4. Network Management
    • 5.4.5. Workforce Management
  • 5.5. OSS Market Revenue Estimates
    • 5.5.1. Impacts of Equipment Markets on OSSes
  • 5.6. The Impacts of Open Source Software on OSSes
    • 5.6.1. The Question of Intellectual Property
    • 5.6.2. Open Source Software Benefits
    • 5.6.3. Open Source Software Project Challenges
    • 5.6.4. Open Source Support: The Commercial License
    • 5.6.5. Open Source Markets and Revenue Estimates

Chapter - VI

PRESENT AND FUTURE COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES MARKETS

  • 6.1. IP-Based Application Services
    • 6.1.1. Introduction & Definitions
    • 6.1.2. VoIP as a Non-Starter
    • 6.1.3. Key IP Service Trends
  • 6.2. The Future of IP Services: Web 2.0
    • 6.2.1. Web 2.0 and Mashups
    • 6.2.2. Web 2.0 & the Carriers
    • 6.2.3. Web 2.0 Market Forecast
  • 6.3. The Future of IP Services: Mashups
    • 6.3.1. What We Found
    • 6.3.2. What Role for Telcos in Mashups?
    • 6.3.3. Mashup Market Forecast
  • 6.4. Mobile Phones' Impacts on the Financial Sector
    • 6.4.1. Core Banking
    • 6.4.2. User Financial Applications for Mobile Phones
    • 6.4.3. Financial Services Segment Forecast
  • 6.5. Telecommunications Role in Improving the Environment
    • 6.5.1. Modeling the Benefits of Green
  • 6.6. The Future of Telecommunications
    • 6.6.1. IP Changes Everything
    • 6.6.2. Convergence Cuts Both Ways
    • 6.6.3. The Road Ahead for Operators
    • 6.6.4. The Road Ahead for OEMs

Chapter - VII

ENTERPRISE TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKETS

  • 7.1. The Classification of Businesses by Size
    • 7.1.1. Distribution of Business by Size
    • 7.1.2. The Business Line Market Methodology and Analysis
    • 7.1.3. The Business Line Market in Small Enterprises
  • 7.2. Private Lines
    • 7.2.1. Evolution in the Private Line Services Market
    • 7.2.2. Circuit Types
    • 7.2.3. SONET, IP and Private Lines
    • 7.2.4. Private Line Circuit Layout
    • 7.2.5. Redundancy & Restoration
    • 7.2.6. Private Line Alternatives
    • 7.2.7. Private Line Services Market Forecast
  • 7.3. Managed Services & the Enterprise
    • 7.3.1. Why Managed Services?
    • 7.3.2. Industry Structure
    • 7.3.3. Managed Service Industry Forecast
  • 7.4. Vertical Industry Spending on Telecommunications Services
    • 7.4.1. Telecommunications and Vertical Marketing
    • 7.4.2. Healthcare as a Fast Growing Vertical Industry
  • 7.5. The Mobile Workforce and Enterprise Applications
    • 7.5.1. The Key Enterprise Mobility Applications
    • 7.5.2. Mobile Enterprise Market Forecasts
  • 7.6. Enterprise Unified Communications
    • 7.6.1. Defining Unified Communications
    • 7.6.2. The Benefits of Unified Communications
    • 7.6.3. Unified Communications: Dedicated versus Hosted
    • 7.6.4. The Stakeholders
    • 7.6.5. Unified Communications Markets and Revenue
  • 7.7. The CATV MSOs' Push into the Enterprise
    • 7.7.1. CableCos Competion in Enterprise Markets
    • 7.7.3. Market Forecast
  • 7.8. Hosted Voice Services in the Small Enterprise

Table of Figures

Chapter - I

  • I-1. Global Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • I-2. US Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018

Chapter - III

  • III-1. Public Communication Network Architecture
  • III-2. SONET Ring Configuration
  • III-3. Hierarchy of Broadband Switch Functions
  • III-4. Typical National Data Core Network
  • III-5. E-Line Point-to-Point Service Type
  • III-6. E-LAN Multipoint-to-Multipoint Service Type
  • III-7. Softswitch Architecture Diagram
  • III-8. Circuit vs. Packet Switching of Internet Traffic
  • III-9. SDP Service Provider Network Architecture
  • III-10 STS-1 Frame Structure
  • III-11 STM-1 Frame Structure
  • III-12 Four-Channel DWDM System
  • III-13 Schematic of an MPLS Network
  • III-14 Label Header Structure
  • III-15 MPLS over WDM Core

Chapter - IV

  • IV-1. US Voice Services Penetration of Households
  • IV-2. Worldwide Broadband Subscribers, 2013-2018
  • IV-3. HFC Architecture Providing Video and Voice Services
  • IV-4. Typical Backhaul Configuration
  • IV-5. Typical DSLAM Backhaul Application
  • IV-6. Global Wireless Subscribers, 2013-2018
  • IV-7. Regional Wireless Penetration of Population, 2013-2018
  • IV-8. Total US Wireless Subscribership Growth, 1997-2010
  • IV-9. US Wireless Average Minutes Per Local Call, 2008-2010
  • IV-10. Revenue Split between Non-Voice and Voice Wireless Revenue
  • IV-11. Phone Usage Habits, Women versus Men, January 2011
  • IV-12. Monthly Voice and Text Usage by Age, January 2011
  • IV-13. Cell Phone Penetration as a Percentage of All Phone Subscribers
  • IV-14. Common Fixed Mobile Convergence Scenarios

Chapter - V

  • V-1. Operations Support Systems Dataflow
  • V-2. Business Operations Systems Dataflow
  • V-3. Telecommunications Management Network Functional Architecture
  • V-4. Total Worldwide OSS Sales Revenue, 2011-2016
  • V-5. Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2009-2017
  • V-6. Worldwide Telecom Open Source Market Revenue, 2011-2016

Chapter - VI

  • VI-1. Web 2.0 Business Models 202
  • VI-2. Global Opportunities for Web 2.0 Applied to Telecommunications
  • VI-3. Logical Schematic of a Commercial Mashup 209
  • VI-4. Global Mashup Revenue Opportunity for Telcos, 2010-2015
  • VI-5. Taxonomy of Revenue Opportunities in the Financial Domains
  • VI-6. Global Financial Services & Equipment Revenue, 2012-2017
  • VI-7. Telecom Networking Before and After IP
  • VI-8. Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2009-2017

Chapter - VII

  • VII-1. Capacities of 64 Kbit/s, T1, and T3 Circuits
  • VII-2. Typical Layout for a Full Circuit
  • VII-3. ISDN Switched Backup
  • VII-4. SONET Rings
  • VII-5. Fiber-to-Fiber Redundancy
  • VII-6. Cable-to-Cable Physical Redundancy
  • VII-7. Total Private Line Revenue, 2011-2016
  • VII-8. Managed Services Gross Margins 258
  • VII-9. Drivers of Telecom Expenditures in Vertical Markets
  • VII-10. Top-Tier Business Expenditures for Telecom Wireline Services
  • VII-11. Total US Telecom Wireless Services, 2011 and 2016
  • VII-12. Top-Tier Business Expenditures for Telecom Wireless Services
  • VII-13. Total US Healthcare Telecom Service Revenues, 2012-2017
  • VII-14. Global Market for Enterprise Mobility Solutions, 2011-2016
  • VII-15. Breakdown of UC Market According to Implementation Methodologies
  • VII-16. Total Global Market for All UC Segments: Solutions, Services and Carrier Rev.
  • VII-17. US Telecommunications Revenue by Market, 2012
  • VII-18. US MSO Commercial Service Revenues, 2012-2017
  • VII-19. Revenue Projection for Hosted PBX/VoIP Service in the Small Business Segment

Table of Tables

Chapter - II

  • I-1. Global Carrier Revenue by Region, 2013-2018

Chapter - II

  • II-1. Global Carrier Revenue by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-2. US Carrier Revenue, 2013-2018 ($Billions) 13
  • II-3. Global Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-4. NA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-5. US Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-6. EMEA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-7. AP Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-8. LA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2013-2018
  • II-9. Global Wireline Revenue by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-10. Access Revenue by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-11. US Access Revenue, 2013-2018
  • II-12. Broadband Revenue by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-13. US Broadband Revenue, 2013-2018
  • II-14. Access Lines by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-15. US Access Lines, 2013-2018
  • II-16. Broadband Subs by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-17. US Broadband Subs, 2013-2018
  • II-18. Global Wireless Revenue by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-19. Wireless Subs by Region, 2013-2018
  • II-20. NA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2013-2018
  • II-21. US Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2013-2018
  • II-22. EMEA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2013-2018
  • II-23. AP Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2013-2018
  • II-24. LA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2013-2018
  • II-25. Wireless Data Technologies Comparison

Chapter - III

  • III-1. Definitions of Digital Private Line Services
  • III-2. SONET Data Rates
  • III-3. Network Locations of Broadband Switches
  • III-4. Downstream DSL Bit-rates vs. Reach
  • III-5. US VoIP Subscribers and Penetration, 2013-2018
  • III-6. Characteristics of Ethernet Service Varieties
  • III-7. Total US Public Ethernet Revenues, 2010-2017
  • III-8. Gateway Definitions
  • III-9. Softswitch Advantages/Disadvantages
  • III-10. Economic Benefits of Softswitch Technology
  • III-11. Strategies to Increase Network Service Margins
  • III-12. Interrelationship between STM, STS, OC, and Gbit/s
  • III-13. ITU's Laser Grid 101
  • III-14. Operator Capex in Selected Geographies 2013-2017

Chapter - IV

  • IV-1. US Wireline Switched Access Lines, 2013-2018
  • IV-2. US Wireless Subscribers, 2013-2018
  • IV-3. Broadband Communication Network Access Solutions
  • IV-4. The Versions and Features of xDSL
  • IV-5. Consumer VoWLAN/Cellular Service Scenario: Advantages and Disadvantages

Chapter - V

  • V-1. Operations Support System Definitions Summary
  • V-2. Related OSS Definitions
  • V-3. Worldwide OSS Sales by Region, 2011-2016
  • V-4. Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2009-2017
  • V-5. Open Source Component Categories

Chapter - VI

  • VI-1. Green Communications Portfolio of Product Domains, Services and Applications

Chapter - VII

  • VII-1. US Business Distribution: All Business Sizes
  • VII-2. Bus. Est.by Industry Sector and Business Size: Small Ent. vs. All Other Seg.
  • VII-3. Business Lines: Distribution by Industry Sector
  • VII-4. Bus. Lines by Ind. Sector and Bus. Size: Small Ent. vs. Large & Med. Ent.
  • VII-5. Digital Services Hierarchy
  • VII-6. SONET/Optical Carrier Hierarchy
  • VII-7. Managed Services Segments
  • VII-8. Managed Service Solutions by Business Size
  • VII-9. Healthcare Market Segments
  • VII-10. Healthcare Segment Dimensions and Trends
  • VII-11. Bus. Lines by Ind. Sector and Bus. Size: Small Ent. vs. Large & Med. Ent.
  • VII-12. ILECs & MSOs Operating Territories Covered

The 2013 Telecommunications Industry Review: An Anthology of Market Facts and Forecasts published by The Insight Research Corporation in January 28, 2013. This report price starts from US $ 1500.

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