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Market Research Report
Global market review of full and plug-in hybrid vehicles - forecasts to 2017
| Published by |
just-auto.com |
| Published |
July, 2010 |
Product code |
125572 |
| Content info |
81 Pages |
| Price |
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This publication has been discontinued on September 16, 2011.
Below is the updated product.
Published: January, 2012
Product code: 204726
Abstract
In the full hybrid arena, Toyota continues its utter dominance. Since 1997, it
has made more than 2m vehicles using its Hybrid Synergy Drive system, and
continues toward its goal of offering a hybrid variant of every model it
builds.
Full hybrids, using a high-voltage battery pack of 1.0 to 5.0 kilowatt-hour
(kWh), are distinguished from their mild-hybrid brethren by their ability to
run on electric power alone, for short distances and usually at low speeds.
The upcoming Porsche Cayenne system, by contrast, provides electric
‘gliding' at autobahn speeds under light loads.
This report provides a global review of the full, and plug-in hybrids market.
Data includes trends of full hybrid vehicle production from 2000 through to
2014, offering unit volumes by make and model. Separate data also provides
volumes by vehicle manufacturer for plug-in hybrids from 2000 to 2017.
This report is an essential guide to understanding the sector by
reviewing:
- where the market is right now
- every major vehicle manufacturer' s latest activities, including coverage
of: Toyota, BMW, BYD, Chrysler, Daimler (Mercedes-Benz), Ford, General Motors,
Nissan, Changan, Chery, Faw, Geely, Honda, Hyundai, Jaguar Land Rover/Tata,
Mazda, Mitsubishi, Subaru, Volkswagen Group (VW, Porsche, Audi), Volvo/Geely
- detailed estimates on market takeup by make/model
- technologies and definitions
- factors affecting the market (including oil prices, regulations, battery
costs, electric utility capacity, ‘wells to wheels’ carbon balance, OEMs'
control over technology, geopolitics of lithium
- regionality effects
Every major vehicle maker now acknowledges that it must have hybrid-electric
vehicles in its powertrain portfolio. Their major market is in North America,
along with Asian countries whose tax structures provide significant incentives
for very fuel-efficient vehicles.
just-auto believes that the market prospects for full hybrids, those using
parallel or power-split architectures that offer all-electric running (if only
for short distances), are much rosier than those for mild hybrids of the sort
popularised by Honda.
Use this report to:
- understand the size and scope of the market
- know what' s driving the trends within the sector
- hear what the leading manufacturers' latest strategies are
- see where the future lies for the sector
Extract:
BMW has now launched its US-built sport-utility model with the Two-Mode Hybrid
system, which was first offered by General Motors in 2008. In Munich' s case,
the base vehicle is their X6 sports activity coupe, a tall fastback five-door
vehicle that is built on the platform of the considerably more practical X5
sport utility vehicle, with which it shares production facilities in
Spartanburg, South Carolina.
In line with its reputation for building sporting vehicles, BMW extensively
reworked the control software of the shared Two-Mode system to eliminate any
trace of ‘hybrid feel' . In between the transmission' s four fixed gears,
its engineers simulated three additional ‘speeds' using the electric
motor and the various planetary gearsets running at fixed ratios. It is
presently “the world' s fastest hybrid vehicle”, says BMW.
Why go to all this bother? Peter Tunnermann, who was project manager for what
is officially labelled the 2010 BMW ActiveHybrid X6, told just-auto that the
company' s goal was “to fundamentally change the view of hybrids”
and create “a ‘non-hybrid’ hybrid”. And in that the
engineers have succeeded. Aside from the barely perceptible engine shutoff
when stopped, the hybrid X6 drives like any other fast BMW, with quick shifts
from what appears to be a conventional seven-speed automatic. It is, in
Tunnermann' s words: “the BMW of hybrids.”
Report Statistics
- Published: July 2010
- Pages: 81
- Format: PDF
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Full and plug-in hybrid manufacturers and technologies
- Group 1: The leader
- Toyota
- Three Prius generations and more
- Higher capacity, lithium cells
- 2012 Prius plug-in hybrid
- Outlook
- Group 2: The second tier
- BMW
- BYD
- Chrysler
- Daimler (Mercedes-Benz)
- Ford
- General Motors
- Nissan
- Group 3: The intenders
- Changan
- Chery, Faw, Geely and others
- Honda
- Hyundai
- Jaguar Land Rover/Tata
- Mazda
- Mitsubishi
- Subaru
- Volkswagen Group: VW - Porsche - Audi
- Volvo (acquisition by Geely underway)
Chapter 3 Estimates on market takeup
- Appendix A: Technologies and definitions
- Stop-start system
- Mild hybrids (0.5-1.0kWh battery packs)
- Full (parallel or ‘power-split’) hybrids and plug-in hybrids
(1-8kWh battery packs)
- Plug-in parallel hybrids
- Electric-drive vehicles (10-75kWh battery packs)
- Series hybrid, aka extended-range electric vehicle or E-REV (10-25kWh
battery packs)
- Battery electric vehicle, or BEV (20-75kWh battery packs)
- Appendix B: Factors affecting the market
- Conditions affecting market size
- Oil prices
- Regulation of carbon and other emissions
- Battery costs
- Vehicle costs and new financial models
- Concerns to be addressed
- Electric utility capacity
- ‘Wells to wheels’ carbon balance
- Loss of OEM control over core technology
- Geopolitics of lithium
- And finally: are hybrids a technology or a vehicle type?
- Appendix C: Regionality effects
- About the author
List of tables
- Table 1: Trend of Ford' s North American hybrid vehicle production,
2004-2010 (no. of vehicles)
- Table 2: GM' s full hybrid sales by model, 2009 (units)
- Table 3: Full hybrid vehicle market, volume by manufacturer, 2000-2017
(‘000s of vehicles)
- Table 4: Full hybrid vehicle model plans by manufacturer, 2008-2017
- Table 5: Plug-in hybrid vehicle market, volume by manufacturer, 2000-2017
(‘000s of vehicles)
- Table 6: Plug-in hybrid vehicle model plans by manufacturer, 2009-2017
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