IPTV Video Headend Global Forecast - 2004-2008

This publication has been discontinued on July 19, 2011.

Introduction

Abstract

This is a detailed forecast for the IP TV Video Headend market that is based on MRGs IP TV Forecast & IP TV Global Forecast Update -- March 2005. It incorporates the most recent information on IP TV deployments including:

• Plans by SBC and BellSouth to deploy large IP TV networks in the U.S.
• Plans by Verizon to use IP TV technology for Video On Demand services to supplement its RF based broadband video service over its Fiber to the Premise (FTTP) access network.
• The introduction of Video On Demand IP TV services by China Telecom.
• The broad deployment of IP TV services in many countries in Europe.
• The continued growth of subscribers by the major established IP TV service providers, such as Free in France, PCCW in Hong Kong, and FastWeb in Italy.

We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 109 million on 2004 to 204 million in 2008, a compound annual growth rate of 17 percent. These DSL subscribers are the base for the forecast for IP TV subscribers.

Figure 1-1 shows that the number of global IP TV subscribers supported by services that include IP TV Video headends will grow from 1.5 million in 2004, growing to 19.7 million in 2008, a compound annual growth rate of 91 percent.

Europe is leading the market, but the forecast for North America has increased and now slightly leads Asia. The increase in North America is due to the strong commitments to IP TV made by SBC, BellSouth, and Verizon in the fall of 2004.

Table of Contents

• 1 Executive Summary
• 2 Global Outlook for IP TV Video Headends
  • 2.1 Europe has Moved to the Front
    • 2.1.1 Competition Heating up in France
    • 2.1.2 FastWeb Leads the Way
    • 2.1.3 Benelux Countries
    • 2.1.4 IP TV Starting in the UK
    • 2.1.5 Other Western European Countries
    • 2.1.6 IP TV Progressing in Eastern Europe
  • 2.2 The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IP TV
    • 2.2.1 Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IP TV Activities
    • 2.2.2 Canadian Telcos Adopting IP TV
    • 2.2.3 Small U.S. Independent Telcos Continuing their Advance
  • 2.3 Asia Not Meeting Expectation
    • 2.3.1 Moving Forward in Hong Kong
    • 2.3.2 Taiwan Getting Back Up To Speed
    • 2.3.3 Japan Having a Slow Start
    • 2.3.4 Korea Will Focus on Video On Demand
    • 2.3.5 China Has Big Plans
    • 2.3.6 Activities in Other Asian Countries
  • 2.4 IP TV Emerging in the Rest of the World
• 3 Global IP TV Market Forecast
  • 3.1 Methodology
    • 3.1.1 DSL Forecast
    • 3.1.2 IP TV Video Headend Subscribers and Revenue
    • 3.1.3 Video Headend System Forecast
    • 3.1.4 MPEG-2 Encoder Forecast
    • 3.1.5 Standard Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast
    • 3.1.6 High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast
  • 3.2 Global Forecast Shows Strong Growth
    • 3.2.1 Global DSL Forecast
  • 3.2.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast Shows Strong Growth
    • 3.2.3 Global IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast
    • 3.2.4 Global IP TV Encoder MPEG-2 Forecast
    • 3.2.5 Global Standard Definition MPEG4 Encoder Forecast
    • 3.2.6 Global IP TV High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast
  • 3.3 IP TV Market Forecast for Europe
    • 3.3.1 DSL Forecast in Europe
    • 3.3.2 IP TV Video Headend Subscriber Forecast for Europe
    • 3.3.3 IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for Europe
    • 3.3.4 IP TV Encoder MPEG-2 Forecast for Europe
    • 3.3.5 Standard Definition MPEG4 Encoder Forecast for Europe
    • 3.3.6 IP TV High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast for Europe
  • 3.4 IP TV Market Forecast for North America
    • 3.4.1 DSL Subscribers for North America
    • 3.4.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for North America
    • 3.4.3 IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for North America
    • 3.4.4 IP TV Encoder MPEG-2 Forecast for North America
    • 3.4.5 Standard Definition MPEG4 Encoder Forecast for North America
    • 3.4.6 IP TV High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast for North America
  • 3.5 IP TV Market Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.3 IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.4 IP TV Encoder MPEG-2 Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.5 Standard Definition MPEG4 Encoder Forecast for Asia
    • 3.5.6 IP TV High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast for Asia
  • 3.6 IP TV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World
    • 3.6.1 DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
    • 3.6.2 IP TV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
    • 3.6.3 IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for the Rest of the World
    • 3.6.4 IP TV Encoder MPEG-2 Forecast for the Rest of the World
  • 3.6.5 Standard Definition MPEG4 Encoder Forecast for the Rest of the World
    • 3.6.6 IP TV High Definition MPEG-4 Encoder Forecast for the ROW
• 4 Opportunities, Risks, and Recommendations
  • 4.1 Opportunities
  • 4.2 Risks
  • 4.3 Recommendations

Table of Figures

• Figure 1-1: Global IP TV Subscriber Forecast
• Figure 1-2: Global IP TV Service Revenue Forecast
• Figure 1-3: Global IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast
• Figure 3-1 Global DSL Subscriber Forecast
• Figure 3-2: Global IP TV Subscriber Forecast
• Figure 3-3: IP TV Video Headend Subscriber Service Revenue Forecast
• Figure 3-4: Global IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast
• Figure 3-5: Global IP TV Encoders by Technology
• Figure 3-6: Global IP TV Encoder Revenue by Technology
• Figure 3-7: Global IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Unit Forecast
• Figure 3-8: Global IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Revenue Forecast
• Figure 3-9: Global IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast
• Figure 3-10: Global Forecast for IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue
• Figure 3-11: Global IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast
• Figure 3-12: Global Forecast for IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue
• Figure 3-13 DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-14: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-15: IP TV Service Revenue Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-16: IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-17: IP TV Encoders by Technology for Europe
• Figure 3-18: IP TV Encoder Revenue by Technology for Europe
• Figure 3-19: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Unit Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-20: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Revenue Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-21: IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-22: Forecast for IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue in Europe
• Figure 3-23: IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for Europe
• Figure 3-24: Forecast for IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for Europe
• Figure 3-25: DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-26: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-27: IP TV Service Revenue Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-28: IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-29: IP TV Encoders by Technology in North America
• Figure 3-30: IP TV Encoder Revenue by Technology in North America
• Figure 3-31: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Unit Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-32: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Revenue Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-33: IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-34: Forecast for IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue in North America
• Figure 3-35: IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for North America
• Figure 3-36: Forecast for IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for North America
• Figure 3-37: Asian DSL Subscriber Market
• Figure 3-38: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-39: IP TV Service Revenue Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-40: IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-41: IP TV Encoders by Technology for Asia
• Figure 3-42: IP TV Encoder Revenue by Technology for Asia
• Figure 3-43: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Unit Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-44: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Revenue Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-45: IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-46: Forecast for IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for Asia
• Figure 3-47: IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for Asia
• Figure 3-48: Forecast for IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for Asia
• Figure 3-49: DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-50: IP TV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-51: IP TV Service Revenue Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-52: IP TV Video Headend Revenue Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-53: IP TV Encoders by Technology for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-54: IP TV Encoder Revenue by Technology for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-55: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Unit Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-56: IP TV MPEG-2 Encoder Revenue Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-57: IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for the Rest of the World
• Figure 3-58: Forecast for IP TV SD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for the ROW
• Figure 3-59: IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Unit Forecast for the ROW
• Figure 3-60: Forecast for IP TV HD MPEG-4 Encoder Revenue for the ROW

Table of Tables

• Table 2-1: Global IP TV Service Providers
• Table 3-1: IP TV Video Headend Service Subscriber Monthly Pricing Assumptions
• Table 3-2: IP TV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions
• Table 3-3: IP TV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions
• Table 3-4: IP TV Video System Per Encoder Pricing Assumptions
• Table 3-5: Leading Service Providers Globally
• Table 3-6: Global Service Provider IP TV Video Headend Spending: 2004-2008
• Table 3-7: Leading Service Providers for Europe
• Table 3-8: European Service Provider IP TV Video Headend Spending: 2004-2008
• Table 3-9: Leading Service Providers in North America
• Table 3-10: North American Service Provider IP TV Video Headend Spending
• Table 3-11: Leading Service Providers in Asia
• Table 3-12: Asian Service Provider IP TV Video Headend Spending: 2004-2008

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