OLED Lighting, An Eight-Year Market Forecast (2010) published by NanoMarkets in August, 2010. This report price starts from US $ 2495.
Abstract
This report presents NanoMarkets' latest and most up-to-date projections of
the OLED lighting market in volume and value terms. In addition to the core
general and architectural lighting markets, the report also quantifies the
likely markets for OLED lighting in automotive lighting, backlighting, signage
and other applications. And it also discusses which regions of the world will
ultimately account for the biggest shares of the OLED lighting market.
The main objective of this report is to provide clear numerical projections of
the OLED lighting market over the next eight years. We believe the report
will provide invaluable insights for marketing, product and business
development managers, as well as designers at lighting/luminaire firms, OLED
manufacturers, materials firms and electronics firms. It will also help inform
the decisions of investors who wish to become involved in this sector.
NanoMarkets has been providing forecasts of the OLED lighting space for more
than five years and was the first industry analyst firm to do so. As in the
past, these projections are based on a forecasting model that takes into
consideration historical patterns of growth in the lighting market and the
technical improvements that we have seen in the OLED industry. However, in
these forecasts we have also taken into consideration the recently announced
plans of some of the leading players in this space, which we examine with a
critical eye.
We have also factored into our forecasts important regulatory changes and many
other trends. In addition we also include a discussion of the likely patterns
for the substitution of conventional lighting by OLED lighting; a key factor
in any forecast, since OLEDs represent a completely new form of lighting that
won' t replace existing light bulbs and tubes on a one-to-one basis.
This report is one in a series from the firm that provides comprehensive
coverage of the OLED lighting market.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
- E.1 Introduction
- E.2 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts: Three Key Segments
- E.2.1 General and Architectural Lighting: Where OLED Lighting is
Focused Now
- E.2.2 Backlighting: Still an Opportunity?
- E.2.3 Other Markets for OLED Lighting: Future Opportunities?
- E.2.4 Ongoing Challenges for OLED Lighting
- E.3 Announced Timetables and Roadmaps of Major OLED Lighting Manufacturers
Chapter One: Introduction: Assumptions, Drivers and Challenges
- 1.1 Background and Objectives of this Report
- 1.1.1 Scope of Forecast
- 1.1.2 Sources of Information
- 1.2 OLED Lighting: Reasons to Believe
- 1.3 Ongoing Challenges
- 1.3.1 Continuing Impact of the Recession
- 1.4 Announced Timetables and Roadmaps of Major OLED Lighting Manufacturers
- 1.4.1 Blackbody (France)
- 1.4.2 General Electric (U.S.)
- 1.4.3 Kaneka (Japan)
- 1.4.4 Konica Minolta (Japan)
- 1.4.5 Ledon (Germany)
- 1.4.6 LG (South Korea)
- 1.4.7 Lomox (U.K.)
- 1.4.8 Lumiotec (Japan)
- 1.4.9 Modistech (Korea)
- 1.4.10 Organic Lighting (Japan)
- 1.4.11 Osram (Germany)
- 1.4.12 Philips (Netherlands)
- 1.4.13 Pioneer/Mitsubishi (Japan)
- 1.4.14 PolyPhotonix (U.K.)
- 1.4.15 Universal Display (U.S.A.)
- 1.5 Impact of First OLED Lighting Products on our Forecasts
- 1.5.1 Revenues in 2010
- 1.5.2 The Revenue Impact of First OLED Products to be Produced in Volume
- 1.5.3 OLED Lights as a General Lighting Substitute
- 1.6 Manufacturing Assumptions
- 1.6.1 Printing or Classical Deposition?
- 1.7 Current and Future Pricing of OLED Lighting
- 1.8 Consumer Acceptance Assumptions and Alternative Scenarios
- 1.8.1 How Much Confidence Should You Have in these Forecasts?
Chapter Two: OLED General Illumination and Architectural Lighting Forecasts
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 Impact of Technical Achievements
- 2.2.1 Panel Size: Still a Long Way to Go
- 2.2.2 Efficiency: Getting There
- 2.2.3 Luminance: A Few Thousand cd/m2
- 2.2.4 Lifetimes: Much Variation
- 2.3 Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide OLED-Based General Illumination
Markets
- 2.3.1 Current Size of General Illumination Market: Addressable Markets
for OLEDs
- 2.3.2 OLED Penetration Patterns for OLED-Based General Illumination
- 2.3.3 OLED Lighting as an Alternative to Light Bulbs and Tubes: Design
Issues
- 2.3.4 Prices and the Impact of OLED Lifetimes on Consumer Behavior and
Financial Discount Rates
- 2.3.5 OLED Costs and Pricing Assumptions
- 2.4 Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide OLED-Based Architectural Lighting
Markets
- 2.4.1 Forecasting Assumptions for Architectural Lighting
Chapter Three: Other Potential OLED Lighting Markets
- 3.1 Backlighting
- 3.1.1 Will OLEDs Ever be Good Enough for Backlighting?
- 3.1.2 Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Backlighting: Alternative Scenarios
- 3.2 Vehicular Lighting: Trains and Planes and Cars
- 3.2.1 Eight-Year Forecasts of Vehicular Backlighting
- 3.3 OLED Lighting in Signage
- 3.4 Other Applications for OLED Lighting
- 3.4.1 Healthcare Lighting
- 3.4.2 Specialized Industrial Lighting
- 3.4.3 Novelty Applications
Chapter Four: A Summing Up
- 4.1 Summary of Market Forecasts and Differences from our 2009 Forecasts
- 4.2 Speculations on the Size of Regional Markets: Europe, North America
and Asia
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used in this Report
About the Author
List of Tables:
- Exhibit E-1: Summary of OLED Lighting Markets ($ Millions)
- Exhibit 1-1: Philips' OLED Lighting Product Evolution Scenario.
- Exhibit 1-2: Early OLED Lighting Products: The Pricing Story So Far.
- Exhibit 2-1: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Lighting for General
Illumination.
- Exhibit 2-2: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLEDs for Architectural Lighting.
- Exhibit 3-1: OLED Backlighting Markets ($ Millions) (1)
- Exhibit 3-2 Eight-Year Forecasts of OLEDs for Vehicular Lighting.
- Exhibit 3-4: Eight-Year Forecasts of OLED Lighting In Signage.
- Exhibit 4-1: Summary of OLED Lighting Markets by Application ($ Millions)
