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Market Research Report

Thin-Film Photovoltaics 2008 and Beyond (Revised Edition)

Published by NanoMarkets
Published December, 2008 Product code 77631
Content info 120 Pages
Price
US $ 595 PDF By E-mail - Advanced User License (5 users)
US $ 995 PDF By E-mail - Group Version (10 users)
US $ 1495 PDF By E-mail - Enterprise Version (Company Wide)


Thin-Film Photovoltaics 2008 and Beyond (Revised Edition) published by NanoMarkets in December, 2008. This report consists of 120 Pages and the price starts from US $ 595.

Introduction

Abstract

Summary

This report is an updated version of our July release on thin-film photovoltaic modules markets and takes account of tumultuous changes that have recently occurred in the world economy. The report includes completely revised market forecasts along with a detailed outlook for the business opportunities and threats that NanoMarkets expects for TFPV in 2009. Among the issues that we consider in this report are the impacts of low energy prices on the business case for TFPV, whether environmental arguments for TFPV will lose their hold in a recessionary environment, and the impact of the worldwide construction downturn on the prospects for TFPV.

Also in the report in addition to the quantitative forecasts are assessment of both high-growth and low-growth scenarios for the next eight years and updated profiles of the leading suppliers of TFPV solar panels. We also discuss when the recovery will begin and what the next phase of TFPV market evolution will look like.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • E.1 Thin Film Photovoltaics: The Opportunities
    • E.1.1 Applications and Markets
    • E.1.2 TFPV and Global Energy Markets
  • E.2 Thin-Film Photovoltaics: The Risks
    • E.2.1 Will Silicon Abundance Hurt the TFPV Business?
    • E.2.2 How Long Will the PV Boom Last?
    • E.2.3 Political Risks
    • E.2.4 Other Concerns
  • E.3 Technologies and Materials to Watch
    • E.3.1 Amorphous Silicon
    • E.3.2 CIGS
    • E.3.3 CdTe
    • E.3.4 GaAs
  • E.4 Firms to Watch
  • E.5 Summary of Eight-Year Market Projections
    • E.5.1 What Has Changed Since Last Year
    • E.5.2 Summary of Forecasts

Chapter One: Introduction

  • 1.1 Background to Report
    • 1.1.1 Thin-Film Photovoltaics: Lighter and Less Expensive
    • 1.1.2 Where Thin-Film Photovoltaics Fits in the Energy Market
    • 1.1.3 TFPV and Socioeconomic Factors
    • 1.1.4 Materials and Production Issues
    • 1.1.5 Productization
  • 1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
  • 1.3 Methodology of this Report
  • 1.4 Plan of this Report

Chapter Two: Thin-Film Technology, Materials and Production Strategies

  • 2.1 Evolution and Current State of Photovoltaics Markets
  • 2.2 Thin-Film Silicon
    • 2.2.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for Thin-film Silicon PV
    • 2.2.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
    • 2.2.3 Silicon Inks and Nanocrystalline Silicon
    • 2.2.4 Other Forms of Silicon TFPV
    • 2.2.5 Manufacturers of Amorphous Silicon PV
  • 2.3 CIS/CIGS
    • 2.3.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for CIS/CIGS
    • 2.3.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
    • 2.3.3 Manufacturers of CIGS PV
  • 2.4 CdTe
    • 2.4.1 Evolution of Manufacturing Processes for CdTe
    • 2.4.2 Performance and Expected Improvements
    • 2.4.3 Manufacturers of CdTe PV
  • 2.5 GaAs and Other Compound Semiconductors
    • 2.5.1 Manufacturers of GaAs PV Panels

Chapter Three: Markets for Thin-Film Photovoltaics

  • 3.1 Introduction: Drivers for the Thin-Film PV Market
    • 3.1.1 The Basic Value Proposition of TFPV
    • 3.1.2 TFPV, Geography and Public Policy
    • 3.1.3 Ability to Create New Products
  • 3.2 Large Projects and Central Generation
  • 3.3 Building Integrated Systems
    • 3.3.1 Residential Systems
    • 3.3.2 Commercial and Industrial Buildings
    • 3.3.3 Roofing Systems
    • 3.3.4 FaA˜ade Systems
    • 3.3.5 TFPV for BIPV
    • 3.3.6 TFPV and Smart Windows
  • 3.4 Consumer Electronics
    • 3.4.1 PV, TF and Mobile Electronics
  • 3.5 Military and Emergency Applications
  • 3.6 Other Applications

Chapter Four: Eight-Year Forecasts of Thin-Film, Organic and Printable PV

  • 4.1 Forecasting Methodology
    • 4.1.1 Data Sources
    • 4.1.2 Forecasting in a Hyper-Growth Market and Alternative Scenarios
    • 4.1.3 Scope of Forecast
    • 4.1.4 Other Factors Taken into Consideration in the Forecast
    • 4.1.5 How Much Confidence Should You Have in These Forecasts?
    • 4.1.6 Comparison with Previous NanoMarkets Forecasts
  • 4.2 Forecasts of Thin-Film, Organic and Printable PV Markets by Applications
    • 4.2.1 Forecast of Thin-Film Share of Worldwide PV Market
  • 4.3 Forecasts of Application Revenue Broken Out by Material
    • 4.3.1 a-Si
    • 4.3.2 CIS/CIGS
    • 4.3.3 CdTe
    • 4.3.4 GaAs
    • 4.3.5 Other Materials
  • 4.4 Summaries of Eight-Year Thin-Film Film Market Forecasts by Materials
  • 4.5 Summaries of Eight-Year Thin-Film Film Market Forecasts by Applications
  • 4.6 Forecast of Printed PV Markets by Production Technology

Acronyms and Abbreviations Used in this Report

About the Author

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit E-1: Claimed Advantages of Thin-Film Approaches
  • Exhibit E-1: Claimed Advantages of Thin-Film Approaches
  • Exhibit E-2: Opportunities for TFPV
  • Exhibit E-3: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Material ($ Million)
  • Exhibit E-4: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Application ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 2-1: List of Materials Used for PV
  • Exhibit 2-2: Selected Firms Active in the a-Si PV Market
  • Exhibit 2-3: Manufacturing Approaches Adopted by CIGS Solar Panel Firms
  • Exhibit 2-4: Firms Active in the CIS/CIGS PV Market
  • Exhibit 3-1: Top States Installed Grid-Connected PV
  • Exhibit 3-2: Solar America Cities - 2008
  • Exhibit 3-3: Selected Solar Panel Products
  • Exhibit 3-4: Selected Building-Integrated Solar Products
  • Exhibit 3-5: PV Technology and Applications Matrix for BIPV Products
  • Exhibit 3-6: Power Consumption and Area of Typical Electronic Devices (1)
  • Exhibit 3-7: Selected Portable Electronics Products (Consumer and Military)
  • Exhibit 4-1: Alternative Scenarios for the Evolution of Thin-Film Photovoltaics
  • Exhibit 4-2: Eight-Year Forecasts of TFPV Market Penetration
  • Exhibit 4-3: Worldwide production of a-Si Photovoltaics
  • Exhibit 4-4: Breakout of a-Si Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Millions)
  • Exhibit 4-5: Worldwide production of CIS/CIGS Photovoltaics
  • Exhibit 4-6: Breakout of CIS/CIGS Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Millions)
  • Exhibit 4-7: Short-Term Expansion of CdTe TFPV Capacity
  • Exhibit 4-8: Worldwide Production of CdTe Photovoltaics
  • Exhibit 4-9: Breakout of CdTe Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 4-10: Worldwide Production of GaAs Photovoltaics
  • Exhibit 4-11: Breakout of GaAs Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 4-12: Worldwide Production of "Other" Thin-Film Photovoltaics (Not OPV)
  • Exhibit 4-13: Breakout of Other Thin Film Photovoltaics Revenue by Application ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 4-14: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Material ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 4-15: Summary of Thin-Film Photovoltaics Markets by Application ($ Million)
  • Exhibit 4-16: Printed PV by Material ($ Millions)
  • Exhibit 4-17: Printed PV by Application ($ Millions)
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