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Mexico - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Notes

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Overview

This report provides statistics and analysis on Mexico's fixed-line and digital TV markets, as well as an overview of regulatory developments. It reviews the broadband and internet market, and assesses the mobile sector, including a range statistical data as well as subscriber forecasts.

Executive Summary

Legislation aimed at increasing competition encourages América Móvil to adopt changes

With a population of around 109 million and a fixed-line teledensity of around 17%, Mexico's telecom sector retains significant potential for growth. The market is dominated by the incumbent Telmex, with about 80% market share, while the mobile market is dominated by Telmex's sister company Telcel, both being owned by América Móvil. To address this, a telecom reform law passed in mid-2013 set up a new regulator, removed barriers to foreign investment and has introduced measures to reduce América Móvil's market share. These reforms will go far to making Mexico's telecom market more competitive.

The broadband sector is one of the highest growth areas in Mexico's telecoms market. The main cable TV providers, Megacable, Cablemás and Cablevisión, have begun to broaden their bundled services offerings, and as a result their broadband subscriber base has grown steadily in recent years. Nevertheless, there is significant scope for further market development given that the country's broadband penetration is among the second lowest among the 34 OECD countries, and consumer prices remain high.

Growth in the mobile market has begun to slow in response to higher penetration. Telcel dominates the market, accounting for about 70% of subscribers. Mobile data is rapidly emerging as a key driver, with LTE infrastructure expanding across the country. Operators are making use of concessions in the 700MHz band while the regulator has also assigned spectrum in the 2.5GHz band for LTE, which the government is in the process of reclaiming from existing holders.

Key developments:

New telecom regulator formed; strong growth in pay TV subscriptions and increased interest in triple-play services; government introduces legislative changes for the telecom sector; Cablemás and América Móvil launch VoD services; regulator approves interconnection cost model to 2014; América Móvil makes moves to reduce market dominance; Virgin Mobile Latin America launches services on Movistar's network; mobile penetration approaches 92%; regulator takes control of 2.5GHz spectrum, reassigns it for 4G; Megacable seeks MXN120 million compensation for return of unused spectrum in the 2.5GHz band; Mexico's first local Internet Exchange Point opens in Mexico City; Smart Grid deployments gathering pace; government's CompuApoyo initiative targets 1.7 million homes for computers and broadband access; Hughes delivers national satellite broadband network; regulator's market data updates; telcos' financial and operating data to Q2 2014; market developments to mid-2014.

Companies and subsidiaries covered include:

Telcel; Movistar; Iusacell; Teléfonos de México (Telmex); Axtel; Alestra; Maxcom, Marcatel, Megacable; Cablemás; Cablevisión; Maxcom; Sistemas Interactivos de Telecomunicaciones (SIT);; Megafón; InterCable; CFE, Nextel Mexico; Televisa; Globalstar; Unefón; Telefónica.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Contents

1. Key Statistics

  • 1.1. Economic background

2. Telecommunications Market

  • 2.1. Background
  • 2.2. Overview

3. Regulatory Environment

  • 3.1. Privatisation
  • 3.2. Deregulation
  • 3.3. Foreign investment rules
  • 3.4. Regulatory authorities
  • 3.5. Telecoms reform

4. Fixed Network Market

  • 4.1. Background
  • 4.2. Overview
  • 4.3. Telmex/América Móvil
  • 4.4. Fixed-line statistics
  • 4.5. National network infrastructure developments

5. Telecommunications Infrastructure

  • 5.1. Smart grids
    • 5.1.1. Smart grid technology

6. Broadband Market

  • 6.1. Overview
  • 6.2. Government support
    • 6.2.1. Municipal broadband
  • 6.3. Broadband statistics
  • 6.4. Access
  • 6.5. Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
    • 6.5.1. Prodigy Infinitum (Telmex)
  • 6.6. Cable broadband
    • 6.6.1. Megacable
    • 6.6.2. Cablemás
    • 6.6.3. Cablevisión
  • 6.7. Fibre developments
  • 6.8. Wireless broadband
    • 6.8.1. WiFi
    • 6.8.2. Early WiMAX developments
  • 6.9. Mobile broadband
  • 6.10. Internet via satellite
  • 6.11. Utilities broadband
    • 6.11.1. Utilities communications
  • 6.12. Triple play and VoIP developments

7. Digital Media / Digital Economy

  • 7.1. Digital TV broadcasting
    • 7.1.1. Overview
    • 7.1.2. Cable TV (CATV)
    • 7.1.3. Video-on-Demand (VoD)
    • 7.1.4. Direct-to-Home (DTH) Satellite TV
    • 7.1.5. Pay TV statistics
    • 7.1.6. Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
    • 7.1.7. Other developments
  • 7.2. e-Commerce

8. Mobile Communications

  • 8.1. Overview of Mexico's mobile (cell phone) market
    • 8.1.1. Mobile market statistics
  • 8.2. Regulatory issues
    • 8.2.1. Regulatory authorities
    • 8.2.2. Spectrum auctions
    • 8.2.3. Mobile Termination Rates (MTRs)
    • 8.2.4. Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
    • 8.2.5. Data roaming
  • 8.3. Mobile technologies
    • 8.3.1. Overview
  • 8.4. Major mobile operators
    • 8.4.1. Telcel
    • 8.4.2. Movistar
    • 8.4.3. Grupo Iusacell
    • 8.4.4. Nextel de México
    • 8.4.5. Mobile Virtual network operators
  • 8.5. Mobile voice services
    • 8.5.1. Minutes of Use (MOU)
    • 8.5.2. Prepaid
    • 8.5.3. Satellite mobile
  • 8.6. Mobile data services
    • 8.6.1. SMS Text Messaging
    • 8.6.2. Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
    • 8.6.3. Push-to-Talk (PTT)
    • 8.6.4. Long-term Evolution (LTE)
    • 8.6.5. M-payment services
    • 8.6.6. M-banking

9. Forecasts

  • 9.1. Broadband forecasts
  • 9.2. Mobile market forecasts - 2011 - 2016

List of Tables:

  • Table 1 - Country statistics - 2013
  • Table 2 - Telecom revenue and annual growth - 2014 (e)
  • Table 3 - Telephone network statistics - 2013
  • Table 4 - Internet user statistics - 2014 (e)
  • Table 5 - Broadband statistics - 2014 (e)
  • Table 6 - Mobile statistics - 2014 (e)
  • Table 7 - National telecommunications authorities
  • Table 8 - Telecom market growth - 2004 - 2014
  • Table 9 - Telecom sector investment - 1999 - 2014
  • Table 10 - Telecom sector revenue and annual growth - 1998 - 2014
  • Table 11 - Telmex fixed-line subscribers - 2009 - 2014
  • Table 12 - Telmex revenue, EBITDA - 2011 - 2014
  • Table 13 - Historical - Fixed lines in service, annual change and teledensity - 1996 - 2004
  • Table 14 - Fixed lines in service, annual change and teledensity - 2005 - 2013
  • Table 15 - Length of fibre backbone network - 2001- 2012
  • Table 16 - Smart grid technology market revenue - 2012- 2020
  • Table 17 - Proportion of internet accesses by medium - 2014
  • Table 18 - Internet users and annual change - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 19 - Internet and broadband penetration - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 20 - Dial-up internet subscribers - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 21 - Broadband subscribers by access technology - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 22 - Telmex revenue, EBITDA - 2011 - 2014
  • Table 23 - Megacable cable modem subscribers and annual change - 2001 - 2014
  • Table 24 - Megacable ARPU - 2007 - 2014
  • Table 25 - Megacable revenue by sector - 2010 - 2014
  • Table 26 - Cablemás cable modem subscribers and annual change - 2002 - 2014
  • Table 27 - Cablemás financial data - 2012 - 2014
  • Table 28 - Cablevisión cable broadband subscribers and annual change - 2002 - 2014
  • Table 29 - Mobile broadband subscribers - 2010 - 2015
  • Table 30 - Cable VoIP subscribers of major providers - 2006 - 2014
  • Table 31 - Historical - Cable TV subscribers - 1998 - 2004
  • Table 32 - Cable TV subscribers - 2005 - 2014
  • Table 33 - Megacable TV subscribers - 2010 - 2014
  • Table 34 - Historical - Satellite TV subscribers - 1998 - 2004
  • Table 35 - Satellite TV subscribers - 2005 - 2014
  • Table 36 - Televisa video subscribers by platform - 2010 - 2013
  • Table 37 - Pay TV subscribers by technology, annual change and penetration rate - 1998 - 2014
  • Table 38 - e-Commerce revenue - 2009 - 2014
  • Table 39 - Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration rate - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 40 - Mobile market share by major operator - 2001 - 2013
  • Table 41 - Mobile market revenue - 2001 - 2014
  • Table 42 - Mobile market traffic - 2003 - 2014
  • Table 43 - Telcel subscribers and annual change - 2000 - 2014
  • Table 44 - Telcel churn, monthly minutes of use and ARPU - 2008 - 2014
  • Table 45 - Telcel wireless revenue - 2010 - 2014
  • Table 46 - Movistar subscribers and annual change - 2001 - 2014
  • Table 47 - Movistar minutes of use and ARPU - 2008 - 2014
  • Table 48 - Movistar financial data - 2008 - 2014
  • Table 49 - Iusacell subscribers and annual change - 2000 - 2010
  • Table 50 - Unefón subscribers and annual change (historic) - 2000 - 2007
  • Table 51 - Historic - Mobile traffic - 1995 - 2004
  • Table 52 - Historic - Mobile traffic - 2005 - 2014
  • Table 53 - Prepaid / postpaid subscribers and annual change - 1997 - 2013
  • Table 54 - Proportion of prepaid / postpaid subscribers - 2000 - 2013
  • Table 55 - SMS traffic - 2006 - 2013
  • Table 56 - SMS messages per subscribers - 2006 - 2013
  • Table 57 - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate - highergrowth scenario - 2011 - 2016; 2020
  • Table 58 - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - lower growth scenario - 2011 - 2016; 2020
  • Table 59 - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration lower growth scenario - 2011 - 2012; 2016
  • Table 60 - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration higher growth scenario - 2011 - 2012; 2016

List of Charts:

  • Chart 1 - Telmex revenue, EBITDA - 2011 - 2014
  • Chart 2 - Fixed lines in service, annual change and teledensity - 2005 - 2013
  • Chart 3 - Internet users and penetration rate - 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 4 - Internet subscribers by access technology - 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 5 - Prodigy Infinitum ADSL subscriber lines and annual change - 2003 - 2012
  • Chart 6 - Megacable cable modem subscribers and annual change - 2001 - 2014
  • Chart 7 - Megacable revenue by sector - 2010 - 2014
  • Chart 8 - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 9 - Telcel subscribers and annual change - 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 10 - Movistar subscribers and annual change - 2001 - 2014
  • Chart 11 - Movistar financial data - 2008 - 2014
  • Chart 12 - Iusacell subscribers and annual change - 2000 - 2010
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