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Global Broadband - Demand for Fibre Networks Grows

This annual report offers a wealth of information on the global fixed broadband sector and is a valuable resource of insights, examples and trends. It provides important analyses and statistics on the development of broadband around the world with a focus on fibre network deployment. The important progress of national broadband networks is discussed, supported by useful case studies. The report also includes unique regional overviews written by BuddeComm's Senior Analysts.

Subjects covered include:

  • Insights into the growing demand for fibre networks;
  • Observations regarding finance and investment models for broadband;
  • Outline of key considerations for National Broadband Network development;
  • The role and activities of the Broadband Commission for Development;
  • Key global statistics on broadband growth;
  • Unique regional insights written by BuddeComm's Senior Analysts.

Executive Summary

Global broadband market heading in the right direction

The global broadband market is heading in the right direction with both average broadband speeds going up - and broadband pricing, on the whole, coming down. This combined with the growing demand for fibre network infrastructure creates an environment that is full steam ahead for fixed broadband.

With more than 100 countries now involved in the rollout of FttP; there is increased evidence that commercial demand exists for this infrastructure. In developed economies; FttP demand will, over the next 5 years, grow to between 30%-50% of the population. Competition aimed at the top end of this market will trigger a broader rollout.

Looking at previous developments in the internet/broadband market; it is safe to say that from now on demand for FttX connections will - around the globe - only increase. Countries are increasingly viewing the developments in broadband infrastructure as a utility, similar to models used for gas, electricity and water, and such a model is the key to universally affordable broadband access.

Attracting infrastructure funds to the telecoms industry remains one of the largest obstacles in developing national fibre infrastructure. However, there is one exception where we do see investors being active in the market and that is in backbone infrastructure. Pressured by competition from the wholesale providers using their copper networks as well as from increased competition from the mobile operators; national telcos are forced to invest more and faster in fibre networks in order to stay competitive.

With hundreds of countries adopting broadband policies; national broadband networks are now the accepted best practice for deploying broadband infrastructure. None of these countries' policies are identical; they are all different - they reflect the political, social, economical, financial and geographical conditions that prevail in each case. However all agree that a broadband infrastructure is needed to face the economic and social challenges that each country is facing, and the broadband infrastructure is perceived by all to be critical for the development of the digital economy, healthcare, education, e-government and so on. We also see that all the resource-rich countries have embarked on large-scale FttP projects in order to diversify their economies.

BuddeComm's new report, Global Broadband - The Demand for Fibre Networks Grows, provides important insights into the global fixed broadband market and includes trends, analyses, statistics and case studies. It provides analyses on the progress of broadband and fibre networks around the world and the key considerations when developing National Broadband Networks. In addition the report includes valuable regional overviews written by BuddeComm's Senior Analysts.

Examples of key insights:

  • In 2014 there are still large price differences around the world for fixed broadband services, however overall the prices of broadband have dropped making it increasingly more affordable.
  • BuddeComm predicts that, in the longer term, wholesale will remain one of the key growth markets in telecommunications, as it is essential for services such as e-health, tele-education, smart grids, etc. International IP bandwidth prices continue to decline around the world; albeit at a slower pace when compared to recent years.
  • There is evidence that the Dark Fibre segment is in a growth phase again; however unlike the 1990s when fibre cables were built with the expectation that demand would catch-up with the infrastructure - today there is usually an established reason to build fibre networks to meet actual demand.
  • In terms of future broadband subscriber growth; Asia in particular remains a key market, due partly to the interest in upgrading to broadband for online TV purposes. China, India and Indonesia especially are predicted for future growth, while the more developed markets of Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore are less so.
  • Eastern Europe and Latin America are also expected to grow significantly, while the markets of Western Europe and North America will experience slower growth.
  • The Gulf State countries are rolling out FttP at great speed.

Companies covered in this report include:

Alcatel-Lucent; AT&T; Belgacom; Bell Aliant; Bell Canada; Chunghwa Telecom; Chorus; China Telecom; China Unicom; Free; Google Fiber; GVT; KDDI; Mälarenergi Stadsnät; Mauritius Telecom; NBN Co; Network company (NetCo); NTT; Numéricable; Operating company (OpCo); Orange; SFR; SingTel; Telebras; TEO; Verizon; Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers 2013.

Table of Contents

1. The Growing Demand for Fibre

  • 1.1 Introduction - Market-led demand for FttP is picking up
  • 1.2 Broadband Infrastructure -- The Need For New Finance Models
    • 1.2.1 Creative thinking required to address the issues
    • 1.2.2 Fixed infrastructure
    • 1.2.3 Next: Mobile networks

2. National Broadband Networks (NBN)

  • 2.1 Introduction to National Broadband Networks
    • 2.1.1 National broadband; leadership required
    • 2.1.2 National Broadband Network Company
    • 2.1.3 Open network = innovation and affordability
    • 2.1.4 Technology critical consideration
    • 2.1.5 Wireless broadband
    • 2.1.6 Other quick-win areas
    • 2.1.7 Trans-sector government
    • 2.1.8 Using electricity infrastructure to roll out broadband
    • 2.1.9 Broadband case studies
  • 2.2 The Broadband Commission for Development
    • 2.2.1 Broadband Targets for 2015
    • 2.2.2 Transformative Solutions for 2015 and Beyond
    • 2.2.3 Positive global stats -- moving on to Sustainable Development Goals
    • 2.2.4 Shared and integrated ICT essential to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals
    • 2.2.5 Broadband and Gender
    • 2.2.6 The connected society
    • 2.2.7 A cost-effective platform for progress
    • 2.2.8 Trans-sector approach begins to take hold
    • 2.2.9 The Concept
    • 2.2.10 Developments in 2014
    • 2.2.11 Developments in 2013
    • 2.2.12 Developments in 2012
    • 2.2.13 Developments in 2011
    • 2.2.14 The final reports

3. Global Broadband Statistics and Trends

  • 3.1 Market Overview
    • 3.1.1 The end of HFC and FttN networks is approaching
    • 3.1.2 Mobile broadband: killer app for FttP
    • 3.1.3 Positive outlook for investments in backbones
    • 3.1.4 Global fixed broadband market summary
    • 3.1.5 International IP wholesale market
    • 3.1.6 Countries with broadband policies
    • 3.1.7 Global submarine cable overview

4. Regional Overviews

  • 4.1 North America
    • 4.1.1 USA
    • 4.1.2 Canada
  • 4.2 Latin America
    • 4.2.1 Brazil
    • 4.2.2 Other markets
  • 4.3 Europe
    • 4.3.1 Alternatives to fibre
    • 4.3.2 France
    • 4.3.3 Sweden
    • 4.3.4 Lithuania
  • 4.4 Africa
  • 4.5 Middle East
    • 4.5.1 Bahrain
    • 4.5.2 Iran
    • 4.5.3 Iraq
    • 4.5.4 Israel
    • 4.5.5 Jordan
    • 4.5.6 Kuwait
    • 4.5.7 Lebanon
    • 4.5.8 Oman
    • 4.5.9 Qatar
    • 4.5.10 Saudi Arabia
    • 4.5.11 Syria
    • 4.5.12 Turkey
    • 4.5.13 United Arab Emirates
    • 4.5.14 Yemen
  • 4.6 Asia
    • 4.6.1 Taiwan
    • 4.6.2 Japan
    • 4.6.3 South Korea
    • 4.6.4 Singapore
    • 4.6.5 China
  • 4.7 Pacific Region
    • 4.7.1 Australia
    • 4.7.2 New Zealand
  • Table 1 -- Global - Internet users and annual change -- 2009 - 2014
  • Table 2 -- Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change -- 2005 - 2014
  • Table 3 -- Global -- ICT spending -- 2012 - 2015
  • Table 4 -- Global - telecoms expenditure as a percentage of GDP -- 1990; 2006; 2009; 2012
  • Table 5 -- Global - mobile subscriptions and annual change -- 2009 - 2014
  • Table 6 -- Denmark - fibre broadband subscribers -- 2005 - 2014
  • Table 7 -- Global - Internet users and annual change -- 2009 - 2014
  • Table 8 -- Regional -- market share of broadband subscribers -- Q2 2012; Q1 2013
  • Table 9 -- Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change -- 2005 - 2014
  • Table 10 -- Top ten broadband countries by subscribers -- Q2 2012; Q1 2013
  • Table 11 -- Top ten broadband countries by penetration --2012
  • Table 12 -- Global - broadband market share by access technology -- Mid 2010; Mid 2012; Q1 2013
  • Table 13 -- Global -- broadband subscribers by access technology -- 2013
  • Table 14 -- Average broadband price per month -- selected countries -- Q1 2013
  • Table 15 -- OECD -- top 5 countries with most expensive and cheapest broadband price per Mb/s - March 2012
  • Table 16 -- Global - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology -- Q4 2010 - 2012
  • Table 17 -- Regional - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology -- Q2 2012
  • Table 18 -- Average broadband connection speed - top 10 countries --Q4 2011; Q4 2012; Q4 2013
  • Table 19 -- Global - average overall fixed broadband and upload speeds -- 2008 - 2012
  • Table 20 -- Global -- total broadband services revenue -- 2011; 2012
  • Table 21 -- Global average monthly fixed broadband ARPU -- 2011; 2012
  • Table 22 -- Selected country examples of average monthly fixed broadband ARPU - 2011; 2012
  • Table 23 -- Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers - 2013
  • Table 24 -- Countries with existing national broadband policies -- 2013
  • Table 25 -- USA - FttP homes passed and connected -- 2001 - 2013
  • Table 26 -- Canada - Broadband availability through Economic Action Plan -- 2010 - 2012
  • Table 27 -- Brazil - Telefonica/Vivo FttP homes passed and connected -- 2008 - 2014
  • Table 28 -- Europe - FttX subscriptions and penetration -- 2011 - 2014
  • Table 29 -- Europe -- proportion of broadband connections by speed -- 2007 - 2014
  • Table 30 -- Europe -- proportion of ultra-fast broadband connections by speed -- 2010 - 2014
  • Table 31 -- France - High-speed broadband lines, by data rate -- 2008 -- 2013
  • Table 32 -- France - FttP equipped and passed buildings -- 2008 - 2013
  • Table 33 -- France - Orange fibre subscribers -- 2006 - 2014
  • Table 34 -- Sweden Fibre subscribers -- 2002 - 2014
  • Table 35 -- Bahrain - fixed broadband subscriptions -- 2010 - 2013
  • Table 36 -- Bahrain - broadband market revenue -- 2009 -- 2012
  • Table 37 -- Iran - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2000 - 2014
  • Table 38 -- Iraq - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2006 - 2014
  • Table 39 -- Israel - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2001 - 2014
  • Table 40 -- Jordan - internet subscribers by access method -- 2009 -- Q2 2013
  • Table 41 -- Kuwait - fixed Broadband subscribers - 2001 - 2014
  • Table 42 -- Lebanon - fixed broadband subscribers and penetration -- 2002 - 2014
  • Table 43 -- Oman - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2004 - 2013
  • Table 44 -- Qatar - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2002 - 2014
  • Table 45 -- Saudi Arabia - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2001 - 2013
  • Table 46 -- Syria - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration rate -- 1999 - 2014
  • Table 47 -- Turkey - broadband subscribers and penetration -- 2001 - 2013
  • Table 48 -- Turkey - broadband subscribers by access technology -- 2004 - 2013
  • Table 49 -- UAE - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration -- 2000 - 2013
  • Table 50 -- Yemen - fixed broadband subscribers -- 2005 - 2014
  • Table 51 --FttX subscribers -- Asia v. global -- 2003 - 2013
  • Table 52 -- Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers, penetration and proportion of internet subscribers -- 2000 - 2014
  • Table 53 -- Taiwan -- Fixed broadband subscribers and households -- March 2013
  • Table 54 -- Taiwan - Broadband subscribers and annual change by access -- December 2012
  • Table 55 -- Taiwan - Fixed-line and wireless broadband subscribers by technology -- 2003 -- 2013
  • Table 56 -- Taiwan - FttX subscribers -- 2007 - 2014
  • Table 57 -- Taiwan - Chunghwa Telecom broadband subscribers by technology and market share -- 2001 - 2013
  • Table 58 -- Japan -- Broadband household connectivity and service availability -- 2006 - 2008; 2011
  • Table 59 -- Japan -- Broadband subscribers and households -- 2013
  • Table 60 -- Japan -- Broadband subscribers and market share by access type -- 2013
  • Table 61 -- Japan -- Fixed broadband subscribers by access type -- 1998 -- 2013
  • Table 62 -- Japan -- Fixed broadband subscriber annual change / market share by access type -- 2001 - 2013
  • Table 63 -- Japan -- Broadband internet access from the home by technology type -- 1998 -- 2012
  • Table 64 -- Japan -- FttH subscribers and market share by operator -- March 2013
  • Table 65 -- Japan FttH subscribers and penetration -- 2002 -- 2014
  • Table 66 -- South Korea -- UBcN implementation goals in households/subscribers -- 2009 - 2013
  • Table 67 -- South Korea -- Fixed broadband internet subscriber growth and penetration rate -- 1998 - 2014
  • Table 68 -- South Korea -- Broadband subscribers and households -- July 2013
  • Table 69 -- South Koriea -- Broadband internet subscriber numbers by system -- 1998 - 2013
  • Table 70 -- South Korea -- Broadband market share by operator -- July 2013
  • Table 71 -- Singapore -- Broadband subscribers -- 1999 - 2013
  • Table 72 -- Singapore -- Overview of broadband/household subscribers -- July 2013
  • Table 73 -- Singapore -- Broadband subscribers by sector -- July 2013
  • Table 74 -- Singapore -- Broadband market share -- by major access types -- July 2013
  • Table 75 -- Singapore -- Total optical fibre broadband subscribers -- 2011 - 2014
  • Table 76 -- China -- Broadband subscribers, annual change and penetration -- 2000 - 2014
  • Table 77 -- China -- Broadband subscribers and households -- June 2013
  • Table 78 -- China Telecom broadband subscribers and annual change -- 2003 - 2012
  • Table 79 -- China Unicom broadband subscribers and annual change -- 2003 - 2012
  • Table 80 -- China -- Broadband subscribers and growth by access type -- June 2013
  • Table 81 -- China -- FttX subscribers -- 2006 - 2013
  • Chart 1 -- Global - Internet users -- 2009 - 2014
  • Chart 2 -- Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers - 2013
  • Chart 3 -- USA -- FttP homes passed and connected -- 2001 -- 2013
  • Chart 4 -- Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration -- 2000 - 2014
  • Chart 5 -- Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers by technology -- 2003 - 2012
  • Chart 6 -- Japan -- fixed broadband subscribers and population penetration -- 2000 - 2013
  • Chart 7 -- Japan FttX subscribers and population penetration -- 2002 - 2013
  • Chart 8 -- South Korea broadband subscribers and population penetration -- 2000 - 2013
  • Chart 9 -- South Korea share of broadband subscribers by technology -- 2002 - 2013
  • Chart 10 - Singapore -- Broadband market share by access type -- 2012
  • Chart 11 -- Singapore -- Fixed broadband subscribers -- DSL and cable modem -- 2001 - 2012
  • Chart 12 -- China -- broadband subscribers and household penetration -- 2002 - 2014
  • Exhibit 1 -- Technology fights against extreme poverty
  • Exhibit 2 -- Middle East youth unemployment -- new digital thinking needed
  • Exhibit 3 -- Belgium continues on path to national vectored VDSL
  • Exhibit 4 -- Canada -- Example of major fibre project -- the Alberta SuperNet
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