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Market Research Report

Electric Vehicle Batteries: Lithium Ion Batteries for Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles: Market Analysis and Forecast

Published by Pike Research
Published December, 2009 Product code 104942
Content info 45 pages
Price
Not Available

This publication has been discontinued on October 27, 2011.

Below is the updated product.

Introduction

Abstract

The automotive industry will launch dozens of new plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles as it begins the gradual process of moving away from petroleum based fuels and towards battery power. These vehicles will rely almost exclusively on lithium ion (Li-ion) batteries, while hybrid vehicles will slowly switch from nickel-metal hydride (NiMH) technology. However, Li-ion batteries today increase the cost of vehicles by 30 to 50 percent, which limits the attractiveness of the vehicles.

The initial market for electric vehicles will be largely dependent on government subsidies and incentives; significant reductions in battery cost are seen as a requirement for the industry to grow to the nearly $8 billion market that Pike Research forecasts by 2015. Japan, which has been a leader in batteries for hybrid vehicles, is likely to continue to play a leading role, while China, Korea and Japan are also likely to all be significant suppliers of electric vehicle batteries. There are currently more than a half dozen battery chemistries with unique properties for power, energy density and life cycle performance that are being commercialized, but Pike Research anticipates a consolidation in the market.

This Pike Research report outlines the critical role that governments around the globe will play in establishing the electric vehicle market, and the challenges that manufacturers face in creating an industry that will be able to stand on its own as government influence diminishes. We examine the key market drivers for the electrification of vehicles and the potential for batteries to participate in vehicle to grid services, and the impact on declining battery production costs on vehicle sales and the resale of batteries after their useful life in vehicles.

Key questions addressed:

  • What are the key drivers of growth in the electric vehicle battery market?
  • What are the key limiting factors in growing the electric vehicle battery market?
  • How many batteries will be installed in plug-in hybrids, electric vehicles and hybrids?
  • How quickly will batteries be used in vehicle to grid applications?
  • What are the leading lithium ion battery chemistries and how do they differ?
  • Will there be sufficient lithium to supply the expected growth in electric vehicle batteries?

Who needs this report?

  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Fleet managers
  • Battery suppliers
  • Stationary energy storage suppliers
  • Government agencies
  • Smart grid companies
  • Renewable energy companies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1 Defining Advanced Batteries for the Transportation Market
  • 2.2 Market Size and Segmentation
    • 2.2.1 Electric Vehicles
    • 2.2.2 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles
    • 2.2.3 Plug-in Hybrid Conversions
    • 2.2.4 Hybrid Electric Vehicles
    • 2.2.5 Power and Energy Requirements
  • 2.3 Industry Growth Drivers
    • 2.3.1 Government Incentives
      • 2.3.1.1 United States
  • 2.4 Europe
  • 2.5 China
  • 2.6 Emission Regulations and Fuel Economy Mandates
    • 2.6.1 New Financing Models
    • 2.6.2 Energy Storage
      • 2.6.2.1 Vehicle-to-Grid Delivery
  • 2.7 Early Adopters
    • 2.7.1 Fleets
      • 2.7.1.1 Utilities

3. Marketing and Commercialization

  • 3.1 Cost
  • 3.2 Capacity
  • 3.3 Charge/Discharge Rate
  • 3.4 Calendar/Cycle Life
  • 3.5 Safety

4. Technology Issues

  • 4.1 Competing Battery Technologies
    • 4.1.1 Nickel Metal Hydride
    • 4.1.2 Lithium Ion
    • 4.1.3 Ultracapacitors
  • 4.2 Strengths and Weaknesses
    • 4.2.1 NiMH
    • 4.2.2 Li-ion
      • 4.2.2.1 Li-ion Chemistries
  • 4.3 Access to Lithium
  • 4.4 Implementation Issues
    • 4.4.1 Battery Charging Level
      • 4.4.1.1 Battery Swapping Stations
    • 4.4.2 Battery Charging Level
  • 4.5 Recycling

5. Market Forecasts

  • 5.1 Global Electrified Vehicle Market
  • 5.2 Global Li-ion Battery Market
  • 5.3 North America
  • 5.4 Europe
  • 5.5 Asia-Pacific
  • 5.6 Middle East and Africa

6. Key Industry Players

  • 6.1 Battery Manufacturers
    • 6.1.1 A123 Systems
    • 6.1.2 Altair Nanotechnologies
    • 6.1.3 SB LiMotive/Cobasys
    • 6.1.4 EnerDel
    • 6.1.5 Johnson Controls-Saft
    • 6.1.6 LG Chem/Compact Power
    • 6.1.7 Maxwell Technologies
    • 6.1.8 Panasonic EV Energy
    • 6.1.9 Valence Technology
  • 6.2 Battery Customers
    • 6.2.1 3Prong Power
    • 6.2.2 Better Place
    • 6.2.3 BMW/Mini
    • 6.2.4 Chinese Manufacturers: BYD, Chery
    • 6.2.5 Chrysler
    • 6.2.6 Daimler
    • 6.2.7 Ford Motor Co
    • 6.2.8 General Motors
    • 6.2.9 Mitsubishi
    • 6.2.10 Nissan/Renault
    • 6.2.11 Pat' s Garage
    • 6.2.12 Plug-In Conversions Corporation
    • 6.2.13 PSA Peugeot/Citroen
    • 6.2.14 Toyota Motor Corporation
    • 6.2.15 Volkswagen

7. Company Directory

8. Acronym and Abbreviation List

9. Table of Contents

10. Table of Charts and Figures

11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • PHEV/EV Models 2010-2012 by Battery Chemistry
  • Li-ion Battery Sales by Region, World Markets: 2010-2015
  • Total Hybrid Fleet Sales (HEV and PHEV), World Markets: 2007-2015
  • High-Energy Li-ion Battery Estimated Cost Components
  • Total Electrified Vehicle Sales by Category, World Markets: 2010-2015
  • Total Lithium Ion Transportation Battery Revenue, World Markets: 2010-2015
  • Li-ion Manufacturing Steps and Opportunities for Cost Reduction
  • List of Tables
  • Electrified Vehicles as Percentage of Total Market Production
  • Vehicle Roadmap for Plug-in Hybrid and Electric Vehicles, World Markets: 2009-2012
  • Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2009-2015
  • Vehicle Battery Capacities, Select HEV and PHEV Models
  • U.S. Department of Energy Stimulus Grants for Battery Manufacturing
  • Cost per Mile Driven: Gasoline versus Battery Power
  • Lithium Ion Batteries for Energy Storage (Installed MW), World Markets: 2008-2018
  • Requirements for PHEV Battery Commercialization
  • Li-ion Battery Cost (per kWh)
  • Comparison of Battery Technologies
  • Battery Technology Strengths and Weaknesses
  • Characteristics of Li-ion Battery Chemistries
  • Battery Chemistry Adoption
  • Battery Charging Levels

Press Release

Electric vehicle battery costs are seen as a requirement for the electric vehicle industry to grow to the nearly $8 billion by 2015

January 21st, 2010

Global Information would like to present a new market research report, "Electric Vehicle Batteries: Lithium Ion Batteries for Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles: Market Analysis and Forecast" by Pike Research.

This market study outlines the critical role that governments around the globe will play in establishing the electric vehicle market, and the challenges that manufacturers face in creating an industry that will be able to stand on its own as government influence diminishes. We examine the key market drivers for the electrification of vehicles and the potential for batteries to participate in vehicle to grid services, and the impact on declining battery production costs on vehicle sales and the resale of batteries after their useful life in vehicles.

Key questions addressed:

  • What are the key drivers of growth in the electric vehicle battery market?
  • What are the key limiting factors in growing the electric vehicle battery market?
  • How many batteries will be installed in plug-in hybrids, electric vehicles and hybrids?
  • How quickly will batteries be used in vehicle to grid applications?
  • What are the leading lithium ion battery chemistries and how do they differ?
  • Will there be sufficient lithium to supply the expected growth in electric vehicle batteries?

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