Ukraine: New 3G Licenses Will Provide Big Opportunities

This publication has been discontinued on November 16, 2011.

Introduction

Abstract

The Ukrainian telecom market generated $7.0bn in service revenue in 2008. In 2009, we expect it to slide to $5.1bn mainly due to the fact that the Ukrainian hryvnia lost more than 40% of its value against the US dollar in 2008-2009. We expect that in terms of local currency, Ukraine' s telecom market will show a slight growth mainly boosted by fixed and mobile broadband developments. We estimate that the market will fully recover, in terms of US dollars, in 2014 when it will be worth $7.4bn. Mobile voice is currently the largest revenue segment and is expected to remain so through 2014. At the same time, mobile data' s share of total revenue will grow from 8.3% in 2008 to 15.1% in 2014 - from $0.6bn to $1.1bn. Another emerging sector is fixed broadband - its share will grow from 4.8% in 2008 ($0.3bn) to 13.2% ($1.0bn) in 2014. Fixed VoIP and IPTV will grow at astonishing rates, but their impact on total service revenue will be minimal due to their infrastructural constraints and the small scale of rollout.

Table of Contents

• Executive Summary
• Market and Competitor Overview
  • Ukraine in a Regional Context
  • Economic, Demographic and Political Context
  • Regulatory Environment
  • Demand Profile
  • Service Evolution
  • Competitive Landscape
  • Major Market Players
• Segment Analysis
  • Mobile Services
  • Fixed Services
  • Pay-TV
• Identifying Opportunities

Related Reports