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High Speed Rail Infrastructure Component Manufacturing

During 2010, many nations will increase their roll out of high-speed rail (HSR) initiatives to make them a more integral part of their overall transportation infrastructure and improve their transportation infrastructure for commuters and freight. Several countries in Europe that lack an HSR system have expressed their commitment to begin construction by the end of the year. Many Asian nations, too, have already begun HSR development projects that will be completed by 2015 or 2020. China and Japan, for instance, are rolling out thousands of miles of new routes that will expand their established HSR network and create new HSR capacity through the next decade. Manufacturers of a multitude of HSR components required to construct this complex transportation system stand waiting in the wings to capitalize on the potential need for their supply of goods and services.

Nations with little or no HSR infrastructure, such as the United States, are closely weighing the benefits of HSR adoption and the initial and long-term financial commitments. Much of the debate is centered around the types of HSR infrastructure to implement. Traditionalists of HSR manufacturing advocate a wheels-on-rail system while futurists prefer the more costly magnetic levitation (maglev) system.

This SBI Energy report analyzes the market opportunities that global HSR manufacturers are eager to embrace through the next decade. We examine the critical trends driving HSR growth by region and forecast the value of this growth by each of the manufactured HSR components. Finally, we look at the socioeconomic and consumer-based trends affecting the HSR industry, such as the development of next-generation HSR products, safety issues, and long-term effects of HSR on a transportation economy.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Executive Summary

  • Table 1-1: Accumulated Market Value of HSR Manufacturing Sectors by Type of HSR System, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
  • Figure 1-1: Share of Miles of HSR Track Currently Installed, Under Construction, or Planned Construction, 2005 to 2009, Total Global and Asian Countries
  • Energy Conservation Drives HSR Development
    • Table 1-2: Transportation Capital Stock by Mode, 1999, 2008 and 2009 (in $ billions)
  • Demand for Freight Transportation Will Grow
    • Table 1-3: Commercial Freight Activity in the U.S. by Transportation Mode, 2002 vs. 2009
  • Transportation Effects of HSR
    • Figure 1-2: Total U.S. Railroad Stations and Amtrak' s Share of the Total, 1995 to 2009
  • U.S. Maglev Deployment Program Takes Off
    • Table 1-4: Projected Costs Per Mile of Maglev and Light-Rail Projects Worldwide (in $ millions)
    • Figure 1-3: Projected Country Share of HSR Miles by Type of HSR System, 2014
  • United States Progresses to HSR Future
  • U.S. Imports of HSR Components Decline
    • Table 1-5: U.S. Shipment Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 vs. 2009 (in $ millions)
    • Table 1-6: U.S. Shipment Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
    • Table 1-7: Projected Total of Newly Constructed Miles of HSR Tracks Installed, by HSR System in 2014
  • China Develops Largest HSR Network
    • China Poised to Play Role in U.S. HSR Manufacturing
  • Europe Accelerates HSR Manufacturing
  • HSR Challenges Ahead
  • HSR Manufacturers Address Safety
    • Table 1-8: U.S. Transportation Fatalities by Mode of Transportation, 2005 to 2009

Chapter 2: Introduction and Overview

  • Report Scope
  • Methodology
  • HSR Background
  • Terminology
  • Maglev Technology Options
    • The German Technology
    • Japanese High-Speed Maglev Technology
    • Table 2-1: Planned Maglev HSR Manufacturing Projects in the U.S. and Germany
    • Transrapid International (TRI) Maglev System
    • Maglev 2000 System
  • U.S. Maglev Technology
  • Maglev Compared with Other Transportation Modes
  • Potential Maglev Disadvantages

Chapter 3: Global Activities in HSR Manufacturing

  • Energy Conservation Drives HSR Development
    • Table 3-1: U.S. Energy Consumption by Transportation Mode, 2005 to 2009 (in Trillions BTUs)
    • Figure 3-1: Index of U.S. Ton-Miles of Freight by Mode of Transportation, 1995 to 2009
    • Table 3-2: Transportation Capital Stock by Mode, 1999, 2008 and 2009 (in $ billions)
    • Table 3-3: Transportation System Mileage within the U.S. by Mode, 2004 to 2009
    • Table 3-4: Total Class-1 Rail Replaced or Added in the U.S., 1999 to 2009 (in thousands tons)
  • Demand for Freight Transportation Will Grow
    • Table 3-5: Commercial Freight Activity in the U.S. by Transportation Mode, 2002 vs. 2009
    • Figure 3-2: Total Rail Replaced or Added in the U.S., 1999 to 2009 (in thousands of tons)
    • Figure 3-3: Share of Commercial Freight Activity in the U.S. by Mode of Transportation, 2002 vs. 2009
  • Transportation Effects of HSR
    • Figure 3-4: Total U.S. Railroad Stations and Amtrak' s Share of the Total, 1995 to 2009
    • Table 3-6: Number of U.S. Stations Serviced by Amtrak and Other Class 1 Rails, 1995 to 2009
    • Table 3-7: Transit Passenger Miles by Type of Transportation Service, 2005 to 2009 (in millions)
  • U.S. Maglev Deployment Program Takes Off
    • Table 3-8: Projected Costs Per Mile of Maglev and Light-Rail Projects Worldwide (in $ millions)
    • Table 3-9: Comparison of Capital Costs of TGV vs. Maglev HSR Systems
    • Table 3-10: Estimated Capital Costs of European HSR System (in $ millions)
    • Table 3-11: Estimated Capital Costs of U.S. Maglev HSR System vs. U.S. Metroliner Incremental HSR System
    • Figure 3-5: HSR Construction Costs Per Mile for Several Global HSR Projects (in $ millions)
  • United States Progresses to HSR Future
    • Baltimore-Washington Maglev Project
    • Pittsburgh Maglev Project
    • Las Vegas-Anaheim Maglev Project
  • China Develops Largest HSR Network
    • China Poised to Play Role in U.S. HSR Manufacturing
    • Japan Keeps Pace with HSR Development
  • Europe Accelerates HSR Manufacturing
    • Germany and U.K. Forge Maglev Projects
    • Spain Extends HSR Network

Chapter 4: The Global HSR Manufacturing Market

  • Table 4-1: Accumulated Market Value of HSR Manufacturing Sectors by Type of HSR System, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-2: Length of HSR Track by Region Installed, Under Construction, and Planned, 2005 to 2009 (in miles)
  • Figure 4-1: Share of Miles of HSR Track Currently Installed, Under Construction, or Planned Construction, 2005 to 2009, Total Global and Asian Countries
  • Table 4-3: Miles of HSR Track Installed Through 2009 by Type of HSR System and Region
  • Figure 4-2: Share of Miles of HSR Track Currently Installed, Under Construction, or Planned Construction, 2005 to 2009, U.S. and Europe
  • Table 4-4: Share of Miles of HSR Tracks Installed by Type of HSR System and Region, 2005 to 2009
  • Figure 4-3: Projected Country Share of HSR Miles by Type of HSR System, 2014
  • Table 4-5: Market Value of HSR Manufacturing by Region, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
  • Figure 4-4: Market Share of HSR Manufacturing Sectors by HSR System Technology, 2009
  • Figure 4-5: Projected Share of Market Value of HSR Manufacturing Sectors in 2014, by HSR System Technology
  • Table 4-6: Projected Total of Newly Constructed Miles of HSR Tracks Installed, by HSR System in 2014
  • Table 4-7: Projected Accumulated Market Value of HSR Manufacturing by Type of HSR System, 2010 to 2014 (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-8: Market Value of Maglev HSR Manufacturing by Region, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-9: Market Value of TGV HSR Manufacturing, 2005 to 2009, by Region (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-10: Projected Market Value of TGV Manufacturing, 2010 to 2014, by Region (in $ millions)
  • Figure 4-6: Share of Maglev HSR Manufacturing by Region, 2010 vs. 2014
  • Figure 4-7: Share of TGV HSR Manufacturing by Region, 2010 vs. 2014
  • Table 4-11: Projected Market Value of Maglev HSR Manufacturing by Region, 2010 to 2014 (in $ Millions)
  • Table 4-12: Market Value of TGV HSR Manufacturing Sectors, 2005 to 2009, by Region (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-13: Market Value of Maglev HSR Manufacturing, 2005 to 2009, by Region (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-14: Accumulated Market Value of HSR Manufacturing by Type of HSR System and Manufacturing Sector, 2010 to 2014 (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-15: Projected Market Value of TGV Manufacturing, 2010 to 2014, by Region and Manufacturing Sector (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-16: Projected Market Value of Maglev Manufacturing, 2010 to 2014, by Region and Manufacturing Sector (in $ millions)
  • Table 4-17: CAGR of TGV HSR Manufacturing by Sector, 2005 to 2014
  • Table 4-18: CAGR of Maglev HSR Manufacturing by Sector and Region, 2005 to 2014
  • Figure 4-8: CAGR of HSR Manufacturing Sectors, 2005 to 2014
  • Projected Growth of HSR Components
  • Figure 4-9: Projected CAGR of Market Value of HSR Components, 2010 to 2014
  • Table 4-19: Projected Global Market Value of Railroad Components, 2010 to 2014
  • Table 4-20: Projected Global Market Value of Rail Bed Components, 2010 to 2014
  • Table 4-21: Projected Global Market Value of HSR Station Components, 2010 to 2014
  • Table 4-22: Projected Global Market Value of HSR Technology Components, 2010 to 2014
  • U.S. Import and Export Value of HSR Manufacturing
  • Figure 4-10: Share of Imports and Exports Conducted by Rail between NAFTA Countries, 1995 to 2009
  • U.S. Imports of HSR Components Decline
    • Table 4-23: U.S. Shipment Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 vs. 2009 (in $ millions)
    • Table 4-24: U.S. Shipment Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 to 2009 (in $ millions)
    • Table 4-25: Share of U.S. Shipment Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 vs. 2009
    • Figure 4-11: Share of U.S. Imports by Country of Iron Rails Used for HSR Manufacturing, 2009
    • Table 4-26: U.S. Import Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 vs. 2009 (in $ thousands)
    • Table 4-27: U.S. Imports by Country of Electromagnetic Couplings Used in HSR Manufacturing (in $ thousands)
    • Figure 4-12: Share of U.S. Exports by Country of Iron Rails Used for HSR Manufacturing, 2009
    • Table 4-28: U.S. Export Value of HSR Manufacturing Components, 2005 vs. 2009 (in $ thousands)

Chapter 5: Competitive Profiles

  • Bombardier, Inc.
  • Overview and Performance
    • Figure 5-1: Bombardier Revenues and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2006 to 2010
  • GE Technology Infrastructure
    • Overview and Performance
    • Table 5-1: General Electric Co. Infrastructure Division Revenues, 2004 to 2009 (e) (in $Billions)
    • Figure 5-2: Share of General Electric Revenue for 2009, by GE Business Unit (in $ billions)
    • Research & Development
  • Alstom
    • Overview and Performance
    • Table 5-2: Alstom Revenues by Business Unit, 2008 vs. 2009
    • Figure 5-3: Alstom' s Share of Revenue by Business Segment, 2008 vs. 2009
    • Research & Development
  • Siemens Mobility
    • Overview and Performance
    • Table 5-3: Siemens Revenues, 2008 to 2009, by Business Unit (in $ billions)
    • Significant Developments
  • Kawasaki Heavy Industries
    • Overview and Performance
    • Outlook
    • Figure 5-4: Kawasaki Heavy Industries Revenues and Year-Over-Year Percent Change, 2005 to 2009
  • HSR Component Manufacturers
    • Wabtec Corp
    • National Railway Equipment Co.
    • New York Air Brake Corp.
    • ORX
    • Ronsco
    • Liaoning MEC Group Co.
    • ZTR Control Systems
    • Talgo
    • Koni-Enidine

Chapter 6: High-Speed Rail Manufacturing Challenges

  • Critical Challenge One: Securing HSR Funding
    • Laying of Legislative HSR Foundation
    • Figure 6-1: Share of Miles Traveled to Home, Work, School, Recreation, Shopping, and Other Reasons in the U.S. by Mode of Transportation, 2009
    • HSR Lobbying Activity Escalates in the U.S
  • Critical Challenge Two: HSR Manufacturers Address Safety
    • Table 6-1: Top Speeds, Weights and Acceleration Statistics by Type of HSR
    • Track Sharing Approved
    • Table 6-2: U.S. Transportation Fatalities by Mode of Transportation, 2005 to 2009
    • Table 6-3: U.S. Transportation Accidents by Mode of Transportation, 2005 to 2009
  • Maglev Safety Issues Differ from TGV
    • Asia Challenges U.S. on HSR Safety
    • Japan Advises on Safety in U.S.
  • Critical Challenge Three: Innovations Help Differentiate HSR Systems
    • Innovation Occurring in Train Controls
    • U.S. HSR Control Systems
    • Figure 6-2: Causes of Train Accidents in the U.S., 2007

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