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Future of the Thai Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Summary

The Future of the Thai Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Over the historic period, Thailand's defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 1.70%; between 2016 and 2020, the defense budget is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.33%
  • The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$32.8billion
  • The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 45.6% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 44.2% during 2011-2015
  • Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be US$28 billion cumulatively
  • The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopter, armored vehicles, naval vessels, and surveillance equipment

This report offers detailed analysis of the Thai defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Thai defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Thai defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Thai defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Thai defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Thai defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the country's expected investment pattern during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Thai defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Thai defense budget expected to increase at a CAGR of 3.33%over the forecast period
    • 3.1.2. Arms race with other Asian countries, border conflicts, modernization of the armed forces, and political volatility to drive Thai defense expenditure
    • 3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to average 1.4% over the forecast period
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation to average 45.6% of the total defense budget over the forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Expenditure on Army to increase at a CAGR of 3.63% over 2016-2020
    • 3.2.3. Air force expenditure to value US$5.9 billion cumulatively over the forecast period
    • 3.2.4. Naval expenditure expected to reach US$1.4 billion by 2020
    • 3.2.5. Thailand to spend US$4.1 billion on support services during the forecast period
    • 3.2.6. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
  • 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
    • 3.3.1. Thai homeland security expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.43% over the forecast period
    • 3.3.2. Counter terrorism and maritime security to drive Thai Homeland security expenditure
    • 3.3.3. Thailand faces a high level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
    • 3.3.4. Thailand has a terrorism index score of 2.3
  • 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.4.1. Thai defense expenditure expected to increase at a slower rate than other Asian countries over the forecast period
    • 3.4.2. Thai defense expenditure is relatively smaller than other Asian countries
    • 3.4.3. Thailand's defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to decline over the forecast period
    • 3.4.4. Iraq, Pakistan, and Afghanistan are the most terror-prone countries
  • 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.5.1. Main Battle Tank (MBT)
    • 3.5.2. Submarine
    • 3.5.3. Frigates

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. Thailand's defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period
    • 4.1.2. Sweden and Ukraine to remain the key arms suppliers to Thailand
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft and missiles dominated the arms imports of Thailand
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. No defense exports for Thailand

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: low to medium
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium to high
    • 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Thai defense industry is largely driven by the government's offset policy
    • 6.1.2. The Thai defense sector is partially regulated
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Defense exhibitions can be used as a direct entry route to the Thai defense industry
    • 6.2.2. Foreign defense organizations venture into the market by partnering with a domestic defense firm
    • 6.2.3. Foreign Military Sales (FMS) to Thailand
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. Negligible defense exports pose a challenge for domestic defense companies
    • 6.3.2. Limited defense budget discourages investors from market entry
    • 6.3.3. Corruption and lack of transparency impede the growth of Thailand's defense industry
    • 6.3.4. Presence of indirect offset hampers the growth of the domestic defense sector

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
    • 7.1.1. Saab: Overview
    • 7.1.2. Saab: Products and services
    • 7.1.3. Saab: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.1.4. Saab: alliances
    • 7.1.5. Saab: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.6. Airbus Helicopters: Overview
    • 7.1.7. Airbus Helicopters: Products and services
    • 7.1.8. Airbus Helicopters: Recent Contract Wins
    • 7.1.9. Sikorsky: Overview
    • 7.1.10. Sikorsky: Products and services
    • 7.1.11. Sikorsky: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.1.12. Sikorsky: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.13. Northrop Grumman Corp. Overview
    • 7.1.14. Northrop Grumman Corp.: Products and services
    • 7.1.15. Northrop Grumman Corp.: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.16. Lockheed Martin Corp. Overview
    • 7.1.17. Lockheed Martin Corp.: Products and services
    • 7.1.18. Lockheed Martin Corp.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.1.19. Lockheed Martin Corp.: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.20. AgustaWestland: Overview
    • 7.1.21. AgustaWestland: Products and services
    • 7.1.22. AgustaWestland: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.1.23. AgustaWestland: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.24. Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering: Overview
    • 7.1.25. Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering: Products and services
    • 7.1.26. Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering: recent contract wins
    • 7.1.27. Enstrom Helicopter Corporation: Overview
    • 7.1.28. Enstrom Helicopter Corporation: Products and services
    • 7.1.29. Enstrom Helicopter Corporation: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
    • 7.1.30. Enstrom Helicopter Corporation: recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Demographics
    • 8.1.1. Total Rural population
    • 8.1.2. Total urban population
    • 8.1.3. Number of households
  • 8.2. Economic Performance
    • 8.2.1. GDP per capita at constant prices
    • 8.2.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
    • 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
    • 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
    • 8.2.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ Bn)
    • 8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn)
    • 8.2.7. Consumer price index
    • 8.2.8. Wholesale price index
    • 8.2.9. LCU per US$ (period average)
    • 8.2.10. LCU per Euro (period average)
    • 8.2.11. Lending rate (%)
    • 8.2.12. Deposit rate (%)
    • 8.2.13. Real Interest rate (%)
    • 8.2.14. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ bn)
    • 8.2.15. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
    • 8.2.16. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion)
    • 8.2.17. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
    • 8.2.18. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.19. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.20. Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.21. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.22. Service exports as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.23. Services balance as a percentage of GDP
    • 8.2.24. International reserves, including gold (US$ billions)
    • 8.2.25. External Debt as a percentage of GDP
  • 8.3. Energy and utilities
    • 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
    • 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
    • 8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW)
    • 8.3.4. Total Electricity Exports (Million kW)
    • 8.3.5. Total Electricity Imports (Million kW)
    • 8.3.6. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
    • 8.3.7. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
    • 8.3.8. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
    • 8.3.9. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
  • 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
    • 8.4.1. Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
    • 8.4.2. Overall construction (US$ million)
  • 8.5. Mineral
    • 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn)
  • 8.6. Technology
    • 8.6.1. Patents Granted
  • 8.7. Telecommunication
    • 8.7.1. Telephone lines (in Millions)
    • 8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Thai Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 2: Thai Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 3: Thai Defense Expenditure (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 4: Thai Defense Expenditure (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 5: Thai GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP,2011-2015
  • Table 6: Thai GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
  • Table 7: Thai Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2011-2015
  • Table 8: Thai Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Table 9: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 10: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 11: Thai Expenditure for Army (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 12: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 13: Thai Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 14: Thai Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 15: Thai Expenditure for Air Force (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 16: Thai Expenditure for Air Force (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 17: Thai Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 18: Thai Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 19: Thai Expenditure for Navy (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 20: Thai Expenditure for Navy (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 21: Thai Other Category Defense Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 22: Thai Other category Defense Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 23: Thai Expenditure for the Other category (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 24: Thai Defense Expenditure for the Other category (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 25: Thai Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Table 26: Thai Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Table 27: Thai Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 28: Thai Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 29: Thai Homeland Security Budget (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 30: Thai Homeland Security Budget (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 31: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Table 32: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 33: Thai Defense Offset Regulations
  • Table 34: FMS deals to Thailand
  • Table 35: Saab - Product Focus
  • Table 36: Saab - Alliances
  • Table 37: Saab - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 38: Airbus Helicopters - Product Focus
  • Table 39: Airbus Helicopters - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 40: Sikorsky - Product Focus
  • Table 41: Sikorsky - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 42: Northrop Grumman Corp. - Product Focus
  • Table 43: Northrop Grumman Corp.- Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 44: Lockheed Martin Corp. - Product Focus
  • Table 45: Lockheed Martin Corp.- Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 46: AgustaWestland- Product Focus
  • Table 47: AgustaWestland - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 48: Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering - Product Focus
  • Table 49: Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering - Recent Contract Wins
  • Table 50: Enstrom Helicopter Corporation- Product Focus
  • Table 51: Enstrom Helicopter Corporation- Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Thai Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2: Thai Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 3: Thai Defense Expenditure (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 4: Thai Defense Expenditure (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 5: Thai GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
  • Figure 6: Thai GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
  • Figure 7: Thai Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 8: Thai Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Figure 9: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 10: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 11: Thai Expenditure for Army (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 12: Thai Defense Expenditure for Army (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 13: Thai Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 14: Thai Defense Expenditure for Air Force(US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 15: Thai Expenditure for Air Force (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 16: Thai Expenditure for Air Force (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 17: Thai Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 18: Thai Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 19: Thai Expenditure for Navy (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 20: Thai Expenditure for Navy (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 21: Thai Other Category Defense Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 22: Thai Other category Defense Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 23: Thai Expenditure for the Other category (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 24: Thai Defense Expenditure for the Other category (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 25: Thai Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Figure 26: Thai Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Figure 27: Thai Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 28: Thai Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 29: Thai Homeland Security Budget (THB Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 30: Thai Homeland Security Budget (THB Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 31: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
  • Figure 32: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
  • Figure 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Figure 34: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
  • Figure 35: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
  • Figure 36: Thai Main Battle Tank Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 37: Thai Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 38: Thai Frigates Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 39: Thailand's Defense Import Trend, 2010-2014 (TIV values)
  • Figure 40: Thailand's Defense Import by Country, 2010-2014 (TIV values)
  • Figure 41: Thailand Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 42: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 43: Thailand Rural population (In million), 2015-2024
  • Figure 44: Thailand Urban population (In million), 2015-2024
  • Figure 45: Thailand - Number of Households (Million), 2008-2017
  • Figure 46: Thailand's GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2024
  • Figure 47: Thailand - GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
  • Figure 48: Thailand's Exports of goods and services (US$), 2004-2013
  • Figure 49: Thailand's Imports of goods and services (US$), 2004-2013
  • Figure 50: Thailand's Gross national disposable income (US$ billion), 2003-2011
  • Figure 51: Thailand's Gross national disposable income (US$ billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 52: Thailand's Consumer price index, 2015-2024
  • Figure 53: Thailand's Wholesale price index, 2003-2012
  • Figure 54: Thailand LCU per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 55: Thailand LCU per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 56: Thailand's Lending rate (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 57: Thailand's Deposit rate (%), 2003--2012
  • Figure 58: Thailand's Real Interest rate (%), 2003--2012
  • Figure 59: Thailand's market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 60: Thailand's market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2003-2012
  • Figure 61: Thailand's Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion), 2003-2012
  • Figure 62: Thailand's Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2003-2012
  • Figure 63: Thailand - Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 64: Thailand - Goods imports as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 65: Thailand's Goods balance as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 66: Thailand's Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 67: Thailand Service exports as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 68: Thailand - Services balance as a % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
  • Figure 69: Thailand's International reserves, including gold (US$ billion), 2003--2012
  • Figure 70: Thailand's International reserves, including gold (US$ billion), 2001-2010
  • Figure 71: Thailand - Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
  • Figure 72: Thailand's Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
  • Figure 73: Thailand's Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
  • Figure 74: Thailand's Total Electricity Exports (Million Kilowatts), 2003-2012
  • Figure 75: Thailand's Total Electricity Imports (Million Kilowatts), 2003-2012
  • Figure 76: Thailand's Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2014
  • Figure 77: Thailand's Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
  • Figure 78: Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2005-2014
  • Figure 79: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011
  • Figure 80: Thailand's Air transport, freight (million ton-km), 2003-2012
  • Figure 81: Thailand - Overall construction (US$ million), 2007-2014
  • Figure 82: Thailand's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 83: Thailand's Patents Granted, 2004-2013
  • Figure 84: Thailand's Telephone lines, 2003-2012
  • Figure 85: Thailand's Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012
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