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- Published:
- 199 pages
- StatPlan Energy Limited

The key to understanding the future market for generating plant lies in seeing not just the potential for new capacity within a market, but also the capacity of Asset Base Renewal (ABR). Simply looking at and forecasting installed capacity does not identify the nature of the opportunity that exists around the world. To do so would mean overlooking our forecast that in the next years the pace of new capacity build will decline.

The Stat**Plan** GCD Tool is a huge step forward in forecasting in this
market. The report is a vital tool for the creating short and long term
strategy:

**Marketing strategy** - Sales and marketing executives can use these
analyses to construct realistic marketing plans for individual countries and
markets in the short to medium term. The tool provides support for decisions
relating to:

- Resource planning
- Market targeting
- Product/service definition appropriate to market

**Corporate strategy** - Planners can focus corporate plans over the next
40 years at a strategic level, realigning focus to different markets as the
cycles of demand change and it moves between different regions of the world.
Planners can therefore put their footprint in the right place, for the right
time.

- 11.1 Europe, All Countries
- 11.2 The Five Large European Countries
- 11.2.1 France
- 11.2.2 Germany
- 11.2.3 Italy
- 11.2.4 Spain
- 11.2.5 United Kingdom

- 11.3 Europe, Medium and Small Markets
- 11.3.1 Austria
- 11.3.2 Belgium
- 11.3.3 Bulgaria
- 11.3.4 Czech Republic
- 11.3.5 Denmark
- 11.3.6 Finland
- 11.3.7 Greece
- 11.3.8 Hungary
- 11.3.9 Ireland
- 11.3.10 Netherlands
- 11.3.11 Norway
- 11.3.12 Poland
- 11.3.13 Portugal
- 11.3.14 Romania
- 11.3.15 Slovakia
- 11.3.16 Sweden
- 11.3.17 Switzerland
- 11.3.18 Turkey

- 11.4 CIS - USSR
- 11.4.1 Russia
- 11.4.2 Ukraine
- 11.4.3 Kazakhstan
- 11.4.4 Uzbekistan

- 11.5 Middle East
- 11.5.1 Iran
- 11.5.2 Saudi Arabia
- 11.5.3 Kuwait
- 11.5.4 Israel
- 11.5.5 United Arab Emirates

- 11.6 Asia, All Countries
- 11.6.1 Bangladesh
- 11.6.2 China
- 11.6.3 India
- 11.6.4 Indonesia
- 11.6.5 Japan
- 11.6.6 South Korea
- 11.6.7 Malaysia
- 11.6.8 Pakistan
- 11.6.9 Philippines
- 11.6.10 Taiwan
- 11.6.11 Thailand
- 11.6.12 Vietnam

- 11.7 Pacific
- 11.7.1 Australia
- 11.7.2 New Zealand

- 11.8 Africa
- 11.8.1 North Africa
- 11.8.2 Sub-Saharan Africa
- 11.8.3 Egypt
- 11.8.4 Algeria
- 11.8.5 Morocco
- 11.8.6 Tunisia
- 11.8.7 Nigeria
- 11.8.8 South Africa

- 11.9 North America
- 11.9.1 United States
- 11.9.2 Canada
- 11.9.3 Mexico

- 11.10 South America
- 11.10.1 Brazil
- 11.10.2 Argentina
- 11.10.3 Chile
- 11.10.4 Colombia
- 11.10.5 Paraguay
- 11.10.6 Peru
- 11.10.7 Venezuela

- 12.1 Five Year Demand for New Build and Asset Base Renewal (ABR)
- 12.2 Installed Capacity 1980 to 2050, All Countries

- Figure 1: Global installed generating capacity and demand 1945 to 2050, GW
- Figure 2: The generating capacity demand cycle in 5 year segments, 1940 to 2050
- Figure 3: World installed generating capacity 1990-2050
- Figure 4: Comparison of Updated Plant Capital Costs in the USA, 2010 and 2011
- Figure 5: Regional distribution of installed generating capacity GW, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 6: Economic distribution of installed generating capacity GW, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 7: The global generating capacity demand cycle in 5 year segments, 1940 to 2050
- Figure 8: Diagram of new plus asset base renewals of capacity
- Figure 9: The dynamics of the global capacity demand cycle, five flows from 1940 to 2005
- Figure 10: The geographical distribution of demand GW, 1940 to 2050
- Figure 11: The economic distribution of demand GW, 1940 to 2050
- Figure 12: Global generating capacity capex, $2009 and current values
- Figure 13: Growth of installed generating capacity in Europe, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 14: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Europe, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 15: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 16: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, France, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 17: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, France, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 18: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 19: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Germany, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 20: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Germany, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 21: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 22: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Italy, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 23: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Italy, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 24: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 25: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Spain, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 26: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Spain, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 27: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 28: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, United Kingdom, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 29: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, UK, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 30: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 31: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Austria, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 32: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Austria, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 33: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Belgium 1900 - 2050
- Figure 34: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Belgium, 1941 -2050
- Figure 35: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Bulgaria, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 36: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Bulgaria, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 37: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Czech Republic 1900 - 2050
- Figure 38: Capacity demand cycle MW, new & asset base renewals, Czech Republic, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 39: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Denmark, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 40: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Denmark, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 41: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Finland, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 42: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Finland, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 43: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Greece 1900 - 2050
- Figure 44: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Greece, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 45: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Hungary, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 46: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Hungary, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 47: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Ireland, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 48: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Ireland, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 49: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Netherlands, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 50: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 51: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Norway, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 52: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Norway, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 53: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Poland, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 54: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Poland, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 55: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Portugal, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 56: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Portugal, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 57: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 58: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Romania, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 59: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Slovakia, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 60: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Slovakia, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 61: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Sweden 1900 to 2050
- Figure 62: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Sweden, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 63: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Switzerland, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 64: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Switzerland, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 65: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 66: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Turkey, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 67: Growth of installed generating capacity, CIS, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 68: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, CIS, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 69: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 70: Growth of installed generating capacity, Russia, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 71: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Russia, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 72: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 73: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Ukraine, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 74: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Ukraine, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 75: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Kazakhstan, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 76: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Kazakhstan, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 77: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Uzbekistan, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 78: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Uzbekistan, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 79: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Middle East, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 80: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Middle East, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 81: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Iran, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 82: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Iran, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 83: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Saudi Arabia, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 84: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Saudi Arabia, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 85: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Kuwait, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 86: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Kuwait, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 87: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Israel, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 88: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Israel, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 89: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, UAE, 1972 - 2050
- Figure 90: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, UAE, 1970 - 2050
- Figure 91: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Asia, 1940 - 2050
- Figure 92: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, 1940 to 2050, Asia including China
- Figure 93: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, 1940 to 2050, Asia excluding China
- Figure 94: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments, Asia including China
- Figure 95: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Bangladesh, 1940 - 2050
- Figure 96: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Bangladesh, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 97: Growth of installed generating capacity MW, China, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 98: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, China, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 99: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 100: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, India, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 101: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, India, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 102: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 103: Growth of installed generating capacity, Indonesia, MW 1900 - 2050
- Figure 104: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Indonesia, 1941-2050
- Figure 105: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 106: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Japan, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 107: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Japan, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 108: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 109: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, South Korea, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 110: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, South Korea, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 111: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 112: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Malaysia, 1900 - 2050
- Figure 113: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Malaysia, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 114: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 115: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Pakistan, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 116: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Pakistan, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 117: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Philippines, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 118: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Philippines, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 119: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Taiwan 1900 - 2050
- Figure 120: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Taiwan, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 121: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 122: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Thailand, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 123: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Thailand, 1941 - 2050
- Figure 124: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Vietnam, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 125: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Vietnam, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 126: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 127: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Australia, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 128: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Australia, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 129: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, New Zealand, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 130: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, New Zealand, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 131: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, North Africa, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 132: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, North Africa, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 133: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 134: Growth of installed generating capacity, Sub-Saharan Africa, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 135: Capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Sub-Saharan Africa, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 136: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 137: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Egypt, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 138: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Egypt, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 139: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Algeria, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 140: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Algeria, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 141: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Morocco,1900 to 2050
- Figure 142: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and asset base renewals, Morocco, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 143: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Tunisia, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 144: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Tunisia, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 145: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Nigeria, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 146: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Nigeria, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 147: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, South Africa, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 148: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, South Africa, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 149: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, United States, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 150: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, USA, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 151: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 152: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Canada, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 153: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Canada, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 154: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 155: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Mexico, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 156: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Mexico, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 157: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 158: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Brazil, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 159: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Brazil, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 160: Generating capacity capex, $2009 and current $ in 5 year segments
- Figure 161: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Argentina, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 162: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Argentina, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 163: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Chile, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 164: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Chile, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 165: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Colombia, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 166: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Colombia, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 167: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Paraguay, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 168: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Paraguay, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 169: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW, Peru, 1900 to 2050
- Figure 170: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Peru, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 171: Growth of installed generating capacity, MW 1900 to 2050
- Figure 172: The capacity demand cycle MW, new and replacement, Venezuela, 1941 to 2050
- Figure 173: Diagram of new plus total replacement capacity
- Figure 174: Global annual new plus total replacement capacity
- Figure 175: Annual new plus total replacement capacity, USA
- Figure 176: Annual new plus total replacement capacity, Germany

- Table 1: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, France, 2010
- Table 2: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Germany, 2010
- Table 3: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Italy, 2010
- Table 4: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Spain, 2010
- Table 5: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, United Kingdom, 2010
- Table 6: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Austria, 2010
- Table 7: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Belgium, 2010
- Table 8: Fuel mix of operational generating capacity MW, Bulgaria, 2010
- Table 9: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Czech Republic, 2010
- Table 10: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Denmark, 2010
- Table 11: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Finland, 2010
- Table 12: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Greece, 2010
- Table 13: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Hungary, 2010
- Table 14: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Ireland, 2010
- Table 15: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Netherlands, 2010
- Table 16: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Norway, 2010
- Table 17: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Poland, 2010
- Table 18: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Portugal, 2010
- Table 19: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Romania, 2010
- Table 20: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Slovakia, 2010
- Table 21: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Sweden, 2010
- Table 22: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Switzerland, 2010
- Table 23: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Turkey, 2010
- Table 24: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Russia, 2010
- Table 25: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Ukraine, 2010
- Table 26: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Kazakhstan, 2010
- Table 27: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Uzbekistan, 2010
- Table 28: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Iran, 2010
- Table 29: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Saudi Arabia, 2010
- Table 30: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Kuwait, 2010
- Table 31: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Israel, 2010
- Table 32: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, UAE, 2010
- Table 33: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Bangladesh, 2010
- Table 34: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, China, 2010
- Table 35: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, India, 2010
- Table 36: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Indonesia, 2010
- Table 37: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Japan, 2010
- Table 38: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, South Korea, 2010
- Table 39: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Malaysia, 2010
- Table 40: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Pakistan, 2010
- Table 41: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Philippines, 2010
- Table 42: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Taiwan, 2010
- Table 43: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Thailand, 2010
- Table 44: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Vietnam, 2008
- Table 45: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Australia, 20010
- Table 46: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, New Zealand, 2010
- Table 47: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Egypt, 2010
- Table 48: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Algeria, 2010
- Table 49: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Morocco, 2010
- Table 50: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Tunisia, 2010
- Table 51: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Nigeria, 2010
- Table 52: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, South Africa, 2010
- Table 53: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, United States, 2011
- Table 54: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Canada, 2011
- Table 55: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Mexico, 2010
- Table 56: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Brazil, 2011
- Table 57: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Argentina, 2010
- Table 58: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Chile, 2010
- Table 59: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Colombia, 2010
- Table 60: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Paraguay, 2010
- Table 61: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Peru, 2010
- Table 62: Fuel mix of generating capacity MW, Venezuela, 2010
- Table 63 : 5 Year Demand for New Build and Asset Base renewal (ABR)
- Table 64 : Installed Capacity 1980 to 2050, MW, All Countries

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