StatPlan T&DD forecasts general demand for transmission and
distribution equipment within utilities to 2050, utilising the same principles
as our generation forecasting tool. For the short term period to 2017, we have
forecasts by capex for transformers, switchgear, cables, conductors,
insulators, steel pylons and transmission poles, all presented globally,
regionally and by major country.
The T&DD forecasts include the following:
Market drivers for transmission and distribution
Transmission and distribution line lengths historical and forecast to 2050
Regional analysis of transmission line length development to 2050
Regional analysis of distribution line length development to 2050
Country analysis
The transformer capacity demand cycle
Global installed base of transformers and forecast to 2050
Ownership of power and distribution transformers
Ratio of transformers to generation capacity
T&D losses, globally and by region
Background to the Smart Grid
The utility landscape by country
The manufacturing landscape, summary of market shares
Equipment markets by product category
Capital expenditure forecasts to 2050, globally and regionally
Appendix of country by country breakdown for T&D line lengths
Appendix of country by country breakdown for transformer installed capacity
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2. THE ESTIMATION OF DEMAND
2.1 New lines and capacity
2.2 Asset based renewal (ABR)
2.3 Historical database
3. MARKET DRIVERS FOR TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION
3.1 Capacity expansion
3.2 Improvements and developments in technology
3.3 Replacement of aged assets
3.4 Reduction of losses
3.5 Demographic factors
4. TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION LINES
4.1 Global growth and forecast to 2050, summary
4.2 Global growth and forecast to 2050, transmission versus distribution,
summary
5. TRANSMISSION LINES; REGIONAL ANALYSIS
5.1 Europe
5.2 CIS
5.3 Middle East
5.4 Africa
5.5 Asia - Pacific
5.6 North America
5.7 Latin America
6. DISTRIBUTION LINES; REGIONAL ANALYSIS
6.1 Europe
6.2 CIS
6.3 Middle East
6.4 Africa
6.5 Asia - Pacific
6.6 North America
6.7 Latin America
7. TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION LINE LENGTHS BY COUNTRY
8. UNDERGROUND CABLES
8.1 Drivers of demand for underground cables
8.2 Cost
8.3 Urbanisation
8.4 Regional analysis
9. THE TRANSFORMER CAPACITY DEMAND CYCLE
10. THE INSTALLED BASE OF TRANSFORMERS AND DEMAND
11. THE TRANSFORMATION PROCESS
11.1 Four key stages
11.2 Types of transformer
12. OWNERSHIP OF POWER AND DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMERS
13. THE RATIO OF TRANSFORMERS TO GENERATION CAPACITY
13.1 Significance of the ratios
13.2 Ratios by region and country
13.3 Utility power and distribution transformer capacity by country
14. GENERATION, TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION LOSSES
14.1 The nature of loss
14.2 Europe
14.3 CIS
14.4 Middle East
14.5 Africa
14.6 Asia - Pacific
14.7 North America
14.8 Central and South America
15. THE SMART GRID
15.1 Background
15.2 Current deficiencies of grids
15.3 The characteristics of the Smart Grid
15.4 The technologies of the Smart Grid
16. THE UTILITY LANDSCAPE
16.1 Differing structures for electricity supply
16.2 Commentary by region
17. THE MANUFACTURING LANDSCAPE
18. EQUIPMENT MARKETS
18.1 The global picture
18.2 The China effect
18.3 Product category growth
18.4 Regional distribution of product categories
19. CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
19.1 Considerations for forecasting capex
19.2 Global capex 2010 - 2050
19.3 Regional analysis of current position and forecasts to 2050
19.4 Europe
19.5 CIS
16.6 Middle East
19.7 North Africa
19.8 Sub-Saharan Africa
19.9 Asia - Pacific
16.10 North America
16.11 Latin America
19.12 Definition of capex expenditure
LIST OF CHARTS
Figure 1: Diagram of new plus asset base renewals of lines and capacity
Figure 2: Growth in electrified households, selected countries 1900-2050
Figure 3: Percent of population in urban areas, 1960-2010 by region
Figure 4: Installed transmission and distribution lines, 1900 to 2050, km
Figure 5: Global installed transmission lines and demand 1945-2050,
thousand km
Figure 6: Global installed distribution lines and demand 1945-2050,
thousand km
Figure 7: World transmission line length total demand, new and ABR,
thousand km, 5 year segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 8: Transmission demand, thousand km in 5 year segments 1945-2050
Figure 9: Comparison of regions: Percent share of current and future
transmission line length in forecast period (km length)
Figure 10: European transmission line length demand in thousand km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 11: CIS transmission line length demand in thousand km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 12: Middle East transmission line length demand in thousand km, 5
year segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 13: African transmission line length demand in thousand km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 14: Asia Pacific transmission line length demand in thousand km, 5
year segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 15: North American transmission line length demand in thousand km,
5 year segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 16: Latin American transmission line length demand in thousand km,
5 year segments1940 to 2050
Figure 17: Comparison of regions: Percent share of current and future
distribution line length in forecast period (km length)
Figure 18: World distribution line length demand in km, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 19: Distribution demand, thousand km in 5 year segments 1940-2050
Figure 20: European distribution line length demand in km, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 21: CIS distribution line length demand in km, 5 year segments 1940
to 2050
Figure 22: Middle East distribution line length demand in km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 23: African distribution line length demand in km, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 24: Asia Pacific distribution line length demand in km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 25: North American distribution line length demand in km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 26: Latin American distribution line length demand in km, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 27: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of the network in
European countries
Figure 28: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total percent of the
network in CIS countries
Figure 29: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total percent of the
network in MENA countries
Figure 30: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of the network in
Asia Pacific countries
Figure 31: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of the network in
Pacific countries
Figure 32: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of each voltage
class in European countries
Figure 33: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of each voltage
class in CIS countries
Figure 34: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of each voltage
class in MENA countries
Figure 35: HV, MV and LV underground cable as a total % of each voltage
class in Asian countries
Figure 36: HV, MV and LV c underground able as a total % of each voltage
class in Pacific countries
Figure 37: Global installed transformation capacity and demand 1945 to
2050, GVA
Figure 38: Global utility transformation capacity installed base, GVA,
1900 to 2050
Figure 39: Global utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 40: Utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments 1940 to
2050
Figure 41: European utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 42: CIS utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 43: Middle East utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 44: African utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments
1940 to 2050
Figure 45: Asia Pacific utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 46: North American Global utility transformation capacity demand, 5
year segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 47: Latin American utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year
segments 1940 to 2050
Figure 48: The UK Electrical Power Transmission and Distribution System
Figure 50: Generating capacity MW, utility power and distribution
transformation capacity MVA 2010
Figure 51: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, Europe
Figure 52: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, CIS
Figure 53: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, Middle East
Figure 54: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, Africa
Figure 55: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, Asia Pacific
Figure 56: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, North America
Figure 57: Technical T&D Losses, % of generation, Central and South America
Figure 58: Market shares of major vendor companies in T&D market, 2010
Figure 59: Global T&D Equipment markets, total and excluding China,
Constant $2010 and Current $, 2010-2017
Figure 60: Transformer markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 61: Switchgear markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 62: Cable > 1 kV markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 63: Bare conductor > 1 kV markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 64: Insulators and lightning arresters markets in current $ by
region, 2010-2017
Figure 65: Jumpers, spacers and other fittings markets in current $ by
region, 2010-2017
Figure 66: Steel transmission pylon markets in current $ by region,
2010-2017
Figure 67: Distribution pole markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 68: Meter markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 69: Automation & Control markets in current $ by region, 2010-2017
Figure 70: Global Capital Expenditure Requirement, Transmission and
Distribution (real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 71: Global Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 72: Global Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 73: Global Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission and
Distribution (real $2010 and current$), 2010 to 2050
Figure 74: European Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission and
Distribution (real $2010) 2010-2050
Figure 75: European Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 76: European Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 77: CIS Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission and
Distribution (real $2010) 2010-2050
Figure 78: CIS Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050)
Figure 79: CIS Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 80: Middle Eastern Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
and Distribution (real $2010), 2010- 2050
Figure 81: Middle Eastern Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 82: Middle Eastern Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 83: North African Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
and Distribution (real $2010) 2010-2050
Figure 84: North African Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 85: North African Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 86: Sub-Saharan African Capital Expenditure Requirement on
Transmission and Distribution (real $2010), 2010-2050
Figure 87: Sub-Saharan African Capital Expenditure Requirement on
Transmission (real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 88: Sub-Saharan African Capital Expenditure Requirement on
Distribution (real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 89: Asia Pacific Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
and Distribution (real $2010) 2010-2050
Figure 90: Asia Pacific Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 91: Asia Pacific Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 92: North American Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
and Distribution (real $2010) 2010-2050
Figure 93: North American Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 94: North American Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution
(real $2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 95: LAC Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission and
Distribution (real $2010), 2010 - 2050
Figure 96: LAC Capital Expenditure Requirement on Transmission (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
Figure 97: LAC Capital Expenditure Requirement on Distribution (real
$2010), 2010 to 2050
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Europe
Table 2: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Europe
Table 3: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - CIS
Table 4: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - CIS
Table 5: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Middle East
Table 6: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Middle East
Table 7: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Africa
Table 8: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Africa
Table 9: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Asia Pacific
Table 10: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Asia
Pacific
Table 11: Transmission lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Americas
Table 12: Distribution lines by voltage and overhead/cable km - Americas
Table 13: Underground cable as a percent of each voltage class and as a
percent of the network in Europe
Table 14: HV, MV and LV underground cable lengths km for each voltage
class in Europe
Table 15: HV, MV and LV underground cable lengths km for each voltage
class in CIS
Table 16: HV, MV and LV underground cable lengths km for each voltage
class in MENA
Table 17: HV, MV and LV underground cable lengths km for each voltage
class in Asia
Table 18: HV, MV and LV underground cable lengths km for each voltage
class in Pacific
Table 19: Ratios of utility PT capacity MVA, DT capacity MVA to generating
capacity MW Europe
Table 20: Ratios of utility PT capacity MVA, DT capacity MVA to generating
capacity MW CIS
Table 21: Ratios of utility PT capacity MVA, DT capacity MVA to generating
capacity MW - Africa and Middle East
Table 22: Ratios of utility PT capacity MVA, DT capacity MVA to generating
capacity MW - Asia Pacific
Table 23: Ratios of utility PT capacity MVA, DT capacity MVA to generating
capacity MW - Americas
Table 24: Utility Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by
country, 2010 - Europe
Table 25: Utility Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by
country, 2010 - CIS
Table 26: Utility Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA)by
country, 2010 - Africa and Middle East
Table 27: Utility Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by
country, 2010 - Asia Pacific
Table 28: Utility Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by
country, 2010 - Americas
Table 29: Composition of the World Electrical Utility sector by Country
and Ownership
Table 30: The World's Utility Landscape
Table 31: Market shares of major vendor companies in T&D market, 2010
Table 32: Global T&D Equipment markets, total and excluding China,
Constant $2010 and Current $, 2010-2017
Table 33: Global T&D Equipment markets, Current $, 2010-2017
Table 34: Global T&D Equipment markets excluding China, Current $,
2010-2017
Table 35: Global T&D Equipment markets by region, Current $, 2010-2017
Table 36: Total equipment markets by country, Current $, 2010-17
Table 37: Capex by region, $ billions, 2010; mix of capex by percent
transmission and distribution
Transmission and Distribution Utility Networks & Equipment Markets Forecast 2012-50 published by StatPlan Energy Limited in June 30, 2012. This report consists of 276 pages and the price starts from US $ 4500.
