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Global Electrification Trends: Database and Overview of Households with Electricity 2012 - 2050

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

A unique analysis and database of households with electricity by region and country, providing insights to the future of global electrical industries.

This report introduces and provides an overview of a unique new database created by StatPlan, Household Electrification Trends, 1900 to 2050. We believe that there is no other similar database.

Electrification is something we take for granted in the developed world and hardly ever think about it. However, there are large areas of the world where the level of electrification is still low and many people live without electric power. In the developed countries, up to about twenty years ago marketers thought simply in terms of 100% of homes having electricity; the numbers would increase in line with population and these statistics provided a prediction of growth. However, this is a simplistic view and it ignores three basic trends which are altering the marketing landscape irrevocably and when combined demonstrate a new picture for the future. These are population growth or decline, the decrease in household size in many parts of the world and the rate of electrification of the world.

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Population growth and decline
  • 1.2 Size of households
  • 1.3 Global Electrification
  • 1.4 Timescale

2. REGIONAL TRENDS FOR HOUSEHOLD ELECTRIFICATION

3. THE IMPACT ON THE ELECTRICAL SUPPLY INDUSTRY

  • 3.1 Overview
  • 3.2 Electrical good and aspirations: The Household Electrification Wheel
  • 3.3 Standby power losses

4. NUMBERS OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH ELECTRICITY, BY COUNTRY & REGION

5. THE METHODOLOGY SUPPORTING STATPLAN ELECTRIFICATION TRENDS

FIGURES

  • Figure 1: Population growth % in each decade by region
  • Figure 2: Average household size, World, 1900 to 2050
  • Figure 3: Share of people without electricity access for developing countries, 2008
  • Figure 4: World electrification - % of households with electricity, 1900-2050
  • Figure 5: World electrification - No. of households with and without electricity, 1900-2050
  • Figure 6: World electrification - No. and % of households with electricity, 1900-2050
  • Figure 7: Selected major countries - % of households with electricity, 1900-2050
  • Figure 8: Selected major countries - Number of households with electricity, 1900-2050
  • Figure 9: The global totals of electrified households 2010 to 2050
  • Figure 10: Additions of electrified households 2010 to 2050 as a percent of the 2010 stock
  • Figure 11: Additions of electrified households in each decade by region, 2010 to 2050
  • Figure 12: Regional totals of electrified households 2010 to 2050

TABLES

  • Table 1: Average household size by region, 1900, 2010 and 2050
  • Table 2: Population and electrical parameters of South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa Table 3: Numbers of households with electricity ('000s) by Country, World Region
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