The Market for High-Brightness LEDs in Lighting: Application Analysis and Forecast - 2010

This publication has been discontinued on December 21, 2011.

Introduction

Abstract

HB LEDs have penetrated a variety of niche lighting applications and are beginning to be used in several white light applications that could be considered as part of the general illumination market. The market for HB LEDs in lighting amounted to $340 million in 2007, or approximately 5% of the overall HB LED market. The largest application was architectural lighting, where the ability of LEDs to provide colors and color-changing effects was a major market driver. In spite of its small share of the overall HB LED market, lighting was one of the fastest growing segments from 2007-2009. The market is forecast to grow to over $3.2 billion by 2013.

To understand this dynamic market and its driving forces, Strategies Unlimited has completed a comprehensive report that looks at the demand side of high-brightness LEDs for lighting specific applications. The report includes an applications analysis, lighting industry overview, technology trends, five year market forecast, and an appendix of LED lighting manufacturers. The Market for High-Brightness LEDs in Lighting Applications - 2010 is the most recent edition in a series of reports published on the LED industry by Strategies Unlimited. It provides detailed information on all the major applications, including market trends, drivers, and an in-depth market forecast through 2013.

HIGHLIGHTS

This report addresses the market for LEDs used in illumination applications; that is, applications in which the light from an LED is used to illuminate an object or surface, rather than being viewed directly to provide information (e.g., LED signs) or a signal

The Market for High-Brightness LEDs in Lighting Applications Market Forecast

A five year market forecast for ten product applications is included and broken out by the following:

• Materials
  • InGaAlP ROY Units (Million), asp, and revenues
  • InGaN Blue/Green Units (Million), asp, and revenues
  • InGaN White Units (Million), asp, and revenues
• Package Type
  • Low Power
  • Medium Power
  • High Power

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY

• 1.1 Introduction
• 1.2 HB LED Illumination Overview
• 1.3 Method of Analysis
• 1.4 Market Summary
  • 1.4.1 2009 Market Overview
  • 1.4.2 Market Forecast Summary

2. SCOPE AND DEFINITIONS

• 2.1 Scope
• 2.2 Product and Application Definitions
  • 2.2.1 High-Brightness LEDs
  • 2.2.2 Product Applications

3. LIGHTING INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Market Drivers
  • 3.2.1 LED Lighting Technology-Specific Market Drivers
  • 3.2.2 Energy Efficiency
  • 3.2.3 Green Consciousness
  • 3.2.4 The Price of Electricity
  • 3.2.5 Uncertainty
  • 3.2.6 Regulations
• 3.3 Challenges to Solid-State Lighting
  • 3.3.1 Product Reliability and Quality Issues
  • 3.3.2 Efficacy of Product Design
  • 3.3.3 High Prices
  • 3.3.4 Luminaire Design and Manufacturing
  • 3.3.5 Recessionary Pressures
  • 3.3.6 LED Education
  • 3.3.7 Standardization
  • 3.3.8 Few High-CRI, High-Efficiency Warm White LEDs Available
  • 3.3.9 Fast-Changing Technology
• 3.4 Other Lighting Technologies
  • 3.4.1 Linear Fluorescent Lighting
  • 3.4.2 Compact Fluorescent Lighting
  • 3.4.3 High-Intensity Discharge (HID) Lamps
• 3.5 Lighting Industry Structure
  • 3.5.1 Introduction
  • 3.5.2 Changing Paradigm
  • 3.5.3 SSL Sales Channels
  • 3.5.4 Growth Strategies
• 3.6 Competitive Environment
  • 3.6.1 North American Lighting Fixture Industry
  • 3.6.2 European Lighting Fixture Industry
  • 3.6.3 Chinese Lighting Industry
  • 3.6.4 Japanese Lighting Fixture Industry
  • 3.6.5 Other Asian Economies

4. APPLICATIONS ANALYSIS

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 LED Lighting Applications
  • 4.2.1 Replacement Lamps
    • 4.2.1.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.1.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.1.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.1.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.1.5 Replacement Lamp Manufacturers
  • 4.2.2 Architectural Lighting
    • 4.2.2.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.2.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.2.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.2.4 Market Structure
  • 4.2.3 Entertainment Lighting
    • 4.2.3.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.3.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.3.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.3.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.3.5 Entertainment Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.4 Retail Display Lighting
    • 4.2.4.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.4.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.4.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.4.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.4.5 Retail Display Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.5 Commercial and Industrial Lighting
    • 4.2.5.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.5.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.5.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.5.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.5.5 Commercial/Industrial Solid-State Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.6 Outdoor Area Lighting
    • 4.2.6.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.6.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.6.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.6.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.6.5 Outdoor Area Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.7 Off-Grid Lighting
    • 4.2.7.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.7.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.7.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.7.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.7.5 Off-Grid Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.8 Residential Lighting
    • 4.2.8.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.8.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.8.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.8.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.8.5 Residential Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.9 Consumer Portable (Battery-Powered)
    • 4.2.9.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.9.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.9.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.9.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.9.5 LED Portable Product Manufacturers
  • 4.2.10 Safety and Security
    • 4.2.10.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.10.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.10.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.10.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.10.5 LED Exit Sign Manufacturers
  • 4.2.11 Channel Letters and Contour Lighting
    • 4.2.11.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.11.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.11.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.11.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.11.5 Channel Letter and Contour Lighting Manufacturers
  • 4.2.12 Machine Vision and Inspection
    • 4.2.12.1 Market Definition
    • 4.2.12.2 Market Trends
    • 4.2.12.3 Market Size
    • 4.2.12.4 Market Structure
    • 4.2.12.5 Machine-Vision Illumination Manufacturers
• 4.3 Application and Market Summary

5. FIVE-YEAR MARKET FORECAST, 2010 - 2014

• 5.1 Forecast Summary
• 5.2 Application Forecasts
  • 5.2.1 Replacement Lamps
  • 5.2.2 Architectural Lighting
  • 5.2.3 Entertainment
  • 5.2.4 Retail Display
  • 5.2.5 Commercial/Industrial Lighting
  • 5.2.6 Outdoor Area Lighting
  • 5.2.7 Off-Grid
  • 5.2.8 Residential
  • 5.2.9 Consumer Portable
  • 5.2.10 Safety/Security
  • 5.2.11 Channel Letter/Contour Lighting
  • 5.2.12 Machine Vision

APPENDIX A - DIRECTORY OF LED LIGHTING PRODUCT MANUFACTURERS

APPENDIX B - SELECTED REGULATIONS AND STANDARDS APPLICABLE TO LED LIGHTING

LIST OF FIGURES

• 1.1 Luminous Efficacy History for High-Power White LEDs (Best Commercial Products, Highest Bins), 2000 - 2009
• 1.2 2009 Lighting Market by Application
• 1.3 2009 Lighting Market by Application and Package Type
• 1.4 2009 Lighting Market by Product Type
• 1.5 2009 Lighting Market by Color
• 1.6 Geographic Distribution of LED Consumption for Lighting Applications, 2009
• 1.7 Application Forecast Summary, 2010 - 2014
• 1.8 U.S. Summary Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 1.9 Summary Forecast by Color, 2010 - 2014
• 2.1 Segmentation of HB LED Lighting Market
• 3.1 Everett Rogers Diffusion of Innovation Analysis
• 3.2 Growth in Electricity Use Continues to Slow
• 3.3 Price of Electricity in the U.S. by Sector
• 3.4 U.S. Total Electricity Consumption
• 3.5 Residential Price of Electricity in Selected Countries
• 3.6 West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Prices - Short-Term Energy Outlook, January
• 3.7 Projected LED Luminaire Cost Track
• 3.8 U.S. DOE Forecast of LED Efficacies and LED and Luminaire Prices, 2009 - 2015
• 3.9 IMF Estimate of Growth Rate of Real GDP, 2008 - 2013
• 3.10 Quarter-to-Quarter Growth Rate of GDP for EU and Euro Area
• 3.11 National Electrical Manufacturers Association Lighting Systems Index
• 3.12 Global Light Production by Lamp Type in 2005
• 3.13 Global CFL Sales, 1990 - 2004
• 3.14 Global Market Share of CFL, 1975 - 2005
• 3.15 Market Share of ENERGY STAR CFL Sales in the U.S., 2000 - 2013
• 3.16 Price of CFL and Payback Period for CFL, 1990 - 2008
• 3.17 U.S. Lamp Shipments and CFL Market Share
• 3.18 GE Luminations LED Module Designed by Journee
• 3.19 Structure of the Lighting Fixture Industry
• 4.1 Luminous Efficacies of HB LEDs, 2000 - 2009
• 4.2 A-Lamp Replacement - Philips' L-Prize Entry
• 4.3 MR-16 Replacement Lamp - Lighting Science Group
• 4.4 LED R30 Floodlight - enLux
• 4.5 A-Lamp Replacement Pharox - Lemnis Lighting
• 4.6 Linear Fluorescent Tube Replacement - ilumisys
• 4.7 Dynasty B10 Candelabra LED Lamp (Cao Group)
• 4.8 DOE CALiPER Program Test Results for LED Replacement A-Lamps, 2007 - 2009
• 4.9 Market Development Curve - Share of of LEDs in Replacement Lamps as a Percentage of Potential Market - 2009
• 4.10 Geographic Revenue Distribution of LEDs in Replacement Lamps - 2009
• 4.11 Indoor/Outdoor Color-Chaging Luminaires from Pulsar Chromascape and Chromabattan
• 4.12 “iCove” from Color Kinetics (Now Philips Lighting)
• 4.13 “Stud” In-Ground Light from Advanced LEDs Ltd.
• 4.14 Targetti LED.Y RGB Projector (Adjustable Projector with RGB 3.5-W LED)
• 4.15 Value of Construction Put in Place in the U.S., 2003 - 2009
• 4.16 Market Development Curve - Share of LEDs in Architectural Applications as a Percentage of the Potential Market - 2009
• 4.17 Total Revenues in Architectural Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.18 Martin Stagebar 54
• 4.19 PAR Can from Altman, PAR 100
• 4.20 Chauvet Colorado Panel
• 4.21 Vari-Lite VLX Wash
• 4.22 Martin LC Series Semi-Transparent, Modular System of LED Panel for Displaying Video and Images
• 4.23 Zylight Z90
• 4.24 Sony HVL-LBP
• 4.25 Lowel Blender
• 4.26 Litepanels
• 4.27 White House Press Room Featuring LitePanels Lighting Fixtures
• 4.28 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Entertainment Lighting - 2009
• 4.29 Distribution of LED Revenues in Entertainment Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.30 Display Lighting
• 4.31 Undercabinet Light
• 4.32 LRC Study - Colorful Backdrop for Mannequins in a Store Window
• 4.33 LED Case Lighting
• 4.34 LED Jewelry Display Case Lighting
• 4.35 LED Refrigerated Display Case Lighting
• 4.36 Relative Light Output as a Function of Temperature
• 4.37 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Retail Display Lighting - 2009
• 4.38 Distribution of LED Revenues in Retail Display Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.39 Industrial LED Lighting Fixtures
• 4.40 Hazardous Location LED Lighting Fixture
• 4.41 Functional Office Lighting Powered Entirely by LEDs
• 4.42 LED Lighting for an Office Bathroom
• 4.43 Restaurant Lighting with LED Downlights
• 4.44 LED Lighting for Hotel Bathrooms
• 4.45 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Commercial and Industrial Lighting - 2009
• 4.46 Distribution of LED Revenues in Commercial/Industrial Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.47 GE Evolve LED Area Light
• 4.48 BetaLED Canopy Light
• 4.49 BetaLED Area Light
• 4.50 Leonis Luminaire from Lumec
• 4.51 Perla from Schreder Decorative Streetlight
• 4.52 Distribution of LED Revenues in Outdoor Area Lighting by Region - 2009
• 4.53 Solar-Powered Streetlight from Jiawei Solarchina Co., Ltd.
• 4.54 Aquila, a Solar/LED Lighting Luminaire from Qnuru
• 4.55 Handheld Lantern with Solar Panel
• 4.56 Geographic Distribution of Revenues for Off-Grid Lighting - 2009
• 4.57 Recessed Can
• 4.58 Cree-LLF LR6 LED Recessed Module
• 4.59 Undercabinet Light Strip - Kichler Lighting
• 4.60 Decorative Suspended Luminaires - Winona LED - Pops Series
• 4.61 Floor Lamps from Baltensweiler AG
• 4.62 George Kovacs - Table Lamp
• 4.63 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Residential Lighting - 2009
• 4.64 Residential LED Revenue Distribution by Region - 2009
• 4.65 Examples of LED Headlamps
• 4.66 NiteRider Pro Diver LED
• 4.67 Diving Flashlight
• 4.68 NiteRider Design Ultrafazer Max
• 4.69 Tactical Flashlight
• 4.70 Work Light
• 4.71 TerraLUX Light
• 4.72 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LEDs in Consumer Portables - 2009
• 4.73 Revenue Distribution by Type of LED - Consumer Portable - 2009
• 4.74 Revenue Distribution by Geographical Region - Consumer Portable - 2009
• 4.75 Retrofit LED Lamp for Exit Signs
• 4.76 Direct-View Exit Sign
• 4.77 Cavity-Lit Exit Sign
• 4.78 Edge-Lit Exit Sign
• 4.79 Edge-Lit Exit Sign - Menvier Evoled from Cooper
• 4.80 Market for HB LEDs in Exit Signs by Color - 2009
• 4.81 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LEDs in U.S. Exit Signs - 2009
• 4.82 Distribution of LED Revenues in Exit Sign Application by Region - 2009
• 4.83 Example of LED Channel Letter
• 4.84 Example of LED Reverse Channel Letters
• 4.85 Neon Replacement
• 4.86 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Channel Letter/Contour Lighting - 2009
• 4.87 Unit Distribution of LEDs by Color for Channel Letter/Contour Lighting - 2009
• 4.88 Distribution of LED Revenues in Channel Letter/Contour Lighting Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.89 LED Ring Light for Machine Vision
• 4.90 Market Innovation Curve Showing the Position of LED Machine-Vision Lighting - 2009
• 4.91 Distribution of LED Revenues in Machine-Vision Applications by Region - 2009
• 4.92 Distribution of Machine-Vision Lighting Revenues by Color - 2009
• 4.93 2009 LED Lighting Market by Application
• 4.94 2009 LED Lighting Market by Application and Package Type
• 4.95 2009 LED Lighting Market by Product Type
• 4.96 2009 LED Lighting Market by PackageType
• 4.97 2009 LED Lighting Market by Color
• 4.98 Geographic Distribution of LED Consumption for Lighting Applications - 2009
• 5.1 U.S. Department of Energy Efficacy and Price Forecast, 2009 - 2015
• 5.2 Application Forecast Summary, 2010 - 2014
• 5.3 U.S. Summary Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.4 Summary Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.5 Summary Forecast by Color, 2010 - 2014
• 5.6 Replacement Lamp Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.7 Architectural Lighting Forecast for Low-Power Package LEDs by Color, 2010 - 2014
• 5.8 Architectural Lighting Forecast for High-Power LEDs by Color, 2010 - 2014
• 5.9 Entertainment Lighting Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.10 Retail Display Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.11 Commercial/Industrial Lighting Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.12 Outdoor Area Lighting Forecast - InGaN High-Power Packages, 2010 - 2014
• 5.13 Off-Grid Lighting Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.14 Residential Lighting Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.15 Consumer Portable Lighting Forecast by Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.16 Safety/Security Lighting Forecast by Material and Color, 2010 - 2014
• 5.17 Channel Letter/Contour Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.18 Machine-Vision Lighting Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014

LIST OF TABLES

• 1.1 Price per Kilolumen, 2008
• 1.2 2009 LED Lighting Market by Application and Product Type
• 1.3 Application Forecast Summary, 2010 - 2014
• 1.4 Summary Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 1.5 Summary Forecast by Color, 2010 - 2014
• 2.1 HB LED Product Segmentation
• 2.2 HB LED Materials and Characteristics
• 3.1 Cost of Lighting - US $ per Kilolumen
• 3.2 Typical Efficacies and Lifetimes of Lamps
• 3.3 Average Number of Lamps per Building in the U.S.
• 3.4 U.S. Lighting Electricity Consumption by Technology and Sector, 2003
• 3.5 Structure of Acuity Brands Lighting
• 3.6 Structure of Cooper Lighting
• 3.7 Structure of Genlyte (Now Philips Lighting)
• 3.8 Structure of Hubbell Lighting
• 3.9 Structure of Juno Lighting Group
• 4.1 LED Replacement Lamp Manufacturers
• 4.2 LED Fixture Suppliers in Entertainment Applications
• 4.3 Major Manufacturers in Retail Display Lighting
• 4.4 Manufacturers of Commercial/Industrial SSL
• 4.5 Comparison of Lamp Types for Outdoor Area Lighting
• 4.6 Companies Participating in Outdoor Area Lighting
• 4.7 Electricity Access in 2008 - Regional Aggregates
• 4.8 Manufacturers of Off-Grid Lighting Fixtures
• 4.9 LED Fixture Manufacturers in Residential Lighting
• 4.10 LED Flashlight and Other Consumer Portable Product Manufacturers
• 4.11 Cost Calculations - Exit Sign Lighting Technologies
• 4.12 Product Specifications for ENERGY STAR Qualified Exit Signs (Version 3.0)
• 4.13 Manufacturers of LED Exit Signs
• 4.14 Manufacturers of Channel Letter and Contour Lighting
• 4.15 Machine Vision and Inspection Manufacturers
• 4.16 2009 LED Lighting Market by Application and Product Type
• 4.17 Geographic Distribution of LED Consumption for Lighting Applications - 2009
• 5.1 Application Forecast Summary - Revenue, 2010 - 2014
• 5.2 Summary Forecast by Material and Package Type, 2010 - 2014
• 5.3 Summary Forecast by Color - Revenue, 2010 - 2014
• 5.4 Replacement Lamp Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.5 Architectural Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.6 Entertainment Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.7 Retail Display Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.8 Commercial/Industrial Lighting Forecast, 2010-2014
• 5.9 Outdoor Area Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.10 Off-Grid Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.11 Residential Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.12 Consumer Portable Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.13 Safety/Security Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.14 Channel Letter/Contour Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014
• 5.15 Machine-Vision Lighting Forecast, 2010 - 2014

Press Release

High-Brightness LED Lighting total market size expected to exceed $3.2 billion by 2013

Related Reports