Abstract
Market Overview
Intelligent-connected mobile devices driving significant growth in embedded
software market
The design of highly sophisticated systems has become the norm - with the
complexity of both software and hardware platforms continuing to advance. VDC
continues to find significant growth around intelligent, smart-connected
mobile devices.
The average embedded system/device continues to require greater amounts of
software to serve the requirements of both suppliers and end users. Among many
other functions, today's embedded systems demand more sophisticated system
interfaces, increasingly complex graphical elements as well as advanced wired
and wireless communication capabilities.
While more complex system features often necessitate additional processing
resources and potentially more advanced hardware in order to enable new
capabilities, software design and test has become a critical part of the
embedded system engineering lifecycle.
As a result of a greater overall focus on software as means to enable
increased functionality, a large number of embedded systems manufacturers are
currently dedicating more of their resources to software engineering tasks. As
such, these companies are highly motivated to improve their software
engineering efficiency and are also looking for ways to initiate the software
design and verification process earlier within the system engineering cycle,
rather than wait until the hardware elements have been fully engineered.
Within the greater context of the embedded market are two complex topics .
safety and security.
It is difficult these days not to find articles, whitepapers, or webinar
announcements, in any of the major industry publications, web portals, and
embedded software solution and silicon providers' web sites. The discussion
around safety-critical is embedded, however, while a general search of the web
might indicate to some that most of the discussion on security centers around
the enterprise and desktop domains, it is clear that in the last year or so
the dialog and buzz around security and embedded devices has ratcheted up.
Strategic Issues, Trends & Market Drivers
New functionality demands are driving the complexity of device/system
development
Controlling software development costs and Security and the Common Criteria
time to market.
- For many years, operating system software for safety-critical systems has
been developed in-house or proprietary due to the developer's perceived risk
in lack of control and in-depth understanding of the behavior of COTS software.
- New functionality demands are driving the complexity of device/system
development, the volume of software that needs to be developed and tested, and
the proof required for certification.
- The increasing availability of COTS products for operating systems and
tools can offer developers a range of choices for safety-oriented software
solutions.
Migration to more sophisticated processor architectures.
- Complexity of processor architectures, especially multicore, increases
unpredictability as a result of the lack of availability of mature diagnostic
tools or understanding by embedded engineers.
- Virtualization - Growing need to securely separate critical
processes/applications from user-facing functionality in safety - and
security-critical devices.
- Embedded hypervisors (sometimes referred to as microvisors) have emerged
as one of the primary software technologies associated with enabling embedded
virtualization.
The Common Criteria for Information Technology Security Evaluation (Common
Criteria/CC) was created in 1999 by a number of governments as a means to
agree on a set or framework of security criteria for Information Technology
products.
- Since the introduction of the Common Criteria there have been outside
parties that have looked at the US implementation and raised some concerns
including:
- The process is very costly and depending on the evaluation assurance level
being claimed can have an extended time frame measured in years for
certification approval.
- Sunset of the Separation Kernel Protection Profile (SKPP) by the NSA,
Information Assurance Directorate effective June 1, 2011.
- A fast moving COTS market for commodity platforms has resulted in
complexity and challenges to product assurance maintenance and costs.
- These issues are compounded by a fast moving market for commercial
products, especially processors, where an evaluated product can be obsolete
even before certification.
Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts
More software choices result in growing use of COTS technology; Security
market may start small but expansion is imminent
Worldwide Shipments of Commercial
Safety Critical Software
Development, Runtime Technologies
& Related Services Through 2013
As a result of growing use of COTS technology, real-time operating system and
tool vendors provide a compelling value proposition to developers through
certifiable solutions that can reduce development and testing costs and
schedules. This can be particularly advantageous to developers using design
automation tools to model and specify the software, include production code
generation tools, and generate the documentation required to support
certification.
Over the forecast period VDC estimates moderate growth for this product
category as OEMs developing safety-critical products will have more
commercially available choices to leverage as a means to minimize project
costs and schedule risks, control quality and reliability, and increase
engineer productivity.
Is Security Important for the
Device / System Under
Development?
(Percent of Respondents)
Ubiquitous connectivity of systems has created security challenges that now
has OEMs seeking out COTS solutions to meet their security requirements. The
embedded operating system is one product area of growing interest from
embedded engineers as a means to meet assurance to whatever level of security
is defined for the device/system to be developed.
In 2010 VDC estimates the market to be small in scale for secure OS products
as compared to the safety-critical COTS software products market. However, we
expect that over the forecast period the market will expand significantly as
engineering organizations look to secure OS certified solutions not as an
afterthought but integrated into product development, as the foundation for
delivering embedded system security.
About the Team
Christopher Rommel - Vice President.
Steve Balacco - Practice Director.
Andre Girard - Senior Analyst.
Jared Weiner - Analyst.
About VDC Research
VDC Research Group (VDC) provides exceptionally detailed direct-contact
market research and consulting services to many of the world's largest
technology suppliers, innovative start-ups and leading investors. The firm is
organized around six practices, each with its own focused area of coverage.
Our clients rely on us for highly segmented research and analysis which is
derived from our unwavering commitment to the idea that all markets are
collections of smaller market segments and that winning companies must develop
and execute strategies that are segment- specific.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
- Page 8. Safety and security
- Page 9. Safety
- Page 10. Security
- Page 11. Safety and security
Scope & Methodology
- Page 13. Scope of VDC's research
- Page 14. Scope
- Page 15. Scope
- Page 16. Methodology
- Page 17. Definitions
- Page 18. Definitions
- Page 19. Definitions
- Page 20. Definitions
Market Overview
- Page 22. Embedded software market - significant growth around
intelligent-connected mobile devices
Strategic Issues, Trends & Market Drivers
- Page 24. New functionality demands are driving the complexity of
device/system development
- Page 25. The upcoming DO-178C standard is an update to the B version
originally released in 1992
- Page 26. Sunset of the Separation Kernel Protection Profile (SKPP) by
the NSA
- Page 27. Select VDC 2011 embedded engineer survey results follow
- Page 28. Application security issues most important
- Page 29. Security is important but almost one-quarter of respondents
cite no proactive actions being taken
- Page 30. Application type dictates requirement for device/system
security
- Page 31. Drivers/inhibitors to commercial market for safety and
security technologies
Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts
- Page 33. Safety-critical software contributes to the function of a
syste
- Page 34. More software choices result in growing use of COTS
technology that provide compelling value proposition to developers
- Page 35. VDC expects OEMs to continue to leverage ISVs domain
expertise for training and consultation
- Page 36. Perpetual software licenses represent the largest and one of
the most rapidly growing sources of revenue
- Page 37. Revenue distribution across the geographic regions to be
fairly static over the forecast period
- Page 38. Asia-Pacific region expected to grow fastest with increasing
focus on aviation, rail, and other industries in China/India
- Page 39. Industries requiring safety-critical software are diverse
- Page 40. The military/aerospace industry estimated largest market in
2010, expected slowest rate of growth over forecast period
- Page 41. Medical device industry is heavily government regulated due
to safety-critical nature of medical applications
- Page 42. Ubiquitous connectivity and cyber-threats changing how
engineers think about software security challenge to development project
designs
- Page 43. Security is a very broad topic
- Page 44. OEM investments in professional services from suppliers with
domain and certification expertise
- Page 45. Run-time royalties very small source of revenue, OEMS
primarily in design and development stages in 2010 timeframe
- Page 46. Geographic segmentation of market and future growth largely
defined by small number of embedded OS suppliers
- Page 47. Asia-Pacific region expected to grow fastest with increasing
focus for security in automotive, mobile phone, consumer electronics industries
- Page 48. Security has traditionally been viewed as a requirement for
government and/or military-based projects.
- Page 49. Over forecast period expect increasing adoption that spans
beyond military/aerospace systems to critical infrastructure and other
commercial systems
Competitive Analysis & Position
- Page 51. Safety-critical landscape fragmented - secure OS landscape
compact
- Page 52. Markets largely defined by suppliers long-history and
significant presence in providing solutions and support for military/aerospace
industry
- Page 53. Wind River and Green Hills Software - neck in neck
- Page 54. Military/aerospace projects driving safety-critical and
security segments
- Page 55. Further expansion beyond automotive critical to ETAS and
dSPACE's future growth
- Page 56. Model-based design, verification, and code generation tools
for safety-critical embedded systems key offerings
- Page 57. QNX Software has been a long-term trusted supplier of
real-time operating systems to the embedded systems market
Summaries & Observations
- Page 59. Summaries & observations
- Page 60. Summaries & observations
LIST OF EXHIBITS
Safety & Security
- Exhibit 1. Is Security Important for the Device/System Under
Development? (Percent of Respondents, N = 489)
- Exhibit 2. Types of Security Issues that are Important (Percent of
Respondents)
- Exhibit 3. Current Development Project Actions Taken to Limit
Potential Security Issues (Percent of Respondents)
- Exhibit 4. Confidence in Meeting Security Requirement for Product
Under Development (Percent of Respondents)
- Exhibit 5. Survey Respondents Segmented by the Target
Industry/application of their Current Project (Percent of Respondents)
- Exhibit 6. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services Through 2013 (Millions
of Dollars)
- Exhibit 7. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by Product
Category (Percent of Dollars)
- Exhibit 8. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by Product
Category; 2010-2013 (Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 9. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by
Geographic Region (Percent of Dollars)
- Exhibit 10. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by
Geographic Region; 2010-2013 (Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 11. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by Vertical
Market (Percent of Dollars)
- Exhibit 12. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by Vertical
Market; 2010-2013 (Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 13. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services Through 2013 (Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 14. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Product Category (Percent
of Dollars)
- Exhibit 15. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Product Category; 2010-2013
(Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 16. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Geographic Region (Percent
of Dollars)
- Exhibit 17. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Geographic Region;
2010-2013 (Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 18. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Vertical Market (Percent of
Dollars)
- Exhibit 19. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Vertical Market; 2010-2013
(Millions of Dollars)
- Exhibit 20. Worldwide Shipments of Commercial Safety Critical Software
Development and Runtime Technologies & Related Services, Segmented by Leading
Vendors (Percent of Dollars)
- Exhibit 21. Worldwide Shipments of Secure Commercial Common Criteria
Operating Systems & Related Services, Segmented by Leading Vendors (Percent of
Dollars)
VENDOR PROFILES
- ADACORE
- COVERITY, INC.
- DDC-I
- DSPACE GMBH
- ESTEREL TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
- THE ETAS GROUP
- GREEN HILLS SOFTWARE
- IBM CORPORATION
- LDRA LTD.
- LYNUXWORKS, INC.
- MATHWORKS, INC.
- THE PROGRAMMING RESEARCH GROUP
- QNX SOFTWARE SYSTEMS
- SYSGO
- WIND RIVER
Embedded Software & Tools: Safety & Security Service Market published by VDC Research Group in January 31, 2012. This report price starts from US $ 6450.