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Market Research Report

Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022

Published by Analysys Mason Product code 345374
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Fixed Services in Western Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022
Published: October 19, 2017 Content info: 24 Slides
Description

"Next-generation infrastructure continues to see huge investment from operators, supported by government initiatives, and we expect next-generation broadband access to drive increasing fixed revenue by 2022."

We estimate that fixed service revenue will increase by EUR5.5 billion in Western Europe by 2022, driven mainly by increasing demand for high speed Internet connectivity. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 16 individually modelled countries in this report.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Western European region and for 16 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Portugal
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • UK
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • UK

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

Simon Lumb (Research Analyst) is a member of the regional markets research team in London, contributing primarily to the Telecoms Market Matrix, European Core Forecasts, European Country Reports and Global Core Data research programmes. Simon holds a BSc in Physics from Durham University, and during his studies conducted research on the collision of galaxies and helped to develop a GPS tracking system for a start-up company.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Revenue trends are improving in many countries and overall fixed revenue growth is accelerating
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022
  • 9. Regional trends
  • 10. Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region
  • 11. Fixed services: The FTTP/B user base will triple between 2016 and 2022, but VDSL will be the leading access technology
  • 12. Broadband: User base growth and NGA price premiums will drive up revenue
  • 13. Country-level trends
  • 14. France: Operators' investments in NGA are helping tocurb the decline in fixed broadband ARPU
  • 15. Germany: Revenue will be flat as growth in superfast broadband will offset the declining fixed voice market
  • 16. Italy: Investment and the growing popularity of convergent bundles will boost broadband revenue and penetration
  • 17. Spain: Content investment will be crucial for future fixed revenue increase
  • 18. UK: Demand for higher-quality broadband connectionswill fuel continued growth in ASPU
  • 19. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 20. About the author
  • 21. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 22. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 23. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Western Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Western Europe and worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Western Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Western Europe, 2016-2022
  • Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Western Europe, 2016-2022
  • Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Western Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Western Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, France, 2012-2022
  • Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, France, 2012-2022
  • Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, France
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Germany, 2012-2022
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Germany, 2012-2022
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Germany
  • Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Italy, 2012-2022
  • Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Italy, 2012-2022
  • Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Italy
  • Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Spain, 2012-2022
  • Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Spain, 2012-2022
  • Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Spain
  • Figure 20: Fixed penetration rates by service type, UK, 2012-2022
  • Figure 21: Fixed ASPU by service type, UK, 2012-2022
  • Figure 22: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, UK
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