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Market Research Report

Fixed Services in Developed Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022

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Fixed Services in Developed Asia-Pacific: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022
Published: November 16, 2017 Content info: 11 Slides
Description

"Subscribers in developed Asia-Pacific are gradually migrating to higher-speed fixed broadband plans (1Gbps and above)."

We expect the fixed market in developed Asia-Pacific to grow slowly over the forecast period, as it has shown signs of saturation. We examine the key trends and drivers in this report, and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for six individually modelled countries.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 44 fixed KPIs for developed Asia-Pacific and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individually
  • Australia
  • Hong Kong
  • Japan
  • Singapore
  • South Korea
  • Taiwan

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service revenue, retail revenue
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Cai Shiyu (Research Analyst) contributes to Analysys Mason's Asia-Pacific research programme, and is based in our Singapore office. He has been involved in data collection process as well as analysis of telecoms market trends in developed and emerging Asia-Pacific. Before joining Analysys Mason, he worked as an intern with business development division of SAP, and conducted qualitative and quantitative research on cloud computing market. Shiyu holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and operations management at NUS Business School, Singapore.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Total telecoms revenue will grow slowly, while fixed service revenue will fall at a CAGR of -0.8%
  • 7.Worldwide trends
  • 8.Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022
  • 9.Regional trends
  • 10.Developed Asia-Pacific: Broadband IPTV revenue growth will continue to depress voice revenue
  • 11.FTTP/B will continue to be the dominant broadband technology, leading to revenue growth in the DVAP region
  • 23.High bandwidth demand, NBN plans and competition will drive fixed broadband household penetration to 95% in 2022
  • 24.Country-level trends
  • 25.Australia: Enhanced network coverage and intensified market competition will drive fixed broadband penetration growth
  • Hong Kong: IPTV is becoming an engine for growth, thanks to an enriched content portfolio and TV box bundles
  • Japan: Technology improvements, such as the deployment of 5G BFWA, are expected to increase the rate of FBB adoption
  • Singapore: The market will be more saturated with limited growth in FBB subscriber numbers and revenue
  • South Korea: IPTV subscriber base will continue to grow during forecast period, and drive fixed revenue growth
  • Taiwan: Operators will offer more-attractive plans and lead to FTTP/B subscriber growth during the forecast period
  • About the author and Analysys Mason
  • About the author
  • Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • Research from Analysys Mason
  • Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), developed Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in developed Asia-Pacific and worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, developed Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, developed Asia-Pacific, 2016-2022
  • Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, developed Asia-Pacific, 2016-2022
  • Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, developed Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 7: Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, developed Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Australia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, Australia, 2012-2022
  • Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Australia
  • Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Hong Kong, 2012-2022
  • Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Hong Kong, 2012-2022
  • Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Hong Kong
  • Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Japan, 2012-2022
  • Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Japan, 2012-2022
  • Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Japan
  • Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Singapore, 2012-2022
  • Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Singapore, 2012-2022
  • Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Singapore
  • Figure 20: Fixed penetration rates by service type, South Korea, 2012-2022
  • Figure 21: Fixed ASPU by service type, South Korea, 2012-2022
  • Figure 22: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, South Korea
  • Figure 23: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Taiwan, 2012-2022
  • Figure 24: Fixed ASPU by service type, Taiwan, 2012-2022
  • Figure 25: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Taiwan
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