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Market Research Report

Mobile Services Worldwide: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 based on 2Q and 3Q 2017 Data

Published by Analysys Mason Product code 654975
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Mobile Services Worldwide: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 based on 2Q and 3Q 2017 Data
Published: June 22, 2018 Content info: 22 Slides
Description

"Mobile retail revenue will account for 60% of the total fixed and mobile retail telecoms revenue worldwide by 2022; large disparities will continue between regions in terms of network coverage, service adoption and pricing of services."

This report examines key trends and drivers and provides comprehensive mobile telecoms market forecasts worldwide and for 8 individually modelled regions: including North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, developed Asia-Pacific, emerging Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for the worldwide telecoms markets and eight geographical regions
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for eight geographical regions
  • an overview of operator strategies and region-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-region comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Coverage

Geographical coverageKey performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
  • Developed Asia--Pacific (DVAP)
  • Emerging Asia--Pacific (EMAP)
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • North America (NA)
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
  • Western Europe (WE)

Connections
Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue
Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • 7. Executive summary
  • 8. Mobile handset data and next-generation access broadband services will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide
  • 9. Worldwide trends
  • 10. Worldwide: the number of mobile connections will continue to grow steadily, driven by service take-up in emerging Asia-Pacific
  • 11. Worldwide: increasing demand for data services, and the migration from prepaid to contract, will help to reduce the rate of decline in ARPU
  • 12. Worldwide: mobile retail revenue growth will continue, driven by increasing data service revenue
  • 13. Key mergers, acquisitions, and market entries [1/2]
  • 14. Key mergers, acquisitions, and market entries [2/2]
  • 15. Regional trends
  • 16. Central and Eastern Europe: price competition has declined and telecoms service revenue will increase during the forecast period
  • 17. Central and Eastern Europe: the widespread deployment of LTE infrastructure will support mobile revenue growth in CEE
  • 18. Emerging Asia-Pacific: total telecoms service revenue will increase to USD328 billion in 2022
  • 19. Emerging Asia-Pacific: most operators will focus on data monetisation over the forecast period
  • 20. Developed Asia-Pacific: total telecoms service revenue in DVAP will stabilise at around USD 190 billion in 2022
  • 21. Developed Asia-Pacific: operators continue to drive advances in technology, expecting to ease migration to OTT
  • 22. Latin America: the total revenue increase will continue, driven mostly by mobile handset and fixed broadband revenue growth
  • 23. Latin America: telecoms revenue will continue to growth despite pressure from competition and increasing market saturation
  • 24. Middle East and North Africa: mobile and fixed data services will drive revenue growth in the region
  • 25. Middle East and North Africa: data revenue will help offset the slowdown in revenue growth for legacy services
  • 26. North America: a declining US mobile market will prevent overall revenue growth
  • 27. North America: North America will be at the forefront of new technology adoption
  • 28. Sub-Saharan Africa: mobile and fixed data services will drive revenue growth, but mobile voice will continue to dominate
  • 29. Sub-Saharan Africa: growth rates for SIM penetration will drop to single digits in most markets
  • 30. Western Europe: overall revenue will remain relatively stable, with fixed broadband acting as the main source of fixed revenue growth
  • 31. Western Europe: the growth in mobile usage will be driven by technological upgrades and tariffing
  • 32. Methodology
  • 33. Our forecast models is supported by sound market knowledge
  • 34. Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 35. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 36. About the author
  • 37. About Analysys Mason
  • 38. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 39. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue, worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 2: Mobile connections by generation, worldwide (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 3: Mobile AROPU by type, worldwide (USD per month), 2012-2022
  • Figure 4: Contract share of mobile connections (excluding IoT), worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 5: Mobile data traffic per connection, worldwide (MB per month), 2012-2022
  • Figure 6: Mobile penetration by country, worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 7: Mobile ARPU by country, worldwide, 2012-2022
  • Figure 8a: Recent and upcoming market structure changes worldwide
  • Figure 8b: Recent and upcoming market structure changes worldwide
  • Figure 9: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 10: Mobile connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 11: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Central and Eastern Europe (USD per month), 2012-2022
  • Figure 13: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Emerging Asia-Pacific (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 14: Mobile connections by type, Emerging Asia-Pacific (billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 15: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Emerging Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Emerging Asia-Pacific (USD per month), 2012-2022
  • Figure 17: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Developed Asia-Pacific (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 18: Mobile connections by type, Developed Asia-Pacific (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 19: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Developed Asia-Pacific, 2012-2022
  • Figure 20: Mobile ARPU, Developed Asia-Pacific (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 21: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Latin America (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 22: Mobile connections by type, Latin America (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 23: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Latin America, 2012-2022
  • Figure 24: Mobile ARPU, Latin America (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 25: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Middle East and North Africa (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 26: Mobile connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 27: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 28: Mobile ARPU, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 29: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, North America (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 30: Mobile connections by type, North America (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 31: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, North America, 2012-2022
  • Figure 32: Mobile ARPU, North America (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 33: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue,
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 34: Mobile connections by type, Sub-Saharan Africa (billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 35: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2012-2022
  • Figure 36: Mobile ARPU, Sub-Saharan Africa (million), 2011-2022
  • Figure 37: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Western Europe (USD billion), 2012-2022
  • Figure 38: Mobile connections by type, Western Europe (million), 2012-2022
  • Figure 39: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Western Europe, 2012-2022
  • Figure 40: Mobile ARPU, Wester Europe (million), 2012-2022
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