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Market Research Report

Fixed Services Worldwide: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024

Published by Analysys Mason Product code 926035
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Fixed Services Worldwide: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024
Published: February 18, 2020 Content info: 14 Slides
Description

"North America will be the only region with significant fixed broadband ASPU growth between 2019 and 2024 due to the high level of competition elsewhere."

This report examines key trends and drivers and provides comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecasts worldwide and for eight individually modelled regions: North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, developed Asia-Pacific, emerging Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the worldwide telecoms markets and eight geographical regions
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for eight geographical regions
  • an overview of operator strategies and region-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-region comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

DATA COVERAGE

  Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other
  Fixed revenue
  • Service revenue, retail revenue
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
  Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
  ASPU
  • Fixed ASPU
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • 5. Executive summary
  • 6. Executive summary
  • 7. Worldwide trends
  • 8. Market overview: growth in the total fixed retail revenue will be driven by rising fixed broadband penetration in developing markets
  • 9. The FTTP/B share of fixed broadband connections will increase from 56% in 2019 to 64% in 2024
  • 10. North America will be the only region with significant fixed broadband ASPU growth due to its limited market competition
  • 11. Fixed broadband penetration will continue to grow in developing regions; operators in developed markets will focus on the consumer experience
  • 12. Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries
  • 13. Regional trends
  • 14. Western Europe: only the fixed broadband market offers potential for significant revenue growth
  • 15. Central and Eastern Europe: total revenue growth will be driven by increasing fixed broadband coverage
  • 16. Emerging Asia Pacific rising levels of competition and regulatory pressure will limit the growth in fixed broadband ASPU
  • 17. Developed Asia Pacific: fixed broadband and business services revenue will grow, but not by enough to offset declines in legacy services
  • 18. Middle East and North Africa: the fast adoption of fixed broadband will help to maintain service revenue growth
  • 19. Sub Saharan Africa: the number of fixed broadband connections will more than double from 2018 to 2024, but penetration will remain low
  • 20. Latin America: fixed broadband revenue will account for the majority of the total telecoms retail revenue, driven by expansions in network coverage
  • 21. North America: fixed broadband will be the main driver of the total telecoms revenue growth, thanks to growth in both ARPU and household penetration
  • 22. Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 23. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
  • 24. Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 25. About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 26. About the author
  • 27. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 28. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 29. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, worldwide, 2014--2024
  • Figure 2: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type and mobile ARPU, worldwide (USD billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, worldwide, 2014--2024
  • Figure 4: Fixed connections by type, worldwide (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 5: Broadband connections by technology, worldwide (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 6: Fixed retail revenue by service, worldwide (USD billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 7: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, worldwide, 2014--2024
  • Figure 8: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, worldwide (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 9: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, worldwide, 2014--2024
  • Figure 10: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, worldwide, 2014--2024
  • Figure 11: Recent and upcoming market structure changes worldwide
  • Figure 12: Broadband connections by technology, Western Europe (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 13: Fixed connections by type, Western Europe (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 14: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 15: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 16: Broadband connections by technology, emerging Asia--Pacific (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 17: Fixed connections by type, emerging Asia--Pacific (billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, developed Asia--Pacific (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 19: Fixed connections by type, developed Asia--Pacific (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 20: Broadband connections by technology, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 21: Fixed connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 22: Broadband connections by technology, Sub-Saharan Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 23: Fixed connections by type, Sub-Saharan Africa (billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 24: Broadband connections by technology, Latin America (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 25: Fixed connections by type, Latin America (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 26: Broadband connections by technology, North America (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 27: Fixed connections by type, North America (million), 2014--2024
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