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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1452888

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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1452888

Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2023-2028

PUBLISHED:
PAGES: 69 Slides
DELIVERY TIME: 1-2 business days
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"Inflation-driven price rises may support increases in fixed and mobile ARPU, but competition will make it difficult to grow ARPU above the level of inflation."

Challenges related to low economic growth and high inflation will continue to affect telecoms revenue in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). In this report we discuss the key topics that will influence the CEE market between 2023 and 2028.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of over 360 mobile and fixed KPIs for CEE, as a whole and for 16 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for the key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage:

Region modelled

  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)

Countries modelled individually

  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Montenegro
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Serbia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine


Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • business, residential
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
  • business, residential
  • dedicated connections
  • penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • residential, business
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT connectivity

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • voice: narrowband, VoBB
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
  • business, residential

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
  • business, residential

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • business, residential
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
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Jeroen Van Heghe

Manager - EMEA

+32-2-535-7543

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Christine Sirois

Manager - Americas

+1-860-674-8796

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