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Market Research Report

The Global Wireless M2M Market - 7th Edition

Published by BERG Insight Product code 236915
Published Content info 260 Pages
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The Global Wireless M2M Market - 7th Edition
Published: December 21, 2015 Content info: 260 Pages
Description

A complete set of two unique reports - offering in-depth analysis and unique insights into the global wireless M2M/IoT market on 310 pages.

This package comprises the following titles:

  • THE GLOBAL M2M/IOT COMMUNICATIONS MARKET
  • WIRELESS IOT CONNECTIVITY TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: THE GLOBAL M2M/IOT COMMUNICATIONS MARKET

Berg Insight estimates that the global number of cellular M2M subscribers increased by 23 percent during 2015 to reach 265.2 million at the end of the year - corresponding to around 3 percent of all mobile subscribers. Until 2020, the number of cellular M2M subscribers is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.9 percent to reach 744.2 million at the end of the period. During the same period, cellular M2M network revenues are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 23.3 percent from € 8.0 billion in 2015 to approximately €22.8 billion in 2020. Meanwhile the monthly ARPU is expected to remain stable at around €2.50.

East Asia was the largest region, closely followed by Western Europe and North America. Altogether they accounted for around 76 percent of the global cellular M2M subscriber base at the end of 2015. Until 2020, the relative share of the regions is expected to decrease slightly as adoption takes off in other parts of the world. At the end of 2015, East Asia was the largest regional market with 90.4 million cellular M2M subscribers, growing 25 percent yearon- year. Western Europe came second with 59.0 million M2M subscribers and 21 percent year-on-year growth. North America ranked third with 52.5 million cellular M2M subscribers, and a year-on-year growth rate of 24 percent. Among individual countries, China was clearly number one with around 70 million M2M subscribers, ahead of the US with approximately 50 million M2M subscribers. The combined size of the EU+EFTA market was around 64 million M2M subscribers.

Berg Insight believes that M2M/IoT has reached a stage of early maturity where a number of players have capitalised on envisioned opportunities to develop substantial new businesses. At the beginning of 2015, the ten largest mobile operators in the M2M market had an estimated combined subscriber base of 164.3 million and year-on-year growth rates of 15-35 percent. China Mobile has an exceptional market position, as the dominant player in the domestic mobile industry. At the end of Q1-2015, the M2M subscriber base was an estimated 46.2 million. Vodafone and AT&T are the top international market players with their respective main bases in Europe and North America. The groups were head-to-head in terms of volume with over 21 million M2M subscribers each. China Unicom and Verizon Wireless were other top five players with 13-14 million connections each. Telefónica, Softbank/Sprint, Deutsche Telekom, Telenor and America Móvil were other top ten players with 8-12 million M2M subscribers each. A common characteristic for them all is that they are multi-regional operations across Europe, the Americas or Asia-Pacific.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: WIRELESS IOT CONNECTIVITY TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS

Berg Insight estimates that 5.9 billion products with embedded microprocessors were sold worldwide in 2014. IoT is about networking these products as well as new device categories that can benefit from connectivity. Consumer products account for the vast majority of devices with embedded connectivity. Small appliances account for a third of the volume or roughly 2.0 billion units. Other top five categories are toys 1.0 billion, home entertainment 0.8 billion, HVAC equipment and controls 0.4 billion and home appliances 0.3 billion. Utility meters and motor vehicles are other significant categories with 0.2 billion and 0.1 billion units respectively.

Berg Insight firmly believes that the main growth segments in the IoT market until 2020 will be established products which sell in significant volumes and incorporate some form of microprocessor technology. Devices and things that do not have any form of digital intelligence today may only represent significant opportunities in the longer term, as greenfield applications normally need considerable time to reach maturity. Consumer oriented products will dominate in terms of volume as few industrial or enterprise products are produced in very large quantities. Potential exceptions are smart infrastructure (e.g. smart cities and intelligent traffic systems) and smart agriculture. Governments and local authorities may propose the deployment of massive sensor networks for resource management, security, safety, environment, traffic and other needs. Such projects will however inevitably become highly complex, expensive, controversial and difficult to implement. The likelihood for any project announced in 2016 to become fully implemented by 2020 is therefore close to zero. Smart agriculture falls into the same category. Some best practices for improved efficiency in the farming and forestry industries using connected sensors will be developed until the end of this decade. Implementing them at full scale will however take several decades and requires massive financial support from governments.

Berg Insight has identified six primary segments that are mainly consumer related and meet the mentioned criteria: energy meters, automotive, home appliances, HVAC equipment & controls, home entertainment and lighting. Moreover, connected wearables are by definition included among the major application categories. The diversity of the market is reflected in the fragmentation among IoT networking technologies due to the broad variety of application environments, communication needs and cost constraints. IoT comprises everything from premium cars with the computing power of hundreds of microprocessors powered by an engine to low-cost sensors based on basic microcontrollers running on coin-cell batteries. One size does not fit all and therefore fragmentation will remain.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

THE GLOBAL M2M/IOT COMMUNICATIONS MARKET

  • Table of Contents
  • List of Figures
  • Executive summary

1. M2M/IoT networking and technologies

  • 1.1. Cellular M2M/IoT from 2G to 4G and beyond
    • 1.1.1. 2G/3G mobile networks
    • 1.1.2. 4G mobile networks
    • 1.1.3. LTE-M and NB-IOT
    • 1.1.4. LPWA and satellite networks
    • 1.1.5. Cellular and LPWA technologies and the IoT market
  • 1.2. IoT devices in cellular networks
    • 1.2.1. Cellular IoT modules and hardware
    • 1.2.2. SIM solutions and embedded UICC
    • 1.2.3. IoT connectivity management platforms
    • 1.2.4. IoT application enablement platforms
  • 1.3. International coverage and alliances
    • 1.3.1. Roaming and international coverage
    • 1.3.2. Mobile operator alliances

2. Europe

  • 2.1. Regional market trends
    • 2.1.1. Western Europe
    • 2.1.2. Regional market trends in Western Europe
    • 2.1.3. Central Eastern Europe and Russia & CIS
  • 2.2. Mobile operators
    • 2.2.1. Vodafone
    • 2.2.2. Deutsche Telekom
    • 2.2.3. Telefónica
    • 2.2.4. Orange
    • 2.2.5. Telenor
    • 2.2.6. 3. Group Europe
    • 2.2.7. Belgacom
    • 2.2.8. EE
    • 2.2.9. KPN
    • 2.2.10. MTS
    • 2.2.11. SFR
    • 2.2.12. Telecom Italia
    • 2.2.13. Swisscom
    • 2.2.14. Telekom Austria
    • 2.2.15. TeliaSonera
    • 2.2.16. Tele2
    • 2.2.17. CDMA/LTE networks for the 450 MHz band
  • 2.3. M2M managed service providers
    • 2.3.1. Wireless Logic
    • 2.3.2. Sierra Wireless - Wireless Maingate and MobiquiThings
    • 2.3.3. Telit
    • 2.3.4. Cubic Telecom
    • 2.3.5. Stream Technologies
  • 2.4. LPWA networks
    • 2.4.1. Sigfox and network partners
    • 2.4.2. LoRa networks

3. The Americas

  • 3.1. Regional market trends
    • 3.1.1. United States and Canada
    • 3.1.2. Brazil
    • 3.1.3. Rest of Latin America
  • 3.2. Mobile operators
    • 3.2.1. AT&T
    • 3.2.2. Verizon
    • 3.2.3. Sprint
    • 3.2.4. T-Mobile USA
    • 3.2.5. Rogers Communications
    • 3.2.6. Bell Canada
    • 3.2.7. América Móvil
    • 3.2.8. Vivo and Telefónica Latin America
    • 3.2.9. Other mobile operators in Latin America
  • 3.3. M2M managed service providers
    • 3.3.1. Aeris Communications
    • 3.3.2. KORE Telematics
    • 3.3.3. Numerex
    • 3.3.4. Wyless
  • 3.4. LPWA networks
  • 3.5. Satellite networks
    • 3.5.1. Orbcomm
    • 3.5.2. Iridium
    • 3.5.3. Inmarsat
    • 3.5.4. Globalstar

4. Asia-Pacific

  • 4.1. Regional market trends
    • 4.1.1. China
    • 4.1.2. Japan and South Korea
    • 4.1.3. Australia and New Zealand
    • 4.1.4. Southeast Asia
    • 4.1.5. India and South Asia
  • 4.2. Mobile operators
    • 4.2.1. China Mobile
    • 4.2.2. China Unicom
    • 4.2.3. China Telecom
    • 4.2.4. Softbank
    • 4.2.5. NTT Docomo
    • 4.2.6. KDDI
    • 4.2.7. SK Telecom
    • 4.2.8. SingTel
    • 4.2.9. Axiata
    • 4.2.10. Telstra

5. Middle East & Africa

  • 5.1. Regional market trends
    • 5.1.1. Middle East
    • 5.1.2. Africa
  • 5.2. Mobile operators
    • 5.2.1. Etisalat
    • 5.2.2. FastNet
    • 5.2.3. Ooredoo
    • 5.2.4. MTN
    • 5.2.5. Turkcell
    • 5.2.6. Vodacom

6. Market forecasts and trends

  • 6.1. Geographic markets
    • 6.1.1. Global market summary
    • 6.1.2. Europe
    • 6.1.3. North America
    • 6.1.4. Latin America
    • 6.1.5. Asia-Pacific
    • 6.1.6. Middle East & Africa
  • 6.2. Vertical markets
    • 6.2.1. Connected cars is becoming a global phenomenon
    • 6.2.2. International consolidation and growth in the fleet management industry
    • 6.2.3. Insurance and finance drive demand for consumer aftermarket telematics
    • 6.2.4. Nationwide smart metering rollouts behind growth in the utilities sector
    • 6.2.5. POS-terminals is a key application category in emerging markets
  • 6.3. Technology trends
    • 6.3.1. LTE set to become the future network platform for cellular M2M
    • 6.3.2. Massive interest in emerging LPWA technologies...
    • 6.3.3. ...but will NB-IOT kill the market?
  • 6.4. Industry trends
    • 6.4.1. M2M/IoT finally becomes a substantial business for mobile operators
    • 6.4.2. M2M managed service providers continue to grow and consolidate
    • 6.4.3. Operators in search for an optimal business model for M2M/IoT
    • 6.4.4. Market co-opetition requires carefully balanced strategies
    • 6.4.5. International cellular M2M connectivity remains a challenge
  • Glossary

List of Figures

  • Figure 1.1: Comparison of LTE-family cellular technologies
  • Figure 1.2: Comparison of LPWA and satellite technologies
  • Figure 1.3: Cost comparison for IoT technologies (2015)
  • Figure 1.4: Examples of cellular IoT modules
  • Figure 1.5: Top wireless module vendors, by revenues and shipments (World 2014)
  • Figure 1.6: Comparison of SIM form factors
  • Figure 1.7: Mobile operators supporting GSMA Embedded SIM, by region (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 1.8: IoT connectivity platform selection by mobile operator (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 1.9: Application platform and mobile operator partnerships (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 1.10: Mobile operator M2M alliances (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 2.1: Mobile operators in Western Europe by M2M subscriber base (Q4-2014)
  • Figure 2.2: Europe M2M connectivity market data (Q4-2014)
  • Figure 2.3: France cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 2.4: UK cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2014)
  • Figure 2.5: Germany cellular M2M market connectivity data (2014-2015)
  • Figure 2.6: Spain & Portugal cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 2.7: Benelux cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 2.8: Nordics cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 2.9: Telefónica M2M subscribers by country (2014-2015)
  • Figure 2.10: Financial data for Telenor Connexion (2010-2014)
  • Figure 2.11: Sigfox network partners in Europe (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 2.12: Planned LoRa network rollouts in Europe (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 3.1: The Americas M2M connectivity market data (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 3.2: US cellular M2M market connectivity data (2012-2015)
  • Figure 3.3: Brazil cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 3.4: Estimated number of M2M subscribers in Latin America ex. Brazil (H1-2015)
  • Figure 3.5: Telefónica M2M subscribers in Latin America by country (2013-2015)
  • Figure 3.6: Satellite network operators by M2M subscriber base (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 4.1: Asia-Pacific M2M connectivity market data (2014/2015)
  • Figure 4.2: Japan cellular M2M market connectivity data (2012-2015)
  • Figure 4.3: M2M subscribers by application category (South Korea, August 2015)
  • Figure 5.1: Turkey cellular M2M market connectivity data (2013-2015)
  • Figure 6.1: Key regional markets for cellular M2M (Q1-2015)
  • Figure 6.2: Cellular M2M subscriber forecast, by region (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.3: Cellular M2M network revenue forecast, by region (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.4: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Europe 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.5: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (North America 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.6: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Latin America 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.7: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (Asia-Pacific 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.8: Cellular M2M communication market forecast (MEA 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.9: Cellular M2M communication market forecast, by vertical (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.10: OEM telematics attach rates in new vehicles, by region (2015/2020)
  • Figure 6.11: Top 25 international providers of fleet management solutions (2015)
  • Figure 6.12: POS-terminal installed base in key emerging markets (World 2014)
  • Figure 6.13: Cellular IoT device shipments, by network technology (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 6.14: Top 10 mobile operators by M2M subscriber base (World Q1-2015)
  • Figure 6.15: Quarterly M2M/IoT revenue estimates for major operators (Q3-2015)
  • Figure 6.16: Top 5 M2M managed service providers by subscriber base (Q4-2015)

WIRELESS IOT CONNECTIVITY TECHNOLOGIES AND MARKETS

  • Table of Contents
  • List of Figures
  • Executive summary

1. Embedded systems and the Internet of Things

  • 1.1. Introduction to embedded systems
    • 1.1.1. Market figures and key segments
    • 1.1.2. Technology trends
    • 1.1.3. Business and adoption trends
  • 1.2. Embedded application environments
    • 1.2.1. Embedded hardware and chipsets
    • 1.2.2. Embedded software and applications
    • 1.2.3. End-to-end application platforms and solutions
  • 1.3. Embedded connectivity and the Internet of Things

2. Wireless IoT connectivity technologies

  • 2.1. Wireless technologies and standards
    • 2.1.1. International standard organisations
    • 2.1.2. Network architectures
    • 2.1.3. Unlicensed and licensed frequency bands
  • 2.2. Cellular technologies
    • 2.2.1. 2G/3G networks
    • 2.2.2. 4G networks
    • 2.2.3. LTE-M and NB-IOT
  • 2.3. LPWA and satellite technologies
    • 2.3.1. Proprietary and semi-proprietary LPWA technologies
    • 2.3.2. LoRa
    • 2.3.3. Sigfox
    • 2.3.4. Ingenu
    • 2.3.5. Wi-SUN
    • 2.3.6. Weightless
    • 2.3.7. Satellite technologies
  • 2.4. WLAN/WPAN technologies
    • 2.4.1. Wi-Fi
    • 2.4.2. Bluetooth
    • 2.4.3. ZigBee
    • 2.4.4. WirelessHART
    • 2.4.5. Thread
    • 2.4.6. Z-Wave
    • 2.4.7. ULE
    • 2.4.8. DSRC

3. Semiconductor companies and module vendors

  • 3.1. Semiconductor industry players
    • 3.1.1. ARM Holdings
    • 3.1.2. Intel
    • 3.1.3. Qualcomm
    • 3.1.4. Atmel
    • 3.1.5. Broadcom
    • 3.1.6. Cypress
    • 3.1.7. Dialog Semiconductor
    • 3.1.8. Marvell
    • 3.1.9. Mediatek
    • 3.1.10. Microchip
    • 3.1.11. NXP Semiconductors
    • 3.1.12. Renesas
    • 3.1.13. Samsung Electronics
    • 3.1.14. STMicroelectronics
    • 3.1.15. Texas Instruments
    • 3.1.16. Toshiba Semiconductors
    • 3.1.17. Altair Semiconductors
    • 3.1.18. GreenPeak Technologies
    • 3.1.19. Nordic Semiconductor
    • 3.1.20. SemTech
    • 3.1.21. Sequans Communications
    • 3.1.22. Silicon Labs
  • 3.2. Cellular M2M/IoT module vendors
    • 3.2.1. Sierra Wireless
    • 3.2.2. Gemalto M2M
    • 3.2.3. Telit
    • 3.2.4. u-blox
    • 3.2.5. SIMCom
    • 3.2.6. Quectel
    • 3.2.7. Huawei
    • 3.2.8. ZTE WeLink
    • 3.2.9. Fibocom
    • 3.2.10. Other cellular module vendors
  • 3.3. WLAN/WPAN M2M/IoT module vendors
    • 3.3.1. Adeunis RF
    • 3.3.2. Advantech
    • 3.3.3. Bluegiga
    • 3.3.4. Digi International
    • 3.3.5. GainSpan
    • 3.3.6. Ingenu
    • 3.3.7. Laird Technologies
    • 3.3.8. Lantronix
    • 3.3.9. Linear Technology
    • 3.3.10. Murata
    • 3.3.11. NWave Technologies
    • 3.3.12. Radiocrafts
    • 3.3.13. Sigma Designs
    • 3.3.14. Silex Technology

4. Key vertical markets

  • 4.1. Automotive & Industrial
    • 4.1.1. OEM automotive
    • 4.1.2. Aftermarket automotive
    • 4.1.3. Industrial automation
  • 4.2. Infrastructure
    • 4.2.1. Smart grids
    • 4.2.2. Smart cities
    • 4.2.3. Intelligent traffic systems
  • 4.3. Consumer & Home
    • 4.3.1. IoT platforms for the consumer market
    • 4.3.2. Smart homes and building automation
    • 4.3.3. Consumer electronics, small appliances and toys

5. Market analysis and forecasts

  • 5.1. IoT market analysis
    • 5.1.1. Insights from the US IoT market
    • 5.1.2. Market positioning of major network technologies
  • 5.2. Cellular technologies
    • 5.2.1. Cellular IoT device shipments
    • 5.2.2. Vertical markets
    • 5.2.3. Regional markets
    • 5.2.4. Technology standards
  • 5.3. LPWA technologies
  • 5.4. WLAN/WPAN technologies
  • Glossary

List of Figures

  • Figure 1.1: Examples of MPU architectures
  • Figure 1.2: Microcontroller revenues and market share by vendor (World 2013)
  • Figure 1.3: Examples of embedded operating systems and memory requirements
  • Figure 2.1: Unlicensed and reserved radio frequencies available for wireless IoT
  • Figure 2.2: Comparison of LTE-family cellular technologies
  • Figure 2.3: Comparison of LPWA and satellite technologies
  • Figure 2.4: Major LPWA technology platforms for smart metering (2014)
  • Figure 2.5: Overview of the LoRa wide area network architecture
  • Figure 3.1: Top ten semiconductor vendors by revenue (World 2014)
  • Figure 3.2: Overview of the mbed ecosystem
  • Figure 3.3: Overview of the Intel IoT platform
  • Figure 3.4: Qualcomm IoT/M2M cellular module vendor licensees (June 2015)
  • Figure 3.5: Top wireless module vendors, by M2M sales and shipments (World 2014)
  • Figure 3.6: Sierra Wireless embedded modules and terminals (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.7: Gemalto M2M embedded modules and terminals (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.8: Telit embedded wireless modules (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.9: u-blox embedded wireless modules (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.10: SIMCom embedded wireless modules (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.11: Quectel embedded wireless modules (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 3.12: Huawei embedded wireless modules (Q2-2015)
  • Figure 4.1: Motor vehicle production, by region and country (World 2014)
  • Figure 4.2: Motor vehicle sales by market (2014)
  • Figure 4.3: Estimated number of vehicles in use (World 2013)
  • Figure 4.4: Smart meter penetration in key markets (2013/2023)
  • Figure 4.5: Installed base of smart electricity meters by technology (EU/US 2013-2020)
  • Figure 4.6: HVAC market estimates (World 2014)
  • Figure 4.7: Installed base of smart thermostats (Europe/North America 2014-2020)
  • Figure 4.8: Top providers of monitored security alarms (World 2015)
  • Figure 4.9: Connected wearables shipments by region (World 2013-2019)
  • Figure 4.10: Global small appliances unit sales (2013)
  • Figure 5.1: Estimated shipments of microprocessor powered products (World 2014)
  • Figure 5.2: Primary market segments for consumer-related IoT (US 2014)
  • Figure 5.3: Cost comparison for IoT technologies (2015)
  • Figure 5.4: Main wireless technologies for major IoT segments
  • Figure 5.5: Cellular IoT device shipment forecast, by region (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.6: Cellular IoT device revenue forecast, by region (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.7: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.8: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (Europe 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.9: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (North America 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.10: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (Latin America 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.11: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (Asia-Pacific 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.12: Cellular IoT device market forecast, by vertical (MEA 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.13: Cellular IoT device shipments, by network technology (World 2014-2020)
  • Figure 5.14: LPWA IoT device shipments (World 2014-2020)
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