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Market Research Report

China Hog Industry and Investment Analysis Report (2017/2018)

Published by Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultants Ltd. Product code 658952
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China Hog Industry and Investment Analysis Report (2017/2018)
Published: March 15, 2018 Content info: 119 Pages
Description

Research Background

Based on continuous accumulation of data, persistent tracking on industrial changes and in-depth researches for more than 20 years, BOABC will provide you with a valuable analysis report on investment and overall situation of hog industry and investment.

In 2017, hog prices decline, but hog industry remains hot and will usher in its golden time. Environmental protection policy accelerates supply-side reform, and large groups speed up layout in hog industry.

1. Hog prices fluctuate down in 2017, the profit of the whole year is about 300 yuan less than last year, and industry prosperity is high.

Hog prices declined to 13yuan/kg now from 18yuan/kg at the beginning of 2017 after high prices and high profit for more than one year. Farmers who purchase piglets for fattening suffered some losses intermittently. It's predicted that hog prices will continue to decline in 2018, and or will rebound at the end of 2018.

2. For environmental protection, hog industry cuts down capacity and optimizes farming structure

The year of 2017 is the deadline of closing or removing farms in breeding-prohibiting area. So far, about 213,000 livestock farms have been closed or removed nationwide, and hog capacity has decreased about 32 million head across the whole year. Except Sichuan and Hunan haven't announced the accurate time of finishing removal and Guangxi will complete the removal at the end of 2018, other provinces and municipalities all will finish this job before the end of 2017.

Optimization of hog farming structure: a large number of small farmers exit from the market, backward capacity is eliminated, hog industry realizes transformation and optimization, and the proportion of scale farming (with more than 50 sows on hand) has reached 58.55% in 2017. All these changes are good for the expansion of scale enterprises and the rapid development of regional leading enterprises, and will drive sound development of hog industry.

3. Hog supply is tightly balanced with demand, and imported pork makes an effective supplement for domestic market.

Domestic pork consumption was stable relatively, and saw little change in 2017. Due to the removing of farms in farming-prohibited area in domestic, hog production capacity reduced to some extent, and pork supply was tightly balanced. The total annual pork imports were 1.22 million tons.The imports decreased somewhat compared with last year but still kept at a higher level historically.

4. There are increasingly integration opportunities in hog industry, large enterprises accelerate investments, and the concentration rate is rising slowly.

Besides major hog farming groups such as Wens, Truein, Muyuan and others accelerate expansion in 2017, and many large-scale feed enterprises like New Hope, Zhengbang Group, Da Bei Nong, Wellhope Agri-Tech extended their industrial chain to farming and scramble to seize resources.

The Groups release hog production capacity and realize sharp year-on-year growth in sales volume. Hog production of five enterprises including Wens, Muyuan, C.p group, Zhengbang and Truein was 36.71 million head in the 2017, up 31.23% year on year. Wens, Muyuan and C.p group respectively increased 11.18%, 132.34% and 50% year on year in terms of hog sales volume.

The report will make in-depth research on the development trend of domestic hog industry and the operation models of major enterprises and conclude the investment trends of domestic enterprises and capital to assist enterprises, capital and insiders to grasp the moving tendency and investment opportunities and determine suitable development mode and resources needing integration.

Table of Contents
Product Code: BOABC 197

Table of Contents

Research Background

Part One - Analysis and Forecast on Global Pork Market

1. Global Pork Production Change and Regional Production Layout

  • 1.1. Global pork supply rebounded slightly
  • 1.2. Pork production layout and concentration rate
  • 1.3. Forecast on global pork production changes in the future

2. Global Import and Export Trade of Pork

  • 2.1. Changes in global export volume of pork
  • 2.2. Changes in concentration rate and export volume of main pork exporting countries
  • 2.3. Changes in global import volume of pork
  • 2.4. Changes in concentration rate and import volume of main pork importing countries
  • 2.5. Forecast on pork import and export trade changes in the future

3. Global Pork Consumption

  • 3.1. Characteristics of pork consumption in different regions
  • 3.2. Changes in pork consumption in different regions and countries
  • 3.3. Forecast on global pork consumption changes

4. Analysis of Pork Industry in Main Pork Producing Countries

  • 4.1. American hog farming industry
    • 4.1.1. Farming mode
    • 4.1.2. Production situation analysis
    • 4.1.3. Analysis of export competitiveness of pork
  • 4.2. Hog farming industry in EU
    • 4.2.1. Farming mode
    • 4.2.2. Production situation analysis
    • 4.2.3. Analysis of export competitiveness of pork
  • 4.3. Hog farming industry in Japan
    • 4.3.1. Farming mode
    • 4.3.2. Production situation analysis
    • 4.3.3. Japan is a net importer

5. World-famous enterprise: Smithfield Foods

  • 5.1. Basic profile
  • 5.2. Business model
  • 5.3. Key competitive elements: M&A and low cost create the leading position in the industry

Part Two - Analysis and forecast on China's hog industry

1. China's hog farming

  • 1.1. Relevant policies for hog farming
    • 1.1.1. China Hog Production Development Plan
    • 1.1.2. China newly introduced "Environmental Protection Tax Law"
  • 1.2. Inventory of reproductive sows and hogs both decreased, and pork production rose.
  • 1.3. Hog farming distribution shifts to the Northeast and the Southwest
  • 1.4. The degree of hog scale farming reached 58.55%
  • 1.5. Production models
    • 1.5.1. Hog farming models in China
    • 1.5.2. Large-scale integrated model has the characteristic of heavy assets, so it's hard to copy
    • 1.5.3. "Company+farmer" model has strong reproducibility and suits China's basic conditions
  • 1.6. Hog prices dropped, and farming profits declined
  • 1.7. TOP ten pig breeding enterprises in China and their market shares
  • 1.8. Forecast on development trend of China's hog farming industry in 2018

2. Hog slaughtering and deep processing in China

  • 2.1. Relevant policies for hog slaughtering industry: sewage permit license has been launched, and the environmental protection policy in slaughter industry has been increased further
  • 2.2. There are numerous pig slaughterhouses in China, and the market is highly fragmented
  • 2.3. Number of hogs slaughtered in designated slaughterhouses sharply increased
  • 2.4. The gross profit of slaughtering industry increased over the previous year
  • 2.5. Actual slaughter volume of top 10 hog slaughtering and processing enterprises in domestic only accounted for 4.36% of the national slaughter
  • 2.6. Forecast on development trend of future hog slaughtering and deep processing industry

3. Pork trade in China

  • 3.1. Imports and exports of live pigs (including breeding pig)
    • 3.1.1. Sharp growth in import volume of breeding pigs
    • 3.1.2. Source countries of imported breeding pigs and importing enterprises
    • 3.1.3. Live pigs mainly were exported to Hong Kong and Macro, and the export volume saw little change
  • 3.2. Imports and exports of pork
    • 3.2.1. Pork imports
      • 3.2.1.1. Sharp decrease in import volume of fresh, chilled and frozen pork
      • 3.2.1.2. Import volume of fresh, chilled and frozen pork of top five importers accounted for 22% of the total imports
    • 3.2.2. Pork exports
      • 3.2.2.1. Export volume of chilled, fresh and frozen pork is small with Hong Kong and Macao as main destinations
      • 3.2.2.2. Export volume of top 5 chilled, fresh and frozen chicken exporters accounted for 55% of the total export volume
  • 3.3. Import and export of pork entrails
    • 3.3.1. Imports of entrails dropped slightly
    • 3.3.2. Imports of pig entrails
  • 3.4. Imports and exports of other main pork products
    • 3.4.1. Pork fat
    • 3.4.2. Lard
    • 3.4.3. Hog bristles and pig hair
    • 3.4.4. Salted pig casing and intestine head
  • 3.5. Trade of pork products
    • 3.5.1. Imports and exports of dried, smoked and salted pork
    • 3.5.2. Imports and exports of pork can and other prepared or preserved pork
  • 3.6. Pork smuggle and containment policy
  • 3.7. Influence of pork trade on domestic hog industry
  • 3.8. Forecast on China's import trend of pork in the future

4. Pork consumption in China

  • 4.1. Little change in pork consumption
  • 4.2. Urban and rural consumption structures of pork
  • 4.3. Consumption structure of pork in different ways
  • 4.4. Chinese pork prices
  • 4.5. Forecast on pork consumption changes in China

5. Pork circulation channel and profit in each link in China

  • 5.1. Policies for pork circulation
  • 5.2. Main circulation mode of pork
  • 5.3. Analysis of profit in each link

6. China pork supply and demand balance sheet

Part Three - Listed companies in domestic hog industry in 2017

1. Key hog farming enterprises in farming industry

  • 1.1. Wens Group
    • 1.1.1. Basic profile
    • 1.1.2. Hog farming business model
    • 1.1.3. Key competitive elements
    • 1.1.4. Investment trend
    • 1.1.5. Operation state analysis
  • 1.2. Muyuan
    • 1.2.1. Basic profile
    • 1.2.2. Hog farming business model
    • 1.2.3. Key competitive elements
    • 1.2.4. Investment trend
    • 1.2.5. Operation state analysis
  • 1.3. Truein
    • 1.3.1. Basic profile
    • 1.3.2. Hog farming business model
    • 1.3.3. Key competitive elements
    • 1.3.4. Investment trend
    • 1.3.5. Operation state analysis
  • 1.4. Hunan New Wellful Co., Ltd.
    • 1.4.1. Basic profile
    • 1.4.2. Hog farming business model
    • 1.4.3. Key competitive elements
    • 1.4.4. Investment trend
    • 1.4.5. Operation state analysis

2. Key hog farming enterprise in feed industry

  • 2.1. New Hope
    • 2.1.1. Basic profile
    • 2.1.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.1.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.1.4. Investment trend
    • 2.1.5. Operation state analysis
  • 2.2. Da Bei Nong
    • 2.2.1. Basic profile
    • 2.2.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.2.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.2.4. Investment trend
    • 2.2.5. Operation state analysis
  • 2.3. Zhengbang
    • 2.3.1. Basic profile
    • 2.3.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.3.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.3.4. Investment trend
    • 2.3.5. Operation state analysis
  • 2.4. Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co., Ltd.
    • 2.4.1. Basic profile
    • 2.4.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.4.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.4.4. Investment trend
    • 2.4.5. Operation state analysis
  • 2.5. TRS Group
    • 2.5.1. Basic profile
    • 2.5.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.5.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.5.4. Investment trend
    • 2.5.5. Operation state analysis
  • 2.6. Tech-Bank
    • 2.6.1. Basic profile
    • 2.6.2. Hog farming business model
    • 2.6.3. Key competitive elements
    • 2.6.4. Investment trend
    • 2.6.5. Operation state analysis

3. Key enterprises in the slaughtering industry

  • 3.1. Shineway Group: Leading Enterprise in Hog Slaughtering Industry
    • 3.1.1. Basic profile
    • 3.1.2. Operation state analysis
    • 3.1.3. Business model
    • 3.1.4. Key competitive elements
  • 3.2. Longda Meat:an integrated company of hog raising, slaughtering and processing
    • 3.2.1. Basic profile
    • 3.2.2. Operation state analysis
    • 3.2.3. Business model: integrated whole industry chain
    • 3.2.4. Key competitive elements

Part Four - Analysis of main investments in China's hog industry

1. Investment policy: a number of breeding subsidy policies were introduced to stimulate large-scale groups to accelerate industrial layout

2. Specific investment situation: the production capacity of enterprises increased more than 170 million head in 2017

3. Analysis of Development Prospect of China's Hog Industry

Figure contents

  • Fig 1.1: Global Pork Production,2010-2017
  • Fig 1.2: Distribution of Global Pork Production by Countries,2017
  • Fig 1.3: Global Pork Trade Volume and its proportion, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.4: Distribution of Distribution of Global Pork Exporters in 2017
  • Fig 1.5: Changes in global import volume of pork, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.6: Distribution of global pork importers, 2017
  • Fig 1.7: Global consumption of pork,2010-2017
  • Fig 1.8: Per capita consumption of pork in major countries, 2017
  • Fig 1.9: Hog farming models in the US
  • Fig 1.10: Inventory of Hogs and Reproductive Sows in the US, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.11: Pork production and hog slaughter in the US, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.12: Changes in pork export volume in the US, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.13: Major export destinations of American pork, 2017
  • Fig 1.14: Pork Production of Major EU countries, 2017
  • Fig 1.15: Inventory of hogs and reproductive sows in the EU, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.16: Pork Production and Hog Slaughterings in the EU, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.17: Changes in export volume of pork in EU, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.18: Inventory of hogs and reproductive sows in Japan, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.19: Pork production and hog slaughter in Japan, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.20: Self-sufficiency rate of pork in Japan
  • Fig 1.21: Changes in import volume of pork in Japan, 2010-2017
  • Fig 1.22: Major source countries of pork imported by Japan, 2017
  • Fig 1.23: Business Model of Smithfield Foods
  • Fig 1.24: Hog prices fluctuate greatly, but Smithfield Foods realized stable growth in operating revenue
  • Fig 2.1: Changes in monthly inventory of reproductive sows in China in 2017
  • Fig 2.2: China's inventory of reproductive sows, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.3: Changes in monthly inventory of hogs in China, 2017
  • Fig 2.4: Annual average inventory of hogs in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.5: China's Hog Slaughter, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.6: China's Pork Production, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.7: China Hog Farming Distribution Plan
  • Fig 2.8: Regional structure of China's hog inventory,2017
  • Fig 2.9: Scale Structure of Hog Slaughter in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.10: Scale structure of hog farming in China, 2017
  • Fig 2.11: Degree of Standardized Scale Farming of Hog in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.12: Hog farming models in China
  • Fig 2.13: Farming model of Muyuan
  • Fig 2.14: Analysis of profit points of Muyuan model
  • Fig 2.15: Complementary advantages of "company + farmer"
  • Fig 2.16: Monthly purchase price of hogs in China, 2012-2017
  • Fig 2.17: Hog farming costs in China, 2010-2016
  • Fig 2.18: Changes in hog farming benefit in China,2010-2017
  • Fig 2.19: Changes in hog farming benefit in China,2016-2017
  • Fig 2.20: Quantitative structure of designated hog slaughterhouses in China(by capacity),2017
  • Fig 2.21: Changes in monthly slaughter volume of hogs in China, 2017
  • Fig 2.22: Changes in sales revenue of hog slaughtering industry in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.23: Changes in gross profit of hog slaughtering industry in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.24: Trend of gross profit margin of hog slaughtering industry in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.25: China's import volume of breeding pig,2000-2017
  • Fig 2.26: Source countries of China's imported breeding pigs, 2017
  • Fig 2.27: China's import and export volume of fresh, chilled and frozen pork ;2010-2017
  • Fig 2.28: Importers of China's fresh frozen pork, 2017
  • Fig 2.29: Export destinations of China's chilled, fresh and frozen pork in 2017
  • Fig 2.30: China's import volume of entrails, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.31: Importers of China's entrails in 2017
  • Fig 2.32: China's import volume of other frozen entrails, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.33: China's import volume of frozen pig liver, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.34: China's export volume of hog bristles and pig hair, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.35: China's export volume of salted pig casing, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.36: Changes in imports of dried, smoked and salted pork in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.37: Changes in exports of dried, smoked and salted pork in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.38: Changes in imports of pork can and other prepared or preserved pork in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.39: Changes in exports of pork can and other prepared or preserved pork in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.40: Pork consumption in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.41: Pork per capita consumption in China ,2010-2017
  • Fig 2.42: Urban and rural structure of pork consumption in China ,2017
  • Fig 2.43: Consumption channels of pork in China ,2017
  • Fig 2.44: Monthly retail price of pork in China, 2010-2017
  • Fig 2.45: Changes in consumption trend of fresh pork
  • Fig 2.46: Sketch map of main pork distribution channels
  • Fig 2.47: Earnings Chart of China's Pork Wholesale
  • Fig 2.48: Earnings Chart of China's Pork Retail Sector
  • Fig 3.1: Equity structure of Wens Group
  • Fig 3.2: Wens hog business development model (company+farmer)
  • Fig 3.3: Wens Group's Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs , 2017
  • Fig 3.4: Equity structure of MUYUAN
  • Fig 3.5: The development mode of hogs of MUYUAN (integrated)
  • Fig 3.6: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.7: Business structure of Truein
  • Fig 3.8: Equity structure of Truein
  • Fig 3.9: Hog development mode of Truein (company+base+farmer)
  • Fig 3.10: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.11: Equity structure of New Wellful Co., Ltd.
  • Fig 3.12: Development model of New Wellful Co., Ltd. (Self-farming and commissioned farming)
  • Fig 3.13: Business structure of New Hope Liuhe
  • Fig 3.14: Equity structure of New Hope Liuhe
  • Fig 3.15: Hog development model of New Hope Liuhe (company + farmer)
  • Fig 3.16: Equity structure of Da Bei Nong
  • Fig 3.17: Hog development mode of Da Bei Nong (construction of farms + share holdings)
  • Fig 3.18: Equity structure of Zhengbang Group
  • Fig 3.19: Hog development model (breeding and raising hogs by itself)
  • Fig 3.20: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.21: Equity structure of Kingsino
  • Fig 3.22: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.23: Equity structure of TRS Group
  • Fig 3.24: Hog business development model (construction of farms + merger and acquisition + cooperation)
  • Fig 3.25: Equity structure of Tech-bank
  • Fig 3.26: Hog Development Model of Tech-Bank(self-built farm + M&A + hosting + family farm)
  • Fig 3.27: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.28: Corporate Relationship of Shuanghui Development
  • Fig 3.29: Gross operating revenue of Shuanghui Development
  • Fig 3.30: Business system of Shineway Group
  • Fig 3.31: Monthly sales volume and sales value of hogs, 2017
  • Fig 3.32: Slaughtering and processing business model of Longda (vertical integration mode)

Table contents

  • Table 1.1: Global Consumption of Pork, Chicken and Beef in 2017
  • Table 1.2: Pork Output of Major Producing Countries, 2016-2017
  • Table 1.3: Major pork exporting countries,2010-2017
  • Table 1.4: Major pork importing countries,2010-2017
  • Table 1.5: Changes in pork consumption in major countries (the data refers to domestic consumption), 2010-2017
  • Table 1.6: The Proportions of Hog Farming Models in the US and Ratios of Contracted Hogs
  • Table 2.1: Brief analysis of Wens business model
  • Table 2.2: Top ten pig breeding enterprises in China ,2017
  • Table 2.3: China's ten major hog slaughtering and processing enterprises
  • Table 2.4: Exports and market shares of China's major live pig traders in 2017
  • Table 2.5: Some import forms of chilled, fresh, frozen pork and the import volume in 2017
  • Table 2.6: China's major importers of chilled, fresh and frozen pork and their market shares in 2017
  • Table 2.7: Partial export forms and export volume of chilled, fresh and frozen pork in China, 2017
  • Table 2.8: China's major exporters of chilled, fresh and frozen pork and their market shares in 2017
  • Table 2.9: China's major importers of entrails and their market shares in 2017
  • Table 2.10: Main import and export forms of China's pork fat and import and export volume in 2017
  • Table 2.11: Main import and export forms of pork can and other prepared or preserved pork in China and import & export volume and value, 2017
  • Table 2.12: China's pork supply and demand balance sheet,2011-2017
  • Table 3.1: Wens' New Investment Projects in Hog Farming Industry in 2017
  • Table 3.2: Gross operating income of Wens Group, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.3: Hog business income of Wens Group, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.4: MUYUAN's new investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.5: Gross operating income of MUYUAN, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.6: Hog business revenue of MUYUAN, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.7: Gross operating revenue of Truein, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.8: Revenue of hog business of Truein, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.9: New investment projects in hog farming in 2017
  • Table 3.10: Gross operating revenue of New Wellful, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.11: Hog business revenue of New Wellful, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.12: New investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.13: Gross operating revenue of New Hope Liuhe, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.14: Hog business revenue, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.15: New investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.16: Gross operating revenue, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.17: Hog business revenue, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.18: New investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.19: Gross operating revenue, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.20: Hog business revenue 2014-2017
  • Table 3.21: New investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.22: Gross operating revenue, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.23: Gross operating revenue of TRS Group, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.24: Hog business income of TRS Group, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.25: New investment projects in hog farming industry in 2017
  • Table 3.26: Gross operating revenue of Tech-Bank, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.27: Hog business revenue of Tech-Bank, 2014-2017
  • Table 3.28: Slaughtering business of Shuanghui Development, 2012-2017
  • Table 3.29: Meat product business of Shuanghui Development, 2012-2017
  • Table 3.30: Gross operating revenue of Longda Meat, 2014-2017
  • Table 4.1: Newly Invested Projects in Hog Farming Industry in 2017
  • Attached list 1:Pork production in various regions of China, 2011-2017
  • Attached list 2: Hog inventory in various regions in China, 2011-2017
  • Attached list 3: Hog slaughter in various regions in China, 2011-2017
  • Attached list 4: China's monthly retail prices of animal products and feeds, 2017
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