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Human Centric Lighting Global Market Forecast 2021-2031

Published: | ElectroniCast | 335 Pages | Delivery time: 1-2 business days


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Human Centric Lighting Global Market Forecast 2021-2031
Published: June 23, 2022
Content info: 335 Pages
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
  • Description
  • Table of Contents
  • List of Tables

Human Centric Lighting, also sometimes referred to as Biodynamic Light or Circadian Lighting, is the next development stage in the evolution of lighting and luminaire design; this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants.

Human Centric Lighting (HCL) is aimed to mimic (closely imitate) the natural color of daylight, which stimulates the production of melatonin and serotonin which control the physical, mental and behavioral changes that follow a roughly 24-hour cycle, responding primarily to light and darkness in a person, or their circadian rhythm.

The module/device hardware covered in this market forecast data, are used for stationary/ fixed locations (non-vehicle) solid-state general lighting applications, however, vehicle use (automotive, aircraft and train for example) is also discussed in the text of the report.

The market data are segmented into the following regions; separate data-sections are provided for the following regions:

  • Global
    • America
      • U.S.A.
      • Rest of America
    • Europe, Middle East, Africa (EMEA)
    • Asia Pacific (APAC)

Market Forecast by HCL Product Hardware for Solid-State Lighting

ElectroniCast provides this market forecast for product hardware that are initially and primarily used with Human Centric Lighting (HCL) as the primary objective and initial consideration, as detailed in Table 1.

Light Engines

A light engine is the LED equivalent of a conventional lamp. It normally consists of a LED chip mounted on a circuit board that has electrical and mechanical fixings, meaning it is ready to be fixed in the luminaire. Note that the light engine may not consist of only one chip; it may be an array of several chips, sometimes with a phosphor coating. ElectroniCast includes the following in the Light Engine category: driver, array, and power supply; however, excludes external wiring harnesses.

Light Engine Driver segmentation

DALI Driver Control Interface - Digital Addressable Lighting Interface (DALI) is a trademark for network-based systems that control lighting in building automation. The underlying technology was established by a consortium of lighting equipment manufacturers as a successor for 0-10 V lighting control systems, and as an open standard alternative to Digital Signal Interface (DSI), on which it is based. DALI is specified by technical standards.

DMX Driver Control Interface - (Digital Multiplex) is a standard for digital communication networks. It was originally intended as a standardized method for controlling light dimmers, which, prior to DMX512, had employed various incompatible proprietary protocols.

Other or Proprietary - Other control interface units, which are not DALI or DMX-based.

Lighting Management

Sensors - Typically, lighting control sensors features include motion detection, light- level detection and IR receive (remote controlling). Each of these features can be operated at the same time, allowing automation scenarios such as turning on the lights after detecting motion and then dimming the lighting level once the available sunlight has been measured, thereby providing additional energy savings.

Color Control, Digital Dimming and Switches Control Units - These control capabilities are provided in separate stand-alone or combined units.

Table 1

Human Centric Lighting Product Categories

  • Light Engine / Lamp - Module
  • Lighting Management - Modules / Devices (DALI / DMX / Other)
    • Control Units / Dimming / Switches
    • Standalone / Luminaire LED Driver Modules
    • Standalone Sensors / Other

Note: Software is discussed in this report; however, software values are not counted in the market data.

Market Forecast, By Function

This report provides the 2021-2031 market data review and forecast by the following functions:

  • Consumption Value (US$, million)
  • Quantity (number/units)
  • Average Selling Prices (ASP $, per unit)

The consumption (use) value is determined by multiplying the number of lighting units by the average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The average selling prices are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the product at the initial factory level. These are the original manufacturer's ("factory") prices invoiced to the first (original) customer, or transfer prices for internal (captive) production.

Market Forecast by Applications:

  • Offices / Work Areas
  • Hospitality and Healthcare
  • Shopping / Stores
  • Other Applications

Competitive Analysis

  • Company profiles and product examples of selected competitors
  • Market Share Estimates of Leaders in HCL ($ Million, Year 2021)

Market Research Methodology

Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief create a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces.

The future market for the use of a particular type of Human Centric Lighting solutions depends on a number of factors, including: User equipment demand, for example - applications: intelligent/smart buildings, retail store/shopping and hospitality, as well as schools/education and others to push market demand. Also, energy efficiency requirements and government regulations/laws/mandates/low carbon footprint, future-proofing (design and in technology), economy and investment community, product life cycles, competing technologies/solutions, cost/benefit ratios, requirements driven by Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent/digital building lighting controls, and others. Additionally, environment and awareness of health and alertness benefits in HCL, mood lighting, and other smart lighting solutions.

Information Base

This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually since 2002 through our research regarding LED lighting solutions, but updated through the middle of June 2022 - specifically addressing the solid-state lighting (SSL) Human Centric Lighting (HCL) market attractiveness. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performs interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, associated parts/pieces, fittings/ fixtures - luminaires) and building/facility management, local/state and federal government policy and management, LED driver IC and micro-controllers, product distributors, building management, import/export, and other. The interviews were conducted principally with:

  • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LEDs (chips, packaged LEDs, lamps, fixtures/luminaires, controls, systems) as well as other technologies.
  • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of Human Centric Lighting solutions.
  • Other industry experts, including those focused with standards activities, trade associations, and investments.

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.

Customers and distributors also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.

At ElectroniCast, analysts then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

  • Professional technical journals and papers
  • Trade press articles
  • Technical conference proceedings
  • Product literature
  • Company profile and financial information
  • Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
  • Personal knowledge of the research team.

In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the regional markets for light emitting diode products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Overview
  • 1.2. Human Centric Lighting Product Examples
  • 1.3. Technology Research Summaries - Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.4. Software Considerations for Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.5. Unpackaged and Packaged LEDs - Overview
  • 1.6. Barriers to Growth in the US Military/Government Sector
  • 1.7. COVID-19 Pandemic Brief

2. Global Market Forecast - Human Centric Lighting

  • 2.1. Overview
  • 2.2. America Market Forecast (USA and Rest of America)
  • 2.3. EMEA Market Forecast
  • 2.4. APAC Market Forecast

3. LED Lighting: Competitive Analysis/Market Opportunity Analysis

  • 3.1. Overview
    • Market Opportunity Analysis - Market Dynamics
    • Market Opportunity/Sales Channels
  • 3.2. Company Profiles - General Lighting
    • A-Bright Incorporated
    • AbstractAVR
    • Acuity Brands Lighting, Inc. (ABL)
    • AFX, Inc.
    • ALPHABET Lighting (Ledra Brands, Inc.)
    • American Bright Optoelectronics Corp.
    • Amerlux, LLC.
    • ams AG (Including ams OSRAM)
    • Analog Devices, Inc.
    • Arduino
    • Asia Unique LED Lighting Co., Ltd.
    • Aurora Ltd.
    • Bajaj Electricals Limited (BEL)
    • Biological Innovation and Optimization Systems, LLC (BIOS)
    • Bridgelux, Inc.
    • Citizen Electronics Company, Limited
    • Cisco Systems Inc.
    • CLARUS Korea/CLARUS UK (Jungho Group)
    • Cree LED (SGH)
    • Crestron Electronics, Inc.
    • Derungs Licht AG (the Waldmann Group)
    • Dialight
    • Display Lighting Ltd.
    • Dow Corning Electronics (Dow)
    • Eaton Corporation plc (Cooper Lighting)
    • EcoSense Lighting
    • Epistar Corporation
    • ESYLUX GmbH
    • Everlight Electronics Company Limited
    • Fagerhult (AB Fagerhult)
    • Feit Electric
    • Finetechnix Company, Ltd. (Fine Group)
    • Flex LTD.
    • Fulham Company, Inc.
    • GE Current, a Daintree company (American Industrial Partners/Hubble)
    • GE Lighting - A Savant Company
    • GlacialLight Inc.
    • Glamox
    • Green Creative (Harbour Group)
    • GuangZhou Lovely Lighting Co., Ltd
    • Harvatek International
    • Helvar
    • High Power Lighting Corp. (HPLighting)
    • Horner Lighting Group (Horner APG, LLC.)
    • Independence LED Lighting, LLC
    • Infineon Technologies AG
    • Intelligent LED Solutions (ILS) - Intelligent Group Solutions Ltd (IGS)
    • Intematix Corporation
    • JESCO Lighting
    • Johnson Controls
    • Kenall Manufacturing Company
    • KKDC
    • L&S LED Company
    • LED Luks
    • LEDtronics®
    • LEDVANCE GmbH - MLS Co., LTD. (MLS)
    • Legrand S.A.
    • LEISO Lighting (DongGuan) Tech., Ltd.
    • Leviton Manufacturing Company / ConTech Lighting / Intense Lighting
    • Lextar Electronics (AU Optronics)
    • LF Illumination, LLC
    • LG Innotek
    • Liton Lighting
    • LSI Industries Inc.
    • Lumenia d.o.o.
    • Lumileds Holding B.V.
    • Luming Technology Group Co., Ltd.
    • Luminus Devices (San'an Optoelectronics Co., Ltd / Lightera Corporation)
    • LUMITECH Produktion und Entwicklung GmbH (LUMITECH)
    • Lutron Electronics Co., Inc.
    • Marvell (Marvell Technology Group Ltd; Marvell Semiconductor, Inc)
    • MAXIC Technology Corporation
    • MEAN WELL Enterprises Co., Ltd.
    • Microchip Technology Inc.
    • Molex LLC
    • Navray Korea Company, Ltd.
    • NexLight (Northport Engineering Group)
    • Nichia Corporation
    • Nualight
    • Oktalite Lichttechnik GmbH (TRILUX GmbH & Co. KG)
    • ON Semiconductor
    • OPPLE
    • Panasonic Corporation
    • Power Integrations, Inc.
    • Regiolux GmbH
    • Renesas Electronics Corporation
    • Revolution Lighting Technologies, Inc. (TNT Energy)
    • Richtek Technology Corporation
    • ROHM Company, Ltd.
    • Samjin Company, Ltd.
    • Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd
    • Sanken Electric Co., Ltd. (Allegro MicroSystems)
    • SemiLEDs Corporation
    • Senslite Corporation
    • Seoul Semiconductor
    • Sharp Corp, Sharp Microelectronics, Sharp Devices
    • Sheenly Lighting Co. Ltd
    • Signify N.V. (formerly known as Philips Lighting N.V)
    • Silergy Corporation
    • STG Aerospace Limited
    • TE Connectivity
    • Texas Instruments Incorporated
    • Thorn Lighting (Zumtobel Group)
    • Toshiba Materials Company, Ltd.
    • Universal Douglas Lighting Americas, Inc. (UDLA)
    • Vossloh-Schwabe Deutschland GmbH
    • WAC Lighting
    • Zencontrol
    • Zumtobel Lighting GmbH
    • 3.3. Competitor Global Market Share (2021) Human Centric Lighting Modules/Devices

4. ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology

5. Human Centric Lighting Market Forecast Data Base (Explanation: Excel worksheets)

Addendum - Microsoft Excel File

List of Tables

  • 1.1.1. Human Centric Lighting Product Categories
  • 1.1.2. Human Centric Lighting Regional Categories
  • 1.1.3. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Region ($ Million)
  • 1.1.4. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Major Product Type ($ Million)
  • 1.1.5. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Application ($ Million)
  • 1.3.1. Risk Classification
  • 1.3.2. LED Color Variety - Selected Examples
  • 1.3.3. LED Color Chart
  • 2.1.1. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Major Product Type ($ Million)
  • 2.1.2. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Major Product Type (Quantity/Units)
  • 2.1.3. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products Global Forecast ($Million)
  • 2.1.4. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products Global Forecast (Quantity)
  • 2.1.5. Modules/Devices in HCL - Global Forecast, by Application ($Million)
  • 2.1.6. Modules/Devices in HCL - Global Forecast, by Application (Quantity/Units, Million)
  • 2.2.1. SSL-Based HCL - America Region Forecast (USA and "Rest of America") ($Million)
  • 2.2.2. Modules/Devices in HCL America Region Forecast, by Major Product Type ($ Million)
  • 2.2.3. Modules/Devices in HCL America Forecast, by Major Product Type (Quantity/Units)
  • 2.2.4. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products America Forecast ($Million)
  • 2.2.5. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products America Forecast (Quantity)
  • 2.2.6. Modules/Devices in HCL - America Forecast, by Application ($Million)
  • 2.2.7. Modules/Devices in HCL - America Forecast, by Application (Quantity/Units, Million)
  • 2.3.1. Modules/Devices in HCL EMEA Forecast, by Major Product Type ($ Million)
  • 2.3.2. Modules/Devices in HCL EMEA Forecast, by Major Product Type (Quantity/Units)
  • 2.3.3. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products EMEA Forecast ($Million)
  • 2.3.4. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products EMEA Forecast (Quantity)
  • 2.3.5. Modules/Devices in HCL - EMEA Forecast, by Application ($Million)
  • 2.3.6. Modules/Devices in HCL - EMEA Forecast, by Application (Quantity/Units, Million)
  • 2.4.1. Modules/Devices in HCL APAC Forecast, by Major Product Type ($ Million)
  • 2.4.2. Modules/Devices in HCL APAC Forecast, by Major Product Type (Quantity/Units)
  • 2.4.3. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products APAC Forecast ($Million)
  • 2.4.4. Modules/Devices in HCL - Lighting Management Products APAC Forecast (Quantity)
  • 2.4.5. Modules/Devices in HCL - APAC Forecast, by Application ($Million)
  • 2.4.6. Modules/Devices in HCL - APAC Forecast, by Application (Quantity/Units, Million)
  • 5.1. Human Centric Lighting Product Categories
  • 5.2. Human Centric Lighting Application Categories

List of Figures

  • 1.1.1. Product Life Cycle
  • 1.1.2. Evolution of Research Emphasis during Technology Life Cycle
  • 1.1.3. Modules/Devices in HCL Global Forecast, by Region ($ Billion)
  • 1.2.1. LED DALI Driver used in Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.2.2. LED DALI Driver used in Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.2.3. LED Light Engine and DMX Control used in Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.2.4. 2-Channel LED Light Engine and DALI Controllers used in Human Centric Lighting
  • 1.2.5. LED Light Engine, DALI Controllers, Sensors and Touch-panels used in HCL
  • 1.2.6. Spectrally Tunable LED Modules
  • 1.2.7. 10-Channel Spectrally Tunable LED Modules
  • 1.2.8. Recessed LED light fixture for drop ceilings (Panel Modules)
  • 1.2.9. Circadian BR30 LED Bulb
  • 1.2.10. External Control Module for Luminaires
  • 1.2.11. Intelligent Lighting Control Network
  • 1.2.12. Room Controller
  • 1.2.13. Network Bridge Module
  • 1.2.14. Specialty Switches
  • 1.2.15. Color Control Preset Switch
  • 1.2.16. Occupancy/Vacancy Sensors
  • 1.2.17. Daylight Sensor
  • 1.3.1. In-Vehicle Lighting
  • 1.3.2. Work Environment Human Centric Lighting - (Night, Morning, and Evening Shifts)
  • 1.3.3. Human Centric Lighting Control Arrangement for Roadway Lighting Distribution
  • 1.3.4. Circadian Illuminometer
  • 1.3.5. Controlling Dimming and Correlated Color Temperature (CCT) Levels
  • 1.3.6. Circadian Phototransduction
  • 1.3.7. Circadian Phototransduction
  • 1.3.8. LED Chromatic Chart
  • 2.2.1. SSL-Based HCL America Region Forecast, (USA and "Rest of America") ($Million)
  • 2.3.1. SSL-Based HCL EMEA Region ($Million)
  • 2.4.1. SSL-Based HCL APAC Region ($Million)
  • 3.2.1. LED Track Head
  • 3.2.2. Downlight
  • 3.2.3. Smart Lighting System
  • 3.2.4. Tunable-white controller for use with LED power supply
  • 3.2.5. High Current LED Array
  • 3.2.6. High Efficacy LED
  • 3.2.7. Light Engine
  • 3.2.8. 240V LED Display Case Lighting System
  • 3.2.9. Silicone Encapsulant and Silicone Lens in LEDs
  • 3.2.10. Wireless Area Controller
  • 3.2.11. LED Lighting Fixture
  • 3.2.12. Mounting Track and Light Fixture
  • 3.2.13. Input unit DALI PCU - compact power control unit
  • 3.2.14. LED Product Area and Capability
  • 3.2.15. Human Centric Lighting - Typical Distributed Intelligence Network Topology
  • 3.2.16. Lighting Control Sensor
  • 3.2.17. DALI-2 Multi-Master Application Controller
  • 3.2.18. Red-Green-Blue (RGB) LED Lighting Shield Board
  • 3.2.19. Red-Green-Blue (RGB) LED Lighting Shield Link and Bluetooth Low Energy Unit (BLE)
  • 3.2.20. RGB LED Lighting Shield Link and Bluetooth Low Energy Unit (BLE) /Power Supply
  • 3.2.21. Controls for Building Management System
  • 3.2.22. Fine-Tuned Lighting for Each Employee Workspace
  • 3.2.23. Upgraded LED-Based Strip Lighting
  • 3.2.24. Key Technology of company's products
  • 3.2.25. Linear / Area Constant Current - Dimmable DALI
  • 3.2.26. Human Centric Lighting - Various Light Profiles
  • 3.2.27. DLM Color Control Schedule Switch (without wall plate)
  • 3.2.28. Light Engine for Human Centric Lighting
  • 3.2.29. DMX-DALI Gateway Control for Human Centric Lighting
  • 3.2.30. Occupancy Sensor (Wall Unit)
  • 3.2.31. Driver on Board LED Module for Lighting
  • 3.2.32. LED Track Lighting Head
  • 3.2.33. Human Centric Lighting LEDs
  • 3.2.34. Average Current Mode Control LED Driver IC for Smart Lighting and HCL
  • 3.2.35. Smart Lighting Demonstration Solution - Application Illustration
  • 3.2.36. Wire Interconnect for LED Lighting-Module Applications
  • 3.2.37. Tunable White LED (new in production)
  • 3.2.38. Simulation of Daylight - Supporting the Circadian Rhythm
  • 3.2.39. Building Management - Network Central Monitoring
  • 3.2.40. Home Lighting Downlight Module
  • 3.2.41. High Power (Component LED)
  • 3.2.42. LED Placement Technology
  • 3.2.43. New LED Package Technology
  • 3.2.44. LED Driver
  • 3.2.45. LED Driver
  • 3.2.46. LED - Chip-On-Board (COB)
  • 3.2.47. Human Centric Lighting App
  • 3.2.48. Human Centric Smart Switch
  • 3.2.49. General Lighting Power Controller IC
  • 3.2.50. LED Chip Technology Creating nature-based lighting environment
  • 3.2.51. Smart Driver and Smart Sensors
  • 3.3.1. Leading Competitor Market Share (2021) - HCL- Specified Modules/Devices
  • 4.1. ElectroniCast Consultants - Market Research & Forecasting Methodology