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Market Research Report

OLED Lighting Global Market Forecast 2015-2025

Published by ElectroniCast Product code 224166
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OLED Lighting Global Market Forecast 2015-2025
Published: February 25, 2016 Content info: 431 Pages

ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market & technology forecast consultancy, today announced their market forecast of the worldwide consumption of organic light emitting diodes (OLEDs) in lighting applications.

An organic light-emitting diode (OLED) is a light-emitting diode (LED) in which the emissive electroluminescent layer is a film of organic compounds, which emit light in response to an electric current. This layer of organic semiconductor material is situated between two electrodes. Generally, at least one of these electrodes is transparent.

Lighting Applications

The definition for lighting in this study includes general lighting, which is used to provide the main illumination of an area. The lighting category also includes specialized lighting, such as directional, supplementary, and architectural lighting, as well as OLED panels/tiles used in vehicles for the main purpose of lighting.

However, OLEDs used in signage, TVs, displays, and signals are not included in the market forecast data for this study.

The increasing development of OLED technology in lighting is indeed encouraging, driven by the architectural lighting industry; therefore, full cooperation and partnerships with between the OLED device manufacturers and the architectural industry is of paramount importance, based on analysis by ElectroniCast Consultants. Since OLEDs can be fashioned onto large surfaces, they are a viable alternative to fluorescent tubes for building lighting or other applications.

The United States Department of Energy (DOE) estimates that lighting for buildings accounts for more than 20 percent of U.S. energy use. Over the next 20 years, the agency estimates that widespread adoption of LED and OLED lighting could reduce electricity demands 60 percent and prevent almost 260 metric tons of carbon emission.

OLED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study

Below in particular, are three levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the OLED marketplace. For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 2”

  • Level 1 - Organic Materials, anode and cathode
  • Level 2 - OLED Lighting panel or tile with initial integrated frames (Without electronics and driver)
  • Level 3 - OLED Module, one or more panels (tiles) with control circuits, other value added components

OLED devices will actually use a value-added OLED product, complete with the electronics (plugs and wires), driver integrated circuits, and possible structural packaging (cap, metallic/plastic panel frames). Also, even further, these packaged/equipped panels/tiles (also known as OLED modules) will typically be available as part of other value-added product, such as lamp-holders/fixtures. Therefore, it is important to note that this market forecast data only quantifies the OLED device (sometimes referred to as a tile, light source, panel or sub-panel) and not the complete module, lamp/fixtures or other value-added product(s).

This report provides the market data by the following regional segments:

  • Global (Total)
    • America
      • United States and Canada
      • Latin America
    • EMEA
      • Northern Europe
      • Southern Europe
      • Western Europe
      • Eastern Europe
      • Middle East and Africa
    • APAC
      • People's Republic of China (PRC)
      • Japan
      • Republic of Korea (ROK)
      • Rest of APAC

This report provides the forecast by the following functions:

  • Consumption Value: US$, Million
  • Quantity: Number of square meter (m2) in Millions
  • Average Selling Prices: ASP US$, per square meter

Market Forecast

ElectroniCast projects that the worldwide consumption value of selected lighting OLEDs reached $144 million in last year; consumption value is forecast to increase at an average annual growth rate of 74.8 percent to nearly $2.36 billion in 2020. The total value of OLED lighting is forecast an increase to $6.7 billion in the year 2023, before slipping to $5.544 billion in 2025. Quantity/unit volume is forecast to continue to climb through 2025; however, sharp decreases in average selling prices will eventually cause the overall market value to decrease. All values and prices in this report are at factory as-shipped levels, and are in current dollars, which include the effect of a forecasted 5 percent annual inflation rate over the forecast period.

OLEDs Used in General Lighting
Global Market Forecast (Value Basis, US$ Million)

                     Source: ElectroniCast Consultants

Note: Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data. Market forecast data are provided in United States Dollars.

According to ElectroniCast, there was enough overall OLED interest and activity in 2015 by substantial leading lighting competitors with existing capable manufacturing capabilities, working with evolving technology, to push for “mass-production”. Also, industry players have been very active in establishing the required strategic supplier and IP agreements, as well as progressing in sales/distribution channel (planning) strategy.

Therefore, the stage is set for a “Build-it and They Will Come” marketing strategy. The question is, how many customers will come and when. At the same time, other (competing) lighting solutions already work, have substantial customer base and established sales/distribution channels, occupying store footprint; therefore, OLED will need to find unique style/designs to provide a common-sense approach to providing lighting solutions that the other technologies do not currently provide.

Beyond the “light-bulb” Mentality The ElectroniCast market opportunity analysis (MOA) shows the OLED panel market should not be limited to (only) lamps and typical (conventional) lamp fixtures for general lighting (table lamps, wall/ceiling fixtures). ElectroniCast assumes that the OLED panel general-lighting market will grow beyond the “light-bulb” mentality to a broad base of applications, which currently may not even be in the idea-stage. Applications that have been mentioned by industry participants include (but not limited to) OLED incorporated into the following applications:

  • Windows/Skylights
  • Wall panels
  • Ceiling panels
  • Mirrors with light function
  • Flooring/Steps-stairs
  • Embedded into furniture
  • Structural lighting
  • Other (almost endless possibilities)
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Overview
  • 1.2. Solid-State Lighting (SSL) Lamps & Light Fixtures Used in General Lighting

2. OLED - Technology

3. OLED Lighting Market Forecast

  • 3.1. Overview
  • 3.2. America Market Forecast
  • 3.3. EMEA Market Forecast
  • 3.4. APAC Market Forecast

4. OLED Competitors & Related Entities

  • Acuity Brands, Inc.
  • Applied Materials, Inc.
  • Arkena
  • AU Optronics Corporation
  • BASF / BASF Future Business GmbH
  • Beneq
  • Blackbody (Astron FIAMM)
  • Cambrios Technologies Corporation
  • Chi Mei Group
  • Corning Incorporated
  • DELO
  • Doosan Corporation Electro-Materials
  • Dow Electronic Materials (Dow Chemical Company)
  • Duksan Hi-Metal
  • DuPont / DuPont Teijin Films
  • e-Ray Optoelectronics Technology Company
  • E2M Technology
  • Fraunhofer Institute for Photonic Microsystems (IPMS) - COMEDD (Dresden)
  • General Electric Company
  • Heraeus Precious Metals
  • Hodogaya Chemical Group
  • Idemitsu Kosan Company, Limited
  • Intrinsiq Materials, Inc. (IM)
  • Jusung Engineering Company, Limited
  • Kaneka Corporation
  • Kintec Company
  • Konica Minolta Holdings, Incorporated
  • LG Electronics / LE Chem
  • LOMOX Limited
  • Lumiotec Incorporated
  • Merck KgaA - EMD Chemicals Group
  • MC Pioneer OLED Lighting Corporation (Mitsubishi Chemical and Pioneer)
  • Mitsui Chemicals
  • Moser Baer
  • NEC Lighting, Limited
  • Nippon Electric Glass Company, Limited (NEG)
  • Nippon Steel and Sumikin Chemical Company Ltd.
  • Novaled GmbH
  • nTact
  • OLEDWorks LLC
  • OSRAM Opto Semiconductors GmbH (Siemens AG)
  • OTI Lumionics Inc. / aerelight
  • Panasonic Idemitsu OLED Lighting (PIOL)
  • Philips (Koninklijke Philips Electronics N.V.)
  • Pixelligent
  • PolyIC GmbH & Co. KG (Leonhard Kurz Stiftung & Co. KG)
  • Polyphotonix
  • PPG Industries Inc.
  • RITEK Corporation
  • ROHM Company Limited
  • SAES Getters (SAES Group)
  • Samsung Group / Cheil Industries / Novaled
  • Sanyo Chemical Industries
  • Schott AG
  • Seiko Epson Corporation
  • Showa Denko K.K.
  • Solvay Group / Plextronics
  • Sumitomo Chemical
  • Sun Fine Chem (SFC)
  • Sunic Systems, Ltd.
  • Sung An Machinery Company Ltd. (SAM)
  • TCZ
  • TechnoCorp Energy, LLC
  • Thorn Lighting Limited
  • Tianma Micro-electronics Company
  • Tokyo Electron Limited (TEL)
  • Tohoku Pioneer Corporation (Pioneer)
  • Toppan Printing
  • Toray Group / Toray Engineering Company, Ltd.
  • Toshiba Corporation
  • Tridonic Dresden GmbH & Co KG (LEDON OLED Lighting GmbH & Co KG)
  • ULVAC Inc. / ULVAC Technologies, Inc.
  • Universal Display Corporation
  • Veeco Instruments Inc.
  • Verbatim (Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corporation Group)
  • Visionox Company
  • WiseChip Semiconductor Inc.
  • XENON Corporation

5. ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology

6. Definitions and Standards

  • 6.1. Acronyms, Abbreviations, and General Terms
  • 6.2. Lighting Standards and Protocols

7. ElectroniCast Market Forecast Data Base - Introduction/Explanation of Excel Worksheets

  • 7.1. Overview
  • 7.2. Tutorial of the Excel Worksheets

List of Tables

  • 1.1.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
  • 1.1.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, By End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 2.1: Comparison of Light Emission Efficiency and Light Emission Life
  • 3.1.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.1.2: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by End-User Group (Million Square Meters)
  • 3.1.3: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by End-User Group (ASP per Square Meter)
  • 3.1.4.a: Members - CERC Building Energy Efficiency Consortium
  • 3.1.4.b: Members - CERC Building Energy Efficiency Consortium
  • 3.1.5: General Characteristics of OLEDs
  • 3.1.5: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by Region ($ Million)
  • 3.1.6: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by Region (Million Square Meters)
  • 3.1.7: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, by Region (ASP per Square Meter)
  • 3.2.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting American Forecast, by Sub-Region ($ Million)
  • 3.2.2: OLEDs Used in Lighting American Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.2.3: OLEDs Used in Lighting USA/Canada Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.2.4: OLEDs Used in Lighting Latin American Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.2.5: Selling to a Government Entity
  • 3.2.6: Members of Next Generation Lighting Industry Alliance (NGLIA)
  • 3.2.7: Latin American Demographic Trends
  • 3.3.1: European Sub-Regions as identified by the United Nations Geo-scheme
  • 3.3.2: Population in Northern Europe, by Country
  • 3.3.3: Population in Southern Europe, by Country
  • 3.3.4: Population in Western Europe, by Country
  • 3.3.5: Population in Eastern Europe, by Country
  • 3.3.6: OLEDs Used in Lighting EMEA Forecast, by Sub-Region ($ Million)
  • 3.3.7: OLEDs Used in Lighting EMEA Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.3.8: OLEDs Used in Lighting Northern Europe Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.3.9: OLEDs Used in Lighting Southern Europe Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.3.10: OLEDs Used in Lighting Western Europe Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.3.11: OLEDs Used in Lighting Eastern Europe Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.3.12: OLEDs Used in Lighting Middle East/Africa Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting APAC Forecast, by Sub-Region ($ Million)
  • 3.4.2: OLEDs Used in Lighting APAC Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.3: OLEDs Used in Lighting People's Republic of China Forecast, End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.4: OLEDs Used in Lighting Japan Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.5: OLEDs Used in Lighting Republic of Korea Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.6: OLEDs Used in Lighting Rest of APAC Forecast, by End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 3.4.7: List of ELCOMA Members

List of Figures

  • 1.1.1: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Market Forecast (Value Basis, $ Million)
  • 1.1.2: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Market Forecast (Quantity Basis, Million/Units)
  • 1.1.3: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Market Forecast (ASP per Square Meter)
  • 1.1.4: OLEDs Used in Lighting Global Forecast, By End-User Group ($ Million)
  • 1.1.5.a: OLED Lighting Panel
  • 1.1.5.b: OLED Lighting Control Circuit
  • 1.1.5cc: OLED Lighting Module
  • 1.1.6: Transparent OLED on Foil
  • 1.2.1: Samples of Lighting Fixture Types, using LEDs
  • 1.2.1: Samples of Lighting Fixture Types, using OLEDs
  • 2.1: OLED Layer Diagram with Glass Substrate
  • 2.2.a: OLED Layer Diagram: as anode
  • 2.2.b: OLED Layer Diagram: as HIL-layer
  • 2.3: Illustration of a Device to Stabilize 2D Materials
  • 2.4: PIN Doping Technology
  • 2.5: Blue OLED
  • 2.6: Fully Stretchable OLED
  • 2.7: High-Efficient Flexible OLED on Plastic
  • 2.8: Fabrication of Large-Area OLED Lighting Module
  • 2.9: Color-Tunable and Framed OLED Panel Modules
  • 2.10: OLED Modules
  • 2.11: Evolution of Research Emphasis during Technology Life Cycle
  • 3.1.1: Product Life Cycle (PLC)
  • 3.1.2: Kitchen Under-Cabinet OLED-Based Lighting System
  • 3.1.3: Phosphorescent OLED (PHOLED) Lamp
  • 3.1.4: OLED caster light for Broadcasting Studios
  • 3.1.5: OLED Inkjet-Printing System
  • 4.1: Concept OLED luminaire
  • 4.2: Electron Beam Array Test (EBT) system
  • 4.3: Thin Film Encapsulation for OLED Research and Manufacturing
  • 4.4: OLED Desk/Table Lamp
  • 4.5: OLED Desk/Table Lamp
  • 4.6: Flexible Glass
  • 4.7: OLED Liquid Printing Process Technology: Cost Savings
  • 4.8: Fabrication of Large-Area OLED Lighting Module
  • 4.9: OLED Desk Lighting
  • 4.10: OLED Lighting Fixture
  • 4.11: OLED Lighting Fixture
  • 4.12.a: OLED Layer Diagram: as anode
  • 4.12.b: OLED Layer Diagram: as HIL-layer
  • 4.13: OLED Lighting Tiles with Initial Integrated Frames
  • 4.14: OLED Panels in Colors
  • 4.15: OLED Lighting Panel
  • 4.16: LED Panel Example versus an OLED Panel Example
  • 4.17: OLED Panel Units with External Power Unit
  • 4.18: OLED Lighting Examples
  • 4.19: Detail of the OLED Panel
  • 4.20: Display - OLED Panel
  • 4.21: OLED Lighting
  • 4.22: Ultra-Thin Glass Sheet, Rolled into a cylinder
  • 4.23: OLED Lighting Panel
  • 4.24: Organic EL Display (OELD) Materials
  • 4.25: OLED- Automobile Tail Lights
  • 4.26: Fabrication of Large-Area OLED Lighting Module
  • 4.27: OLED-Based Desk/Table Lamp
  • 4.28: OLED Processing
  • 4.29: OLED Screen
  • 4.30: Packaging: Conventional LED and Flexible OLED
  • 4.31: OLED-Based Desk Lamp featuring Carbon Fabric Materials
  • 4.32: Transparent OLEDs
  • 4.33: Organic Solutions Applied to Substrate
  • 4.34: Comparison of PLEDs and SMOLEDs
  • 4.35: Quality & Environment Management System
  • 4.36: OLED evaporation process Equipment
  • 4.37: Polymer OLED Test Cells
  • 4.38: Schematic illustration of printing method applied to glass substrate
  • 4.39: Device structure and luminous efficiency
  • 4.40: OLED Modules
  • 4.41: Flexible OLED Modules
  • 4.42: Demonstrator of an OLED Panel
  • 4.43: OLED-Based Loop Lamp Design
  • 4.44: Corporation Structural Chart
  • 4.45: OLED Panel Light
  • 5.1: ElectroniCast Market Research & Forecasting Methodology
  • 6.1.1: MacAdam Ellipses Chart
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