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Global Risk Report Quarterly Update: Q3 2017

Published by GlobalData Product code 557372
Published Content info 79 Pages
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Global Risk Report Quarterly Update: Q3 2017
Published: March 1, 2018 Content info: 79 Pages
Description

The fourth update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q3 2017 ranks Singapore at the top followed by Sweden and Switzerland. 31 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 34 countries in the low risk zone, 37 countries under manageable risk, 27 countries under high risk and seven countries in the very high risk zone in GCRI Q3 2017.

Scope

  • Asia-Pacific ranks second in terms of regional risk after the Europe. India and Indonesia registered improvements in their risk profiles. Despite this, downside risk remains in the form of geopolitical tensions, tapering by central banks, sudden capital outflows, and Chinese debt. The region is the fastest growing in the world and remained the main driver of the growth in 2017.
  • While economic indicators in Europe remain strong and an expected recovery is imminent, the region is plagued by political risk and uncertainties stemming from events such as Brexit, independence referendums, and rise in nationalism. It is the lowest risk region in the world.
  • Americas is the third highest risk region according to the GCRI 2017 Q3 update, with a regional risk score of 42.61 out of 100. While risk has been reduced and economic growth revived, figures remain skewed. North America continues to perform well whereas Latin America and the Caribbean is weak. Commodity exporters are suffering economically and this has manifested itself in social unrest and political turmoil in some countries.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) was the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2017 Q3 update, with a regional risk score of 47.12 out of 100. The region continues to be plagued by social conflicts, geopolitical turmoil, and weak economic performance.

Reasons to buy

  • Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
  • The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.
Table of Contents
Product Code: GDER0004CHR

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 2

  • 1.1 List of Tables 4
  • 1.2 List of Figures 4

2 Flashback 2017 6

3 Key Events in 2018 7

4 Global Overview - Summary 8

  • 4.1 Growth and lower levels of risk to pave the way for 2018 8
  • 4.2 Global Overview- Key Highlights 9

5 GCRI - Country Ranking 12

6 GCRI: Global Landscape 2017 14

7 Regional Analysis 15

  • 7.1 Asia Pacific Region 15
    • 7.1.1 Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood 15
    • 7.1.2 Asia Pacific Region- Risk Highlights 16
    • 7.1.3 Political Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 18
    • 7.1.4 Economic Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 20
    • 7.1.5 Social Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 24
    • 7.1.6 Technology Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 25
    • 7.1.7 Legal Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 26
    • 7.1.8 Environment Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 27
  • 7.2 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017 28
  • 7.3 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017 29
  • 7.4 Europe Region 30
    • 7.4.1 Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood 30
    • 7.4.2 Europe - Risk Highlights 31
    • 7.4.3 Political Outlook: Europe Region 33
    • 7.4.4 Economic Outlook: Europe 35
    • 7.4.5 Social Outlook: Europe 39
    • 7.4.6 Technology Outlook: Europe Region 40
    • 7.4.7 Legal Outlook: Europe 41
    • 7.4.8 Environment Outlook: Europe Region 42
  • 7.5 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017 43
  • 7.6 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017 43
  • 7.7 Americas 45
    • 7.7.1 Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood 45
    • 7.7.2 Americas - Risk Highlights 46
    • 7.7.3 Political Outlook: Americas 48
    • 7.7.4 Economic Outlook: Americas 50
    • 7.7.5 Social Outlook: Americas 53
    • 7.7.6 Technological Outlook: Americas 54
    • 7.7.7 Legal Outlook: Americas 55
    • 7.7.8 Environment Outlook: Americas 56
  • 7.8 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017 57
  • 7.9 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017 57
  • 7.10 Middle East and Africa 59
    • 7.10.1 Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood 59
    • 7.10.2 Middle East and Africa - Key Highlights 60
    • 7.10.3 Political Outlook: Middle East and Africa 62
    • 7.10.4 Economic Outlook: Middle East and Africa 64
    • 7.10.5 Social Outlook: Middle East and Africa 66
    • 7.10.6 Technological Outlook: Middle East and Africa 67
    • 7.10.7 Legal Outlook: Middle East and Africa 68
    • 7.10.8 Environment Outlook: Middle East and Africa 69
  • 7.11 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017 70
  • 7.12 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017 70

8 Methodology and Appendix 72

  • 8.1 Country Ranking and Scores 72
    • 8.1.1 Europe 72
    • 8.1.2 Americas 73
    • 8.1.3 Asia Pacific 74
    • 8.1.4 Middle East and Africa 75
  • 8.2 GCRI - Methodology and Sources 76
    • 8.2.1 Snapshot of Methodology: 76
    • 8.2.2 Secondary sources 77
  • 8.3 Contact Us 79
  • 8.4 Disclaimer 79

List of Tables

1.1 List of Tables

  • Table 1: Asia Pacific Region- Risk Highlights 17
  • Table 2: Key Economic variables - Asia-Pacific 21
  • Table 3: Europe - Risk Highlights 32
  • Table 4: Key Economic variables - Europe Region 36
  • Table 5: Americas - Risk Highlights 47
  • Table 6: Key Economic variables - Americas 51
  • Table 7: Middle East and Africa - Key Highlights 61
  • Table 8: Key Economic variables 65
  • Table 9: GCRI - Methodology and Sources 78
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