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Market Research Report

Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023
Published: November 26, 2018 Content info: 97 Pages
Description

"Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023", published by GlobalData, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -

  • The defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Iraqi defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Iraqi defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Scope

  • Iraqi military expenditure values US$6.4 billion in 2018 and registered a CAGR of -5.76% during 2014-2018.
  • The decline in the defense budget during the historic period is primarily due to the country's heavy reliance on oil and gas revenues to fund its expansive defense modernization programs.
  • Therefore, the severe erosion of global oil and gas prices during 2016-2017 adversely impacted the country's defense spending capability and forced it to cut back on its defense spending.

Reasons to buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Iraqi defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.
Table of Contents
Product Code: GDDF0530MR

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 8

  • 1.1. What is this Report About? 8
  • 1.2. Definitions 8
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology 11
  • 1.4. About GlobalData 13

2. Executive Summary 14

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 16

  • 3.1. Current Market Scenario 17
    • 3.1.1. Primary threat perception 17
    • 3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy 18
    • 3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 20
    • 3.1.4. Procurement Programs 23
    • 3.1.5. Top Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023 24
    • 3.1.6. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 25
    • 3.1.7. Political and Strategic Alliances 26
  • 3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 27
    • 3.2.1. Iraqi annual defense expenditure to reach US$8.7 billion by 2023 27
    • 3.2.2. US Military and Security Aid 29
    • 3.2.3. Territorial disputes and the war against terrorism are expected to drive defense expenditure 31
    • 3.2.4. Iraq's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to decrease over 2019-2023 32
  • 3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 34
    • 3.3.1. Capital expenditure share to average 23.6% over the forecast period 34
    • 3.3.2. Capital expenditure to increase over the forecast period 36
    • 3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 38
  • 3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 39
    • 3.4.1. Allocation for the police forms the major component of the country's homeland security expenditure 39
    • 3.4.2. Fighting terrorism, controlling sectarian violence, and oil infrastructure protection will be the key factors driving homeland security 41
    • 3.4.3. Iraq is considered to be the country "worst affected" by terrorism 42
    • 3.4.4. Iraq is the most terror prone country in the world 43
    • 3.4.5. Iraq has a terrorism index score of "10.0" 45
  • 3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 46
    • 3.5.1. Iraqi defense expenditure expected to record a CAGR of 5.56% over 2019-2023 46
    • 3.5.2. Iraqi defense expenditure is low compared to other major defense spenders 48
    • 3.5.3. Iraq's defense expenditure is anticipated to reach 3.0% of GDP in 2023 49
  • 3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 50
    • 3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections Over 2018-2023 50
    • 3.6.2. Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Infrastructure Construction 51
    • 3.6.3. Land-based C4ISR 52
    • 3.6.4. Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Facilities Management 53

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 54

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics 55
    • 4.1.1. Defense imports projected to increase over the forecast period 55
    • 4.1.2. The US and Russia were the leading suppliers of arms during 2013-2017 56
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft and armored vehicles accounted for the majority of defense imports between 2013 and 2017 57
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics 58
    • 4.2.1. Iraq's defense export market is negligible 58

5. Industry Dynamics 59

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis 59
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining Power of the Supplier: Medium 60
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining Power of the Buyer: Medium 60
    • 5.1.3. Barriers to Entry: Low 60
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Medium to High 60
    • 5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium to High 60

6. Market Entry Strategy 61

  • 6.1. Market Regulation 61
    • 6.1.1. The Iraqi government allows FDI in the defense industry 61
    • 6.1.2. Iraq has not disclosed any offset obligations 61
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route 62
    • 6.2.1. Budgeting Process 62
    • 6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 62
    • 6.2.3. Government to government deals are an attractive entry route to the country's defense market 62
    • 6.2.4. Establishment of representative office obtains eligibility for participating in procurement tenders 62
  • 6.3. Key Challenges 64
    • 6.3.1. Corruption acts as an obstacle for market entry 64
    • 6.3.2. Lack of skilled labor 64

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 65

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 65
    • 7.1.1. Top Defense Suppliers in Iraqi Defense Industry by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 65
    • 7.1.2. Iraqi defense sector is dominated by foreign competitors 66
  • 7.2. Key Foreign Companies 67
    • 7.2.1. General Dynamics Corporation: Overview 67
    • 7.2.2. General Dynamics Corporation: Products 67
    • 7.2.3. General Dynamics Corporation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 69
    • 7.2.4. General Dynamics Corporation: Alliances 69
    • 7.2.5. General Dynamics Corporation: Recent Contract Wins 69
    • 7.2.6. Lockheed Martin: Overview 71
    • 7.2.7. Lockheed Martin: Products 71
    • 7.2.8. Lockheed Martin: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 71
    • 7.2.9. Lockheed Martin: Alliances 72
    • 7.2.10. Lockheed Martin: Recent Contract Wins 72
    • 7.2.11. BAE Systems Plc: Overview 74
    • 7.2.12. BAE Systems Plc: Products and Services 74
    • 7.2.13. BAE Systems Plc: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 75
    • 7.2.14. BAE Systems Plc: Alliances 75
    • 7.2.15. BAE Systems Plc: Recent Contract Wins 75
    • 7.2.16. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Overview 77
    • 7.2.17. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Products and Services 77
    • 7.2.18. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 77
    • 7.2.19. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Alliances 78
    • 7.2.20. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Recent Contract Wins 78
    • 7.2.21. Raytheon: Overview 80
    • 7.2.22. Raytheon: Products 80
    • 7.2.23. Raytheon: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 80
    • 7.2.24. Raytheon: Alliances 81
    • 7.2.25. Raytheon: Recent Contract Wins 82
    • 7.2.26. Raytheon: Financial Analysis 83

8. Business Environment and Country Risk 85

  • 8.1. Economic Performance 85
    • 8.1.1. GDP Per Capita 85
    • 8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices 86
    • 8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion) 87
    • 8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion) 88
    • 8.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$ 89
    • 8.1.6. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP 90
    • 8.1.7. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP 91
    • 8.1.8. Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP 92
    • 8.1.9. Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP 93
    • 8.1.10. Foreign Direct Investment 94
    • 8.1.11. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 95
    • 8.1.12. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output 96

9. Appendix 97

  • 9.1. About GlobalData 97
  • 9.2. Disclaimer 97

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Iraq - Land Forces Strength, 2018 20
  • Table 2: Iraq - Navy Strength, 2018 21
  • Table 3: Iraq - Air Force Strength, 2018 21
  • Table 4: Iraq - Ongoing Procurement Programs, 2018 23
  • Table 5: Iraq - Future Procurement Programs, 2018 23
  • Table 6: Iraq - Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 24
  • Table 7: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (IQD Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 27
  • Table 8: Iraq - Defense Expenditure Including US Aid, 2014-2018 29
  • Table 9: Iraq - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 32
  • Table 10: Iraq - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 34
  • Table 11: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (IQD Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023 36
  • Table 12: Iraq - Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 38
  • Table 13: Iraq - Homeland Security Expenditure (IQD Trillion / US$ Billion), 2014-2023 39
  • Table 14: Terrorism Index, 2018 43
  • Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 46
  • Table 16: Top Iraqi - Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 50
  • Table 17: Iraq's Budget Process 62
  • Table 18: Top Defense Suppliers in Iraqi Defense Industry - By Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023 65
  • Table 19: Competitive Landscape of the Iraqi Defense Industry 66
  • Table 20: General Dynamics Corporation - Products 67
  • Table 21: General Dynamics Corporation - Alliances 69
  • Table 22: General Dynamics Corporation - Recent Contract Wins 69
  • Table 23: Lockheed Martin - Products 71
  • Table 24: Lockheed Martin - Alliances 72
  • Table 25: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins 72
  • Table 26: BAE Systems Plc - Products and Services 74
  • Table 27: BAE Systems Plc - Alliances 75
  • Table 28: BAE Systems Plc - Recent Contract Wins 75
  • Table 29: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Products and Services 77
  • Table 30: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Alliances 78
  • Table 31: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Recent Contract Wins 78
  • Table 32: Raytheon - Products 80
  • Table 33: Raytheon - Alliances 81
  • Table 34: Raytheon - Recent Contract Wins 82

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023 28
  • Figure 2: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 28
  • Figure 3: Iraq - US Military and Security Aid (US$ Million), 2014-2018 29
  • Figure 4: Iraq - Defense Expenditure Including US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2018 30
  • Figure 5: Iraq - Defense Budget Excluding US Aid (US$ Billion) vs Defense Budget Including US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2018 30
  • Figure 6: Iraq - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023 33
  • Figure 7: Iraq - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 35
  • Figure 8: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023 37
  • Figure 9: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 37
  • Figure 10: Iraq - Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023 38
  • Figure 11: Iraq - Homeland Security Budget (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023 40
  • Figure 12: Iraq - Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2014-2023 40
  • Figure 13: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 42
  • Figure 14: Terrorism Index, 2018 45
  • Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023 47
  • Figure 16: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023 48
  • Figure 17: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 49
  • Figure 18: Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 51
  • Figure 19: C4ISR - Land-based Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 52
  • Figure 20: Military Infrastructure and Logistics - Facilities Management Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023 53
  • Figure 21: Top Iraq Defense Procurements in Terms of Supplier Relationships 54
  • Figure 22: Iraq - Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2013-2017 (TIV Values) 55
  • Figure 23: Iraq - Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 56
  • Figure 24: Iraq - Defense Imports by Category (%), 2013-2017 57
  • Figure 25: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis 59
  • Figure 26: Raytheon - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 83
  • Figure 27: Raytheon - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 84
  • Figure 28: Raytheon - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 84
  • Figure 29: Iraq - GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2025 85
  • Figure 30: Iraq - GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025 86
  • Figure 31: Iraq - Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014 87
  • Figure 32: Iraq - Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014 88
  • Figure 33: Iraq - Local Currency per US$ Exchange Rate, 2015-2024 89
  • Figure 34: Iraq - Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 90
  • Figure 35: Iraq - Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 91
  • Figure 36: Iraq - Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 92
  • Figure 37: Iraq - Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 93
  • Figure 38: Iraq - Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2005-2012 94
  • Figure 39: Iraq - Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012 95
  • Figure 40: Iraq - Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014 96
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