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Market Research Report

U.S. Community Solar Outlook 2017

Published by Greentech Media Inc. Product code 333252
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U.S. Community Solar Outlook 2017
Published: February 6, 2017 Content info:
Description

The community solar segment is on the cusp of becoming a mainstream driver of U.S. solar market growth. Starting in 2017, community solar is expected to consistently drive 20 to 25 percent of the annual non-residential PV market and become a half-gigawatt annual market by 2019. But underneath its continued top-level growth is an increasingly complex legislative and regulatory landscape shaping where, when and why community solar achieves scale.

This new report explores the primary drivers, risks and markets shaping how community solar will achieve scale, both in the complex policy landscape for third-party-led community solar and with the emergence of megawatt-scale utility-led programs. Developers, financiers, installers and suppliers should read this report to learn more about the nearly 3 gigawatts of community solar in development across 29 states.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Key Findings

2. Introduction

3. Community Solar Overview

  • National Level Statistics
  • Utility-Led vs. Third-Party-Led Community Solar

4. Major State Markets

  • Colorado
  • Massachusetts
  • Minnesota
  • California
  • New York
  • Maryland

5. Emerging State Markets

  • Third-Party-Led States to Watch
  • Utility Offtakers to Watch in Utility-Led Community Solar

6. Community Solar Market Outlook

  • Third-Party-Led Community Solar
  • Utility-Led Community Solar

List of Figures

1. Key Findings

  • Cumulative Operating Community Solar vs. 2017E-2021E Capacity Additions

2. Introduction

  • U.S. Community Solar: Annual and Cumulative Installations
  • Annual Community Solar Installations by State and Share of Non-Residential PV Market, 2010-2021E

3. Community Solar Overview

  • U.S. Community Solar PV Capacity: Operating Vs. Pipeline as of Q3 2016
  • Average System Size of Utility-Led Community Solar Programs by Utility Type
  • Annual Utility-Led vs. Third-Party-Led Community Solar Installations
  • Annual Market Share: Third-Party-Led vs. Utility-Led Community Solar

4. Major State Markets

  • Colorado Community Solar Market: Cumulative Installations Through 2016E
  • Colorado Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2010-2021E
  • Massachusetts SREC Eligible Pipeline by Utility: Community Solar vs. All Other Project Types, Q3 2016
  • Massachusetts Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2010-2021E
  • Xcel Energy Community Solar Pipeline in Minnesota as of December 2016
  • Minnesota: Year 1 VOST for 2017 vs. 2016 Bill Credit Rates
  • Minnesota: PPA Price Ranges vs. 2016 Bill Credit vs. 2017 VOST
  • Minnesota Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2010-2021E
  • California Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2010-2021E
  • California Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2010-2021E
  • New York: Community Solar in Development vs. Proposed Megawatt Tranches by Utility
  • New York Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2016E-2021E
  • Maryland Community Solar Installation Forecast, 2016E-2021E
  • Maryland: Annual Community Solar Caps by Program
  • Maryland: Aggregate Community Solar Caps by Utility

5. Emerging State Markets

  • Community Solar Outlook: Major States vs. Secondary States
  • PUC Staff's Proposed CBRE Credit Rate Caps (Cents/kWh)
  • Utility-Led Community Solar: Operating vs. Pipeline by Offtaker Type
  • Top 5 Utility-Led Community Solar Projects Installed by System Size in 2016

6. Community Solar Market Outlook

  • Community Solar Outlook: Third-Party-Led vs. Utility-Led Markets
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