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Market Research Report

United States Distributed Energy Resources Outlook: DER Installations and Forecasts 2016-2025E

Published by Greentech Media Inc. Product code 943424
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United States Distributed Energy Resources Outlook: DER Installations and Forecasts 2016-2025E
Published: June 18, 2020 Content info:
Description

Wood Mackenzie's first-ever US DER outlook combines 29 forecasts across six different customer-sited resource classes, offering a view of historical and forecasted DER capacity from 2016-2025E.

Customer-sited resources covered in this report include:

  • 1. Solar
  • 2. Battery storage
  • 3. Residential load management potential
  • 4. Non-residential management potential
  • 5. EV infrastructure
  • 6. Fuel-based generation.
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • 1. Introduction and key findings
  • 2. Overview of U.S. DER potential
  • 3. Coronavirus impacts on distributed energy
  • 4. Distributed solar
  • 5. Distributed battery storage
  • 6. Load management
  • 7. Distributed fossil generation
  • 8. Electric vehicle charging
  • 9. Methodology

List of Figures

  • DER forecast taxonomy hierarchy
  • Cumulative key growth metrics by resources type (2016-2019)
  • Cumulative key growth metrics by resources type (2020E-2025E)
  • US potential capacity by DER type (2016-2025E)
  • US bulk generation capacity additions by fuel type (2016-2025E)
  • DER market 1.0: Post-PURPA expansion (1985-2005)
  • DER market 2.0: Planning to control the peaks (1995-2010)
  • DER market 3.0: Net-metering revolution (2010-2017)
  • DER market 4.0: The rise of the IoT and storage (2015-)
  • Cumulative potential capacity additions by resource and customer type (2016-2025E)
  • Number of operating companies with dynamic pricing rates for residential and commercial customers, 2016-2018
  • Number of customers enrolled with dynamic pricing, 2016-2018
  • Annual net potential capacity change by DER market segment
  • DER potential capacity by resource type by year, 2016-2025
  • Annual capital expenditure by resource, 2016-2025
  • Annual capital expenditure by resource, 2016-2025E
  • Share of capital expenditures Solar v. other DER, 2016-2019
  • Forecasted share of capital expenditures by resource, 2020E-2025E
  • Top 10 states for customer-sited solar deployment (2020E-2025E)
  • Top 10 states for customer-sited storage deployment (2020E-2025E)
  • Top 10 states for distributed fuel-based generation deployment (2020E-2025E)
  • Top 10 states for EV infrastructure deployment (2020E-2025E)
  • Impact of coronavirus on the DER market (by state and resource)
  • Annual impact on load change by resource type (2017-2025)
  • Residential PV historical and forecasted capacity, 2016-2025E (MWdc)
  • Non-residential PV historical and forecasted capacity, 2016-2025E (MWdc)
  • Key policies and programs impacting the expansion of distributed solar
  • Factors impacting distributed solar market potential
  • Distributed storage install base and forecast, MW 2016-2025E
  • Distributed storage install base and forecast, MWh 2016-2025E
  • Distributed storage market value (million $) forecast, 2016-2025E
  • Factors impacting distributed storage market potential
  • Cumulative load management potential and NERC demand response (DR) forecasts, 2016-2025
  • Cumulative residential load management potential
  • Annual residential load management potential additions
  • Annual and cumulative market value of residential load management potential*
  • Factors impacting residential load management potential
  • Economic and policy factors are major drivers of load management potential
  • Cumulative C&I load management potential and annual net changes
  • Factors impacting C&I load management potential
  • Cumulative distributed fossil generation*
  • Annual distributed fossil generation additions
  • Annual and cumulative market value of distributed fossil generation
  • Factors impacting distributed fossil generation potential
  • Risks and opportunities for distributed fuel-based generation
  • Distributed EV charging install base and forecast, 2015 - 2030
  • EV charging equipment market spend, 2015-2025
  • Key policies and programs impacting the expansion of EV and EV infrastructure
  • Factors impacting distributed EV charging capacity
  • Methodology
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