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Market Research Report

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2018-2022: December 2018

Published by IDC Product code 341115
Published Content info 20 Pages
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
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Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2018-2022: December 2018
Published: December 19, 2018 Content info: 20 Pages

This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system. The worldwide smartphone market will reach a total of 1.42 billion units shipped in 2018, down 3.1% from the 1.47 billion units shipped in 2017. From there, shipments will reach 1.57 billion units in 2022, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 1.4%."Growing ASPs and longer upgrade cycles continue to deter the growth of the smartphone market in 2018," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "We are estimating that, in this holiday quarter, both Android and iOS will witness a decline despite the busy shopping season. An overall 0.9% decline in the fourth quarter will be a contributing factor to the 3.1% decline we will see in 2018. Although 2018 will bring a decline to the market, looking forward, we expect single-digit growth, thanks to the arrival of 5G in certain markets and the continued growth in emerging markets like India, Indonesia, and Nigeria. Despite the 2019 growth from Android, we are still expecting a down year for Apple as it will be sidelined for the 5G party. This could play to Apple's advantage as its 'sit back and watch' game might help it avoid any 5G launch bugs that could impact Android vendors moving forward."

Table of Contents
Product Code: US44522418

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Looking Past the Notch
  • Financing and Trade-In Remain Pivotal

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Smartphone Forecast by Operating System
    • Android
    • iOS
    • Windows Phone
    • Other
  • Worldwide Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
    • Feature Phones
    • Smartphones
  • Worldwide Smartphone Forecast by Region
  • Worldwide Smartphone ASP Forecast

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • 5G Handsets
      • Economy
      • Larger Screen Sizes
    • Inhibitors
      • Replacement Rates
      • Exchange Rates
  • Significant Market Developments
    • Enter the Foldable Phone
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone
  • Phablet


  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
    • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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