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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Connected Vehicle 2018 Predictions

Published by IDC Product code 383631
Published Content info 18 Pages
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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Connected Vehicle 2018 Predictions
Published: October 31, 2017 Content info: 18 Pages
Description

This IDC study provides our top 10 predictions for the worldwide connected vehicle market for 2018 as well as highlights key areas in this market. These predictions reflect IDC's vision for the 10 most important trends in this market over the next 36 months as the connected vehicles become a reality on our roadways. Technology buyers should use this IDC FutureScape to inform their purchasing decisions over the next three years.According to Brian Haven, senior research analyst, Consumer Mobility, "The pace at which the connected vehicle ecosystem has developed is forcing automotive OEMs and other involved players to continue to adapt their business models and embrace digital transformation (DX) as a way to retain relevance in their respective industries. Now more than ever, it is important for industry participants to make informed business decisions to maximize their market potential in coming years."

Table of Contents
Product Code: US43156217

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2021, as Cars Move to Levels 4 and 5 Autonomy and 5G Becomes a Reality, Automotive OEMs Will See a Revenue Margin Increase of 5 Percentage Points Through Delivery of Customized, Dynamic In-Vehicle Content Related to Driving Behavior and Vehicle Performance
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2019, 15% of Tier 1 Suppliers Will Be Connected with Automotive OEMs Through Distributed Ledgers to Improve Security and Reduce Cycle Time for Automotive Systems Design
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2020, 25% of OEMs Will Monetize Their Contributions to Connected Vehicle Data Marketplaces, Relying on the Broader Ecosystem of Participants to Collaborate with and Create New Offerings and Services
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2020, Content Distributors Will Obtain 20% of Their Revenue from Streaming Infotainment Services After Adapting Their Business Models and Distribution Strategies to Include Connectivity as Part of the Service Bundle
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2020, Non-Auto OEM Smart Assistants Will Permeate to Passenger Vehicles, Each Expanding Their Reach to Include Vehicle Management and Hands-Free Capabilities, Specifically by Creating a More Seamless Vehicle Experience, Available in 30% of Passenger Vehicles Worldwide
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: In Response to Developments in Connected Vehicles and Pressures for Improved Safety, by 2020, 20% of Midsize to Large Cities Will Begin to Implement V2X Capabilities to Optimize Traffic Flow and Significantly Reduce Collisions
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: By 2019, 50% of Federal and National Governments Will Have Established Legislation on the Testing and Performance of SAE Levels 4 and 5 of Driver Automation, Shortening Timelines for the Development and Mass Availability of Autonomous Vehicles by 12-18 Months
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2021, Teleoperations Will Have Improved the Delivery Times of Long-Haul Truck Fleets by up to 30%
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2020, 40% of Global Automotive Manufacturers Will Use a Digital Twin of 50% of Vehicle Models Throughout Their Life Cycle to Speed Design Collaboration and Reduce the Cost of Quality Defects and Service Delivery by 25%
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2020, Vehicles Over $50,000 Will Have an Average of 15 Sensor Systems per Car, Enabling a Wide Variety of ADAS Features and/or SAE Levels 2/3 Driving Automation Functionality
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Accelerating DX - Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Pace of Change - Technology Capabilities Enable Sustainable Change at the Speed of Digital Business
  • Human Versus Machine - The Impact of AI and Automation
  • Sense, Compute, Actuate - The New Data-Centric Paradigm
  • Platform Disruption - Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale
  • Cyberthreats - Theft, Ransom, and Cyberattack on the Rise
  • DX Delta - Leaders and Disruptors Widen Performance Gap

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