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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities and Communities 2020 Predictions

Published by IDC Product code 738776
Published Content info 21 Pages
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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities and Communities 2020 Predictions
Published: October 31, 2019 Content info: 21 Pages
Description

This IDC study provides IDC's top 10 Smart City and Communities predictions for 2020."Regional and municipal governments are working hard to keep pace with technology advances and take advantage of new opportunities in the context of risk management, public expectations, and funding needs to scale initiatives," says Ruthbea Clarke, vice president, IDC Government Insights and Smart Cities and Communities. "Smart Cities and Communities need to think strategically so that scalable, future-ready solutions are implemented. These predictions help define future trends that should be taken into account."

Table of Contents
Product Code: US44970019

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: In 2020, 10-30% of Smart City IoT Projects Will Fail to Launch or Scale Due to Ill-Defined Outcomes or KPIs, Poor Understanding of Vendor Offerings, and/or Inadequate Funding and Stakeholder Engagement
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2021, 20% of Cities, Led by European Innovators, Will Use Composite Indexes to Assess the Value of Initiatives, Such as Predictive Policing, Mobility as a Service, and Personalized Care
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2021, in Response to Pressure from Citizens and Advocacy Groups, 75% of Next-Gen Public Safety Technology Procurements Will Have Specifications Preemptively Scoped by Strict Policy Frameworks
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: Owing to Rising Public Mistrust of Government's Use of Personal Data, by 2022, 50% of Large Cities Will Develop Data Ethics Policies That Define How and What Data Can Be Collected, Used, and Shared
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2023, 25% of Successful Smart Cities Digital Twin Platforms Will Be Used to Automate Processes for Increasingly Complex, Interconnected Ecosystems of Assets and Products
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: By 2023, 20% of Cybersecurity Incidents Will Stem from Smart City IoT Device Deployments, Forcing Double-Digit Increases in Cybersecurity Software and Staff Training Budgets
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: By 2024, 90% of Greenfield Cities and 20% of Existing Cities Globally Will Adopt Digital Space Planning Capabilities and New Zoning Regulations to Realize the Benefits of the Growing Sharing Economy
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2024, 70% of City Data Scientist Jobs Will Be Unfilled, Resulting in Increased Investment in RPA/AI-Native Systems, Which Will Exponentially Grow Data Capabilities Without Adding Head Count
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2024, One-Third of All Smart Cities Use Cases Will Be Impacted by 5G, and 75% of Large Cities Will Use 5G to Scale Key Services Such as Real-Time Crime Centers, V2X Connectivity, and Smart Stadiums
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2025, 25% of Major Cities Worldwide Will Have Installed Connected Vehicle Infrastructure Using Either 5G (C-V2X) or DSRC as Countries and Regions Settle on One Standard or the Other
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses
  • Geopolitical Risk: Societal and Economic Tensions Rise
  • The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale
  • Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value
  • Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
  • Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control
  • Climate Change and Resilience: The Impact of Weather Events and Scarcity of Resources

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  • Related Research
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